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The cut moved 11 points likely due to:
- Pickens 18.1 points were given to 37.43% of the teams
- Pickett (492 - 17.85) and Tua (287 - 20.55) were only owned by 25 together, so a max of 754/4582 teams (16.5%) could've been replacing a zero, and those replacing 0's were likely under the cut
- Mostert's 18.9 points made an impact, considering he was on nearly 1 out of every 10 teams, and logic says a larger % would've been under the line
- Freiermuth's 19.5 was likely used by over 5% of the teams below the line
- Hill & Waddle both hit double digits. Neither were all that common, but 370 teams total had one or the other (8%)

The $64 question is what will the cut line do tonight ?? I believe there are three teams above the cut line by less than 10 points.

I see 3 teams 4.75, 6.90, and 9.70 above the cut line:
RustyColts +4.75 with Santos left,
Joey +6.90
NittanyLion +9.70

Hopefully all three teams can squeak by and go on to week 8.

I had Pickens last night and his 18.10 replaced a 10.80 WR score, and that 10.80 score then replaced a 7.70 flex. So my net gain from Pickens 18.10 points was +10.40.
I still have Stevenson (-9.20) left tonight, but I'm already safe by a decent margin.
I'm likely toast. Andrews let me down 5 or 6 points from him and I think I would have been golden..Waller MIA for 2 weeks in a row didn't help. Mills did his job though. I kind of figured week 7 was going to be the week and I was right. Good luck to the rest of you guys hope the winner is someone from this thread.
Re: Rustycolts…
That 42 yard Santos FG was for you.:clap:
Just got yourself a little more wiggle room vs the Turk!
Yea wish that were true. Zuerlein got me 12.80. So I need about 12 more points out of him. Not to much to ask is it?
Oops! Sorry I missed the fact that you already had a 12.80 kicker score.
Santos has 9.20 at the half, so if he gets a couple more decent length FGs, maybe still some hope for you to advance. You were 4.75 over the line, so maybe another 3 or 4 points above Zuerlein’s 12.80 might be enough. That would mean about 16 or so from Santos tonight.

I’m rooting for you.
 
8 live roosters with Ryan and Mac Jones. 6 at least have another live QB (though for one guy that is Davis Mills.

Well actually 7 have a 3rd QB....but the 7th also has Russell Wilson :oldunsure:

1 pour rooster only has those two :eek:
-QG
 
The cut moved 11 points likely due to:
- Pickens 18.1 points were given to 37.43% of the teams
- Pickett (492 - 17.85) and Tua (287 - 20.55) were only owned by 25 together, so a max of 754/4582 teams (16.5%) could've been replacing a zero, and those replacing 0's were likely under the cut
- Mostert's 18.9 points made an impact, considering he was on nearly 1 out of every 10 teams, and logic says a larger % would've been under the line
- Freiermuth's 19.5 was likely used by over 5% of the teams below the line
- Hill & Waddle both hit double digits. Neither were all that common, but 370 teams total had one or the other (8%)

The $64 question is what will the cut line do tonight ?? I believe there are three teams above the cut line by less than 10 points.

I see 3 teams 4.75, 6.90, and 9.70 above the cut line:
RustyColts +4.75 with Santos left,
Joey +6.90
NittanyLion +9.70

Hopefully all three teams can squeak by and go on to week 8.

I had Pickens last night and his 18.10 replaced a 10.80 WR score, and that 10.80 score then replaced a 7.70 flex. So my net gain from Pickens 18.10 points was +10.40.
I still have Stevenson (-9.20) left tonight, but I'm already safe by a decent margin.
I'm likely toast. Andrews let me down 5 or 6 points from him and I think I would have been golden..Waller MIA for 2 weeks in a row didn't help. Mills did his job though. I kind of figured week 7 was going to be the week and I was right. Good luck to the rest of you guys hope the winner is someone from this thread.
Re: Rustycolts…
That 42 yard Santos FG was for you.:clap:
Just got yourself a little more wiggle room vs the Turk!
Yea wish that were true. Zuerlein got me 12.80. So I need about 12 more points out of him. Not to much to ask is it?
Oops! Sorry I missed the fact that you already had a 12.80 kicker score.
Santos has 9.20 at the half, so if he gets a couple more decent length FGs, maybe still some hope for you to advance. You were 4.75 over the line, so maybe another 3 or 4 points above Zuerlein’s 12.80 might be enough. That would mean about 16 or so from Santos tonight.

I’m rooting for you.
Definitely pulling for nothing but field goals from the bears from here on out.
 
The cut moved 11 points likely due to:
- Pickens 18.1 points were given to 37.43% of the teams
- Pickett (492 - 17.85) and Tua (287 - 20.55) were only owned by 25 together, so a max of 754/4582 teams (16.5%) could've been replacing a zero, and those replacing 0's were likely under the cut
- Mostert's 18.9 points made an impact, considering he was on nearly 1 out of every 10 teams, and logic says a larger % would've been under the line
- Freiermuth's 19.5 was likely used by over 5% of the teams below the line
- Hill & Waddle both hit double digits. Neither were all that common, but 370 teams total had one or the other (8%)

The $64 question is what will the cut line do tonight ?? I believe there are three teams above the cut line by less than 10 points.

I see 3 teams 4.75, 6.90, and 9.70 above the cut line:
RustyColts +4.75 with Santos left,
Joey +6.90
NittanyLion +9.70

Hopefully all three teams can squeak by and go on to week 8.

I had Pickens last night and his 18.10 replaced a 10.80 WR score, and that 10.80 score then replaced a 7.70 flex. So my net gain from Pickens 18.10 points was +10.40.
I still have Stevenson (-9.20) left tonight, but I'm already safe by a decent margin.
I'm likely toast. Andrews let me down 5 or 6 points from him and I think I would have been golden..Waller MIA for 2 weeks in a row didn't help. Mills did his job though. I kind of figured week 7 was going to be the week and I was right. Good luck to the rest of you guys hope the winner is someone from this thread.
Re: Rustycolts…
That 42 yard Santos FG was for you.:clap:
Just got yourself a little more wiggle room vs the Turk!
Yea wish that were true. Zuerlein got me 12.80. So I need about 12 more points out of him. Not to much to ask is it?
Oops! Sorry I missed the fact that you already had a 12.80 kicker score.
Santos has 9.20 at the half, so if he gets a couple more decent length FGs, maybe still some hope for you to advance. You were 4.75 over the line, so maybe another 3 or 4 points above Zuerlein’s 12.80 might be enough. That would mean about 16 or so from Santos tonight.

I’m rooting for you.
Definitely pulling for nothing but field goals from the bears from here on out.

There's 3.8
 
The cut moved 11 points likely due to:
- Pickens 18.1 points were given to 37.43% of the teams
- Pickett (492 - 17.85) and Tua (287 - 20.55) were only owned by 25 together, so a max of 754/4582 teams (16.5%) could've been replacing a zero, and those replacing 0's were likely under the cut
- Mostert's 18.9 points made an impact, considering he was on nearly 1 out of every 10 teams, and logic says a larger % would've been under the line
- Freiermuth's 19.5 was likely used by over 5% of the teams below the line
- Hill & Waddle both hit double digits. Neither were all that common, but 370 teams total had one or the other (8%)

The $64 question is what will the cut line do tonight ?? I believe there are three teams above the cut line by less than 10 points.

I see 3 teams 4.75, 6.90, and 9.70 above the cut line:
RustyColts +4.75 with Santos left,
Joey +6.90
NittanyLion +9.70

Hopefully all three teams can squeak by and go on to week 8.

I had Pickens last night and his 18.10 replaced a 10.80 WR score, and that 10.80 score then replaced a 7.70 flex. So my net gain from Pickens 18.10 points was +10.40.
I still have Stevenson (-9.20) left tonight, but I'm already safe by a decent margin.
I'm likely toast. Andrews let me down 5 or 6 points from him and I think I would have been golden..Waller MIA for 2 weeks in a row didn't help. Mills did his job though. I kind of figured week 7 was going to be the week and I was right. Good luck to the rest of you guys hope the winner is someone from this thread.
Re: Rustycolts…
That 42 yard Santos FG was for you.:clap:
Just got yourself a little more wiggle room vs the Turk!
Yea wish that were true. Zuerlein got me 12.80. So I need about 12 more points out of him. Not to much to ask is it?Now
Oops! Sorry I missed the fact that you already had a 12.80 kicker score.
Santos has 9.20 at the half, so if he gets a couple more decent length FGs, maybe still some hope for you to advance. You were 4.75 over the line, so maybe another 3 or 4 points above Zuerlein’s 12.80 might be enough. That would mean about 16 or so from Santos tonight.

I’m rooting for you.

Now 4.95 and every point Santos gets going forward counts.
 
Might possibly be looking at a nice long FG attempt, based on what happens on this next play…here we go!!
Wooohooo!!

That puts you 10.55 above the cut line!
I don’t think it will move that much.
 
Last edited:
T minus 20 minutes, and counting...

...Rhamondre only has 12.2 points, if I'm counting correctly. 1336 Owners, all with various degrees of 'minus' to overcome to tally.

He's the most statistically significant player in this game so far, to the best of my knowledge.

I refuse to believe that either Justin Fields or Cairo Santos is going to bump me off this ride.

More Damien Harris, please.
 
Kind of wish the bears weren't good sports. 10.95 cushion for me. Please let's only have about 5 point move. 11 is not a good number.
 
In past years, I've typically went with small and powerful rosters (18-19 players) and have never made it far. This year I went with 25 players and assuming I make it to week 8 (almost a lock), it will be my best year despite a team that doesn't look very impressive. As has been written about numerous times in this thread and I'm finally coming around to agreeing with, large rosters are the way to go. With NFL teams now managing the concussion problem better, you just have to assume you're going to have a bunch of land mines every week and those middle dollar ($5-$14) players are key to survival.
I've rostered everything from 19 to 29. Sure, I think there are basic rules to follow for team makeup, but as long as you stay within reason, you just need to get lucky. For the smallest rosters, they typically have to avoid the injury bug, because most of the players will be scoring well. For the largest rosters, they have to hit on some cheap guys, but can withstand injury alot easier. Tell you what though, if I did make the final 250, I would rather have a small roster.

yes agreed. this is the trade off. large rosters have a better chance of getting to the playoffs (higher floor). smaller rosters have a better chance of winning it all if they get to the playoffs (higher ceiling).

almost all the regular posters itt design their rosters suboptimally, at least in terms of championship equity. i think we all value surviving as long as possible more than we should. but thats beause we value talking about the contest as long as possible. its like a community.

you see this in poker tournaments. some players are just trying to survive to make the money and/or last until the next pay jump. the players who are maximizing their chance of winning are being aggressive and making riskier plays (that sometimes even go as far as to look really dumb) for the sake of winning it all.
 
In past years, I've typically went with small and powerful rosters (18-19 players) and have never made it far. This year I went with 25 players and assuming I make it to week 8 (almost a lock), it will be my best year despite a team that doesn't look very impressive. As has been written about numerous times in this thread and I'm finally coming around to agreeing with, large rosters are the way to go. With NFL teams now managing the concussion problem better, you just have to assume you're going to have a bunch of land mines every week and those middle dollar ($5-$14) players are key to survival.
I've rostered everything from 19 to 29. Sure, I think there are basic rules to follow for team makeup, but as long as you stay within reason, you just need to get lucky. For the smallest rosters, they typically have to avoid the injury bug, because most of the players will be scoring well. For the largest rosters, they have to hit on some cheap guys, but can withstand injury alot easier. Tell you what though, if I did make the final 250, I would rather have a small roster.

yes agreed. this is the trade off. large rosters have a better chance of getting to the playoffs (higher floor). smaller rosters have a better chance of winning it all if they get to the playoffs (higher ceiling).

almost all the regular posters itt design their rosters suboptimally, at least in terms of championship equity. i think we all value surviving as long as possible more than we should. but thats beause we value talking about the contest as long as possible. its like a community.

you see this in poker tournaments. some players are just trying to survive to make the money and/or last until the next pay jump. the players who are maximizing their chance of winning are being aggressive and making riskier plays (that sometimes even go as far as to look really dumb) for the sake of winning it all.

Except when you offers a prize greater than anything 7th place or lower then playing safe is the EV move.
 
I was just pursing the teams that went solo Josh Allen. Almost all of them only took one D and K too. Strange.

Furthermore, coming into this week they were surviving at a lower rate despite having more cash to spend elsewhere.

Total teams with these players314
Still Alive8627.3937.40
Eliminated in week 12193.3190.03
Eliminated in week 24285.6790.00
Eliminated in week 35279.2890.07
Eliminated in week 46467.8480.02
Eliminated in week 52780.0080.06
Eliminated in week 62279.6380.00
 
In past years, I've typically went with small and powerful rosters (18-19 players) and have never made it far. This year I went with 25 players and assuming I make it to week 8 (almost a lock), it will be my best year despite a team that doesn't look very impressive. As has been written about numerous times in this thread and I'm finally coming around to agreeing with, large rosters are the way to go. With NFL teams now managing the concussion problem better, you just have to assume you're going to have a bunch of land mines every week and those middle dollar ($5-$14) players are key to survival.
I've rostered everything from 19 to 29. Sure, I think there are basic rules to follow for team makeup, but as long as you stay within reason, you just need to get lucky. For the smallest rosters, they typically have to avoid the injury bug, because most of the players will be scoring well. For the largest rosters, they have to hit on some cheap guys, but can withstand injury alot easier. Tell you what though, if I did make the final 250, I would rather have a small roster.

yes agreed. this is the trade off. large rosters have a better chance of getting to the playoffs (higher floor). smaller rosters have a better chance of winning it all if they get to the playoffs (higher ceiling).

almost all the regular posters itt design their rosters suboptimally, at least in terms of championship equity. i think we all value surviving as long as possible more than we should. but thats beause we value talking about the contest as long as possible. its like a community.

you see this in poker tournaments. some players are just trying to survive to make the money and/or last until the next pay jump. the players who are maximizing their chance of winning are being aggressive and making riskier plays (that sometimes even go as far as to look really dumb) for the sake of winning it all.

Except when you offers a prize greater than anything 7th place or lower then playing safe is the EV move.
Go for the glory, you coward!
:rant:
 

Except when you offers a prize greater than anything 7th place or lower then playing safe is the EV move.

wait, what exactly are you arguing here? theyre offering like a $100 side prize or something? and that makes it more profitable than trying to grab the 10k first place prize? i would think that almost has to be wrong, but i dont know the details and havent done the math or anything. can you fill me in?
 

Except when you offers a prize greater than anything 7th place or lower then playing safe is the EV move.

wait, what exactly are you arguing here? theyre offering like a $100 side prize or something? and that makes it more profitable than trying to grab the 10k first place prize? i would think that almost has to be wrong, but i dont know the details and havent done the math or anything. can you fill me in?

If you posted your lineup in this thread 2 days before the lock and didn't change it you were eligible for $100 side prize if you finsih in the top 250. To me the EV play is to build a lineup to make the finals and get the $100 and then see where the chips fall.
 
Based on the wisdom of the crowds and some common sense along with $250 cap, here's the most un-unique lineup

QB: Carr, Cousins
RB: Pierce, Stevenson, Edmonds, Barkley
WR: Sutton, Pickens, JuJu, Doubs, ASB, McKenize, Palmer
TE: Goedert, Pitts, Hill
K: Blankenship, McPherson, Tucker
D: SF, BG, Balt

When I plug in the top 4 $ guys Barkley, ASB, Pitts, Sutton there were 38 teams with 14 alive, just a 1/2% below the contest survival rate (week 6).

When I add in Stevenson it's 7 teams with 1 alive
When I add in JuJu it's 12 teams with 5 alive
When I add in Goedert it's 4 teams with 2 alive.

I didn't find any teams that had 6 of the top salary players. Basically everyone's unique even when they are un-unique.

I believe the team above would still be alive.
 
120 is the cut.

I’m 1.55 below the cut line. week 7 is a pretty normal run for me, so I’m not shocked or disappointed.

And if not this week, there’s no way I go much further anyway with Javonte, Hall, Pierce, Edmonds, Moss, Wilson, Homer at RB. And basically 1.5 kickers. And the unimpressive TE corpe of Knox, Albert O, Allie-Cox and Rudolph.

it was fun while it lasted.
 
Average Weekly Scores - Through 7 weeks :

179.81 apalmer
177.89 The Stray Doug
174.23 DaCommish
172.78 QuizGuy66
172.36 Scottybo
171.79 Sooted72
167.84 Puppies (Me)
167.00 Saint
166.78 Fear the bald
166.39 davidwb
166.37 Irelad
166.15 TheWinz
164.38 Ackme
164.05 FormerFourDigit
163.79 Mister CIA Fan
161.33 RustyColts
160.70 ZWK
159.37 BassNBrew
158.67 dbc925
158.39 Hot Sauce Guy
156.45 rzrback77
156.05 BroncosFan07
155.97 cstruck
155.54 ChurchOfIggyPop
154.42 Rock Action
152.45 Joey
152.43 Stubby
150.62 Twin Turbo
148.04 NittanyLion

* Cut line this week was 120.00, up 8.45 points on Monday night.

* Congratulations to Scottybo, for posting the 3rd highest overall score this week @ 220.05, beating the cut line by 100.05 points!

* Congratulations to the two "nail biters" of the week, NittanyLion and RustyColts, who fought off the Turk by just 1.25 and 2.50 points respectively.
(for RustyColts, thank goodness for Cairo Santos and his 19 points Monday night against New England. We were rooting for you!)

* Condolences to Joey, who just barely missed the cut this week by 1.55 points
Joey: Please consider hanging around the forum anyway. We're likely all going to be booted sooner or later...

On to week 8 for the rest of us - Good luck to everyone going forward!
 
Last edited:
Average Weekly Scores - Through 7 weeks :

179.81 apalmer
177.89 The Stray Doug
174.23 DaCommish
172.78 QuizGuy66
172.36 Scottybo
171.79 Sooted72
167.84 Puppies (Me)
167.00 Saint
166.78 Fear the bald
166.39 davidwb
166.37 Irelad
166.15 TheWinz
164.38 Ackme
164.05 FormerFourDigit
163.79 Mister CIA Fan
161.33 RustyColts
160.70 ZWK
159.37 BassNBrew
158.67 dbc925
158.39 Hot Sauce Guy
156.45 rzrback77
156.05 BroncosFan07
155.97 cstruck
155.54 ChurchOfIggyPop
154.42 Rock Action
152.45 Joey
152.43 Stubby
150.62 Twin Turbo
148.04 NittanyLion

* Cut line this week was 120.00, up 8.45 points on Monday night.

* Congratulations to
Scottybo, for posting the 3rd highest overall score this week @ 220.05, beating the cut line by 100.05 points!

* Congratulations to the two
"nail biters" of the week, NittanyLion and RustyColts, who fought off the Turk by just 1.25 and 2.50 points respectively.

(for RustyColts, thank goodness for Cairo Santos and his 19 points Monday night against New England. We were rooting for you!)

* Condolences to Joey, who just barely missed the cut this week by 1.55 points
Joey: Please consider hanging around the forum anyway. We're likely all going to be booted sooner or later...

On to week 8 for the rest of us - Good luck to everyone going forward!
Kinda shocked I’m on that list TBH
 
Average Weekly Scores - Through 7 weeks :

152.45 Joey

* Cut line this week was 120.00, up 8.45 points on Monday night.

* Congratulations to
Scottybo, for posting the 3rd highest overall score this week @ 220.05, beating the cut line by 100.05 points!

* Condolences to Joey, who just barely missed the cut this week by 1.55 points

Joey: Please consider hanging around the forum anyway. We're likely all going to be booted sooner or later...

thanks for the kind words and condolences. I’m always around the forum, every single day. This specific thread though….not sure if it’ll be a daily stop like it’s been since pre-season, but I’m likely kidding myself since I’m rooting for all of you degenerates!! Bring it home, fellas!
 
Average Weekly Scores - Through 7 weeks :

179.81 apalmer
177.89 The Stray Doug
174.23 DaCommish
172.78 QuizGuy66
172.36 Scottybo
171.79 Sooted72
167.84 Puppies (Me)
167.00 Saint
166.78 Fear the bald
166.39 davidwb
166.37 Irelad
166.15 TheWinz
164.38 Ackme
164.05 FormerFourDigit
163.79 Mister CIA Fan
161.33 RustyColts
160.70 ZWK
159.37 BassNBrew
158.67 dbc925
158.39 Hot Sauce Guy
156.45 rzrback77
156.05 BroncosFan07
155.97 cstruck
155.54 ChurchOfIggyPop
154.42 Rock Action
152.45 Joey
152.43 Stubby
150.62 Twin Turbo
148.04 NittanyLion

* Cut line this week was 120.00, up 8.45 points on Monday night.

* Congratulations to
Scottybo, for posting the 3rd highest overall score this week @ 220.05, beating the cut line by 100.05 points!

* Congratulations to the two
"nail biters" of the week, NittanyLion and RustyColts, who fought off the Turk by just 1.25 and 2.50 points respectively.
(for RustyColts, thank goodness for Cairo Santos and his 19 points Monday night against New England. We were rooting for you!)

* Condolences to Joey, who just barely missed the cut this week by 1.55 points
Joey: Please consider hanging around the forum anyway. We're likely all going to be booted sooner or later...

On to week 8 for the rest of us - Good luck to everyone going forward!
Good to see that NittanyLion and me form the base of this cheerleader pyramid.
 
121.25/120, 3608/3669...As Jeff Spicoli passed US History...I squeaked by! Aloha, Mr. Hand!

Thank you, Tyler Boyd!
Thank you, RODGRIGO...Blankenship, that is!!! Now, stick around for a while!
Wecome back, Kirk Cousins, Devin Singletary, Gabe Davis, Allen Robinson, Dawson Knox!
Only losing JPalmer and Hopkins for Week 9.
QB3 Matty Ice, now 'on ice' in Indy, served his purpose in Week 6, ubiquitous Cousins/Carr pairing intact and moving foward with bye weeks behind them.
Need you to pick up the pace, AJDillon, and you to maintain a role, Jeff Wilson.
Pick up where you left off, ARob...fight harder, Sutton. Get back on the field, Julio. Step up, Watkins!
Get in the mix, Hooper!

Truth be told, with the cut % moving up to 30, a Team with my scoring average isn't likely to be around much longer...but today...for today, it's great to be alive!!!
 
Only 2 teams on bye. Let's see ownership numbers for the KC & LAC players:

QB - Herbert (241 - 6.57%), Mahomes (151 - 4.12%)
Herbert started 17th most common, and Mahomes was way down at 26. They both were $23, and it looks like the people who went big just decided to spend $2 more and roster Josh Allen. One team has both Herbert & Mahomes, but also 6 more QB's, including Allen. Neither QB is common, so their absence is really only felt by those who roster them.

RB - Ekeler (379 - 10.33%), Edwards-Helaire (243 - 6.62%), McKinnon (145 - 3.95%), Michel (31 - 0.84%), Spiller (27 - 0.74%), Jones (15 - 0.41%)
Ekeler is RB1 thru 7 weeks, and his 46.33% survival rate is warranted. I'm actually shocked he was so common from the start. Fun fact - CEH was RB13 after 6 weeks and demoted to a backup. After 7 weeks he is now RB12. With only 2 teams on bye, I expect a higher than average cut, but with 10% of the live teams without NFL's RB1, perhaps the cut won't go too high?

WR - Smith-Schuster (991 - 27.01%), Palmer (545 - 14.85%), Williams (294 - 8.01%), Valdes-Scantling (245 - 6.68%), Hardman (204 - 5.56%), Moore (187 - 5.10%), Allen (57 - 1.55%), Guyton (30 - 0.82%)
Juju was 3rd most common WR, and has been doing fine. Williams is currently WR9 and, as expected, has been very boom/bust. Keenan came back, but his long absence turned him extra-rare. Palmer & Hardman have contributed, but the more expensive MVS has only 2 double digit games. The Skyy is not the limit for Moore. It's obvious by the list that Juju's bye week will be the toughest for WR's.

TE - Kelce (460 - 12.54%), Everett (363 - 9.89%), Parham (22 - 0.60%)
Kelce will surely be the most missed player this week, even with players more common. He is TE1 and averaging over 24 PPG. He is currently ahead of all RB's and WR's in this contest. Everett has 5 usable games, and Parham has been sidelined most of the time.

K - Hopkins (301 - 8.20%), Butker (128 - 3.49%)
Believe it or not, Hopkins has missed 2 out of 7 games, was expensive ($5), is currently K22, and has a higher than average survival rate. "Bust"ker is K27 and closer to Zane Gonzalez than the top 15 K's.

D - KC (147 - 4.01%), LAC (130 - 3.54%)
Both D's are uncommon and middle-of-the-pack in scoring. They will not be missed.
 

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