***Official*** 2011 FBG Subscriber Contest Thread (2 Viewers)

[kardplayer]

At halftime, cutline is 158.1.Full team scores:https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AmSV5aHfLpnkdDRHSmFkX3FYMk1ONGUxdDVscWllbmc

kardplayer,I can't find my team 101318

I can't either my team is 100804 and still alive.

In the spreadsheet, you should be able to search for it. Just click "Edit" and then "Find" (or "Find and Replace") - then type in your team #

I don't see 100804 on the spreadsheet. I would appreciate it if someone else could find it for me. I don't think it is on the spreadsheet. Does that mean I automatically advance?

Dude, you were eliminated in Week 4.

Dude then FBG has the wrong number for my team UnclePauls Balls.UnclePauls BallsThis entry is still alive. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Philip Rivers $24 26.45 30.10 11.10 23.15 24.50 0.00 12.85 16.55 40.15 25.10 24.00 15.50 Sam Bradford $17 7.90 24.05 15.50 14.20 0.00 15.05 0.00 0.00 11.95 13.05 14.05 16.15 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Darren McFadden $28 16.10 29.80 31.30 14.30 7.80 15.80 1.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chris Wells $16 18.20 15.30 0.00 31.80 12.00 0.00 4.20 14.30 4.30 6.20 3.30 28.80 Michael Bush $10 3.00 8.30 12.70 16.10 0.90 4.20 12.10 0.00 19.90 31.70 19.90 17.30 Bernard Scott $9 0.30 1.00 1.00 3.20 8.90 3.90 0.00 9.10 2.40 3.80 4.00 1.30 Pierre Thomas $7 8.80 6.50 4.80 9.90 11.70 2.10 15.00 11.40 17.10 5.80 0.00 18.50 Jerome Harrison $5 2.70 0.60 1.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Ben Tate $3 17.60 15.50 9.50 2.00 0.00 4.10 10.40 4.20 17.50 12.30 0.00 2.60 Taiwan Jones $2 0.00 0.40 0.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.30 0.00 0.10 3.90 0.30 0.00 LaRod Stephens-Howling $2 1.70 0.00 0.00 1.50 0.50 0.00 14.60 1.70 0.40 4.80 0.40 2.80 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Vincent Jackson $25 5.10 39.20 11.40 19.80 6.40 0.00 2.50 7.90 39.10 3.20 29.50 4.50 Lee Evans $10 0.00 6.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.80 Lance Moore $10 0.00 1.60 23.80 10.00 6.00 6.60 7.40 20.40 11.00 3.80 0.00 22.40 Nate Burleson $8 13.00 16.30 3.20 3.60 2.00 13.40 2.10 7.20 0.00 17.30 19.30 10.00 Danny Amendola $8 9.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 out? out? out? out? Malcom Floyd $8 7.50 7.90 4.80 4.60 19.00 0.00 5.60 15.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Brian Robiskie $6 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.50 0.00 1.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Antonio Brown $3 3.40 10.80 11.50 12.50 5.30 2.60 17.20 21.70 15.90 13.60 0.00 12.60 Denarius Moore $3 0.00 28.10 15.70 10.90 0.00 1.60 1.40 0.00 10.10 29.30 2.40 0.00 Josh Cribbs $2 2.00 7.10 13.90 10.00 0.00 5.00 1.90 13.60 16.00 8.30 11.20 2.00 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Owen Daniels $12 2.70 13.00 21.10 20.40 19.40 4.30 13.10 12.00 7.70 7.60 0.00 9.10 Aaron Hernandez $10 26.80 22.70 0.00 0.00 13.10 24.80 0.00 10.10 15.50 10.10 10.40 15.20 Lance Kendricks $6 3.30 4.10 4.70 9.30 0.00 13.10 0.00 1.70 2.20 0.00 5.10 8.20 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Josh Brown $3 9.00 10.00 1.00 5.00 0.00 4.00 1.00 8.00 14.00 8.00 1.00 11.00 Olindo Mare $2 3.00 12.00 8.00 13.00 3.00 7.00 21.00 3.00 0.00 3.00 10.00 13.00 Jay Feely $2 4.00 3.00 6.00 9.00 7.00 0.00 2.00 12.00 8.00 3.00 1.00 12.00 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Dallas Cowboys $4 8.00 8.00 7.00 2.00 0.00 11.00 5.00 4.00 7.00 15.00 7.00 6.00 St. Louis Rams $3 5.00 5.00 4.00 4.00 0.00 3.00 4.00 16.00 7.00 4.00 8.00 15.00 Jacksonville Jaguars $2 4.00 5.00 0.00 7.00 4.00 3.00 7.00 6.00 0.00 11.00 4.00 8.00 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------TOTAL 152.15 217.00 160.50 168.95 123.10 115.95 125.85 153.65 202.15 170.70 141.40 168.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 CUTOFF 0.00 138.90 142.00 142.10 104.90 112.35 108.15 128.55 140.25 147.15 133.90 154.55 0.00 0.00 0.

Possibly it's in OC's tool under a different number - let me take a looksee..

You are actually #100152http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2011/100152.phpAnd the news doesn't appear to be good. I have you at #354

 

[Ever Present Lurker]

At halftime, cutline is 158.1.Full team scores:https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AmSV5aHfLpnkdDRHSmFkX3FYMk1ONGUxdDVscWllbmc

kardplayer,I can't find my team 101318

I can't either my team is 100804 and still alive.

In the spreadsheet, you should be able to search for it. Just click "Edit" and then "Find" (or "Find and Replace") - then type in your team #

I don't see 100804 on the spreadsheet. I would appreciate it if someone else could find it for me. I don't think it is on the spreadsheet. Does that mean I automatically advance?

Dude, you were eliminated in Week 4.

 

[aposulli]

Thatd be just cruel if that sack knocked someone out.

 

[Sol D]

In my address bar the number is 100152. On the give your team a nickname page it shows 100804 but that might just be an example, nice if they said so. So my bad. Thanks for checking.

THIS is entry 100804. What team number is in your address bar?FBG contest - sopranosPlease read these notes before sending questionsThe week 12 standings are located here.The full contest rules are located here.If you have a question, it is likely that others may have the same question. So we ask that you please direct all questions to the Website Questions Forum at our boards.sopranosThis entry is NOT still alive. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Drew Brees $28 39.25 31.70 34.40 22.55 28.95 24.25 46.25 17.35 25.90 28.10 0.00 48.95 Kevin Kolb $15 27.35 23.55 18.20 10.95 10.60 0.00 26.00 13.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Chris Johnson $36 7.90 8.00 9.50 12.20 14.00 0.00 7.50 6.60 13.00 25.40 4.30 19.80 Michael Turner $27 15.50 21.10 2.00 21.80 11.60 27.20 12.20 0.00 14.30 11.10 17.40 6.90 Felix Jones $23 14.10 3.50 17.00 10.10 0.00 4.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.70 0.90 Montario Hardesty $4 1.80 0.10 10.10 9.60 0.00 6.30 13.20 0.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Ben Tate $3 17.60 15.50 9.50 2.00 0.00 4.10 10.40 4.20 17.50 12.30 0.00 2.60 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Larry Fitzgerald $28 9.20 26.30 17.40 18.20 10.60 0.00 11.80 12.80 14.30 33.60 13.10 8.50 Wes Welker $23 36.00 15.10 51.60 30.80 17.40 16.50 0.00 9.90 23.90 10.60 4.20 30.60 Danny Amendola $8 9.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Antonio Brown $3 3.40 10.80 11.50 12.50 5.30 2.60 17.20 21.70 15.90 13.60 0.00 12.60 Dexter McCluster $2 11.70 8.90 11.20 6.80 2.80 0.00 4.50 5.80 5.40 15.30 6.80 5.90 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Antonio Gates $29 19.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.90 13.30 27.60 12.90 18.30 19.90 Dennis Pitta $2 7.50 5.40 0.00 2.90 0.00 3.90 5.80 13.40 12.10 10.90 0.00 10.90 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------David Buehler $3 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Ryan Longwell $3 6.00 8.00 16.00 6.00 13.00 5.00 14.00 7.00 0.00 1.00 3.00 2.00 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Pittsburgh Steelers $9 1.00 5.00 9.00 0.00 5.00 5.00 6.00 5.00 5.00 4.00 0.00 9.00 Dallas Cowboys $4 8.00 8.00 7.00 2.00 0.00 11.00 5.00 4.00 7.00 15.00 7.00 6.00 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------TOTAL 177.05 150.80 178.20 139.05 CUTOFF 0.00 138.90 142.00 142.10

 

[kardplayer]

I have the final cutline (unofficially of course) at 164.25. Unlikely the final sack knocked someone out, but I'll check.

 

[Bad_Mo]

Pfft. Rivers sitting on the sidelines thanks to JAX's inept offense and failing to keep it somewhat close. Jackson coming up short, RBs totally disappeared and I'll be bounced. Karim inactive...nice. A few points from him would have helped.

Meh. 289 out of 12,000...not bad but its bittersweet. So close to the money round. GL to those remaining.

 

[Xenopax]

I have the final cutline (unofficially of course) at 164.25. Unlikely the final sack knocked someone out, but I'll check.

If you would, please post a new Google doc before you finish for the night.

 

[Sol D]

At halftime, cutline is 158.1.Full team scores:https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AmSV5aHfLpnkdDRHSmFkX3FYMk1ONGUxdDVscWllbmc

kardplayer,I can't find my team 101318

I can't either my team is 100804 and still alive.

In the spreadsheet, you should be able to search for it. Just click "Edit" and then "Find" (or "Find and Replace") - then type in your team #

I don't see 100804 on the spreadsheet. I would appreciate it if someone else could find it for me. I don't think it is on the spreadsheet. Does that mean I automatically advance?

Dude, you were eliminated in Week 4.

What are you laughing at... I was eliminated week 13.

 

[kardplayer]

Here's the link to the final spreadsheet...

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AmSV5aHfLpnkdHFUWl8yZ1pIa3h2QlV1M3ZSb01QcEE

 

[rustycolts]

I have the final cutline (unofficially of course) at 164.25. Unlikely the final sack knocked someone out, but I'll check.

Man I hope not.I'm probably 250.

 

[wollac]

I'm going to join the "fire Norv" crowd if pulling the starters costs me.

On to the money round for the first time!!! Thanks kardplayer for the hard work these last few weeks, As well as Iggy, OC, QG, and others out there.

 

[kardplayer]

It does not appear the final sack knocked anyone out, but it did move someone from 260 to 253.

I'm double checking all the data to make sure my inputs are good for the MNF game.

Definitely check the official numbers tomorrow - I was dead on last week, but you never know.

 

[kardplayer]

I'm going to join the "fire Norv" crowd if pulling the starters costs me.

On to the money round for the first time!!! Thanks kardplayer for the hard work these last few weeks, As well as Iggy, OC, QG, and others out there.

My pleasure... last week I was doing it selfishly - I rode Jimmy Graham to making the cut by 2.45.This week, I did it because I remember how on edge I was last week - paying it "forward" so to speak Hopefully that's good karma and helps me ride to the top of the final 250!

 

[24seven]

Well it was fun guys. GL to those competing for the money.

 

[wollac]

I would love to see one of you database junkies handicap the Final 250. Maybe grab the projected stats from Lineup Dominator for a cumulative score for Weeks 14-16, and apply them to the remaining 250 teams. I know that's not very realistic, but you know how we live for this stuff.

 

[wollac]

Also, I know others were curious about this, but maybe we can get a list together of the regular contributors here who have made the final 250. I'll start it off...

wollac - Team 101380

 

[kevzilla]

Here's the link to the final spreadsheet...https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AmSV5aHfLpnkdHFUWl8yZ1pIa3h2QlV1M3ZSb01QcEE

Here's hoping you are right on the money again.

 

[kardplayer]

I would love to see one of you database junkies handicap the Final 250. Maybe grab the projected stats from Lineup Dominator for a cumulative score for Weeks 14-16, and apply them to the remaining 250 teams. I know that's not very realistic, but you know how we live for this stuff.

This is above my skill level... and I prefer the term "spreadsheet jock" by about 3 touchdowns over "database junkie"

 

[kardplayer]

I double checked the MNF data - looks like it's all correct. We'll find out for sure in the morning!

 

[Ever Present Lurker]

Also, I know others were curious about this, but maybe we can get a list together of the regular contributors here who have made the final 250. I'll start it off...wollac - Team 101380

108th Revision - Team 100772

 

[kardplayer]

Also, I know others were curious about this, but maybe we can get a list together of the regular contributors here who have made the final 250. I'll start it off...wollac - Team 101380

108th Revision - Team 100772

kardplayer - Team 104497

 

[NYRAGE]

#166 (Team 103768) pass the Cristal! Would be lucky to win anything, but it's been fun. Let the freeroll begin. I'm fortunate to have gotten this far. Note to self, get better kickers and defenses next year.

 

[northwoods]

Dang, I'm out. # 328. Too little, too late. Good luck everyone.

 

[kardplayer]

Iggy - here's one for you... how many folks in the finals had at least one week where they made it by 5 points or less?

 

[NYRAGE]

Iggy - here's one for you... how many folks in the finals had at least one week where they made it by 5 points or less?

Once for me. In Week 3, I made it by 4.5. Otherwise, never closer than 25 until this week.

 

[DWI]

Im out 288th place back to the drawing board.

Congrats to those that made the cut.

 

[Ignoratio Elenchi]

#312. Missed the cut by 7.75.

I never stood a chance of winning the big money anyway, so it's not a big deal. Good luck to those of you still in it, I hope one of you takes it home.

 

[Marvelous]

I was knocked out in week 11. I would have made the finals without the one bad week. I had 7 low value players on a bye week. Who know my team would be so dependent on Antonio Brown, Denerius Moore, Benjamin Tate, and Pierre Thomas to make the cuts each week. Their scores counted half of the time for my team.

 

[a_troll00]

The first two years I was involved in this contest, I got bounced in week 11. The two years following found me unceremoniously thrown out in week 4... Now, on my 5th try, I'm moving on to the final 250! Good luck to everyone advancing.

This is my team that's moving forward:

http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2011/109047.php

 

[BassNBrew]

Made the final 250 for the first time ever. Thank you Floyd for coming back this week and even a bigger thank you Lord Stephens-Howling whose OT heorics were the difference at my flex postion.

I think I'm in the top 100 total scores for the year, however I have zero chance to finish in the big money. My roster is completely covered by the field...

Brady 13%, Stafford >50%

Wells 50%, Bush 30%, Tate >50%, Barber and Jones around 20%

VJ 30%, Floyd 20%, Moore 35%, Manningham 16%, Moore 40%, Brown >50%, Burleson >50%

Graham 40%, Kendricks 40%

Even my kickers and Ds are roughly around 20% ownership.

My only real difference makers are Brady and Pettigrew. The one commonly held guy that I don't have is Ray Rice and he's the one I would need to be competitive.

I think I'm pretty much locked into a 75th to 175th finish.

 

[wollac]

And the final survival stats...

Size	Started	Final 250	Surv Rate18	3568	48	1.35%19	1393	13	0.93%20	1059	23	2.17%21	836	25	2.99%22	766	19	2.48%23	641	16	2.50%24	547	22	4.02%25	396	11	2.78%26	415	22	5.30%27	296	10	3.38%28	269	12	4.46%29	214	8	3.74%30	375	22	5.87%

 

[LittlePhatty]

I think I'm in the top 100 total scores for the year, however I have zero chance to finish in the big money. My roster is completely covered by the field...

Yeah, there is a unique dynamic in the last few weeks that is impossible to predict.If the highly-owned players score well, you need them on your roster to keep you from being buried under the mountain of the other 249 entries.

But to get in the money you need at least 2 or 3 unique players to score well too.

I haven't checked my ownership stats, but I know I'm in a similar position because I have a lot of those guys too (Team 100814).

 

[IdiotSavant]

So my team of Rivers, Stafford, Ray Rice, McGahee, Howling, VJax, Wallace, Burleson, Antonio Brown, McCluster, Finely, and freaking Travis Beckum did squat last week to get me eliminated at 12th to last.

Meanwhile they would have been the 29th best team this week to get me to the finals.

Shows how one unlucky week can kill you in this.

 

[Bad_Mo]

#312. Missed the cut by 7.75. I never stood a chance of winning the big money anyway, so it's not a big deal. Good luck to those of you still in it, I hope one of you takes it home.

I missed it by 6.5 points. Thanks, Norv, for yanking Rivers and Jackson.Definitely looked promising at halftime...Rivers had 2 TDs and 200+ yards passing and Jackson had 4-72 and a TD. I blame it on me checking the damn Gametracker to view the stats. definitely my fault.Good luck to the rest of you guys that squeaked in.

 

[Ignoratio Elenchi]

I may have low balled it. I have a 23 man roster btw. I'll say 66 spots 23 and under roster size. Make your guess.

160 is the number based on an even attrition rate across the board, so that may be a tad high. I'll go with 150, roughly a 10% and 12% survival rate for sub-23 and 24+ rostsers respectively.Yours assumes the 24+ rosters will suffer roughly a 5 times greater survival rate than the sub 23 rosters (4.5% vs. 22.2%).

Looking at it a little more this morning, I think 66 is way too low and 150 is way too high. I'll put my official guess at 120.

Looks like Tennessee_ATO was right about this one. Final count is 144.

 

[Bad_Mo]

Does anyone have access to the post-season subscriber contest rules from last year? I know they were posted earlier but I doubt I'll be able to locate which page it was posted on. thanks

 

[Ignoratio Elenchi]

Does anyone have access to the post-season subscriber contest rules from last year? I know they were posted earlier but I doubt I'll be able to locate which page it was posted on. thanks

http://subscribers.footballguys.com/2010/10playoffcontestrules.php

 

[kardplayer]

Here's ownership stats for the remaining 250:

Antonio Brown	132	53%Matthew Stafford	130	52%Ben Tate	130	52%Nate Burleson	127	51%Chris Wells	123	49%Ray Rice	117	47%Lance Kendricks	108	43%Denarius Moore	105	42%Jimmy Graham	99	40%Lance Moore	89	36%Tim Hightower	87	35%Aaron Hernandez	83	33%Jay Feely	83	33%Reggie Bush	76	30%Philip Rivers	71	28%Vincent Jackson	71	28%Houston Texans	69	28%Pierre Thomas	69	28%Shaun Suisham	66	26%Dexter McCluster	66	26%Colt McCoy	64	26%Dez Bryant	61	24%Denver Broncos	58	23%Evan Moore	54	22%Josh Brown	54	22%Owen Daniels	54	22%Rob Gronkowski	53	21%Arizona Cardinals	52	21%Deji Karim	52	21%Marion Barber	50	20%Malcom Floyd	49	20%Danny Amendola	47	19%Phil Dawson	46	18%Aaron Rodgers	46	18%Willis McGahee	45	18%Harry Douglas	44	18%Jordy Nelson	44	18%Mike Wallace	42	17%LaRod Stephens-Howling	42	17%Dallas Cowboys	42	17%Mario Manningham	41	16%Felix Jones	40	16%Buffalo Bills	40	16%Wes Welker	39	16%Mike Williams	38	15%Plaxico Burress	37	15%St. Louis Rams	37	15%Lee Evans	37	15%Isaac Redman	36	14%Detroit Lions	35	14%Sebastian Janikowski	34	14%Jerome Harrison	32	13%Sam Bradford	32	13%Tom Brady	32	13%New Orleans Saints	32	13%Olindo Mare	32	13%Greg Olsen	31	12%Roddy White	31	12%Steve Johnson	31	12%Montario Hardesty	31	12%Rian Lindell	29	12%Larry Fitzgerald	28	11%Roy Helu	28	11%Fred Davis	28	11%Matt Bryant	28	11%LeSean McCoy	28	11%Rob Bironas	27	11%Josh Cribbs	26	10%Derrick Ward	25	10%Bernard Berrian	25	10%Nick Folk	25	10%Tony Gonzalez	25	10%Santana Moss	24	10%Brandon Lloyd	24	10%Jacksonville Jaguars	24	10%Tampa Bay Buccaneers	23	9%Brent Celek	23	9%Calvin Johnson	23	9%New England Patriots	23	9%Matt Ryan	22	9%Earl Bennett	22	9%Pittsburgh Steelers	21	8%Steven Jackson	21	8%Andre Roberts	21	8%Green Bay Packers	21	8%Percy Harvin	21	8%Mike Sims-Walker	21	8%Neil Rackers	20	8%Hakeem Nicks	20	8%Dan Bailey	20	8%Mohamed Massaquoi	19	8%Javon Ringer	19	8%Mark Ingram	19	8%Matt Prater	19	8%Brandon Pettigrew	19	8%Michael Bush	18	7%Jason Hanson	18	7%San Diego Chargers	18	7%Lawrence Tynes	18	7%Darren McFadden	17	7%Maurice Jones-Drew	17	7%Mark Sanchez	17	7%Brandon Jacobs	17	7%Donovan McNabb	17	7%Kevin Kolb	15	6%James Starks	15	6%New York Jets	15	6%Dan Carpenter	14	6%Mike Tolbert	14	6%Alex Henery	14	6%San Francisco 49ers	13	5%Taiwan Jones	13	5%Connor Barth	13	5%Chad Henne	13	5%Ryan Longwell	13	5%Rashard Mendenhall	13	5%Steve Smith	13	5%Nate Washington	13	5%Devery Henderson	13	5%Ben Roethlisberger	13	5%Braylon Edwards	12	5%Tony Scheffler	12	5%Peyton Hillis	12	5%Jacoby Ford	12	5%Greg Jennings	12	5%David Akers	12	5%Ryan Fitzpatrick	12	5%James Jones	12	5%Kendall Hunter	11	4%Matt Schaub	11	4%Mike Thomas	11	4%Philadelphia Eagles	11	4%Brandon Marshall	11	4%Eric Decker	11	4%Jacob Tamme	11	4%Baltimore Ravens	11	4%Randall Cobb	11	4%Mike Nugent	11	4%Seattle Seahawks	10	4%Jordan Shipley	10	4%Steve Breaston	10	4%Jermichael Finley	10	4%Donald Driver	10	4%Marshawn Lynch	10	4%Josh Freeman	10	4%LeGarrette Blount	10	4%Danny Woodhead	10	4%Michael Jenkins	10	4%Minnesota Vikings	9	4%BenJarvus Green-Ellis	9	4%Ryan Mathews	9	4%Drew Brees	9	4%Darrius Heyward-Bey	9	4%Thomas Jones	9	4%Fred Jackson	8	3%Adrian Peterson	8	3%Roscoe Parrish	8	3%Tashard Choice	8	3%Mason Crosby	8	3%DeAngelo Williams	8	3%Ricky Williams	8	3%Andre Johnson	8	3%Stephen Gostkowski	8	3%Cleveland Browns	8	3%Eli Manning	8	3%Patrick Crayton	7	3%Billy Cundiff	7	3%Jahvid Best	7	3%Atlanta Falcons	7	3%Tennessee Titans	7	3%Cedric Benson	7	3%Tony Romo	7	3%Jason Avant	7	3%Carolina Panthers	7	3%Arian Foster	7	3%Emmanuel Sanders	6	2%Dennis Pitta	6	2%Delone Carter	6	2%Bilal Powell	6	2%Cam Newton	6	2%Knowshon Moreno	6	2%Jacoby Jones	6	2%Rex Grossman	6	2%Johnny Knox	6	2%Washington Redskins	6	2%Legedu Naanee	6	2%Cadillac Williams	6	2%Andy Dalton	6	2%Kansas City Chiefs	5	2%Miami Dolphins	5	2%Devin Hester	5	2%Brian Robiskie	5	2%Zach Miller	5	2%Dwayne Bowe	5	2%Early Doucet	5	2%Greg Little	5	2%Dustin Keller	5	2%Chicago Bears	5	2%Robert Meachem	5	2%Donald Brown	5	2%Nick Novak	5	2%Chris Johnson	5	2%Michael Turner	5	2%Josh Scobee	5	2%Adam Vinatieri	5	2%Darren Sproles	5	2%Kyle Orton	5	2%Julio Jones	5	2%Santonio Holmes	5	2%New York Giants	5	2%Ahmad Bradshaw	5	2%Ronnie Brown	4	2%Bernard Scott	4	2%Kevin Walter	4	2%Jason Snelling	4	2%Vince Young	4	2%Ed Dickson	4	2%Derrick Mason	4	2%Michael Crabtree	4	2%Robbie Gould	4	2%David Thomas	4	2%Shonn Greene	4	2%Matt Forte	4	2%Jared Cook	4	2%Matt Hasselbeck	4	2%Frank Gore	4	2%Michael Vick	4	2%Heath Miller	4	2%LaDainian Tomlinson	4	2%Mewelde Moore	3	1%Ben Watson	3	1%Ted Ginn	3	1%Kellen Winslow	3	1%Christian Ponder	3	1%Kenny Britt	3	1%Joe McKnight	3	1%Oakland Raiders	3	1%A.J. Green	3	1%Antonio Gates	3	1%Brandon Tate	3	1%David Nelson	3	1%Jerome Simpson	3	1%Austin Collie	3	1%Joe Flacco	3	1%Davone Bess	3	1%Joel Dreessen	3	1%Jamaal Charles	3	1%Greg Camarillo	3	1%Mark Clayton	3	1%C.J. Spiller	3	1%Jason Hill	3	1%Nate Kaeding	3	1%Jason Witten	3	1%Alex Green	3	1%Jay Cutler	3	1%Mike Goodson	2	1%Visanthe Shiancoe	2	1%Arrelious Benn	2	1%Demarco Murray	2	1%Damian Williams	2	1%Jason Campbell	2	1%Cecil Shorts	2	1%David Buehler	2	1%Leonard Hankerson	2	1%Sammie Stroughter	2	1%Jerricho Cotchery	2	1%Jeremy Shockey	2	1%Delanie Walker	2	1%Jermaine Gresham	2	1%Terrell Owens	2	1%DeSean Jackson	2	1%Tim Tebow	2	1%Hines Ward	2	1%Miles Austin	2	1%Maurice Morris	2	1%Blaine Gabbert	2	1%Shayne Graham	2	1%Anthony Armstrong	2	1%Eddie Royal	2	1%Marques Colston	1	0%Kevin Ogletree	1	0%Charlie Whitehurst	1	0%Anthony Fasano	1	0%Travis Beckum	1	0%Martellus Bennett	1	0%Louis Murphy	1	0%Pierre Garcon	1	0%Toby Gerhart	1	0%Ryan Grant	1	0%David Garrard	1	0%Justin Forsett	1	0%Vincent Brown	1	0%Jabar Gaffney	1	0%Shane Vereen	1	0%Golden Tate	1	0%Joseph Addai	1	0%Chaz Schilens	1	0%Titus Young	1	0%Alex Smith	1	0%Todd Heap	1	0%Ryan Succop	1	0%Danario Alexander	1	0%Ryan Williams	1	0%Chad Ochocinco	1	0%John Beck	1	0%Anquan Boldin	1	0%Cincinnati Bengals	1	0%Kyle Rudolph	1	0%Indianapolis Colts	1	0%Reggie Wayne	1	0%Randy McMichael	1	0%Bruce Gradkowski	1	0%Sidney Rice	1	0%Lex Hilliard	1	0%Jerrel Jernigan	1	0%

 

[BassNBrew]

5 of top 5 - check (19 of us)

9 of top 10 - check (3 of us)

12 of top 16 - check

Middle of pack finish - $25

 

[northwoods]

I may have low balled it. I have a 23 man roster btw. I'll say 66 spots 23 and under roster size. Make your guess.

160 is the number based on an even attrition rate across the board, so that may be a tad high. I'll go with 150, roughly a 10% and 12% survival rate for sub-23 and 24+ rostsers respectively.Yours assumes the 24+ rosters will suffer roughly a 5 times greater survival rate than the sub 23 rosters (4.5% vs. 22.2%).

Looking at it a little more this morning, I think 66 is way too low and 150 is way too high. I'll put my official guess at 120.

Looks like Tennessee_ATO was right about this one. Final count is 144.

There are 48 18-man teams in the final 250. Almost 1/5 of the final field has 18 players...anyone re-thinking the large rosters????

 

[wollac]

I may have low balled it. I have a 23 man roster btw. I'll say 66 spots 23 and under roster size. Make your guess.

160 is the number based on an even attrition rate across the board, so that may be a tad high. I'll go with 150, roughly a 10% and 12% survival rate for sub-23 and 24+ rostsers respectively.Yours assumes the 24+ rosters will suffer roughly a 5 times greater survival rate than the sub 23 rosters (4.5% vs. 22.2%).

Looking at it a little more this morning, I think 66 is way too low and 150 is way too high. I'll put my official guess at 120.

Looks like Tennessee_ATO was right about this one. Final count is 144.

There are 48 18-man teams in the final 250. Almost 1/5 of the final field has 18 players...anyone re-thinking the large rosters????

Stop skewing the data. There are 48 18-man teams in the final 250, because there were over 3500 18-man rosters entered in the contest. The fact of the matter is, you would have been over 400% more likely to make the finals with a 30-man team than an 18-man team.

 

[BassNBrew]

I may have low balled it. I have a 23 man roster btw. I'll say 66 spots 23 and under roster size. Make your guess.

160 is the number based on an even attrition rate across the board, so that may be a tad high. I'll go with 150, roughly a 10% and 12% survival rate for sub-23 and 24+ rostsers respectively.Yours assumes the 24+ rosters will suffer roughly a 5 times greater survival rate than the sub 23 rosters (4.5% vs. 22.2%).

Looking at it a little more this morning, I think 66 is way too low and 150 is way too high. I'll put my official guess at 120.

Looks like Tennessee_ATO was right about this one. Final count is 144.

There are 48 18-man teams in the final 250. Almost 1/5 of the final field has 18 players...anyone re-thinking the large rosters????

1/3 of the starting field was 18 man rosters.I'm not re-thinking large rosters as they've dominated again this year. What I'm re-thinking is not having a stud RB on my large roster. Easily could have dumped Jones/Manningham for Rice. A large roster is 4-5 times more likely to make the finals. I'd take my chances at 5 lottery tickets weighted at 1 v. 1 lottery ticket weighted a 2.

 

[QuizGuy66]

:( It's official. I missed the cut my only a mere 36 points.

Congrats to the 250 who made it

@bass - You can certainly still win even with a less unique roster. If you have the highest scorer at each position (and flex) on your roster you will come in first. Here's hoping it happens

-QG

 

[domvin]

288th, 157.90 for me, missed it by 7 points or so....

Good Luck to those remaining, and huge thanks to the data base and google gurus!!

 

[Ignoratio Elenchi]

I may have low balled it. I have a 23 man roster btw. I'll say 66 spots 23 and under roster size. Make your guess.

160 is the number based on an even attrition rate across the board, so that may be a tad high. I'll go with 150, roughly a 10% and 12% survival rate for sub-23 and 24+ rostsers respectively.Yours assumes the 24+ rosters will suffer roughly a 5 times greater survival rate than the sub 23 rosters (4.5% vs. 22.2%).

Looking at it a little more this morning, I think 66 is way too low and 150 is way too high. I'll put my official guess at 120.

Looks like Tennessee_ATO was right about this one. Final count is 144.

There are 48 18-man teams in the final 250. Almost 1/5 of the final field has 18 players...anyone re-thinking the large rosters????

Um, no?

 

[The Future Champs]

Here's ownership stats for the remaining 250:

Antonio Brown 132 53%

Matthew Stafford130 52%

Ben Tate 130 52%

Chris Wells 123 49%

Lance Kendricks 108 43%

Denarius Moore 105 42%

Jimmy Graham 99 40%

Lance Moore 89 36%

Aaron Hernandez 83 33%

Reggie Bush 76 30%

Dexter McCluster66 26%

Marion Barber 50 20%

Malcom Floyd 49 20%

Mario Manningham41 16

Sam Bradford 33 13%

Montario Hardesty31 12%

Pittsburgh Steelers 21 8%

Green Bay Packers 21 8%

Jeff Prater 19 8%

Michael Bush 18 7%

James Starks 15 6%

San Francisco 49ers 13 5%

Ryan Longwell 13 5%

Steve Smith 13 5%

David Akers 12 5%

Michael Jenkins 10 4%

Kenny Britt 3 1%

Mark Clayton 3 1%

Sammie Stroughter 2 1%

Charlie Whitehurst 1 0%

My team, with guys who I don't expect to contribute in red.

Very similar to BassNBrew, kevzilla, littlephatty, asslete, rock solid, and :sigh: lhucks, amongst others, and I think I've got more dead weight than most.

 

[sharkvegas]

sharkvegasShark Vegas

Also, I know others were curious about this, but maybe we can get a list together of the regular contributors here who have made the final 250. I'll start it off...

wollac - Team 101380

108th Revision - Team 100772

kardplayer - Team 104497

I'm surprised to see only 6 survivors have Cam Newton.I'm still fighting the good fight with a roster of 18 on Shark Vegas:

http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2011/102446.php

Ben Roethlisberger......$23.....13.....5%

Matthew Stafford.........$18....130....52%

Ray Rice......................$35....117....47%

Maurice Jones-Drew.....$30.....17.....7%

Tim Hightower.............$14.....87....35%

Jerome Harrison...........$5.....32....13%

Roddy White.................$30.....31....12%

Vincent Jackson..........$25.....71....28%

Santana Moss..............$16.....24....10%

Nate Burleson..............$8....127....51%

Danny Amendola..........$8.....47....19%

Antonio Brown.............$3....132....53%

Denarius Moore............$3....105....42%

Jimmy Graham.............$15.....99....40%

Evan Moore...................$2.....54....22%

Sebastian Janikowski...$4.....34....14%

Jay Feely.......................$2.....83....33%

Pittsburgh Steelers.......$9.....21.....8%

Looks like that leaves me rooting for Big Ben, MJD, Santana Moss, Roddy White, and the Steelers!

Happy hunting,

Shark Vegas

 

[Tha Guru]

I made the top 250 thanks to LeSean McCoy, Rice, and Brady..........

 

[BassNBrew]

:( It's official. I missed the cut my only a mere 36 points.Congrats to the 250 who made it @bass - You can certainly still win even with a less unique roster. If you have the highest scorer at each position (and flex) on your roster you will come in first. Here's hoping it happens -QG

Thanks for the well wishes. Sorry you aren't joining the final 250. I like to see the contributors here do well. The problem is that my players are covered by everyone else. Someone will have the combo of the ones that actually perform plus a guy like CJ, Nicks, MJD, etc that will blow up. One glimmer of hope would be if Barber could hang with the other stud RBs.

 

[NYRAGE]

My relatively crappy 28-man roster and commentary

QB

Matthew Stafford 130 52% fairly popular 2 Qbs. Can't complain I guess

Philip Rivers 71 28%

RB

Ben Tate 130 52% might factor as a flex on a bad week

Chris Wells 123 49% somewhat surprising

Tim Hightower 87 35% Inj.

Deji Karim 52 21% bad lottery ticket

Montario Hardesty 31 12% useless

Roy Helu 28 11% has been nice down the stretch

Derrick Ward 25 10% useless

Javon Ringer 19 8% useless,but was a lottery ticket

Arian Foster 7 3% Run, Arian, run

WR

Antonio Brown 132 53% has had some nice games

Nate Burleson 127 51% too busy pushing off or tripping out of bounds to be useful

Lance Moore 89 36% occasional useful game

Dexter McCluster 66 26% was hoping for more

Malcom Floyd 49 20% a couple of useful weeks

Danny Amendola 47 19% inj

Jordy Nelson 44 18% my savior

Roddy White 31 12% big disappointment

Chaz Schilens 1 0% sadly, actually used him a couple of times

TE

Aaron Hernandez 83 33% looked great until he hurt his knee. Solid still. Wish I had chosen Gronk or Graham.yikes

Lance Kendricks 108 43% sleeper? More like comatose

Evan Moore 54 22% same as above

These two positions have been killing me

K

Josh Brown 54 22% The offense is a dog

Matt Bryant 28 11% Offense isn't as prolific as expected

DEF

Houston Texans 69 28% have been ok

Dallas Cowboys 42 17% expected more from Mr. Ryan

Atlanta Falcons 7 3% rounds out a bad trio