Can you let @rustycolts borrow him just for tonight?Forgot I had Herbert.
Can you let @rustycolts borrow him just for tonight?Forgot I had Herbert.
Oops! Sorry I missed the fact that you already had a 12.80 kicker score.Yea wish that were true. Zuerlein got me 12.80. So I need about 12 more points out of him. Not to much to ask is it?Re: Rustycolts…I'm likely toast. Andrews let me down 5 or 6 points from him and I think I would have been golden..Waller MIA for 2 weeks in a row didn't help. Mills did his job though. I kind of figured week 7 was going to be the week and I was right. Good luck to the rest of you guys hope the winner is someone from this thread.The cut moved 11 points likely due to:
- Pickens 18.1 points were given to 37.43% of the teams
- Pickett (492 - 17.85) and Tua (287 - 20.55) were only owned by 25 together, so a max of 754/4582 teams (16.5%) could've been replacing a zero, and those replacing 0's were likely under the cut
- Mostert's 18.9 points made an impact, considering he was on nearly 1 out of every 10 teams, and logic says a larger % would've been under the line
- Freiermuth's 19.5 was likely used by over 5% of the teams below the line
- Hill & Waddle both hit double digits. Neither were all that common, but 370 teams total had one or the other (8%)
The $64 question is what will the cut line do tonight ?? I believe there are three teams above the cut line by less than 10 points.
I see 3 teams 4.75, 6.90, and 9.70 above the cut line:
RustyColts +4.75 with Santos left,
Joey +6.90
NittanyLion +9.70
Hopefully all three teams can squeak by and go on to week 8.
I had Pickens last night and his 18.10 replaced a 10.80 WR score, and that 10.80 score then replaced a 7.70 flex. So my net gain from Pickens 18.10 points was +10.40.
I still have Stevenson (-9.20) left tonight, but I'm already safe by a decent margin.
That 42 yard Santos FG was for you.
Just got yourself a little more wiggle room vs the Turk!
Definitely pulling for nothing but field goals from the bears from here on out.Oops! Sorry I missed the fact that you already had a 12.80 kicker score.Yea wish that were true. Zuerlein got me 12.80. So I need about 12 more points out of him. Not to much to ask is it?Re: Rustycolts…I'm likely toast. Andrews let me down 5 or 6 points from him and I think I would have been golden..Waller MIA for 2 weeks in a row didn't help. Mills did his job though. I kind of figured week 7 was going to be the week and I was right. Good luck to the rest of you guys hope the winner is someone from this thread.The cut moved 11 points likely due to:
- Pickens 18.1 points were given to 37.43% of the teams
- Pickett (492 - 17.85) and Tua (287 - 20.55) were only owned by 25 together, so a max of 754/4582 teams (16.5%) could've been replacing a zero, and those replacing 0's were likely under the cut
- Mostert's 18.9 points made an impact, considering he was on nearly 1 out of every 10 teams, and logic says a larger % would've been under the line
- Freiermuth's 19.5 was likely used by over 5% of the teams below the line
- Hill & Waddle both hit double digits. Neither were all that common, but 370 teams total had one or the other (8%)
The $64 question is what will the cut line do tonight ?? I believe there are three teams above the cut line by less than 10 points.
I see 3 teams 4.75, 6.90, and 9.70 above the cut line:
RustyColts +4.75 with Santos left,
Joey +6.90
NittanyLion +9.70
Hopefully all three teams can squeak by and go on to week 8.
I had Pickens last night and his 18.10 replaced a 10.80 WR score, and that 10.80 score then replaced a 7.70 flex. So my net gain from Pickens 18.10 points was +10.40.
I still have Stevenson (-9.20) left tonight, but I'm already safe by a decent margin.
That 42 yard Santos FG was for you.
Just got yourself a little more wiggle room vs the Turk!
Santos has 9.20 at the half, so if he gets a couple more decent length FGs, maybe still some hope for you to advance. You were 4.75 over the line, so maybe another 3 or 4 points above Zuerlein’s 12.80 might be enough. That would mean about 16 or so from Santos tonight.
I’m rooting for you.
I'll drink to that!Leavin' the typo as it fits :
Hope things slow down for those sweating The Turk!
-QG
Definitely pulling for nothing but field goals from the bears from here on out.Oops! Sorry I missed the fact that you already had a 12.80 kicker score.Yea wish that were true. Zuerlein got me 12.80. So I need about 12 more points out of him. Not to much to ask is it?Re: Rustycolts…I'm likely toast. Andrews let me down 5 or 6 points from him and I think I would have been golden..Waller MIA for 2 weeks in a row didn't help. Mills did his job though. I kind of figured week 7 was going to be the week and I was right. Good luck to the rest of you guys hope the winner is someone from this thread.The cut moved 11 points likely due to:
- Pickens 18.1 points were given to 37.43% of the teams
- Pickett (492 - 17.85) and Tua (287 - 20.55) were only owned by 25 together, so a max of 754/4582 teams (16.5%) could've been replacing a zero, and those replacing 0's were likely under the cut
- Mostert's 18.9 points made an impact, considering he was on nearly 1 out of every 10 teams, and logic says a larger % would've been under the line
- Freiermuth's 19.5 was likely used by over 5% of the teams below the line
- Hill & Waddle both hit double digits. Neither were all that common, but 370 teams total had one or the other (8%)
The $64 question is what will the cut line do tonight ?? I believe there are three teams above the cut line by less than 10 points.
I see 3 teams 4.75, 6.90, and 9.70 above the cut line:
RustyColts +4.75 with Santos left,
Joey +6.90
NittanyLion +9.70
Hopefully all three teams can squeak by and go on to week 8.
I had Pickens last night and his 18.10 replaced a 10.80 WR score, and that 10.80 score then replaced a 7.70 flex. So my net gain from Pickens 18.10 points was +10.40.
I still have Stevenson (-9.20) left tonight, but I'm already safe by a decent margin.
That 42 yard Santos FG was for you.
Just got yourself a little more wiggle room vs the Turk!
Santos has 9.20 at the half, so if he gets a couple more decent length FGs, maybe still some hope for you to advance. You were 4.75 over the line, so maybe another 3 or 4 points above Zuerlein’s 12.80 might be enough. That would mean about 16 or so from Santos tonight.
I’m rooting for you.
Oops! Sorry I missed the fact that you already had a 12.80 kicker score.Yea wish that were true. Zuerlein got me 12.80. So I need about 12 more points out of him. Not to much to ask is it?NowRe: Rustycolts…I'm likely toast. Andrews let me down 5 or 6 points from him and I think I would have been golden..Waller MIA for 2 weeks in a row didn't help. Mills did his job though. I kind of figured week 7 was going to be the week and I was right. Good luck to the rest of you guys hope the winner is someone from this thread.The cut moved 11 points likely due to:
- Pickens 18.1 points were given to 37.43% of the teams
- Pickett (492 - 17.85) and Tua (287 - 20.55) were only owned by 25 together, so a max of 754/4582 teams (16.5%) could've been replacing a zero, and those replacing 0's were likely under the cut
- Mostert's 18.9 points made an impact, considering he was on nearly 1 out of every 10 teams, and logic says a larger % would've been under the line
- Freiermuth's 19.5 was likely used by over 5% of the teams below the line
- Hill & Waddle both hit double digits. Neither were all that common, but 370 teams total had one or the other (8%)
The $64 question is what will the cut line do tonight ?? I believe there are three teams above the cut line by less than 10 points.
I see 3 teams 4.75, 6.90, and 9.70 above the cut line:
RustyColts +4.75 with Santos left,
Joey +6.90
NittanyLion +9.70
Hopefully all three teams can squeak by and go on to week 8.
I had Pickens last night and his 18.10 replaced a 10.80 WR score, and that 10.80 score then replaced a 7.70 flex. So my net gain from Pickens 18.10 points was +10.40.
I still have Stevenson (-9.20) left tonight, but I'm already safe by a decent margin.
That 42 yard Santos FG was for you.
Just got yourself a little more wiggle room vs the Turk!
Santos has 9.20 at the half, so if he gets a couple more decent length FGs, maybe still some hope for you to advance. You were 4.75 over the line, so maybe another 3 or 4 points above Zuerlein’s 12.80 might be enough. That would mean about 16 or so from Santos tonight.
I’m rooting for you.
Win or lose this is why I love this contest. I am seriously going to need a giant fatty after this.
Yeah Baby!5 points for Rusty. That should do it.
Yea got him at 19.9. That needs to stop.Stevenson garbage time yardage sucks!
I've rostered everything from 19 to 29. Sure, I think there are basic rules to follow for team makeup, but as long as you stay within reason, you just need to get lucky. For the smallest rosters, they typically have to avoid the injury bug, because most of the players will be scoring well. For the largest rosters, they have to hit on some cheap guys, but can withstand injury alot easier. Tell you what though, if I did make the final 250, I would rather have a small roster.In past years, I've typically went with small and powerful rosters (18-19 players) and have never made it far. This year I went with 25 players and assuming I make it to week 8 (almost a lock), it will be my best year despite a team that doesn't look very impressive. As has been written about numerous times in this thread and I'm finally coming around to agreeing with, large rosters are the way to go. With NFL teams now managing the concussion problem better, you just have to assume you're going to have a bunch of land mines every week and those middle dollar ($5-$14) players are key to survival.
I've rostered everything from 19 to 29. Sure, I think there are basic rules to follow for team makeup, but as long as you stay within reason, you just need to get lucky. For the smallest rosters, they typically have to avoid the injury bug, because most of the players will be scoring well. For the largest rosters, they have to hit on some cheap guys, but can withstand injury alot easier. Tell you what though, if I did make the final 250, I would rather have a small roster.In past years, I've typically went with small and powerful rosters (18-19 players) and have never made it far. This year I went with 25 players and assuming I make it to week 8 (almost a lock), it will be my best year despite a team that doesn't look very impressive. As has been written about numerous times in this thread and I'm finally coming around to agreeing with, large rosters are the way to go. With NFL teams now managing the concussion problem better, you just have to assume you're going to have a bunch of land mines every week and those middle dollar ($5-$14) players are key to survival.
yes agreed. this is the trade off. large rosters have a better chance of getting to the playoffs (higher floor). smaller rosters have a better chance of winning it all if they get to the playoffs (higher ceiling).
almost all the regular posters itt design their rosters suboptimally, at least in terms of championship equity. i think we all value surviving as long as possible more than we should. but thats beause we value talking about the contest as long as possible. its like a community.
you see this in poker tournaments. some players are just trying to survive to make the money and/or last until the next pay jump. the players who are maximizing their chance of winning are being aggressive and making riskier plays (that sometimes even go as far as to look really dumb) for the sake of winning it all.
| Total teams with these players | 314 | ||
| Still Alive | 86 | 27.39 | 37.40 |
| Eliminated in week 1 | 21 | 93.31 | 90.03 |
| Eliminated in week 2 | 42 | 85.67 | 90.00 |
| Eliminated in week 3 | 52 | 79.28 | 90.07 |
| Eliminated in week 4 | 64 | 67.84 | 80.02 |
| Eliminated in week 5 | 27 | 80.00 | 80.06 |
| Eliminated in week 6 | 22 | 79.63 | 80.00 |
Go for the glory, you coward!I've rostered everything from 19 to 29. Sure, I think there are basic rules to follow for team makeup, but as long as you stay within reason, you just need to get lucky. For the smallest rosters, they typically have to avoid the injury bug, because most of the players will be scoring well. For the largest rosters, they have to hit on some cheap guys, but can withstand injury alot easier. Tell you what though, if I did make the final 250, I would rather have a small roster.In past years, I've typically went with small and powerful rosters (18-19 players) and have never made it far. This year I went with 25 players and assuming I make it to week 8 (almost a lock), it will be my best year despite a team that doesn't look very impressive. As has been written about numerous times in this thread and I'm finally coming around to agreeing with, large rosters are the way to go. With NFL teams now managing the concussion problem better, you just have to assume you're going to have a bunch of land mines every week and those middle dollar ($5-$14) players are key to survival.
yes agreed. this is the trade off. large rosters have a better chance of getting to the playoffs (higher floor). smaller rosters have a better chance of winning it all if they get to the playoffs (higher ceiling).
almost all the regular posters itt design their rosters suboptimally, at least in terms of championship equity. i think we all value surviving as long as possible more than we should. but thats beause we value talking about the contest as long as possible. its like a community.
you see this in poker tournaments. some players are just trying to survive to make the money and/or last until the next pay jump. the players who are maximizing their chance of winning are being aggressive and making riskier plays (that sometimes even go as far as to look really dumb) for the sake of winning it all.
Except when you offers a prize greater than anything 7th place or lower then playing safe is the EV move.

Except when you offers a prize greater than anything 7th place or lower then playing safe is the EV move.
Except when you offers a prize greater than anything 7th place or lower then playing safe is the EV move.
wait, what exactly are you arguing here? theyre offering like a $100 side prize or something? and that makes it more profitable than trying to grab the 10k first place prize? i would think that almost has to be wrong, but i dont know the details and havent done the math or anything. can you fill me in?
Whew made it by 2.50. Thanks everyone for the positive vibes I needed every bit of it. Thank you Santos.120 is the cut.
Yea I think I used up all my luck for the year.@rustycolts I couldn't find your team but I assume you survived by a point.
120 is the cut.
Kinda shocked I’m on that list TBHAverage Weekly Scores - Through 7 weeks :
179.81 apalmer
177.89 The Stray Doug
174.23 DaCommish
172.78 QuizGuy66
172.36 Scottybo
171.79 Sooted72
167.84 Puppies (Me)
167.00 Saint
166.78 Fear the bald
166.39 davidwb
166.37 Irelad
166.15 TheWinz
164.38 Ackme
164.05 FormerFourDigit
163.79 Mister CIA Fan
161.33 RustyColts
160.70 ZWK
159.37 BassNBrew
158.67 dbc925
158.39 Hot Sauce Guy
156.45 rzrback77
156.05 BroncosFan07
155.97 cstruck
155.54 ChurchOfIggyPop
154.42 Rock Action
152.45 Joey
152.43 Stubby
150.62 Twin Turbo
148.04 NittanyLion
* Cut line this week was 120.00, up 8.45 points on Monday night.
* Congratulations to Scottybo, for posting the 3rd highest overall score this week @ 220.05, beating the cut line by 100.05 points!
* Congratulations to the two "nail biters" of the week, NittanyLion and RustyColts, who fought off the Turk by just 1.25 and 2.50 points respectively.
(for RustyColts, thank goodness for Cairo Santos and his 19 points Monday night against New England. We were rooting for you!)
* Condolences to Joey, who just barely missed the cut this week by 1.55 points
Joey: Please consider hanging around the forum anyway. We're likely all going to be booted sooner or later...
On to week 8 for the rest of us - Good luck to everyone going forward!
Average Weekly Scores - Through 7 weeks :
152.45 Joey
* Cut line this week was 120.00, up 8.45 points on Monday night.
* Congratulations to Scottybo, for posting the 3rd highest overall score this week @ 220.05, beating the cut line by 100.05 points!
* Condolences to Joey, who just barely missed the cut this week by 1.55 points
Joey: Please consider hanging around the forum anyway. We're likely all going to be booted sooner or later...
Good to see that NittanyLion and me form the base of this cheerleader pyramid.Average Weekly Scores - Through 7 weeks :
179.81 apalmer
177.89 The Stray Doug
174.23 DaCommish
172.78 QuizGuy66
172.36 Scottybo
171.79 Sooted72
167.84 Puppies (Me)
167.00 Saint
166.78 Fear the bald
166.39 davidwb
166.37 Irelad
166.15 TheWinz
164.38 Ackme
164.05 FormerFourDigit
163.79 Mister CIA Fan
161.33 RustyColts
160.70 ZWK
159.37 BassNBrew
158.67 dbc925
158.39 Hot Sauce Guy
156.45 rzrback77
156.05 BroncosFan07
155.97 cstruck
155.54 ChurchOfIggyPop
154.42 Rock Action
152.45 Joey
152.43 Stubby
150.62 Twin Turbo
148.04 NittanyLion
* Cut line this week was 120.00, up 8.45 points on Monday night.
* Congratulations to Scottybo, for posting the 3rd highest overall score this week @ 220.05, beating the cut line by 100.05 points!
* Congratulations to the two "nail biters" of the week, NittanyLion and RustyColts, who fought off the Turk by just 1.25 and 2.50 points respectively.
(for RustyColts, thank goodness for Cairo Santos and his 19 points Monday night against New England. We were rooting for you!)
* Condolences to Joey, who just barely missed the cut this week by 1.55 points
Joey: Please consider hanging around the forum anyway. We're likely all going to be booted sooner or later...
On to week 8 for the rest of us - Good luck to everyone going forward!