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WR DK Metcalf, PIT (1 Viewer)

It wasnt very good for Cooper who seemed to improve with a new team.
Yes but it a place with lots of targets available, and a QB who has supported good fantasy options in his career.. I think Carr is Dalton 2.0 but I think he is capable of supporting a WR1. I know Cooper didn't work out but he did work out for some years. Plus DK is nothing like Amari Cooper.

 
Ole Miss WR D.K. Metcalf finished with a bottom-two percentile score in the 3-cone drill.

Metcalf (6'3/228) absolutely smashed the NFL Combine still after running a 4.33 40-yard dash at 228 pounds, but we can't ignore the terrible agility numbers here. Even at yesterday's press conference, Metcalf said that the Washington Redskins' staff said that he has to get better getting out of his breaks, which is something the 3-cone drill would measure. With elite straight-line speed and horrendous agility, Metcalf's athletic profile is wild, but there are routes where Metcalf will have corners shaking in fear. Let's hope that Metcalf lands on a team that will give him a chance to join the elites.

SOURCE: Mockdraftable.com

Mar 2, 2019, 6:44 PM

 
Yes but it a place with lots of targets available, and a QB who has supported good fantasy options in his career.. I think Carr is Dalton 2.0 but I think he is capable of supporting a WR1. I know Cooper didn't work out but he did work out for some years. Plus DK is nothing like Amari Cooper.
You asked. Just pointing out an example of it not being an ideal landing spot.

I think Metcalf will be fine regardless of where he goes.

 
Agility times suck. That matters. 

Give me Miles Boykin over this guy everytime. 

 
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You asked. Just pointing out an example of it not being an ideal landing spot.

I think Metcalf will be fine regardless of where he goes.
Oh yes, sorry. I didn't mean to be critical. I was just trying to carry out the logic of the argument to see if we could figure it out. I am a little unsure about what to make of the Oakland offense as a landing spot. 

 
Oh yes, sorry. I didn't mean to be critical. I was just trying to carry out the logic of the argument to see if we could figure it out. I am a little unsure about what to make of the Oakland offense as a landing spot. 
Nothing too much to know that you didn't already mention. 

Derek Carr is just an average QB. There is a lot of opportunity for any WR who goes there though.

 
The red flags coming out of Oakland are enough to make me nervous about pretty much anyone they bring in.  

 
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Ole Miss WR D.K. Metcalf ran a 4.33 40-yard dash at the NFL Scouting Combine.

The official video can be viewed in the link below. Per the NFL Media Research Department, it was the fastest 40-time of any player to weigh 225-plus pounds since data was first tracked in 2003. Of note, Metcalf ran faster than speedy special-teams ace Devin Hester (4.43), benched more (27 reps) than Skins LT Trent Williams (23), and recorded a higher vertical (40.5-inches) than Odell Beckham Jr. (38.5"). Cleverly dubbed "Batman" by NFL Network analyst Daniel Jeremiah, Metcalf is expected to be the first receiver selected in April.

SOURCE: NFL on Twitter

Mar 2, 2019, 3:23 PM

 
Yeah that’s bad
Forgive my ignorance but do they get two reps for the 3cone like they do the 40? I always wonder about things like a bad start at the gun or just a single, simple technique mistake that can cause a poor time. Not that Metcalf wouldn't have done poorly anyway, but I feel like these guys should get like 5 reps on every event. Hall of fame WRs didn't get a perfect jump on the snap 100% of the time in NFL games. Not saying this applies to Metcalf here but one rep to be judged on is a tough test. 

 
There isn't a gun, the clock starts on first movement.  Of course players can still have a bad time, just clarifying the starting mechanism. 

 
There isn't a gun, the clock starts on first movement.  Of course players can still have a bad time, just clarifying the starting mechanism. 
Ah I see. Well that does make a big difference and certainly eliminates the question of a poor initial reaction time. Thanks. 

 
I hope so. Are you worried about the agility drills?
That is weird.

That does make one wonder considering he mostly ran go routes as well, how effective is he working laterally?

The 3 cone time tells us something about why that might be. Not quick out of his breaks. This is something a lot of WR have to develop after they get to the NFL.

But no I don't think it is a big deal.

Davin Cook ran a 7.27 3 cone and he can definitely cut sharply. 

The drill is important to me, but that is only one data point. I wouldn't be surprised if he could improve on that time with some practice on how to run low.

My concerns with Metcalf are more about the lack of college production and film. These big fast balls of clay do not always work out well. 

I don't have a bad feeling about him like Justin Hunter ect though. I think he tracks the ball over his shoulder well and executes the deep passing threat very well. That will only help him be open on some of the underneath stuff when he does develop it.

The 3 cone is about being able to stop and change direction quickly though, it is something he will need to work on.

 
That is weird.

That does make one wonder considering he mostly ran go routes as well, how effective is he working laterally?

The 3 cone time tells us something about why that might be. Not quick out of his breaks. This is something a lot of WR have to develop after they get to the NFL.

But no I don't think it is a big deal.

Davin Cook ran a 7.27 3 cone and he can definitely cut sharply. 

The drill is important to me, but that is only one data point. I wouldn't be surprised if he could improve on that time with some practice on how to run low.

My concerns with Metcalf are more about the lack of college production and film. These big fast balls of clay do not always work out well. 

I don't have a bad feeling about him like Justin Hunter ect though. I think he tracks the ball over his shoulder well and executes the deep passing threat very well. That will only help him be open on some of the underneath stuff when he does develop it.

The 3 cone is about being able to stop and change direction quickly though, it is something he will need to work on.
Also he looked plenty agile in the gauntlet.

 
Also he looked plenty agile in the gauntlet.
I dunno. Sone guys just run that drill bad.

The 40 time is the most predictive metric for all NFL players. That is more important than his 3 cone time.

I do think it is something that deserves further investigation when watching Metcalf.

 
I dunno. Sone guys just run that drill bad.

The 40 time is the most predictive metric for all NFL players. That is more important than his 3 cone time.

I do think it is something that deserves further investigation when watching Metcalf.
Good reminder about the 40 time. 

 
Is he Kevin White or Julio Jones will be the fun debate going forward 
Even if he is Kevin White... I will fault zero people for taking the chance that he’s Julio. His production wasn’t so bad where he should be highly questioned. He was hurt but probably on his way to at least close to a 1,000yd season. 

 
Even if he is Kevin White... I will fault zero people for taking the chance that he’s Julio. His production wasn’t so bad where he should be highly questioned. He was hurt but probably on his way to at least close to a 1,000yd season. 
Oh yeah and I think he is a mutant. He is too talented. 

 
interesting take, both players seem to lack college production...you basing it totally on Boykins having good 3cone drill?  Metcalf average over 20 ypc...
I've looked at both players tape. Boykins was in my top 5 pre combine. Metcalf wasn't. Boykins killed the combine on all the measurables. Metcalf ran incredibly fast, had great jumps, and came in at nearly 230. All those things are great but didn't look like a natural catcher of the football and his agility times really sucked. 

Boykins is my #1 WR in this draft up to this point. 

 
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I really like both Harry and Brown this year so I feel like I've had a bit of a bias against DK.  I just went and watched his highlights against expecting/hoping to be disappointed in his ability to do anything outside of run straight really fast, but dammit if his hands/balls skills aren't actually quite good.  Was surprised at the number of contested catches he made this year despite the injury shortened season. 

 
@NextGenStats

Ole Miss WR D.K. Metcalf ran a 4.33 40-yard dash at 228 lbs, the fastest time by any player over 225+ lbs since at least 2003.

Metcalf finished with a 92 Combine Score, best among WRs to participate in on-field drills. His 3-cone time (7.38) kept D.K. from an even higher score.

 
Apparently Boldin and Steve Smith are the only 2 WRs to post scores as bad as Metcalf in the 3 cone and went on to be successful. 

Just one test, but food for thought. Metcalf would have to be an anomaly to buck the trend... although his other scores would certainly indicate that to be the case. I'm surprised he participated if he was going to be so bad at it. 

 
My fickle stance of the day:

Metcalf is an athletic freak. A gym rat. Hes been a man among boys since he was 5. Bred for this moment. 

His college stats are a little unexplainable... never once had a big season (Injured, I know), ran a lot of Go routes. maybe that's a red flag for some, but definitely a yellow flag. He certainly never "broke out."

He tests amazing at the combine except for the SS and 3C, which may point to an inability to change direction, possible issue with a complicated route tree; "what good is that straight speed if he can only go north/south?" Another yellow flag

I'd say the question of his route tree/cutting ability isnt answered right now, and I'm not sure if it will until he gets playing time. Sure, Go routes arent a bad thing, but I'm hoping for someone who eventually develops into seeing more than 5 targets a game. If I want a Go route specialist I can probably get Tyler Lockett fairly cheap. 

I'd say I'm less confident in Metcalf 1.1 after the nostalgia of a 4.33 40 has worn off. 

Not sure where I am quite yet but I dont think he is the obvious choice at 1.1

 
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My fickle stance of the day:

Metcalf is an athletic freak. A gym rat. Hes been a man among boys since he was 5. Bred for this moment. 

His college stats are a little unexplainable... never once had a big season (Injured, I know), ran a lot of Go routes. maybe that's a red flag for some, but definitely a yellow flag. He certainly never "broke out."

He tests amazing at the combine except for the SS and 3C, which may point to an inability to change direction, possible issue with a complicated route tree; "what good is that straight speed if he can only go north/south?" Another yellow flag

I'd say the question of his route tree/cutting ability isnt answered right now, and I'm not sure if it will until he gets playing time. Sure, Go routes arent a bad thing, but I'm hoping for someone who eventually develops into seeing more than 5 targets a game. If I want a Go route specialist I can probably get Tyler Lockett fairly cheap. 

I'd say I'm less confident in Metcalf 1.1 after the nostalgia of a 4.33 40 has worn off. 

Not sure where I am quite yet but I dont think he is the obvious choice at 1.1
Those concerns are certainly there, but some are exaggerated I think.  I'll go into this from the perspective noted earlier, as someone who really likes Harry/Brown and went into my Metcalf studies really wanting to dislike him and write him off as a one-trick pony.

The Julio comparison should probably stop.  Julio had freaky agility and did a lot more work underneath.  Megatron/Moss are better upside comparisons, with Matt Jones and Cordarrelle Patterson being the other side of it.

I don't think the 3 cone is as big a deal as people are making it out to be.  Megatron skipped the 3 cone because he knew he would run it poorly, and Moss allegedly put up a 7.2 in a private workout pre-draft.

Metcalf's per game production this year (if we throw out the game he left early to injury) was basically right on par with Megatron's in his final year.  Megatron went 76-1225-15 in 14 games.  Metcalf's 14 game pace was 60-1287-12. 

Like I said Jones/Patterson are the downside, but neither of those guys ever demonstrated nearly the ball skills that Metcalf did.  I've always been down on burners like DHB, Troy Williamson, etc who lack ball skills.  But Metcalf sucks the ball in and makes contested catches.

Metcalf did run mostly go routes in college, but how much of that is because Ole Miss had another 1st round NFL WR who excelled at the underneath stuff?  It's hard to find much video of Metcalf running other routes, but the ones that are there look decent enough to me (2:01 in this clip): http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PCoi5mhwCzY&t=2m1s

I've always preferred polish and WR skills over pure athleticism in WRs.  I went into this really wanting to just write Metcalf off.  But the upside is alluring and he was better at a lot of his "weaknesses" than I thought he would be from just reading the consensus regurgitated opinion.

 
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Mike Evans, another big WR, scored 7.08 and 4.26 on the 3 cone and shuttle, DK's times aren't too far off from this.   With DK outperforming Evans in all other categories, this will be interesting to see how it plays out for DK's NFL career.  

 
Mike Evans, another big WR, scored 7.08 and 4.26 on the 3 cone and shuttle, DK's times aren't too far off from this.   With DK outperforming Evans in all other categories, this will be interesting to see how it plays out for DK's NFL career.  
DK and Evans as far from comparable as could be to me. Interesting take because when I was thinking about players that DK compares too I thought of Evans as the exact opposite type athlete. Evans is a former basketball player that is very fluid. 

 
Just one test, but food for thought. Metcalf would have to be an anomaly to buck the trend... 
This seems pretty meaningless when there 100s of other factors that will determine the success or non-success of a WR. Narrowing it down to just one of those factors seems arbitrary.

 
DK and Evans as far from comparable as could be to me. Interesting take because when I was thinking about players that DK compares too I thought of Evans as the exact opposite type athlete. Evans is a former basketball player that is very fluid. 
In what way is Metcalf not fluid?  He looked very fluid in the gauntlet/route drills at the combine to me.

 
I can't fault anybody for liking the size and straight line speed of DK but with the lack of short area quickness and average to slightly above average ball skills he looks like a one trick pony to me. With an injury history. Could he be an elite deep threat? Sure but I see too many red flags to take him 1.01 myself. 

 
Apparently Boldin and Steve Smith are the only 2 WRs to post scores as bad as Metcalf in the 3 cone and went on to be successful. 

Just one test, but food for thought. Metcalf would have to be an anomaly to buck the trend... although his other scores would certainly indicate that to be the case. I'm surprised he participated if he was going to be so bad at it. 


Player X

HT: 6'4" WT: 215LBS

POSITION: WR

ARM LENGTH: 33 3/8"

HANDS: 9 3/8”

Final year stats

28 catches 820 yds 5 TDs

40 YARD DASH: 4.36 SEC

BENCH PRESS: 14 REPS

VERTICAL JUMP: 39.5 INCH

BROAD JUMP: 133.0 INCH

3 CONE DRILL: 6.88 SEC

20 YARD SHUTTLE: 4.48 SEC

60 YARD SHUTTLE: 11.43 SEC

DK Metcalf

HT: 6' 3" WT:  228 lbs

POSITION: WR

Arm length: 34 7/8”

Hands: 9 7/8”

Final year stats

26 catches 569 yds 5 TDs

40 YARD DASH: 4.33 SEC

BENCH PRESS: 27 REPS

VERTICAL JUMP: 40.5 INCH

BROAD JUMP: 134.0 INCH

3 CONE DRILL: 7.38 SEC

20 YARD SHUTTLE: 4.5 SEC

 
In what way is Metcalf not fluid?  He looked very fluid in the gauntlet/route drills at the combine to me.
I don't see fluid. I didn't see a WR easy catching the ball. I saw him fighting it a bit. He has big hands so it might just look awkward. 

If you see fluid and you are confident he can run the route tree at some point you need to do whatever you can to get the 1.01 and take him. 

 
I can't fault anybody for liking the size and straight line speed of DK but with the lack of short area quickness and average to slightly above average ball skills he looks like a one trick pony to me. With an injury history. Could he be an elite deep threat? Sure but I see too many red flags to take him 1.01 myself. 
I think the main issue is that there isn’t a clear cut 1.01 player in this draft. Metcalf has many traits that makes him tempting at 1.01. I don’t own the 1.01 in any leagues but if he was drafted by the right team I’d have to consider him there. I also like a few other WRs as well so they would get consideration as well.

I’m not really in love with any of the RBs, but I guess there’s a few situations that could push one of them into 1.01 consideration as well - but right now I’d list 3-4 WRs I’d take before even considering a RB.

 
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This seems pretty meaningless when there 100s of other factors that will determine the success or non-success of a WR. Narrowing it down to just one of those factors seems arbitrary.
No, but when you pair a side to side test with the criticism that he can only go deep, it makes you wonder 

 
I think the main issue is that there isn’t a clear cut 1.01 player in this draft. Metcalf has many traits that makes him tempting at 1.01. I don’t own the 1.01 in any leagues but if he was drafted by the right team I’d have to consider him there. I also like a few other WRs as well so they would get consideration as well.

I’m not really in love with any of the RBs, but I guess there’s a few situations that could push one of them into 1.01 consideration as well - but right now I’d list 3-4 WRs I’d take before even considering a RB.
Well put Boykins up there. 

6'4 

220

4.42

12 reps

43.5 vert

140 broad

6.77 three cone

4.07 shuttle

He had 35% of ND rec TDs

He had 26% of ND rec yards 

14.8 ypc

 
Yeah Metcalf now goes top 3 in probably every draft I would imagine. I’m thinking Metcalf, Harry, Jacobs in some order for most. 

 
Yeah Metcalf now goes top 3 in probably every draft I would imagine. I’m thinking Metcalf, Harry, Jacobs in some order for most. 
Sounds about right. "Situation" will heavily influence the top end of round 1 rookie drafts, but I don't expect any of these 3 will fall to 1.05. I've got a nice consolation prize headed my way (in premium TE league).

 
Yeah Metcalf now goes top 3 in probably every draft I would imagine. I’m thinking Metcalf, Harry, Jacobs in some order for most. 
Very possible WR goes 1-2-3 throwing in Butler.

Running backs are greatly influenced by whatever team selects them. Any of a few running backs might be the most valuable come May.

 
Very possible WR goes 1-2-3 throwing in Butler.

Running backs are greatly influenced by whatever team selects them. Any of a few running backs might be the most valuable come May.
I could see Butler depending on landing spot getting there

 
And if Montgomery or Henderson land in the perfect spot (Indy, KC, TB, Philly) I could see them jumping up too. 

 
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