The Man With No Name
Footballguy
The 56 that have the Bears DST have got to be loving this weeks performance. Huge points
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***Official*** 2011 FBG Subscriber Contest Thread (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter Ignoratio Elenchi
- Start date
Saint
Footballguy
That's what happens when all the Stafford owners start screaming at the 4th interception....... with no TDs
SeniorVBDStudent
Footballguy
116.2 + ADP - 6.2 + Brady - 11.3 + Hernandez + Shianco - 5.8 - 0 (te & flex).The fact that historical scoring suggests I'll finish at 145 - 185 (expectation 152) versus posted cut line of 137 gives me no comfort.I feel the turk's hot breath on my neck as Brady wanders into the meadowlands.118.65 after the 1pm games :(I have....Brady - 18.05ADP - 5.80/6.7MBIII - 5.80/6.7Evans (Har) - 7.3/8.3/13.6/29.3Burleson - 7.3/8.3/13.6/29.3Burress - 7.3/8.3/13.6/29.3Hernandez - 7.3/7.6
apalmer
Footballguy
I think the Bears D blew up OC's calculator
Ignoratio Elenchi
Footballguy
Done at 160. Hoping that's enough, although I feel like I've been dead man walking for weeks now so the fact that I made it this far is a victory. I don't expect to make the final 250, it's just a matter of when I finally get turked.
Organized Chaos
Footballguy
Yup.. I need to have it grab the scores for a longer period of time to account for the ends of the later games that run late. I just re-ran the stats, it should be accurate now.
Nick Vermeil
Footballguy
Gronkowski was the best money I ever spent.
FUBAR
Footballguy
151.7 and done unless the Vikings D beats the Texans D. Not too optimistic considering there are a few big time players left.
Deranged Hermit
Not cool & Pissed
Yeah, I'm likely out too at 147.1. I knew my WR would be the death of me eventually and it happened. It was a fun ride at least.
JB Breakfast Club
Footballguy
I'm in the same boat...especially next week. DMC could be a game-changer for the final 1600 - I'll be very curious to see how his other owners fare this week (assuming 164.3 gets me through). He was only 9% owned to start the contest...My RB pair has been Wells and Tate for the last 3 weeks (no McFadden, Felix, or Hightower).
northwoods
Footballguy
I'm done at 172+, on to next week. My goal was to make the final 1000 and now I'm one step closer...
My team is still running on fumes with no points from my top 2 RB's or top 2 WR's. this week. Not sure how much longer I can ride Bush, Tate, D Moore and A Brown (week 11 Bye) and still keep making the cut. I need Hillis, Wells, V Jackson and Tampa Mike to get back in the ring and fight for the finals.
My contest future is in their hands.
My team is still running on fumes with no points from my top 2 RB's or top 2 WR's. this week. Not sure how much longer I can ride Bush, Tate, D Moore and A Brown (week 11 Bye) and still keep making the cut. I need Hillis, Wells, V Jackson and Tampa Mike to get back in the ring and fight for the finals.
My contest future is in their hands.
Stinkin Ref
IBL Representative
never really understood statements like this.....not just in contests like this and stuff but in other aspects of life as well....guess I must be kinda ol' school or something.....but if you are going to enter something like this wouldn't the "goal" be to try and win it....not settling for finishing 999th or something.....
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BassNBrew
Footballguy
My goal was to whip your behinds so bad that second place was all you were playing for. Looks like I failed miserably.never really understood statements like this.....not just in contests like this and stuff but in other aspects of life as well....guess I must be kinda ol' school or something.....but if you are going to enter something like this wouldn't the "goal" be to try and win it....not settling for finishing 999th or something.....
BassNBrew
Footballguy
I don't expect the cut line to move much. I don't see alot of highly owned players playing tonite. I expect a lot of the Packers outside of Rodgers and Jennings are on the big rosters which have good scores posted already. I don't think many still remaining would have Viking players.
FUBAR
Footballguy
That's the thing, every player who scored for me this week (except kicker with 8 and Schaub at 24) scored between 12-20 points. So it wasn't any one position.
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northwoods
Footballguy
I've had really early exits the past few years and my expectations were admittedly low. It's called being realistic. Call me crazy but beating 90+% of the 10,000 FBG's in this contest is an accomplishment I'd be happy to hang my hat on. With so much luck involved in a contest like this, half the fun is in seeing how many weeks your team makes it.That being said, if my team makes the final 250 I'll be in it to win it and will be talking smack like nobody's business...never really understood statements like this.....not just in contests like this and stuff but in other aspects of life as well....guess I must be kinda ol' school or something.....but if you are going to enter something like this wouldn't the "goal" be to try and win it....not settling for finishing 999th or something.....
Ignoratio Elenchi
Footballguy
Totally unofficial and mostly useless, but if every player scored exactly what Dodds has them projected to score tonight, the cut line would move to 147.10.
Obviously every player won't score exactly what Dodds has them projected to, and I don't have distributions built in to actually run a sim like Drinen used to do, so take it with many grains of salt.
Obviously every player won't score exactly what Dodds has them projected to, and I don't have distributions built in to actually run a sim like Drinen used to do, so take it with many grains of salt.
BassNBrew
Footballguy
Wow...that really surprises me. Must be a lot of ARodgers owners sitting just below the current cut line.
Nick Vermeil
Footballguy
I'm at 147.1 with Jordy -8.3.
Tennessee_ATO
Footballguy
Blech. Atrocious week, absolutely atrocious. What are the odds that Jennings + Harvin - 3.1 - 3.7 => 40? I figure that's what I need to have a shot (currently @ 111.6).
I guess we'll see if Jennings was worth all those $2 and $3 WRs.
I guess we'll see if Jennings was worth all those $2 and $3 WRs.
Ignoratio Elenchi
Footballguy
Surprises you how, too much movement or not enough?ETA: Here are the Rodgers owners, their current total score, and their current QB score for the week:
Code:
Entry # CurTot CurQB109834 220.50 24.20109128 214.10 11.30103573 211.95 31.50109640 198.40 18.50105736 196.45 18.55109592 190.60 31.50102997 183.80 24.20100367 182.95 18.55107488 182.35 18.55100928 181.45 11.30105131 180.20 18.50100436 177.05 18.55110241 176.80 12.30108415 175.75 18.55100172 173.60 18.55104532 173.10 11.30102014 172.80 18.55107406 172.60 34.65106678 172.10 15.10106196 171.15 18.55100796 170.15 18.50104849 169.60 18.05109157 168.95 12.30101374 166.60 11.30109274 166.45 11.30109735 166.10 31.50100979 165.80 11.30101256 164.15 18.05106371 163.55 18.55109205 161.85 25.10100155 161.75 11.30104417 161.40 24.20105011 161.25 11.30107765 160.70 13.05108101 159.80 0.00105339 159.75 18.55105475 159.65 18.55109024 159.60 0.00105068 158.35 11.30107666 158.25 18.50100591 158.15 11.30107910 157.30 24.20109729 156.65 17.05101697 156.25 18.55104906 156.10 11.30103363 155.90 11.30104670 154.90 12.30105584 154.80 11.30108368 154.80 11.30109436 154.60 18.55102250 154.45 11.30105012 154.25 18.55102410 154.00 18.55101248 153.60 11.30108847 150.90 25.10102386 150.45 0.00108488 150.30 11.30107898 150.15 11.30110619 150.15 12.30107971 149.50 0.00104269 149.35 18.55109160 149.25 18.55102777 149.20 34.65103520 149.05 18.55109246 148.95 18.55101935 148.75 11.30103954 148.50 15.10107067 147.90 18.55108668 147.70 18.55101116 147.45 13.05106856 147.45 13.05104917 146.50 26.40109191 145.75 0.00103108 145.40 11.30104064 145.15 11.30107296 145.10 0.00110129 145.00 12.30101371 144.95 18.55107973 144.95 11.30103601 144.80 13.05105552 144.80 11.30109333 144.60 11.30105153 144.55 18.55107567 144.50 18.55101480 144.05 18.55110223 143.70 11.30104543 143.25 15.10106827 142.70 12.30109733 142.70 12.30110124 142.25 11.30105238 142.20 25.10107800 141.75 13.05105622 141.60 11.30102904 141.00 25.10101052 140.85 18.55103682 140.75 18.55106253 140.65 18.55102114 140.60 24.20101559 140.25 18.55106556 140.25 18.55110466 139.65 0.00103459 139.50 0.00100846 139.15 25.10107581 138.75 18.55110692 138.50 0.00102799 138.40 11.30101568 138.25 18.55104402 138.05 11.30103257 137.95 18.55103647 136.55 0.00102198 134.90 0.00110162 134.90 11.30101797 134.65 18.55104655 134.55 18.55109204 134.20 18.55107119 133.80 25.10108323 133.75 0.00102780 133.50 25.10104328 132.85 15.10103940 132.55 13.05109297 132.50 12.30104153 132.25 11.30105243 132.20 18.55102064 131.95 29.45100787 131.85 0.00109138 131.85 0.00104092 131.75 18.55103567 131.55 18.55110569 131.55 24.20106107 131.30 26.40108284 131.15 0.00103876 131.05 0.00104877 130.80 0.00101362 130.75 0.00109654 130.45 25.95106665 130.40 18.55102025 129.75 11.30102778 129.20 0.00105227 129.00 0.00110357 128.75 11.30108754 128.55 34.65105550 128.50 13.05100546 128.40 12.30101929 128.25 18.55103622 127.90 11.30107523 127.85 18.55100518 127.65 18.55100134 127.45 0.00107632 127.10 0.00108286 126.95 18.55107112 126.65 18.50103223 126.30 11.30100867 125.85 18.55100840 125.65 15.10106374 125.05 0.00102243 124.75 0.00107831 124.75 0.00107070 124.05 11.30103484 123.95 13.05108614 122.50 0.00107791 122.40 13.05108670 122.30 11.30106943 121.85 18.55110218 121.10 18.50100823 121.05 0.00106715 121.00 14.00103934 120.45 18.55109442 120.20 18.55107486 119.85 0.00109860 119.80 11.30103401 118.35 31.50109437 117.60 12.25108958 117.35 0.00107536 116.90 15.10102080 116.50 18.55108884 115.95 11.30109341 115.95 0.00104515 115.45 18.05109118 115.40 18.50101029 115.35 11.30107805 114.15 18.55110683 114.10 0.00104242 114.00 19.80100337 113.65 11.30105447 113.65 19.75108649 113.60 0.00108567 113.55 17.05108297 112.95 18.55103511 112.90 7.95107656 112.60 0.00107365 112.10 19.80105514 111.75 18.55102275 111.35 11.30109944 110.95 0.00100650 110.45 18.55105147 110.45 13.05109632 110.20 0.00100486 109.85 0.00104005 108.40 12.30107958 108.40 11.30108211 107.85 0.00102609 107.80 29.45104587 107.65 18.50110515 106.90 0.00105348 105.00 12.30108541 104.15 11.30103613 102.55 18.55105996 101.70 15.10109283 101.70 12.30108505 101.10 15.10100803 101.00 12.30106753 100.65 18.55110438 99.50 0.00106803 99.30 11.30106740 99.10 0.00106544 99.00 0.00109845 97.40 18.55106443 93.50 0.00106593 93.00 0.00107506 90.55 0.00110290 86.45 12.25107961 83.60 0.00106218 81.20 11.30100023 80.30 0.00108085 79.25 0.00106429 71.55 13.05107753 66.60 0.00
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BassNBrew
Footballguy
Surprises me that we'll see that much movement for a number of reasons...1) Non-bye week so more players should have posted a score, fewer zeros getting replaced tonite.2) I don't see alot of widely held players tonite. Minny is waste land.3) A lot of the commonly held guys posted decent numbers like Bush, Moore, Tate, etc.
BassNBrew
Footballguy
Harvin will be the key. You need a TD and 100 to get you in the game.Rooting for you as you've been a great contributor to this thread even though we disagree on strategy.
Ignoratio Elenchi
Footballguy
BassNBrew
Footballguy
Anyone else feel like they are just along for the ride? I'm posting 180+ weeks now, but feel like I have no shot to place high. My 10 RB strategy seemed like a good play at the time, but now I don't have the horsepower to post 200 pt weeks.
Jones/Wells/Bush/Harrison/Kirim/Tate/Ward/Howling/Hardesty/Barber are great for navigating bye weeks but aren't that scary. Really banked on Foster/Hillis/Forte/Best/MJD going down. Best did but Harrison wasn't the answer.
Next year I think I risk having one stud at the RB position. I had Rice on my roster for most of the pre-season but dumped him because I thought Bush/Jones were great value plays and was concerned about week 5. I also upgraded my QB position to Brady (had Stafford) and added Graham in the last iteration when I cut Rice. I envisioned Tate/Barber/Harrison as late season starters and absolutely dominating late.
Jones/Wells/Bush/Harrison/Kirim/Tate/Ward/Howling/Hardesty/Barber are great for navigating bye weeks but aren't that scary. Really banked on Foster/Hillis/Forte/Best/MJD going down. Best did but Harrison wasn't the answer.
Next year I think I risk having one stud at the RB position. I had Rice on my roster for most of the pre-season but dumped him because I thought Bush/Jones were great value plays and was concerned about week 5. I also upgraded my QB position to Brady (had Stafford) and added Graham in the last iteration when I cut Rice. I envisioned Tate/Barber/Harrison as late season starters and absolutely dominating late.
QuizGuy66
Footballguy
Only if the Philadelphia Flyers were playing.-QGI need like ZERO movement in the cut line, I think I have 143.7 or somethign like that (Scoresheet is at home)... any chance there is a 0-0 tie today with no turnovers to help the defense?
inyoutees
Footballguy
<-- Raises handShould make it to week 11 with a 176 and change this week, but there is no way I'm in contention for anything. Haven't been since Britt went down in week 3. Amazed to make it this far.
QuizGuy66
Footballguy
Here's the roster counts for those left. This is out of 2308 entries (i.e. it includes staff). The average team has 1.000433 players going tonight. Let me know if I missed anyone:
J Nelson 315
A Rodgers 227
A Peterson 193
J Finley 163
D McNabb 155
Packers Def 153
J Starks 122
G Jennings 116
R Longwell 113
R Cobb 106
J Jones 97
M Jenkins 87
M Crosby 79
V Shiancoe 79
Vikings Def 68
P Harvin 62
D Driver 49
K Rudolph 29
Alex Green 23
R Grant 20
G Camarillo 17
T Gerhart 15
C Ponder 12
D Aromashodu 9
-QG
J Nelson 315
A Rodgers 227
A Peterson 193
J Finley 163
D McNabb 155
Packers Def 153
J Starks 122
G Jennings 116
R Longwell 113
R Cobb 106
J Jones 97
M Jenkins 87
M Crosby 79
V Shiancoe 79
Vikings Def 68
P Harvin 62
D Driver 49
K Rudolph 29
Alex Green 23
R Grant 20
G Camarillo 17
T Gerhart 15
C Ponder 12
D Aromashodu 9
-QG
I went with Steven Jackson as my "stud" and have gotten alot of help with the situations Tate and Bush are in. I backed up Jackson with Cadillac Williams but he just hurt himself jogging out to the field so I'm done if Jackson gets hurt. I wish I pulled the trigger and went with Fred Jackson to round out my Jackson-heavy roster. Vincent Jackson is my "stud" WR but he's wildly inconsistent.Anyone else feel like they are just along for the ride? I'm posting 180+ weeks now, but feel like I have no shot to place high. My 10 RB strategy seemed like a good play at the time, but now I don't have the horsepower to post 200 pt weeks. Jones/Wells/Bush/Harrison/Kirim/Tate/Ward/Howling/Hardesty/Barber are great for navigating bye weeks but aren't that scary. Really banked on Foster/Hillis/Forte/Best/MJD going down. Best did but Harrison wasn't the answer.Next year I think I risk having one stud at the RB position. I had Rice on my roster for most of the pre-season but dumped him because I thought Bush/Jones were great value plays and was concerned about week 5. I also upgraded my QB position to Brady (had Stafford) and added Graham in the last iteration when I cut Rice. I envisioned Tate/Barber/Harrison as late season starters and absolutely dominating late.
Tennessee_ATO
Footballguy
Thanks for the sentiment, guys. If I'm eliminated, which appears likely, I'll stick around. This is the first time I've taken this contest seriously, and I'm a long way away from feeling comfortable with my philosophy. So I plan on trying to steal everyone else's good ideas.
BNB, RB is where I felt the most lost coming in and still feel the most lost. While most of my discussions with folks have centered around WR examples, nothing I've seen has fundamentally altered my approach at that position. At most I think I may take my least confident $18ish WR and trade him in for a handful of cheaper options next year.RB, on the other hand, has me completely flummoxed. The salaries for the "studs" are astronomical, as are the salaries for the most appealing back-ups and 2nd tier guys. I approached this season thinking that planning on my flex from the WR position seemed like the most cost-effective approach. FWIW, next year I intend to at least double my TEs for the same reason. Regardless, I whiffed on the same guys everyone else whiffed on, and my alternatives were too few and too crappy. I don't see how in the world I could have solved that problem though -- the non-crappy alternatives were too expensive.Anyone else feel like they are just along for the ride? I'm posting 180+ weeks now, but feel like I have no shot to place high. My 10 RB strategy seemed like a good play at the time, but now I don't have the horsepower to post 200 pt weeks. Jones/Wells/Bush/Harrison/Kirim/Tate/Ward/Howling/Hardesty/Barber are great for navigating bye weeks but aren't that scary. Really banked on Foster/Hillis/Forte/Best/MJD going down. Best did but Harrison wasn't the answer.Next year I think I risk having one stud at the RB position. I had Rice on my roster for most of the pre-season but dumped him because I thought Bush/Jones were great value plays and was concerned about week 5. I also upgraded my QB position to Brady (had Stafford) and added Graham in the last iteration when I cut Rice. I envisioned Tate/Barber/Harrison as late season starters and absolutely dominating late.
Stinkin Ref
IBL Representative
Anyone else feel like they are just along for the ride? I'm posting 180+ weeks now, but feel like I have no shot to place high. My 10 RB strategy seemed like a good play at the time, but now I don't have the horsepower to post 200 pt weeks. Jones/Wells/Bush/Harrison/Kirim/Tate/Ward/Howling/Hardesty/Barber are great for navigating bye weeks but aren't that scary. Really banked on Foster/Hillis/Forte/Best/MJD going down. Best did but Harrison wasn't the answer.Next year I think I risk having one stud at the RB position. I had Rice on my roster for most of the pre-season but dumped him because I thought Bush/Jones were great value plays and was concerned about week 5. I also upgraded my QB position to Brady (had Stafford) and added Graham in the last iteration when I cut Rice. I envisioned Tate/Barber/Harrison as late season starters and absolutely dominating late.
took the opposite approach to what I have often seen "pimped" as the way to go...."have early bye weeks".....I went late bye week.....next week (11) is my tough week....although I thought I had it covered....my goal was to stay in it as long as I can and hope that injuries, etc to other teams along the way made them weaker when it came down to the final weeks which would hopefully bring me back to the field and with a fighting chance.....Ben, Campbell, McCoy...thought I be able to pick between Campbell and McCoy this week...nopegood chance my only two RB's this week are Barber and Goodson....(was supposed to have Felix and Hillis covering me while Mendy/Redman/Ward/Tate were on bye)......nopeok at WR with only A. Brown n bye (well and MSW... 
)and missing Graham.....so while I only have 7 of my 29 on bye.....misfortune with my key high dollar players (Felix/Hillis)who were supposed to help me produce this week and on into the later weeks if I would have been so lucky, have me sitting in the seat behind the bus driver with my back pack on waiting for him to open the door.....been a good ride though.....and probably didn't have the firepower to throw up those 200 point monster weeks as it is if I made it past week 11....thought Ben/Mendy/Hillis/Felix/Graham/Hernandez along with my stable of WR's might give me a chance.....but I gave Mendy/Hillis/Felix too much credit going in......Yes, I do. And, yes, I understand the point. Thanks for being a ####.Did you read the bolded portion?
I absolutely understand that.And, one of 3,157 makes me feel worse, actually. It's fewer entries than I thought.Again, this was to keep myself updated each week. If it bothers others in this thread, my apologies. While others obviously find it annoying (which is pretty odd), I don't understand how anyone can't play the "what if?" game. I'm just doing it in this thread because it's the easiest place for me to keep quoting myself while I read through the thread anyway. Like many of you, I keep following the contest even after I'm eliminated for the discussion.
Organized Chaos
Footballguy
It was due some of the ends of the 4 o'clock games not grabbing all the stats. Chi Def alone moved up 20 points.
JoeSteeler
Footballguy
This is my first time in so I am not sure. I have been above the cut line by a good margin most every week but haven't put up huge numbers. I only have Wallace and Owen Daniels on bye week 11 so I feel like I should be Ok there. here is my team:
In hindsight i would have went with another good TE, otherwise I like this team.
