My fickle stance of the day:
Metcalf is an athletic freak. A gym rat. Hes been a man among boys since he was 5. Bred for this moment.
His college stats are a little unexplainable... never once had a big season (Injured, I know), ran a lot of Go routes. maybe that's a red flag for some, but definitely a yellow flag. He certainly never "broke out."
He tests amazing at the combine except for the SS and 3C, which may point to an inability to change direction, possible issue with a complicated route tree; "what good is that straight speed if he can only go north/south?" Another yellow flag
I'd say the question of his route tree/cutting ability isnt answered right now, and I'm not sure if it will until he gets playing time. Sure, Go routes arent a bad thing, but I'm hoping for someone who eventually develops into seeing more than 5 targets a game. If I want a Go route specialist I can probably get Tyler Lockett fairly cheap.
I'd say I'm less confident in Metcalf 1.1 after the nostalgia of a 4.33 40 has worn off.
Not sure where I am quite yet but I dont think he is the obvious choice at 1.1
Those concerns are certainly there, but some are exaggerated I think. I'll go into this from the perspective noted earlier, as someone who really likes Harry/Brown and went into my Metcalf studies really wanting to dislike him and write him off as a one-trick pony.
The Julio comparison should probably stop. Julio had freaky agility and did a lot more work underneath. Megatron/Moss are better upside comparisons, with Matt Jones and Cordarrelle Patterson being the other side of it.
I don't think the 3 cone is as big a deal as people are making it out to be. Megatron skipped the 3 cone because he knew he would run it poorly, and Moss allegedly put up a 7.2 in a private workout pre-draft.
Metcalf's per game production this year (if we throw out the game he left early to injury) was basically right on par with Megatron's in his final year. Megatron went 76-1225-15 in 14 games. Metcalf's 14 game pace was 60-1287-12.
Like I said Jones/Patterson are the downside, but neither of those guys ever demonstrated nearly the ball skills that Metcalf did. I've always been down on burners like DHB, Troy Williamson, etc who lack ball skills. But Metcalf sucks the ball in and makes contested catches.
Metcalf did run mostly go routes in college, but how much of that is because Ole Miss had another 1st round NFL WR who excelled at the underneath stuff? It's hard to find much video of Metcalf running other routes, but the ones that are there look decent enough to me (2:01 in this clip):
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PCoi5mhwCzY&t=2m1s
I've always preferred polish and WR skills over pure athleticism in WRs. I went into this really wanting to just write Metcalf off. But the upside is alluring and he was better at a lot of his "weaknesses" than I thought he would be from just reading the consensus regurgitated opinion.