Week 10 2022 who should I start thread **OFFICIALLY UNOFFICIAL** (1 Viewer)

[Chaka]

Sutton over DPJ? Standard

Tough call but I want to see the Broncos post bye before I can recommend any of them (in most cases).

DPJ has been quite consistent over his last five games and Miami has been a QBs dream opponent. I always worry that Chubb will take over the Browns offense in any given week but I think DPJ has been consistent enough to roll out in a pinch (Sutton has not) and seems to have the deep ball ability to house a long one at any minute (although that hasn't happened this season).

In a PPR I might consider Sutton but in standard format I roll the dice:

DPJ>Sutton

 

[Chaka]

What order would you put my desperation superflex QBs this week?

Sam Ehlinger
Colt McCoy
Case Keenum

I know some are coin flip if they start but take that into consideration as to likely to start and, if they do, are they a better option than the other?

Well, I am seeing that Allen may play. If he is a late scratch I guess I roll out Keenum because Buffalo is simply the best offense of the bunch.

Can't trust Ehlinger for anything ATM, even against a soft opponent like the Raiders.

Keenum*>McCoy>>Ehlinger

 

[Goooals]

Need a QB2 for my superflex league;

Colt McCoy, Kenny Pickett or Wolford? Ugh, I know. Please rank.

 

[candian fantasy guy]

12 team PPR flex

Gabe Davis or D People-Jones

After rolling with Gabe all year, I feel DPJ has a safer 10pt floor. Am I over thinking this? I mean If I roll with DPJ, guaranteed Gabe blows up, right?

 

[candian fantasy guy]

Need a QB2 for my superflex league;

Colt McCoy, Kenny Pickett or Wolford? Ugh, I know. Please rank.

I would go McCoy and Pickett. Good luck!

 

[candian fantasy guy]

Good morning dudes, little help?

.5ppr need one of the following:

Wan’dale Robinson v HOU
Brandin Cooks @ NYG

I have this very decision to make as well, but I also have D Carter to mix it up a bit.

I am going with Cater. And I think I would roll the dice with Cooks over Robinson, but barely.

 

[Chaka]

Need a QB2 for my superflex league;

Colt McCoy, Kenny Pickett or Wolford? Ugh, I know. Please rank.

Definitely not Wolford.

McCoy is a capable backup with a some good talent at the wide receiver & TE positions. He's probably the safest floor guy and has maybe 220 & 2 TD potential.

Pickett is definitely interesting as they are coming off the bye and the Steelers really haven't been able to run the ball. But I have no idea how to handicap this game, it could easily be a 13-10 snooze fest. But he does have very good receivers in Diontae, Pickens and Friermuth so if you really want to swing for something it's understandable.

For me:
McCoy>Pickett>>Wolford

 

[Chaka]

12 team PPR flex

Gabe Davis or D People-Jones

After rolling with Gabe all year, I feel DPJ has a safer 10pt floor. Am I over thinking this? I mean If I roll with DPJ, guaranteed Gabe blows up, right?

Completely understand DPJ in this situation. Davis is all over the map and even if Allen plays isn't there definitely something wrong with his elbow? I mean, Justin Herbert still hasn't entirely come back from his rib injury (although maybe being without Allen & Williams is making that worse than it really is).

DPJ has been on a solid, consistent run over his last five games and Miami has been a QBs dream opponent most of the year. It sucks that DPJ hasn't found the end zone (Gabe is clearly favored there) but in a PPR I think I like DPJ a little bit.

DPJ>Davis

 

[candian fantasy guy]

another that I am struggling with, PPR

Montgomery or J Williams

As a Bears fan, I am really struggling with this one. Herbert has been seeing more and more snaps and our D is kinda leaky. So there is a + for J Will. However, I am fearing the "greasy wheel squeaking" in the Lions RB room affecting the snap distribution.

 

[Chaka]

another that I am struggling with, PPR

Montgomery or J Williams

As a Bears fan, I am really struggling with this one. Herbert has been seeing more and more snaps and our D is kinda leaky. So there is a + for J Will. However, I am fearing the "greasy wheel squeaking" in the Lions RB room affecting the snap distribution.

Herbert has definitely not been seeing more snaps. On the season the split has been 56% to 37% between Montgomery & Herbert. HOWEVER that includes almost two full games Monty missed. When both are available the split has consistently been 70% to 30% in favor of Montgomery.

MIA 70%-28%
DAL 70%-28%
NE 56%-41%
WAS 78%-22%
MIN 72%-28%
GB 80%-20%
SF 66%-29%

Despite statements to the contrary, the Bears are not going with the "Hot hand", they are going with Montgomery 70% of the time and spelling him with Herbert. Herbert can certainly make things happen with that snap share but if you are going to worry about Herbert taking touches that will only happen if the Bears are blowing out the Lions and if that is the case than Montgomery was on the field long enough to create the blow out in the first place.

I agree about Swift maybe taking a larger share today but it's difficult to bank on when it simply hasn't happened since week 1. Even so, my gut is worried about it.

Bottom line is the Lions have the worst scoring defense and the 31st rush defense (29th v pass).

Montgomery>Jamaal

 

[candian fantasy guy]

another that I am struggling with, PPR

Montgomery or J Williams

As a Bears fan, I am really struggling with this one. Herbert has been seeing more and more snaps and our D is kinda leaky. So there is a + for J Will. However, I am fearing the "greasy wheel squeaking" in the Lions RB room affecting the snap distribution.

Herbert has definitely not been seeing more snaps. On the season the split has been 56% to 37% between Montgomery & Herbert. HOWEVER that includes almost two full games Monty missed. When both are available the split has consistently been 70% to 30% in favor of Montgomery.

MIA 70%-28%
DAL 70%-28%
NE 56%-41%
WAS 78%-22%
MIN 72%-28%
GB 80%-20%
SF 66%-29%

Despite statements to the contrary, the Bears are not going with the "Hot hand", they are going with Montgomery 70% of the time and spelling him with Herbert. Herbert can certainly make things happen with that snap share but if you are going to worry about Herbert taking touches that will only happen if the Bears are blowing out the Lions and if that is the case than Montgomery was on the field long enough to create the blow out in the first place.

I agree about Swift maybe taking a larger share today but it's difficult to bank on when it simply hasn't happened since week 1. Even so, my gut is worried about it.

Bottom line is the Lions have the worst scoring defense and the 31st rush defense (29th v pass).

Montgomery>Jamaal

I am fairly surprised to see those splits. It sure doesn't feel that way when watching the games.

I would add that the Bears are now pretty terrible on D. Might be the worst in the 2nd half of the season.

Thanks

 

[Chaka]

another that I am struggling with, PPR

Montgomery or J Williams

As a Bears fan, I am really struggling with this one. Herbert has been seeing more and more snaps and our D is kinda leaky. So there is a + for J Will. However, I am fearing the "greasy wheel squeaking" in the Lions RB room affecting the snap distribution.

Herbert has definitely not been seeing more snaps. On the season the split has been 56% to 37% between Montgomery & Herbert. HOWEVER that includes almost two full games Monty missed. When both are available the split has consistently been 70% to 30% in favor of Montgomery.

MIA 70%-28%
DAL 70%-28%
NE 56%-41%
WAS 78%-22%
MIN 72%-28%
GB 80%-20%
SF 66%-29%

Despite statements to the contrary, the Bears are not going with the "Hot hand", they are going with Montgomery 70% of the time and spelling him with Herbert. Herbert can certainly make things happen with that snap share but if you are going to worry about Herbert taking touches that will only happen if the Bears are blowing out the Lions and if that is the case than Montgomery was on the field long enough to create the blow out in the first place.

I agree about Swift maybe taking a larger share today but it's difficult to bank on when it simply hasn't happened since week 1. Even so, my gut is worried about it.

Bottom line is the Lions have the worst scoring defense and the 31st rush defense (29th v pass).

Montgomery>Jamaal

I am fairly surprised to see those splits. It sure doesn't feel that way when watching the games.

I would add that the Bears are now pretty terrible on D. Might be the worst in the 2nd half of the season.

Thanks

The touch distribution is closer to 60%-40% (over the last 5 games) but Montgomery's touches are much more consistent (around 16 per game) and he definitely dominates the snaps.

 

[rockaction]

Full PPR - Choose one

Jeff Wilson, Ezekiel Elliott, or Courtland Sutton

 

[Down Under]

If you have time - Half ppr, 2nd flex:

Dillon (v Dal)
D. Henderson (v Ari)

TIA

 

[Chaka]

Full PPR - Choose one

Jeff Wilson, Ezekiel Elliott, or Courtland Sutton

If the universe had gone according to plan this would be Sutton by a mile but, as the saying goes: If you want to make God laugh, make a plan.

Denver is coming off a bye and the Titans were a bad pass defense before losing Simmons, Dupree & Hooker for this weeks game. So maybe Sutton is worth a shot, I know I was considering him (went Mooney instead).

I just saw this update on Zeke:
(fantasypros) Head coach Mike McCarthy does not expect Ezekiel Elliott to play in Green Bay today.
Analysis: Elliott was reportedly a true game-time decision for the Cowboys' game against Green Bay as he continues to deal with a knee injury. The Cowboys did elevate Qadree Ollison from the practice squad Saturday, so they were preparing to be without Elliott this week. Fantasy managers should expect Tony Pollard to see the bulk of the carries against Green Bay.

(Article Link)

Even if he does suit up you have to make the decision before morning kickoff or you're stuck with Zeke.

I do like Wilson, I think his opportunities will be very high quality in that offense and he can probably put up some points on limited touches. I like that he immediately was in a 50:50 share with Mostert right out of the gate so maybe that is the reality, I just wish I had a few more games of data to go on before making a decision. I also worry that there are a lot of players that could steal TDs from Wilson.

I think you can't go with Zeke leaving the choice between Sutton & Wilson. I wouldn't blame you for going with either as they both have big risks. For me, I think (and this is super close IMO):

Wilson>Sutton

 

[FairWarning]

Full PPR - Choose one

Jeff Wilson, Ezekiel Elliott, or Courtland Sutton

Wilson then Sutton

 

[Chaka]

If you have time - Half ppr, 2nd flex:

Dillon (v Dal)
D. Henderson (v Ari)

TIA

Ouch.

Dillon should be the easy call but he's simply been terrible. One of the biggest disappointments in FF this year IMO. It's a brutal matchup as well.

I think Henderson makes sense. He's a capable runner and receiver, Stafford may not play (you will know for sure by kickoff though) which leads me to think the RBs may be more involved. Considering Henderson has at least 13 opportunities in 2 of his last 3 games, I guess it's worth a shot.

But these are unfortunate options and really are a coin toss to be sure. If you love Dillon, go with him. I don't so:
Henderson>Dillon

 

[icehouse]

All Half PPR leagues. Need 2 Wrs. Gabe Davis, Diontae Johnson, Pittman or Sutton.

Need 2 of these players. Brian Robinson, Dillon, Toney or Pacheco.

Thanks!

 

[Chaka]

All Half PPR leagues. Need 2 Wrs. Gabe Davis, Diontae Johnson, Pittman or Sutton.

Need 2 of these players. Brian Robinson, Dillon, Toney or Pacheco.

Thanks!

Well, I think Diontae is a must in any form of PPR as he is most likely to see 10 targets.

I would like to say Pittman, and maybe that is the direction you should go as he has a shot at 9 targets and the Raiders are an exploitable defense. But Ehlinger has been pretty poor and I think the Colts are going to run the offense through Jonathan Taylor.

Sutton is kinda of an unknown but he does seem to have a great matchup on paper. Tennessee has a bad pass defense and they are down three key players in Simmons, Dupree and Hooker. Denver is also coming off a bye so, maybe that's reason to hope?

You put Gabe in if you are hoping for a TD, but he has a low floor too and I am concerned about Allen's arm. I rarely know how to slot Gabe with any kind of confidence as it really depends on your aversion to risk.

For me:
Diontae>Gabe>Sutton>Pittman

 

[Chaka]

Need 2 of these players. Brian Robinson, Dillon, Toney or Pacheco.

Thanks!

Lightning round.

I have no earthly idea. Total dart throw.

My guess would be:

Robinson>Toney>Dillon>Pacheco

 

[Chaka]

Good luck everyone.