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David Dodds

2014 Subscriber Contest is LIVE

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This one might be the hardest one yet. Very similar to last year's contest in terms of pricing the bye weeks differently

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And boom goes the dynamite

Edit: Already set mine for the first time today. Will probably update 4 more times today. And then repeat that every day for the next month.

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First time through, $8 left and only one bye week issue at K. Spent the $8, swapped out a K and calling it a day. Seemed much more forgiving to me than past years.

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You forgot to add Josh Gordon for $2.

by design. If he does play 1/2 the season, I don't want a contest where everyone has him

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Welps, there goes my work productivity for the day, week, month

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You forgot to add Josh Gordon for $2.

by design. If he does play 1/2 the season, I don't want a contest where everyone has him

Best option may have been to include him at full price, just in case there's no suspension. But no complaints!

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:clap:

First try - 22 players, no real bye week issues if I survive week 4.

virtually no chance this is my final roster, but I'll keep it for now.

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:clap:

First try - 22 players, no real bye week issues if I survive week 4.

virtually no chance this is my final roster, but I'll keep it for now.

First try - 33 players, $351 spent. No real bye week issues. Should be gtg. Championshi.... hey.. what's that red text say?

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First time through, $8 left and only one bye week issue at K. Spent the $8, swapped out a K and calling it a day. Seemed much more forgiving to me than past years.

You're just getting better...

J

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You forgot to add Josh Gordon for $2.

As David said, there are always players like that we leave off. It's no fun when 80% of the rosters include a player that skyrockted in value in mid August.

But I've always thought it would be fun to add some type of twist where you got bonus points or something the earlier you locked in your roster. I doubt we'd ever do it as David and Doug might kill me but that always has felt like a fun twist to me.

J

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Is there a Fanduel overlay again this year?

NO - per a Dodds reply in the other thread.

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You forgot to add Josh Gordon for $2.

As David said, there are always players like that we leave off. It's no fun when 80% of the rosters include a player that skyrockted in value in mid August.

But I've always thought it would be fun to add some type of twist where you got bonus points or something the earlier you locked in your roster. I doubt we'd ever do it as David and Doug might kill me but that always has felt like a fun twist to me.

J

Yeah a guy like Gordon is a binary 1/0 play. Really you could only charge full price for him or not include him at all like you guys did.

And of course there still will inevitably be arbitrage possibilities anyway with training camp injuries and the like.

-QG

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The David Wilson news today is a reminder of how quickly things can change in the offseason. If this went live tomorrow they'd remove as an option to enter.

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You forgot to add Josh Gordon for $2.

As David said, there are always players like that we leave off. It's no fun when 80% of the rosters include a player that skyrockted in value in mid August.

But I've always thought it would be fun to add some type of twist where you got bonus points or something the earlier you locked in your roster. I doubt we'd ever do it as David and Doug might kill me but that always has felt like a fun twist to me.

J

This would be incredible if it could be figured out, but would likely be a nightmare to implement.

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You forgot to add Josh Gordon for $2.

As David said, there are always players like that we leave off. It's no fun when 80% of the rosters include a player that skyrockted in value in mid August.

But I've always thought it would be fun to add some type of twist where you got bonus points or something the earlier you locked in your roster. I doubt we'd ever do it as David and Doug might kill me but that always has felt like a fun twist to me.

J

This would be incredible if it could be figured out, but would likely be a nightmare to implement.

You'd be crazy to submit your entry early. Things change so much every day. You lose guys due to injuries and other players become relevant due to other peoples injuries. People would be getting so mad that they already have no shot at winning even though the season hasn't started. It would not be pretty.

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No chance this is my final team, too much will happen in August, but this is what I came up with today:

QB - Tony Romo - DAL/11 - $14
QB - Jay Cutler - CHI/9 - $12
RB - C.J. Spiller - BUF/9 - $23
RB - Alfred Morris - WAS/10 - $20
RB - Ray Rice - BAL/11 - $18
RB - Pierre Thomas - NO/6 - $17
RB - Lache Seastrunk - WAS/10 - $2
RB - BenJarvus Green-Ellis - CIN/4 - $2
WR - Dez Bryant - DAL/11 - $27
WR - Cordarrelle Patterson - MIN/10 - $18
WR - Aaron Dobson - NE/10 - $7
WR - Rod Streater - OAK/5 - $7
WR - Robert Woods - BUF/9 - $7
WR - Nate Washington - TEN/9 - $4
WR - Jerricho Cotchery - CAR/12 - $4
WR - Andre Roberts - WAS/10 - $3
WR - Jerrel Jernigan - NYG/8 - $3
TE - Jordan Reed - WAS/10 - $18
TE - Eric Ebron - DET/9 - $10
TE - Dwayne Allen - IND/10 - $8
TE - Zach Miller - SEA/4 - $5
PK - Kai Forbath - WAS/10 - $3
PK - Alex Henery - PHI/7 - $3
PK - Greg Zuerlein - STL/4 - $3
TD - Indianapolis Colts - IND/10 - $3
TD - Pittsburgh Steelers - PIT/12 - $3
TD - New York Jets - NYJ/11 - $3
TD - Tennessee Titans - TEN/9 - $3

Total value: 250

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Gonna try and not look at or do anything with the contest at all until 1 week is left. Don't think it's possible though.

At least do a quick preliminary one now so you don't forget :)

-QG

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Gonna try and not look at or do anything with the contest at all until 1 week is left. Don't think it's possible though.

At least do a quick preliminary one now so you don't forget :)

-QG

Translation: "Just try it. One hit won't hurt you."

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So no one else is posting rosters that they'll undoubtedly change between now and then?

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This is going to change so much, I'll join ya hulk.....

QB - Tony Romo - DAL/11 - $14
QB - Jay Cutler - CHI/9 - $12
RB - LeSean McCoy - PHI/7 - $34
RB - Arian Foster - HOU/10 - $26
RB - Ray Rice - BAL/11 - $18
RB - Ahmad Bradshaw - IND/10 - $9
RB - BenJarvus Green-Ellis - CIN/4 - $2
WR - Dez Bryant - DAL/11 - $27
WR - Roddy White - ATL/9 - $19
WR - Reggie Wayne - IND/10 - $14
WR - Brandin Cooks - NO/6 - $14
WR - Cody Latimer - DEN/4 - $6
WR - Jerricho Cotchery - CAR/12 - $4
TE - Rob Gronkowski - NE/10 - $26
TE - Jermaine Gresham - CIN/4 - $6
PK - Mike Nugent - CIN/4 - $3
PK - Sebastian Janikowski - OAK/5 - $3
PK - Greg Zuerlein - STL/4 - $3
TD - Houston Texans - HOU/10 - $4
TD - Detroit Lions - DET/9 - $3
TD - Pittsburgh Steelers - PIT/12 - $3

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I just went through the 2013 subscriber contest thread and could not find the winning entry....just curious on what the team looked like. Does anyone have this handy to post?

Thanks

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This is going to change so much, I'll join ya hulk.....

QB - Tony Romo - DAL/11 - $14

QB - Jay Cutler - CHI/9 - $12

RB - LeSean McCoy - PHI/7 - $34

RB - Arian Foster - HOU/10 - $26

RB - Ray Rice - BAL/11 - $18

RB - Ahmad Bradshaw - IND/10 - $9

RB - BenJarvus Green-Ellis - CIN/4 - $2

WR - Dez Bryant - DAL/11 - $27

WR - Roddy White - ATL/9 - $19

WR - Reggie Wayne - IND/10 - $14

WR - Brandin Cooks - NO/6 - $14

WR - Cody Latimer - DEN/4 - $6

WR - Jerricho Cotchery - CAR/12 - $4

TE - Rob Gronkowski - NE/10 - $26

TE - Jermaine Gresham - CIN/4 - $6

PK - Mike Nugent - CIN/4 - $3

PK - Sebastian Janikowski - OAK/5 - $3

PK - Greg Zuerlein - STL/4 - $3

TD - Houston Texans - HOU/10 - $4

TD - Detroit Lions - DET/9 - $3

TD - Pittsburgh Steelers - PIT/12 - $3

We have a fair amount in common.

I think if you're not going with 1 stud QB, the Cutler/Romo pairing is very cost effective. Ray Rice in that new offense and only missing 2 games is tantalizing at that price... but he could easily bust again... not sure if I'm going to stick with him or not. Lawfirm isn't dead yet and a value at $2, I expect he'll be one of the most rostered dudes. Dez is set to explode this year imo, I bet he is a popular choice for a stud WR. Cotchery... well someone has to catch the ball down there, and he's a decent bet at $4. Legatron is a must have for me, cause he's legatron. Steelers seem like a value for a $3 defense.

I'm sure by the close of August I'll feel very different about a lot of this, but I'm not suprised we have some much overlap at the moment.

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first crack:

QB - Aaron Rodgers - GB/9 - $25
QB - Colin Kaepernick - SF/8 - $14
QB - Jake Locker - TEN/9 - $7
QB - Geno Smith - NYJ/11 - $7
QB - EJ Manuel - BUF/9 - $7
QB - Teddy Bridgewater - MIN/10 - $6
QB - Blake Bortles - JAX/11 - $3
RB - Eddie Lacy - GB/9 - $28
RB - Andre Ellington - ARI/4 - $25
RB - Toby Gerhart - JAX/11 - $21
RB - Chris Johnson - NYJ/11 - $20
RB - Bishop Sankey - TEN/9 - $19
RB - Andre Williams - NYG/8 - $7
RB - Jonathan Stewart - CAR/12 - $5
WR - Greg Jennings - MIN/10 - $9
WR - Justin Hunter - TEN/9 - $9
WR - Malcom Floyd - SD/10 - $4
WR - Jeremy Kerley - NYJ/11 - $3
WR - Paul Richardson - SEA/4 - $3
WR - David Nelson - NYJ/11 - $3
TE - Jeff Cumberland - NYJ/11 - $2
PK - Sebastian Janikowski - OAK/5 - $3
PK - Graham Gano - CAR/12 - $3
PK - Blair Walsh - MIN/10 - $3
PK - Nick Folk - NYJ/11 - $3
PK - Greg Zuerlein - STL/4 - $3
TD - Carolina Panthers - CAR/12 - $4
TD - New York Jets - NYJ/11 - $3

Total value: 249

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first crack:

QB - Aaron Rodgers - GB/9 - $25

QB - Colin Kaepernick - SF/8 - $14

QB - Jake Locker - TEN/9 - $7

QB - Geno Smith - NYJ/11 - $7

QB - EJ Manuel - BUF/9 - $7

QB - Teddy Bridgewater - MIN/10 - $6

QB - Blake Bortles - JAX/11 - $3

RB - Eddie Lacy - GB/9 - $28

RB - Andre Ellington - ARI/4 - $25

RB - Toby Gerhart - JAX/11 - $21

RB - Chris Johnson - NYJ/11 - $20

RB - Bishop Sankey - TEN/9 - $19

RB - Andre Williams - NYG/8 - $7

RB - Jonathan Stewart - CAR/12 - $5

WR - Greg Jennings - MIN/10 - $9

WR - Justin Hunter - TEN/9 - $9

WR - Malcom Floyd - SD/10 - $4

WR - Jeremy Kerley - NYJ/11 - $3

WR - Paul Richardson - SEA/4 - $3

WR - David Nelson - NYJ/11 - $3

TE - Jeff Cumberland - NYJ/11 - $2

PK - Sebastian Janikowski - OAK/5 - $3

PK - Graham Gano - CAR/12 - $3

PK - Blair Walsh - MIN/10 - $3

PK - Nick Folk - NYJ/11 - $3

PK - Greg Zuerlein - STL/4 - $3

TD - Carolina Panthers - CAR/12 - $4

TD - New York Jets - NYJ/11 - $3

Total value: 249

If I were you, I'd move some $ from QBs to WR and especially TE. At least 1 TE gets scored every week, and remember they get 1.5 points per reception. You'll never have more than 1 QB scored any week, so there is probably some dead money there in this setup.

ETA: You're obviously a Jets fan... tell me more about Cumberland, you expecting big things?

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First pass, probably too many low priced players and ignored bye weeks on my first pass - so this will change drastically unless I forget about it.

QB - Jay Cutler - CHI/9 - $12
QB - Ben Roethlisberger - PIT/12 - $10
RB - Jamaal Charles - KC/6 - $36
RB - Bishop Sankey - TEN/9 - $19
RB - Andre Williams - NYG/8 - $7
RB - James White - NE/10 - $4
RB - Jerick McKinnon - MIN/10 - $3
RB - Robert Turbin - SEA/4 - $2
WR - Calvin Johnson - DET/9 - $31
WR - Dez Bryant - DAL/11 - $27
WR - Antonio Brown - PIT/12 - $22
WR - Kelvin Benjamin - CAR/12 - $5
WR - Brian Quick - STL/4 - $4
WR - Davante Adams - GB/9 - $4
WR - Odell Beckham Jr - NYG/8 - $4
WR - Charles Johnson - CLE/4 - $4
WR - Cole Beasley - DAL/11 - $2
TE - Kyle Rudolph - MIN/10 - $15
TE - Martellus Bennett - CHI/9 - $14
TE - Brandon Bostick - GB/9 - $4
TE - Mychal Rivera - OAK/5 - $3
PK - Kai Forbath - WAS/10 - $3
PK - Sebastian Janikowski - OAK/5 - $3
PK - Greg Zuerlein - STL/4 - $3
TD - Jacksonville Jaguars - JAX/11 - $3
TD - New York Jets - NYJ/11 - $3
TD - Tennessee Titans - TEN/9 - $3

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first crack:

QB - Aaron Rodgers - GB/9 - $25

QB - Colin Kaepernick - SF/8 - $14

QB - Jake Locker - TEN/9 - $7

QB - Geno Smith - NYJ/11 - $7

QB - EJ Manuel - BUF/9 - $7

QB - Teddy Bridgewater - MIN/10 - $6

QB - Blake Bortles - JAX/11 - $3

RB - Eddie Lacy - GB/9 - $28

RB - Andre Ellington - ARI/4 - $25

RB - Toby Gerhart - JAX/11 - $21

RB - Chris Johnson - NYJ/11 - $20

RB - Bishop Sankey - TEN/9 - $19

RB - Andre Williams - NYG/8 - $7

RB - Jonathan Stewart - CAR/12 - $5

WR - Greg Jennings - MIN/10 - $9

WR - Justin Hunter - TEN/9 - $9

WR - Malcom Floyd - SD/10 - $4

WR - Jeremy Kerley - NYJ/11 - $3

WR - Paul Richardson - SEA/4 - $3

WR - David Nelson - NYJ/11 - $3

TE - Jeff Cumberland - NYJ/11 - $2

PK - Sebastian Janikowski - OAK/5 - $3

PK - Graham Gano - CAR/12 - $3

PK - Blair Walsh - MIN/10 - $3

PK - Nick Folk - NYJ/11 - $3

PK - Greg Zuerlein - STL/4 - $3

TD - Carolina Panthers - CAR/12 - $4

TD - New York Jets - NYJ/11 - $3

Total value: 249

If I were you, I'd move some $ from QBs to WR and especially TE. At least 1 TE gets scored every week, and remember they get 1.5 points per reception. You'll never have more than 1 QB scored any week, so there is probably some dead money there in this setup.

ETA: You're obviously a Jets fan... tell me more about Cumberland, you expecting big things?

thanks for the tip on the te, I didn't pay much attention to the extra ppr bump

i've been playing the contest for a few years now, i guess I should read the rules ;)

from what I have read amaro has had a slow camp with just learning the pro game as a rookie,

cumberland is steady for $2 hes a bargain, knows the offense, is a vet who should be productive

I am totally biased but the jets D is a bargain, the unit is really good...

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I think there is a lot of value at TE this year. I really want Gronk, but it may limit my opportunity to take advantage of it. I don't think I can afford to go Gronk, Rudolph, Rivera or anything like that even with 1.5ppr and flex.

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I'm probably switching out Pitts already. I know week12 isn't much of a bye week issue, but I can't see any defense worth choosing a late bye. I usually need the points badly in weeks 10-12 if I get there.

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I've changed my team like 5 times since posting it yesterday.

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QB - Jay Cutler - CHI/9 - $12
QB - Ryan Tannehill - MIA/5 - $10
QB - Jake Locker - TEN/9 - $7
RB - Andre Ellington - ARI/4 - $25
RB - Bishop Sankey - TEN/9 - $19
RB - Devonta Freeman - ATL/9 - $11
RB - Andre Williams - NYG/8 - $7
RB - Denard Robinson - JAX/11 - $3
RB - Lache Seastrunk - WAS/10 - $2
WR - Larry Fitzgerald - ARI/4 - $20
WR - Mike Wallace - MIA/5 - $19
WR - Cordarrelle Patterson - MIN/10 - $18
WR - Emmanuel Sanders - DEN/4 - $18
WR - Robert Woods - BUF/9 - $7
WR - Markus Wheaton - PIT/12 - $5
WR - John Brown - ARI/4 - $3
WR - Stedman Bailey - STL/4 - $2
TE - Rob Gronkowski - NE/10 - $26
TE - Dennis Pitta - BAL/11 - $16
TE - Jace Amaro - NYJ/11 - $3
PK - Alex Henery - PHI/7 - $3
PK - Blair Walsh - MIN/10 - $3
PK - Greg Zuerlein - STL/4 - $3
TD - Houston Texans - HOU/10 - $4
TD - Carolina Panthers - CAR/12 - $4

Week 9 might hurt.

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Historically, guys don't post entire roosters. Generally just allocations by positions. We are competing with eachother, so why tip your hand even with early submissions?

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Historically, guys don't post entire roosters. Generally just allocations by positions. We are competing with eachother, so why tip your hand even with early submissions?

I will give you my rationale:

1) My final rooster will look much different, it is a grower not a shower.

2) Small % of contest participants even look at this thread let alone actively read it.

3) I am interested in some fliers that others are noticing, only works if enough people are willing to share some information. Effectively think the wisdom of the crowd is probably better than my initial takes.

4) I've had enough historical success in this contest ;)

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Historically, guys don't post entire roosters. Generally just allocations by positions. We are competing with eachother, so why tip your hand even with early submissions?

I will give you my rationale:

1) My final rooster will look much different, it is a grower not a shower.

2) Small % of contest participants even look at this thread let alone actively read it.

3) I am interested in some fliers that others are noticing, only works if enough people are willing to share some information. Effectively think the wisdom of the crowd is probably better than my initial takes.

4) I've had enough historical success in this contest ;)

I got ya.

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Wow no Gordon lottery ticket? He might play half the season. They can't suspend him for 16 games for smoking weed and give Ray Rice 2 games for knocking his girlfriend out. That's f**ked.

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A couple of comments.

- Cam Newton will be heavily rostered.

- Jonathan Stewart is a $1 more than David Wilson. That sounds about right.

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Wow no Gordon lottery ticket? He might play half the season. They can't suspend him for 16 games for smoking weed and give Ray Rice 2 games for knocking his girlfriend out. That's f**ked.

This has less to do with the actual infractions/punishments and more to do with the uncertainty. If they included him at a lower price that reflected his risk of suspension and he didn't get suspended - then everyone would have him. If he did get suspended 16 games, then no one (virtually no one?) would have him. It just isn't interesting if it is a binary outcome like that.

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Historically, guys don't post entire roosters. Generally just allocations by positions. We are competing with eachother, so why tip your hand even with early submissions?

I will give you my rationale:

1) My final rooster will look much different, it is a grower not a shower.

2) Small % of contest participants even look at this thread let alone actively read it.

3) I am interested in some fliers that others are noticing, only works if enough people are willing to share some information. Effectively think the wisdom of the crowd is probably better than my initial takes.

4) I've had enough historical success in this contest ;)

Same. Except for 4. I've never finished in the money and have no reason to think it's likely this year. Feel free to copy what I posted, I've already changed it 7 times since then.

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