The Russia Ukraine Conflict Thread (2 Viewers)

[themeistersinger]

Ex-empires Iran and Russia forge new bonds as both blame their woes on the West

From a societal level, Russia and Iran would seem to have little in common. However, the West, Russian and Iranian rulers jointly believe, want to overthrow their regimes, and don’t care if the alternative is chaos.

www.atlanticcouncil.org

 

[themeistersinger]

Putin Declares Martial Law in Moscow-Claimed Ukrainian Regions - The Moscow Times

Russian President Vladimir Putin on Wednesday declared martial law in four Ukrainian regions that Moscow claims to have annexed as the Russian military continues to be plagued by setbacks in its eight-month offensive.

www.themoscowtimes.com

 

[themeistersinger]

Russia Begins Kherson 'Evacuations' as Ukrainian Forces Advance - The Moscow Times

State-run Russian television aired footage on Wednesday of long lines of people and their luggage on the banks of the Dnipro River in southern Ukraine’s Kherson region after Moscow announced it was evacuating tens of thousands of local residents. “People are getting on the ferry and going to...

www.themoscowtimes.com

 

[themeistersinger]

US trying to speed up delivery of key air defense systems to Ukraine after Russia's Iranian-supplied drone attacks | CNN Politics

The US Defense Department is trying to speed up the delivery of two advanced surface-to-air missile systems to Ukraine as Russia has increasingly used Iranian-supplied drones that explode on impact to pummel Ukrainian cities and infrastructure.

edition.cnn.com

 

[Dezbelief]

With patriotic songs about holy Russia and glorious death for the motherland, reservists from northern Russia prepare for battle

The concert hall in Zapolyarny was packed with mobilised soldiers as the Northern Fleet and the local Youth Committee organised a farewell program.

thebarentsobserver.com

They are told that they will fight “Americans and their allies.” Now, they are themselves located only few kilometer from the border to NATO country Norway.

Zapolyarny is border town and has until recently engaged in extensive cross-border cooperation with the neighboring Nordic country. The concert hall where the soldiers were applauding patriotic songs about Russia’s ‘divine mission’ in Donbas has itself repeatedly been site for cultural performances with Russian and Norwegian children and youth.

Back then, the tones and tunes performed were of a peaceful and friendly kind.

 

[themeistersinger]

Meanwhile in Russia: anger and disappointment fill the studio, as the viewers are being prepared for the loss of Kherson and other territories. Host Olga Skabeeva bitterly questions why Russia was so wrong in the beginning, believing that Zelensky would run & NATO wouldn't help.

https://twitter.com/JuliaDavisNews/status/1582794925304729601?cxt=HHwWgsCisafmm_crAAAA

 

[Dezbelief]

Meanwhile in Russia: anger and disappointment fill the studio, as the viewers are being prepared for the loss of Kherson and other territories. Host Olga Skabeeva bitterly questions why Russia was so wrong in the beginning, believing that Zelensky would run & NATO wouldn't help.

https://twitter.com/JuliaDavisNews/status/1582794925304729601?cxt=HHwWgsCisafmm_crAAAA

Not to be political, but I can't help but wonder if a theoretical conversation about an invasion of Ukraine came up during a private meeting between a former potus and putin.

 

[The Z Machine]

Meanwhile in Russia: anger and disappointment fill the studio, as the viewers are being prepared for the loss of Kherson and other territories. Host Olga Skabeeva bitterly questions why Russia was so wrong in the beginning, believing that Zelensky would run & NATO wouldn't help.

https://twitter.com/JuliaDavisNews/status/1582794925304729601?cxt=HHwWgsCisafmm_crAAAA

Russia was so wrong because they believed their own propaganda and lies. Going against the power structures, even just to cast doubt wouldn't be taken well.

 

[themeistersinger]

Russian channels are proudly showing off the scale of new defensives lines that have been prepared by Wagner in occupied Donbas. They don't seem to have noticed it appears to be to defending mostly pre Feb 24th positions. Would seem they don't expect to hold Northern Luhansk.

https://twitter.com/ItsArtoir/status/1582738603310198789

 

[themeistersinger]

Why Putin Declared Martial Law in Parts of Ukraine: Desperation

The imposition of martial law will do little to nothing to stop the Ukrainian armed forces and the Ukrainian guerrillas.

www.19fortyfive.com

 

[Kal El]

Russian channels are proudly showing off the scale of new defensives lines that have been prepared by Wagner in occupied Donbas. They don't seem to have noticed it appears to be to defending mostly pre Feb 24th positions. Would seem they don't expect to hold Northern Luhansk.

https://twitter.com/ItsArtoir/status/1582738603310198789

They’re still fighting with tactics that have been outdated since Korea split.

 

[ignatiusjreilly]

I know this thread isn't supposed to be about US politics, but I'm growing increasingly worried that our domestic squabbles will materially impact the actions of the combatants. Specifically, Kevin McCarthy is signaling that a GOP-controlled House will cut off aid to Ukraine. Again, the point isn't to debate the merits of this position, or how it will play out domestically. What I fear is that, between this and the coming winter in gas-starved Europe, Russia may be encouraged to try to wait the Ukrainians out and launch a new offensive in 2023. Hopefully their crumbling military situation will make it impossible for them to mount any kind of effective attack, but I suspect things aren't as dire for them as they seem at the moment, especially if they know that "help" is on the way

 

[Dezbelief]

I know this thread isn't supposed to be about US politics, but I'm growing increasingly worried that our domestic squabbles will materially impact the actions of the combatants. Specifically, Kevin McCarthy is signaling that a GOP-controlled House will cut off aid to Ukraine. Again, the point isn't to debate the merits of this position, or how it will play out domestically. What I fear is that, between this and the coming winter in gas-starved Europe, Russia may be encouraged to try to wait the Ukrainians out and launch a new offensive in 2023. Hopefully their crumbling military situation will make it impossible for them to mount any kind of effective attack, but I suspect things aren't as dire for them as they seem at the moment, especially if they know that "help" is on the way

Waiting on the midterms gives Russia time to train conscripts and move more experienced soldiers from other areas to the front lines.

 

[massraider]

move more experienced soldiers from other areas to the front lines

I don't think this is a thing.

 

[Dinsy Ejotuz]

Not to be political, but I can't help but wonder if a theoretical conversation about an invasion of Ukraine came up during a private meeting between a former potus and putin.

We know for a fact that Manafort was working with the Russians to undermine Ukraine. Yanukovych was a Russian stooge. Keep in mind that Russia had already invaded Ukraine by this point in Crimea and the Donbas.

Trump withheld javelin anti-tank missiles to strong-arm Zelensky into fabricating dirt on the Bidens as well. He only relented when he got caught.

The Trump campaign worked behind the scenes last week to make sure the new Republican platform won’t call for giving weapons to Ukraine to fight Russian and rebel forces, contradicting the view of almost all Republican foreign policy leaders in Washington.

Throughout the campaign, Trump has been dismissive of calls for supporting the Ukraine government as it fights an ongoing Russian-led intervention. Trump’s campaign chairman, Paul Manafort, worked as a lobbyist for the Russian-backed former Ukrainian president Viktor Yanukovych for more than a decade.

Still, Republican delegates at last week’s national security committee platform meeting in Cleveland were surprised when the Trump campaign orchestrated a set of events to make sure that the GOP would not pledge to give Ukraine the weapons it has been asking for from the United States.

 

[themeistersinger]

Russian lawmakers Andrey Gurulyov and Konstantin Dolgov advocate freezing, starving the Ukrainian civilian population, forcing them into exile by making their survival otherwise impossible. State TV host Olga Skabeeva disingenuously claims that Russia simply has no other choice.

https://twitter.com/JuliaDavisNews/status/1582926857749467137

 

[massraider]

Fail of the day. A Russian defence ministry expert doesn't realise he is already on air and says: "Just don't ask too much about these Iranian drones. We all know they are Iranian, but the authorities don't want to admit it".

https://twitter.com/TadeuszGiczan/status/1583042663426584578?t=FdRlik7nDKAtI7Rh2os7Ww&s=19

 

[themeistersinger]

Ukrainian defence minister announced that Poland delivered overall 54(!) modern self-propelled howitzer Krab produced in Poland. This information hasn’t so far been made public by Warsaw.

https://twitter.com/jgotkowska/status/1582697312752521217

This is a big one. The last confirmed number was 18 Polish Howitzers Krab. Now it’s 54 – and more to come. The Ukrainian army seems to be very happy with the Polish howitzers. It seems, too, they are after intense use less susceptible to failure than other Western models.

https://twitter.com/phil_ipp_fritz/status/1582716661060497408?cxt=HHwWgMDTqd2a-PYrAAAA

 

[themeistersinger]

What Does Russia Hope to Achieve by Bombing Ukrainian Cities? - The Moscow Times

Opinion | Russia’s recent aerial bombardment of Kyiv and other Ukrainian cities is a response to several new and unforeseen problems that the Kremlin has found itself facing in recent weeks.

www.themoscowtimes.com

 

[Dinsy Ejotuz]

Russians have reportedly mined the reservoir dam below one of the two remaining bridge crossings. If blown it would be catastrophic downstream.

 

[Dezbelief]

Russians have reportedly mined the reservoir dam below one of the two remaining bridge crossings. If blown it would be catastrophic downstream.

The Orcs are like insane domestic partners, "If I can't have you nobody will!"

 

[themeistersinger]

GeoConfirmed Thread about the accusations that Russia or Ukraine will destroy the Nova Kakhovka dam.

Who is more likely to do this based on GeoConfirmed data?

(Picture Wikipedia.)

1/15

https://twitter.com/GeoConfirmed/status/1583259226360934405

 

[themeistersinger]

Addressing Putin’s Nuclear Threat: Thinking Like the Cold War KGB Officer That He Was

To assess if he will resort to such weapons, a former CIA officer considers three fundamentals that may guide the Russian leader's decisions.

www.justsecurity.org

 

[The General]

US Defense Secretary Speaks With Russian Counterpart

Can we get a lot more of this please?

 

[themeistersinger]

The moment that left an imprint on my life, Once when russian officer was beating me in front of my father prison cell my father told to a russian the words that i remember everyday : "God forbid he survives and grows up " General Zurab Mamulashvili concentration camp 1992

https://twitter.com/Mamulashvili_M/status/1583197067065061377?cxt=HHwWgsDT_YTW0vgrAAAA

 

[Dinsy Ejotuz]

But even the most confident predatory intelligence officer will always allow for an escape route. Intelligence officers are trained to prepare for the worst in realizing their inability to control every variable. And therein lies the opportunity for the West, but one which comes with tough choices. And that choice is not to blink, to not merely maintain the pressure against him on all fronts, but to increase it. Putin’s off ramp should not be some face-saving deal the West must choreograph that he will be perceive as weakness and therefore raise the stakes. Rather, increase the quality and quantity of arms, training, and intelligence support to Ukraine to reclaim their territory and exact an untenable cost for Putin’s campaign; engage with dissident, opposition circles within Russia and extend a lifeboat to opportunists within Putin’s inner circle and those fearful of going down with him; and fortify NATO along Russia’s borders, particularly the Baltic States. But do all this prepared to confront and respond to Putin’s use of weapons of mass destruction, should he choose that path.

 

[themeistersinger]

Take a look at these highlights from Russian state TV, where they smoothly fluctuate between admitting and denying that the drones Russia is using in Ukraine have been supplied by Iran. An expert admits that Iran being heavily sanctioned is a good thing that benefits Russia.

https://twitter.com/JuliaDavisNews/status/1583253099807797248?cxt=HHwWgMCjucmT7PgrAAAA

 

[themeistersinger]

A great hot mic moment: the expert, member of the Russian Defense Ministry's Public Council, urges the hosts not to mention that the drones used in recent strikes are Iranian, since the authorities refuse to admit that: "It's like an as* — you have it, but don't say the word."

https://twitter.com/JuliaDavisNews/status/1583107961647341569

 

[themeistersinger]

Looting in progress: Russian soldiers steal a washing machine out of a Ukrainian home and load it into their Z-mobile.

https://twitter.com/JuliaDavisNews/status/1583459486131703809

 

[themeistersinger]

‘We have a window’: Ukraine’s forces press their momentum on Kherson’s frontline

As they target a makeshift Russian HQ on the west bank of the Dnieper with drones and missiles, a recon unit of the Ukrainian army believe they are closing in on a prize city

www.theguardian.com

 

[themeistersinger]

In the last few days, an interview given by the new Russian commander in #Ukraine, General Sergei Surovikin, was reported in the media. Noting that “the situation regarding the special operation is tense”, an assessment of his campaign options going forward is required. 1/25

Thread by @WarintheFuture on Thread Reader App

@WarintheFuture: In the last few days, an interview given by the new Russian commander in #Ukraine, General Sergei Surovikin, was reported in the media. Noting that “the situation regarding the special operation is ...…

threadreaderapp.com

 

[themeistersinger]

What Will NATO Do If Russia Uses Nuclear Weapons in Ukraine?

A nuclear strike would not destroy the widely dispersed Ukrainian army, and a land-based NATO assault would look like an invasion of Russia.

www.19fortyfive.com

 

[themeistersinger]

RAF RC-135 RRR7221 meeting up with a pair of Typhoon FGR.4s for its Black Sea patrol. KAYAK31, a KC2 Voyager is providing tanker support, and NATO01, an E-3A Sentry, appears to be providing AWACS support.

https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1583407463402913792

 

[themeistersinger]

A small about our «vacation» to Kharkiv oblast.

Just listen to it? What do you hear? Exactly, silence!

It’s even impossible to compare Donetsk oblast with Kharkiv.

Why? Let’s read a little bit more about my expressions

https://twitter.com/OSINTua/status/1583440462504816640

 

[themeistersinger]

Russian Wagner group fighters are unpleasantly surprised by the strength of a Ukrainian armoured plate, which they shot at from an AKM and an RPK machine gun, with no penetration observed.

https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1583380070197972992?cxt=HHwWgMCqyZzypfkrAAAA

 

[themeistersinger]

Solovyev is not afraid of calling the special operation a war with NATO, points at 'conceptual' mistakes in military planning. The kind of language that would be unimaginable just a year ago.

https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1583407163393077248?cxt=HHwWgMDTzaCbsvkrAAAA

 

[themeistersinger]

10 Torture Sites in 1 Town: Russia Sowed Pain, Fear in Izium | FRONTLINE

Russian torture in Izium was arbitrary, widespread and absolutely routine for both civilians and soldiers throughout the city, an Associated Press investigation has found.

www.pbs.org

 

[Dezbelief]

Iranian instructors killed in Ukraine, Israeli media says

Ten Iranian instructors, who were training Russian troops in Moscow-occupied Ukrainian territory, were killed last week by Ukrainian strikes, Israeli newspaper The Jerusalem Post reported on Oct. 21, citing an unnamed Ukrainian official.

www.google.com

Iranian instructors killed in Ukraine, Israeli media says

Oleksiy Arestovich, an adviser to the President's Office, said on Oct. 20 that the Armed Forces of Ukraine delivered two strikes against Iranian military advisers in Ukrainian territory.

On Oct. 21, Iranian Foreign Ministry urged its citizens in Ukraine to leave the country immediately.

The ministry continues to claim that they have nothing to do with the supply of Shahed-136 kamikaze drones to Russia, adding that Tehran is ready for negotiations with Ukraine in order to “refute the accusations.”

Earlier, White House spokesman John Kirby said that the United States has evidence that the Iranian instructors are present in Russia-occupied Crimea. According to Washington, they supervise Russian drone strikes against Ukrainian infrastructure and civilian population.

The New York Times previously reported that instructors from the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps arrived in occupied Crimea to assist Russian drone operators.

Russia has stepped up its air and drone strikes against Ukraine’s energy infrastructure since Oct. 10, making heavy use of Iranian Shahed-136 kamikaze drones.

Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba said Kyiv is considering severing diplomatic ties with Iran.

According to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Russia has procured 2,400 Shahed kamikaze drones from Iran.

U.S. media reports later suggested that Iran had also agreed to transfer short-range ground-to-ground ballistic missiles to Russia.

Read the original article on The New Voice of Ukraine

 

[themeistersinger]

A Western Strategy for Ukraine

Rebuilding the Ukrainian Economy — the first in a four-part series on Western strategy for Ukraine.

cepa.org

Rebuilding the Ukrainian Economy — the first in a four-part series on Western strategy for Ukraine

 

[themeistersinger]

A Western Strategy for Ukraine: Part 2

This is the second in a four-part series on Western strategy for Ukraine. Ensuring Ukrainian military victory.

cepa.org

This is the second in a four-part series on Western strategy for Ukraine. Ensuring Ukrainian military victory.

 

[themeistersinger]

A Western Strategy for Ukraine: Part 3

As long as President Putin remains in charge, Russia will continue its unsatisfied imperial quest.

cepa.org

As long as President Putin remains in charge, Russia will continue its unsatisfied imperial quest.

 

[themeistersinger]

Russia’s Enfeeblement Sends Shudders Through Central Asia

Political instability is increasingly the norm in the Central Asian republics, who have reason to be worried about a future, weakened Russia.

cepa.org

 

[themeistersinger]

Russia-backed authority urges civilians to leave the city of Kherson immediately

October 22, 2022 Russia-Ukraine news

Rolling blackouts are set to begin Thursday across Ukraine after the nation lost at least 40% of its power-generating capacity following days of Russian attacks on energy infrastructure targets. Follow live news updates here.

www.cnn.com

 

[themeistersinger]

A about RU logistics in the Kherson region and why Ukraine needs ATACMS.

In this thread I will talk about how HIMARS affected the Russian logistics, how Russia have managed to recover from the initial HIMARS effects and why Ukraine need long range capabilities like ATACMS.

ETA the link:

https://twitter.com/DefMon3/status/1583771154749087746

 

[themeistersinger]

News from #Kherson, russian invaders & collaborators are panicing and burning documents at all kinds of institutions. They are stealing/hyacking trucks/cars and fleeing the city, a long column of civil & military vehicles is heading toward the ferry & also direction darriivka.

https://twitter.com/NLwartracker/status/1583810701474217984?cxt=HHwWgICqzaHc6forAAAA

 

[themeistersinger]

Russia-backed authority urges civilians to leave the city of Kherson immediately

October 22, 2022 Russia-Ukraine news

Rolling blackouts are set to begin Thursday across Ukraine after the nation lost at least 40% of its power-generating capacity following days of Russian attacks on energy infrastructure targets. Follow live news updates here.

www.cnn.com

A likely reason for wanting civilians to leave is to mix them in between the military stuff that is also leaving Kherson - this will prevent Ukraine from attacking the fleeing columns

 

[themeistersinger]

More than 10 Ukrainian regions have major power outages after a wave of Russian missile attacks that the national grid operator says has likely caused worse damage to energy infrastructure than the October 10 barrage, Russia's largest since the war started. The air raid continues

https://twitter.com/mjluxmoore/status/1583749669674307584

 

[themeistersinger]

Institute for the Study of War

The Russian withdrawal from western Kherson Oblast has begun. Russian forces likely intend to continue that withdrawal over the next several weeks but may struggle to withdraw in good order if Ukrainian forces choose to attack. Ukraine’s Southern O

www.understandingwar.org

 

[themeistersinger]

Russia deliberately created refugee flows from Syria by bombing hospitals, bakeries and markets. They're now trying to do the same thing in Ukraine by destroying Ukrainian power and heating plants.

https://twitter.com/JimmySecUK/status/1583806584094085121?cxt=HHwWgsDS3czs5_orAAAA

 

[themeistersinger]

Putin's Unsolvable Problem? His Tanks Keep Dying in Ukraine

In addition to upwards of a few hundred T-72 main battle tanks (MBTs), Ukrainian forces have captured at least a couple dozen T-90s.

www.19fortyfive.com