Disagree with this. You want to run with the herd and let your other players be the difference makers. You don’t want to be the only guy around when the Turk is knocking
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2023 FBG Subscriber Contest (2 Viewers)
- Thread starter apalmer
- Start date
Disagree with this. You want to run with the herd and let your other players be the difference makers. You don’t want to be the only guy around when the Turk is knocking
Puppies
Footballguy
Similar for me. I was just checking that yesterday. My flex scores came from: RB=3 ($89), WR=6 ($71), and TE=9 ($39)
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apalmer
Footballguy
Amazing. I fully expected to miss the cut this week with 4 of my 5 RBs injured, 3 of my 6 WRs out (2 injured, 1 bye) and my best TE (LaPorta on bye). Then Mahomes puts up a below average game (for him), my only active RB (Kamara) puts up his worst score since his suspension and I lose a kicker to injury. But, somehow my young gun TEs, Dicker the Kicker and the Charger D combine with resurgent Diontae and Dotson to shove me to 168 points and a top 200 finish.
Of course, this week I'm probably still missing those 4 RBs, plus Mahomes, but it's a lesson that there's always a chance.
Of course, this week I'm probably still missing those 4 RBs, plus Mahomes, but it's a lesson that there's always a chance.
Dacomish
Footballguy
Ties this week affected the UNOFFICIAL cut after each week (barring future ties) for next 2 weeks:
Start 9966
10% Week 1 Cut to Number – 8971
10% Week 2 cut to Number – 8077
10% Week 3 cut to Number – 7271
20% Week 4 cut to Number – 5817
20% Week 5 cut to Number – 4657
20% Week 6 cut to Number – 3726
20% Week 7 cut to Number – 2981
30% Week 8 cut to Number – 2087
30% Week 9 cut to Number –1461 NEW 1462
30% Week 10 cut to Number –1023 NEW 1024
30% Week 11 cut to Number – 717
30% Week 12 cut to Number – 502
40% Week 13 cut to Number – 302
40% Week 14 cut to Number – 182 (means the top 43 non-playoff teams this week win a prize)
From Contest Rules: * - if fewer than 225 participants remain after week 14, then prizes will be awarded to eliminated participants according to highest score in week 14. If prizes are still unawarded after that, then highest score in week 13, and so on.
Start 9966
10% Week 1 Cut to Number – 8971
10% Week 2 cut to Number – 8077
10% Week 3 cut to Number – 7271
20% Week 4 cut to Number – 5817
20% Week 5 cut to Number – 4657
20% Week 6 cut to Number – 3726
20% Week 7 cut to Number – 2981
30% Week 8 cut to Number – 2087
30% Week 9 cut to Number –
30% Week 10 cut to Number –
30% Week 11 cut to Number – 717
30% Week 12 cut to Number – 502
40% Week 13 cut to Number – 302
40% Week 14 cut to Number – 182 (means the top 43 non-playoff teams this week win a prize)
From Contest Rules: * - if fewer than 225 participants remain after week 14, then prizes will be awarded to eliminated participants according to highest score in week 14. If prizes are still unawarded after that, then highest score in week 13, and so on.
Puppies
Footballguy
Year to Date Averages through week 9:
Failed to make the cut in week 9
: Irelad, Jislander, Galileo, Army Eye
| This Week | Last Week | FootballGuy: | Size | Week 1 | Week 2 | Week 3 | Week 4 | Week5 | Week 6 | Week 7 | Week 8 | Week9 | Total | Average |
| 1 | 1 | ZWK | 26 | 165.25 | 182.25 | 191.50 | 216.30 | 223.55 | 168.00 | 218.30 | 180.45 | 160.85 | 1706.45 | 189.61 |
| 2 | 6 | Scottybo | 20 | 125.90 | 182.45 | 216.75 | 133.85 | 209.55 | 189.20 | 194.55 | 167.65 | 182.55 | 1602.45 | 178.05 |
| 3 | 2 | jdkapow | 24 | 164.05 | 169.85 | 199.75 | 147.40 | 221.30 | 170.45 | 183.90 | 199.15 | 136.65 | 1592.50 | 176.94 |
| 4 | 5 | BrncosFan07 | 28 | 126.15 | 207.24 | 207.85 | 169.70 | 208.90 | 173.35 | 166.70 | 168.90 | 156.70 | 1585.49 | 176.17 |
| 5 | 4 | PIK95 | 21 | 170.90 | 197.70 | 168.40 | 173.20 | 199.25 | 173.95 | 175.05 | 179.75 | 139.00 | 1577.20 | 175.24 |
| 6 | 3 | The Stray Doug | 19 | 186.90 | 153.25 | 178.25 | 210.55 | 192.00 | 138.75 | 173.15 | 208.50 | 134.60 | 1575.95 | 175.11 |
| 7 | 7 | TrishaRitasBoys | 21 | 159.05 | 183.15 | 206.35 | 162.15 | 170.85 | 192.80 | 148.55 | 195.95 | 151.15 | 1570.00 | 174.44 |
| 8 | 11 | QuizGuy66 | 25 | 140.50 | 168.10 | 192.35 | 194.55 | 195.15 | 121.65 | 173.70 | 178.35 | 184.50 | 1548.85 | 172.09 |
| 9 | 10 | dbc925 | 25 | 150.95 | 177.15 | 170.95 | 150.20 | 202.00 | 154.75 | 174.20 | 207.35 | 149.05 | 1536.60 | 170.73 |
| 10 | 9 | cStruck | 21 | 152.40 | 189.25 | 177.95 | 206.85 | 183.70 | 131.75 | 155.75 | 196.25 | 132.25 | 1526.15 | 169.57 |
| 11 | 13 | Senior VDB Student | 22 | 140.75 | 193.05 | 181.25 | 141.10 | 189.00 | 161.45 | 162.00 | 177.90 | 138.50 | 1485.00 | 165.00 |
| 12 | 17 | jdoggydogg | 21 | 171.10 | 160.85 | 147.25 | 169.95 | 188.35 | 128.80 | 146.55 | 181.25 | 189.15 | 1483.25 | 164.81 |
| 13 | 16 | The Winz | 23 | 152.00 | 152.35 | 167.15 | 139.35 | 171.20 | 156.25 | 169.45 | 209.55 | 159.25 | 1476.55 | 164.06 |
| 14 | 18 | fear the bald | 20 | 153.80 | 169.70 | 131.80 | 162.50 | 201.80 | 143.55 | 154.95 | 172.75 | 176.35 | 1467.20 | 163.02 |
| 15 | 15 | Bill Dauterive | 25 | 183.05 | 171.85 | 141.70 | 153.90 | 165.60 | 126.95 | 166.85 | 212.55 | 142.65 | 1465.10 | 162.79 |
| 16 | 19 | Woolac | 30 | 173.40 | 157.05 | 165.20 | 142.95 | 153.25 | 140.80 | 186.90 | 163.90 | 172.45 | 1455.90 | 161.77 |
| 17 | 14 | Deamon | 21 | 132.80 | 191.60 | 190.85 | 176.25 | 155.65 | 140.35 | 164.90 | 170.15 | 117.70 | 1440.25 | 160.03 |
| 18 | 20 | Puppies | 24 | 154.90 | 169.55 | 192.30 | 155.05 | 138.75 | 137.90 | 165.50 | 156.65 | 167.35 | 1437.95 | 159.77 |
| 19 | 23 | aPalmer | 22 | 146.60 | 144.45 | 152.80 | 178.55 | 151.65 | 149.90 | 151.20 | 165.95 | 168.15 | 1409.25 | 156.58 |
Failed to make the cut in week 9
: Irelad, Jislander, Galileo, Army Eye
Puppies
Footballguy
Survival Rate Trivia through 9 Weeks:
* Highest year to date survival rate in 8 of the last 9 weeks was with teams rostering 29 players. Current survival rate for 29 player teams is 44.78%.
* Lowest year to date survival rate every week from the start of the contest until now, is with 18 player rosters. Current survival rate for 18 player teams is 9.68%.
* Though 9 weeks, the only roster size to have a 100% survival rate in any one week was Team size 27, which had a 100% survival rate in week 9. Current survival rate is 27.08%.
* The overall survival rate for all teams through 9 weeks is 14.66%. If your team has surived this far, your statistical chance of making the playoffs is 6.82 times greater now than it was at the start of the contest.
* Good luck to all the survivors heading to week 10
* Highest year to date survival rate in 8 of the last 9 weeks was with teams rostering 29 players. Current survival rate for 29 player teams is 44.78%.
* Lowest year to date survival rate every week from the start of the contest until now, is with 18 player rosters. Current survival rate for 18 player teams is 9.68%.
* Though 9 weeks, the only roster size to have a 100% survival rate in any one week was Team size 27, which had a 100% survival rate in week 9. Current survival rate is 27.08%.
* The overall survival rate for all teams through 9 weeks is 14.66%. If your team has surived this far, your statistical chance of making the playoffs is 6.82 times greater now than it was at the start of the contest.
* Good luck to all the survivors heading to week 10
jdkapow
Footballguy
RB 4, WR 6, TE 8 for me. Never two from the same position. Week 6 was RB/WR, every other week was RB/TE or WR/TE.Flex stats for me ...
WR used 10 times
TE used 8 times
RB used.....0 times
-QG
Stray Doug
Footballguy
As you note, it's a balance. I have plenty of other herd players (Waller, Dotson, Nacua, McCaffrey, Hill, Ferguson, Musgrave, Kamara) who are much more widely owned. These guys ARE the difference makers for me, so I want them to be as narrowly owned as possible to accentuate that difference when they hit.
Stray Doug
Footballguy
| WEEK 9 RESULTS | Score: | <85 | 85-100 | 100-110 | 110-117.65 | 117.7-130 | 130-150 | 150-175 | >175 |
| Dead $ | |||||||||
| <$50 | 0% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 12% | 35% | 35% | 13% | |
| $50-$74 | 0% | 2% | 7% | 7% | 15% | 35% | 29% | 6% | |
| $75-$99 | 1% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 18% | 33% | 22% | 5% | |
| $100-$124 | 3% | 17% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 21% | 13% | 2% | |
| $125+ | 15% | 23% | 15% | 13% | 17% | 10% | 6% | 1% |
Impressive surviving performances despite being shorthanded:
- 200.75 (2nd highest of the week) with $115 dead money: https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/101280/week/9
- 190.35 with $127 dead money: https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/104499/week/9
- 123.55 with $162 dead money (including all 4 RBs, QB1, and WRs 1 & 2): https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/104424/week/9
- 123.15 with $165 dead money: https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/104750/week/9
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Speaking of commonality, here is my team:
WR Jahan Dotson - 646/1462 = 44.19%
QB Sam Howell - 605/1462 = 41.38%
TE Darren Waller - 565/1462 = 38.65% - Dead meat for a while
RB Alvin Kamara - 501/1462 = 34.27%
WR Zay Flowers - 475/1462 = 32.49%
TE Luke Musgrave - 437/1462 = 29.89%
RB James Cook - 377/1462 = 25.79%
TE Jake Ferguson - 377/1462 = 25.79%
TD Los Angeles Chargers - 303/1462 = 20.73%
PK Dustin Hopkins - 271/1462 = 18.54%
TD Detroit Lions - 271/1462 = 18.54%
RB Ezekiel Elliott - 248/1462 = 16.96%
WR Tyreek Hill - 202/1462 = 13.82%
RB Joe Mixon - 166/1462 = 11.35%
WR Van Jefferson - 165/1462 = 11.29%
PK Anders Carlson - 162/1462 = 11.08%
PK Cairo Santos - 147/1462 = 10.05%
QB Justin Herbert - 133/1462 = 9.10%
WR Tyler Lockett - 101/1462 = 6.91%
TE Noah Gray - 100/1462 = 6.84%
WR Parris Campbell - 89/1462 = 6.09%
RB Javonte Williams - 72/1462 = 4.92%
TD Houston Texans - 71/1462 = 4.86%
WR Jahan Dotson - 646/1462 = 44.19%
QB Sam Howell - 605/1462 = 41.38%
TE Darren Waller - 565/1462 = 38.65% - Dead meat for a while
RB Alvin Kamara - 501/1462 = 34.27%
WR Zay Flowers - 475/1462 = 32.49%
TE Luke Musgrave - 437/1462 = 29.89%
RB James Cook - 377/1462 = 25.79%
TE Jake Ferguson - 377/1462 = 25.79%
TD Los Angeles Chargers - 303/1462 = 20.73%
PK Dustin Hopkins - 271/1462 = 18.54%
TD Detroit Lions - 271/1462 = 18.54%
RB Ezekiel Elliott - 248/1462 = 16.96%
WR Tyreek Hill - 202/1462 = 13.82%
RB Joe Mixon - 166/1462 = 11.35%
WR Van Jefferson - 165/1462 = 11.29%
PK Anders Carlson - 162/1462 = 11.08%
PK Cairo Santos - 147/1462 = 10.05%
QB Justin Herbert - 133/1462 = 9.10%
WR Tyler Lockett - 101/1462 = 6.91%
TE Noah Gray - 100/1462 = 6.84%
WR Parris Campbell - 89/1462 = 6.09%
RB Javonte Williams - 72/1462 = 4.92%
TD Houston Texans - 71/1462 = 4.86%
QuizGuy66
Footballguy
Stray Doug
Footballguy
Wk 9 survival rates by QB status:
Rough QB Week: Rooster 103622 lost Richardson early this year, and then Cousins after last week, had to feel relieved that Daniel Jones was returning earlier than some anticipated in order to start in week 9. Unfortunately, with Jones he lost with 3rd and final QB for the season, yet despite eating Jones' 2.15 score for the week at QB, he still managed to come within 1.35 of advancing.
Close Call: Rooster 102204 went into MNF with slim hopes of survival, but a whopping 20 points from the Chargers D elevated his team exactly to the cutline, punctated by a sack with less than 1 minute to go on their second-to-last defensive play of the game. Phew! Rooster 103028 is relieved that Herbert didn't have to lose yardage on end-of-game kneel-downs. And rooster 107444 had been surviving by an average of 54.5 points above the cutline until this week, when they beat it by a mere 0.35.
Heartbreaker: https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/108145/week/9 seemed that all hope was lost until the final 1:22 of MNF, when Tyler Conklin suddenly caught fire with 3 receptions for 40 yards and 8.5 contest points in their final 5 plays. Unfortunately, Conklin was stopped at the 2 yard line on the Jets' 4th down attempt. He didn't need the TD... but he did need to gain just 1 more yard to avoid elimination. Ouch! :(
Faceplant: Rooster 101523 had been averaging over 189 points week 1 through 9, but fell victim to the Turk with a mere 102.1 this week. While most of the other previously-high-scoring teams that fell this week had $90+ dead money (and several $120+), 101523 had a modest $57 dead money, but his team just decided to turn in very pedestrian performances across the board this week.
Luck Ran Out: Rooster 103117 had survived the cut by an average of only 11.5 points over the first 8 weeks, but finally fell victim missing the cut by 21.6 this week.
Playing With Fire: Rooster 104085 (FBG Chaka) narrowly survived again, bringing his average survival margin down to 9.69 points through 9 weeks. Rooster 103215 has survived by 4.3 points or less in 5 of the 9 weeks so far.
Most improved: Rooster 109158 survived the first 5 weeks by an average of 21.1, including 2.2 in week 5, but has shown strength in weeks 6 through 9 clearing the line by an average of 58.5 points. Rooster 101280 (The Marksmen) went from an average clearance of 22.1 the first 6 weeks up to 58.7 the past 3 weeks. Prior most improved roosters 104355 and 100394 also survived, but with more modest scores than what they had shown in recent weeks.
| # of QBs starting (Wk 9): | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| # of roosters: | 88 | 656 | 1015 | 301 | 23 | 4 |
| Surviving roosters: | 19 | 422 | 757 | 242 | 19 | 3 |
| Survival rate: | 22% | 64% | 75% | 80% | 83% | 75% |
Rough QB Week: Rooster 103622 lost Richardson early this year, and then Cousins after last week, had to feel relieved that Daniel Jones was returning earlier than some anticipated in order to start in week 9. Unfortunately, with Jones he lost with 3rd and final QB for the season, yet despite eating Jones' 2.15 score for the week at QB, he still managed to come within 1.35 of advancing.
Close Call: Rooster 102204 went into MNF with slim hopes of survival, but a whopping 20 points from the Chargers D elevated his team exactly to the cutline, punctated by a sack with less than 1 minute to go on their second-to-last defensive play of the game. Phew! Rooster 103028 is relieved that Herbert didn't have to lose yardage on end-of-game kneel-downs. And rooster 107444 had been surviving by an average of 54.5 points above the cutline until this week, when they beat it by a mere 0.35.
Heartbreaker: https://www.footballguys.com/contests/subscribers/roster/108145/week/9 seemed that all hope was lost until the final 1:22 of MNF, when Tyler Conklin suddenly caught fire with 3 receptions for 40 yards and 8.5 contest points in their final 5 plays. Unfortunately, Conklin was stopped at the 2 yard line on the Jets' 4th down attempt. He didn't need the TD... but he did need to gain just 1 more yard to avoid elimination. Ouch! :(
Faceplant: Rooster 101523 had been averaging over 189 points week 1 through 9, but fell victim to the Turk with a mere 102.1 this week. While most of the other previously-high-scoring teams that fell this week had $90+ dead money (and several $120+), 101523 had a modest $57 dead money, but his team just decided to turn in very pedestrian performances across the board this week.
Luck Ran Out: Rooster 103117 had survived the cut by an average of only 11.5 points over the first 8 weeks, but finally fell victim missing the cut by 21.6 this week.
Playing With Fire: Rooster 104085 (FBG Chaka) narrowly survived again, bringing his average survival margin down to 9.69 points through 9 weeks. Rooster 103215 has survived by 4.3 points or less in 5 of the 9 weeks so far.
Most improved: Rooster 109158 survived the first 5 weeks by an average of 21.1, including 2.2 in week 5, but has shown strength in weeks 6 through 9 clearing the line by an average of 58.5 points. Rooster 101280 (The Marksmen) went from an average clearance of 22.1 the first 6 weeks up to 58.7 the past 3 weeks. Prior most improved roosters 104355 and 100394 also survived, but with more modest scores than what they had shown in recent weeks.
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Stray Doug
Footballguy
Love it! I also saw the "cut lion" was mentioned by VBD and then you on prior page, is that new or am I just out of touch?
Stray Doug
Footballguy
Ownership rate amongst living teams:
| Bye Yet To Come | Bye Week | Past Bye | ||
| Jahan Dotson | 14 | 43.8% | Sam LaPorta | 31.8% |
| Sam Howell | 14 | 41.0% | Luke Musgrave | 29.5% |
| Darren Waller | 13 | 38.4% | Cameron Dicker | 29.3% |
| Alvin Kamara | 11 | 34.0% | Jake Ferguson | 25.5% |
| Zay Flowers | 13 | 32.1% | Calvin Ridley | 22.4% |
| Raheem Mostert | 10 | 30.8% | Jaylen Warren | 21.5% |
| Dalton Kincaid | 13 | 29.2% | Jordan Love | 21.1% |
| James Cook | 13 | 25.6% | Los Angeles Chargers | 20.5% |
| Zack Moss | 11 | 23.4% | Tank Dell | 18.4% |
| Khalil Herbert | 13 | 21.9% | Detroit Lions | 18.3% |
| Puka Nacua | 10 | 18.3% | Dustin Hopkins | 18.3% |
| Kenneth Gainwell | 10 | 16.9% | Kenny Pickett | 17.7% |
| Ezekiel Elliott | 11 | 16.8% | Garrett Wilson | 17.1% |
| Baltimore Ravens | 13 | 16.6% | Tank Bigsby | 16.5% |
| Tua Tagovailoa | 10 | 15.9% | George Pickens | 16.0% |
| Washington Commanders | 14 | 15.1% | Courtland Sutton | 15.1% |
| Jalen Hurts | 10 | 15.1% |
QuizGuy66
Footballguy
SeniorVBDStudent
Footballguy
I think it was a typo.
apalmer
Footballguy
Stay as far away as you can
1462 teams left, cutting down to 1024, and week 10 starting with CAR/CHI on Thursday Night:
322 - RB Khalil Herbert
147 - PK Cairo Santos
132 - WR DJ Moore
130 - WR Adam Thielen
100 - TD Chicago Bears
97 - RB Roschon Johnson
82 - QB Justin Fields
82 - TD Carolina Panthers
81 - TE Cole Kmet
65 - WR Jonathan Mingo
53 - QB Bryce Young
37 - TE Hayden Hurst
33 - WR DJ Chark
25 - RB Miles Sanders
23 - WR Laviska Shenault
19 - WR Darnell Mooney
18 - RB D'Onta Foreman
12 - RB Chuba Hubbard
9 - PK Eddy Pineiro
4 - WR Terrace Marshall
Just a guess, but I am gonna say the cut will still be ZERO after this game.
322 - RB Khalil Herbert
147 - PK Cairo Santos
132 - WR DJ Moore
130 - WR Adam Thielen
100 - TD Chicago Bears
97 - RB Roschon Johnson
82 - QB Justin Fields
82 - TD Carolina Panthers
81 - TE Cole Kmet
65 - WR Jonathan Mingo
53 - QB Bryce Young
37 - TE Hayden Hurst
33 - WR DJ Chark
25 - RB Miles Sanders
23 - WR Laviska Shenault
19 - WR Darnell Mooney
18 - RB D'Onta Foreman
12 - RB Chuba Hubbard
9 - PK Eddy Pineiro
4 - WR Terrace Marshall
Just a guess, but I am gonna say the cut will still be ZERO after this game.
SeniorVBDStudent
Footballguy
Flex Sourcing: 5 TE, 13 WR, 0 RB (not surprising given the loss of Chubb and slow emergence of Warren and Gibbs).
Bill Dauterive
Footballguy
Very similar, 4 TE, 14 WR, 0 RB, and Gibbs as well, add Khalil Herbert injury.
Stray Doug
Footballguy
3 TE, 13 WR, 2 RB... there have only been 3 weeks where all 3 of my RBs played, and they flexed twice... if they stay healthy I expect an RB flex to be a fixture going forward other than week 11 (Kamara)... and definitely counting on a flex from RB here in week 10.
My biggest concern right now is Chase's back injury and whether that holds him out this week when I have both Tyreek and Puka on bye. Dotson seems likely to contribute a solid game, but if Chase is out that means I'm leaning on either Jayden Reed, Isaiah Hodgins, or Michael Wilson (also still questionable) to show up as my WR2... and would also need to flex the lower-scoring of Herd Ferguson/Luke Musgrave at TE given Waller's absence (unless 2 of those WRs show up). This is shaping up to be my most nerve-wracking week so far at the outset. Will feel a lot better about things if Chase takes the field at least, even if he doesn't have as high a ceiling this week.
Stray Doug
Footballguy
My "dead $" calculation currently includes 5 players who may play (I've seen mixed reports/uncertainty) but I'm waiting for news/confirmation before I'd toggle them back to live... Justin Fields, Ja'Marr Chase, Josh Downs, K.J. Osborn, and Zay Jones.
"Meh" players are those who are scoring some weekly points, but usually not enough to count (maybe a flex on occasion)... e.g. typically like 3-8 weekly points for RB/WR/TE. JuJu, Hollins, Tyjae Spears, Toney, etc.
If Chase is out, I'm at $101 dead (over 80th percentile). If he plays, I'm only $65 dead (closer to 40th percentile). 10 percentile improvement if we include Meh players since I only have $3 worth there instead a more typical $10-16 for most roosters.
"Meh" players are those who are scoring some weekly points, but usually not enough to count (maybe a flex on occasion)... e.g. typically like 3-8 weekly points for RB/WR/TE. JuJu, Hollins, Tyjae Spears, Toney, etc.
| Percentile | Wk 10 Dead $ | +"Meh" players |
| 0% | 0 | 9 |
| 10% | 33 | 46 |
| 20% | 45 | 59 |
| 30% | 55 | 69 |
| 40% | 64 | 78 |
| 50% | 72 | 86 |
| 60% | 79 | 94 |
| 70% | 88 | 103 |
| 80% | 98 | 111 |
| 90% | 111 | 125 |
| 100% | 176 | 190 |
If Chase is out, I'm at $101 dead (over 80th percentile). If he plays, I'm only $65 dead (closer to 40th percentile). 10 percentile improvement if we include Meh players since I only have $3 worth there instead a more typical $10-16 for most roosters.
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jdkapow
Footballguy
Stafford, Tyreek, Waller. $60. Pierce maybe? Is he or Moss a "meh" guy? Pretty sure everyone else is healthy, playing, and not "meh." Stafford is one of two guys (Bryce Young) who has never scored for me anyway.
jdkapow
Footballguy
So who's your team's MVP so far?
For me. let's see. Tyreek Hill has been everything I could have hoped, scoring for me all but once with some monsters mixed in, but he also cost a lot.
Sam Howell has scored 6 times for me, also with some monsters, and only set me back $8.
Dustin Hopkins has been crazy good for the minimum $3.
But then I was thinking, has there been a case where a single player missing his game for whatever reason eliminates me? And it turns out the answer is yes. It's happened once, it was this past week, and the player was Jake Ferguson. Without his 25.6, I have to eat Kenneth Walker's 2.2 and I miss the cut.
There's only one other time where it's been close: I still would have survived if the player missed his game, but by less than 10 points. That happened in week 4 and the player was...Jake Ferguson.
Is Ferguson my MVP then? Maybe. He's only scored for me 3 times, but he's there when I need him.
For me. let's see. Tyreek Hill has been everything I could have hoped, scoring for me all but once with some monsters mixed in, but he also cost a lot.
Sam Howell has scored 6 times for me, also with some monsters, and only set me back $8.
Dustin Hopkins has been crazy good for the minimum $3.
But then I was thinking, has there been a case where a single player missing his game for whatever reason eliminates me? And it turns out the answer is yes. It's happened once, it was this past week, and the player was Jake Ferguson. Without his 25.6, I have to eat Kenneth Walker's 2.2 and I miss the cut.
There's only one other time where it's been close: I still would have survived if the player missed his game, but by less than 10 points. That happened in week 4 and the player was...Jake Ferguson.
Is Ferguson my MVP then? Maybe. He's only scored for me 3 times, but he's there when I need him.
SeniorVBDStudent
Footballguy
MVPs
Goff -counted 6 times - was supposed to platoon with Aaron Rodgers
Mostert - counted 7 times - took Nick Chubb's place at $10
Garrett Wilson - counted 7 times - the only consistent fantasy producer on the Rodgers-less Jets
Sam LaPorta - counted 7 times - was supposed to be TE2 behind Waller.
$3/$4/$5 kicker strategy - 147 points year to date; avg 16.2...its like a skill position starter for $12
Goff -counted 6 times - was supposed to platoon with Aaron Rodgers
Mostert - counted 7 times - took Nick Chubb's place at $10
Garrett Wilson - counted 7 times - the only consistent fantasy producer on the Rodgers-less Jets
Sam LaPorta - counted 7 times - was supposed to be TE2 behind Waller.
$3/$4/$5 kicker strategy - 147 points year to date; avg 16.2...its like a skill position starter for $12
brewer
Footballguy
MVPs
CMC - counted every week except last week which was his bye(squeaked by the cut line)
Tua - counted every week except one, this week is his bye(come on Kenny Pickett rushing TD)
Kamara - counted every week since the suspension
Misses
Eric Gray - only player to not roster once
Nick Chubb - rostered first week only before his injury
Every other player rostered at least twice
CMC - counted every week except last week which was his bye(squeaked by the cut line)
Tua - counted every week except one, this week is his bye(come on Kenny Pickett rushing TD)
Kamara - counted every week since the suspension
Misses
Eric Gray - only player to not roster once
Nick Chubb - rostered first week only before his injury
Every other player rostered at least twice
SeniorVBDStudent
Footballguy
I'm pretty tempted to bump roster size to 25 next year, displacing my RB1, WR1 and TE1 each with a 2 for 1 swap. At least in terms of reaching the finals.
The big money I spent this year (Chubb, Waller, Garrett Wilson) feels like money wasted in a best ball format (looking beyond the specific players and "what went wrong").
The big money I spent this year (Chubb, Waller, Garrett Wilson) feels like money wasted in a best ball format (looking beyond the specific players and "what went wrong").
Contest D fun facts
- The Patriots cost $7, and are the only team to score 7 or less in every game
- The Bengals are the only team to have scored 5 or more in every game
- The Cowboys are completely boom/bust! 3 or less four times, 10 or more four times, nothing in between
- Only 9 teams have scored 0 in a week, but the Giants have done it 3 times
- The Patriots cost $7, and are the only team to score 7 or less in every game
- The Bengals are the only team to have scored 5 or more in every game
- The Cowboys are completely boom/bust! 3 or less four times, 10 or more four times, nothing in between
- Only 9 teams have scored 0 in a week, but the Giants have done it 3 times
Stray Doug
Footballguy
Yeah, Alec Pierce is a "Meh"... averaging 5.2 with a high of 8.3 is the very definition of "Meh". He's certainly playing, but not scoring enough points to matter. Dameon Pierce is just temporarily injured, but double-digits twice and clearly the potential to match/exceed it when he returns given that HOU offense is non-sputtering, so he avoids the "Meh". Moss could become "Meh" if he has several weeks like last week where Taylor took the (cut) lion's share of carries, but the week prior it was an even split and Moss put up 13.9 so I haven't toggled him to "Meh" just yet.
I haven't read that it's official yet, but as close as you can come, I guessKhalil is out tonight
-QG
Stray Doug
Footballguy
Yep, they didn't activate him from IR.
Also for Sunday it's currently looking more favorable that Chase is likely to play (yay!), but now Higgins might be out.
Also for Sunday it's currently looking more favorable that Chase is likely to play (yay!), but now Higgins might be out.
Yeah, I just read Khalil Herbert did not get activated for tonight's game. He was one of the contest's cheapest RB1's, and was very common from the start. He is still surviving at a higher than normal rate, even though he hasn't been active since week 5. 322 (22.02%) owners will miss him, while 18 Foreman owners rejoice for another week.
Stray Doug
Footballguy
| Injured or "barely active" | Bye | Meh | Monitoring | ||||
| Darren Waller | 38.4% | Raheem Mostert | 30.8% | Kenneth Gainwell | 16.9% | Michael Wilson | 10.9% |
| Khalil Herbert | 21.9% | Puka Nacua | 18.3% | Jalin Hyatt | 12.4% | Ja'Marr Chase | 3.6% |
| Tank Bigsby | 16.5% | Tua Tagovailoa | 15.9% | Skyy Moore | 11.4% | Josh Downs | 3.3% |
| Ty Chandler | 14.1% | Jalen Hurts | 15.1% | Juwan Johnson | 11.1% | K.J. Osborn | 2.3% |
| Marvin Mims Jr. | 13.1% | Tyreek Hill | 13.7% | Anders Carlson | 10.9% | Zay Jones | 1.8% |
| Nick Chubb | 13.0% | Jason Sanders | 13.5% | Tyjae Spears | 9.0% | Tee Higgins | 0.8% |
| Dameon Pierce | 11.8% | Philadelphia Eagles | 12.4% | Noah Gray | 6.8% | ||
| Van Jefferson | 11.2% | A.J. Brown | 10.9% | Elijah Moore | 6.3% | ||
| Michael Badgley | 9.8% | Jake Elliott | 9.2% | Marquez Valdes-Scantling | 5.2% | ||
| Anthony Richardson | 8.4% | Isiah Pacheco | 8.6% | Kadarius Toney | 5.0% | ||
| Aaron Rodgers | 8.2% | Patrick Mahomes | 7.1% | Zach Charbonnet | 4.5% | ||
| Graham Gano | 8.0% | Harrison Butker | 6.7% | Jonathan Mingo | 4.4% | ||
| Ka'imi Fairbairn | 8.0% | D'Andre Swift | 5.4% | Darius Slayton | 3.8% | ||
| Deuce Vaughn | 7.7% | Travis Kelce | 5.3% | Isaiah Likely | 3.6% |
apalmer
Footballguy
Since Herbert sitting is leaving me with only 1RB on Mahomes' bye week, a big D night would be great.Good start from the Carolina Defense with that punt return TD. I'll take it
I was happy enough with 4.9, then got scared
How bout 12.9?
Puppies
Footballguy
Gotta love it being without Fairbairn this week, that Santos has 12.9 points in the first half. Would love to see him get 2 or 3 more field goal chances in the 2nd half.How bout 12.9?
With Mahomes on bye this week and Kenny Pickett my only QB option, I need all the points I can get...
QuizGuy66
Footballguy
13.9 from Santos - greedy to have wanted more after 9 in the first half but a nice solid number nonetheless - really was rooting for the Panthers to make that tying field goal to hopefully give Santos another chance. But with 1 kicker on bye I'll surely take it 
Of course still would be nice if Hopkins can beat that number...
-QG
Of course still would be nice if Hopkins can beat that number...-QG
