kardplayer
Footballguy
Done.https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AmSV5aHfLpnkdFVSdGVVWDhVcEtSWE53ODlMUEY4Tmc
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***Official*** 2011 FBG Subscriber Contest Thread (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter Ignoratio Elenchi
- Start date
Saint
Footballguy
When you look at your team, it's the 6-digit number in the address. In your case, it's # 101287.
Saint
Footballguy
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Bankerguy
Footballguy
431 yikes.Thanks man.
kardplayer
Footballguy
I'm hoping those are the impact of Best Ball again - larger rosters = more upside. At least my 407th ranked, 30 man team hopes so!
If someone with more time wanted to go through all remaining players in the master list above and eliminate those that are on IR and definitely out for this week, that would be cool to see. Also, notes about certain players impacted due to injuries to others - i.e., rumors about Freeman possibly sitting would effect his numbers (obviously) and others on his team - Williams, Blount, etc.
Maybe this exercise is easier when the teams are cut to 250 though.
Maybe this exercise is easier when the teams are cut to 250 though.
Ignoratio Elenchi
Footballguy
:final250:
H8fulHuck
Footballguy
427th place for this 29 man roster.Fun, but hard to predict which players will excel on a large roster without any expensive players other than QB.
Johnny Rock
Footballguy
#497!I'm #496 in those rankings. See you next year guys.
rustycolts
Footballguy
466 for me but I like hanging out at the back thats where all the cool guys are 
kevzilla
Footballguy
8 Zach Miller owners <_<21 Lynch Owners1 Tate owner
kardplayer
Footballguy
1 down, 2 to go!
1 Lynch + Seahawks D owner is8 Zach Miller owners <_<21 Lynch Owners
Well...I assumed McCoy and Lynch would do well considering their opponents.
The Seattle defense came up with that pick 6 which is a bit more than I anticipated. I figured they would come up with a couple of INTs or fumble recoveries because Vince Young simply blows.
Riley Cooper did pretty well as did Golden Tate.
Should be interesting heading into this weekend's games.
The Seattle defense came up with that pick 6 which is a bit more than I anticipated. I figured they would come up with a couple of INTs or fumble recoveries because Vince Young simply blows.
Riley Cooper did pretty well as did Golden Tate.
Should be interesting heading into this weekend's games.
Ignoratio Elenchi
Footballguy
This was a much bigger PITA to put together than I thought it would be when I started, because I wasn't actually keeping track throughout the season. But anyway, here are the number of times each player could have been started, actually was started, and their start %. Note that some players may have been affected positively or negatively by ties - for example, if you had 2 QBs who both scored exactly 20 points one week, only one of them gets credit for starting. I'm not sure exactly which one, it may be the one who came first alphabetically, or the one who cost more, or whatever, and I'm not sure this was handled uniformly in all instances. But that should be a very minor issue, and the only reason I bring it up is because if Doug or another DB guy attempted to compile the same table, we might not get exactly the same results. Anyway...
Code:
PlayerName Potential Actual Start%Mike Wallace 15128 14347 94.8%Calvin Johnson 8542 8075 94.5%Jimmy Graham 11582 10922 94.3%LeSean McCoy 5380 4971 92.4%Greg Jennings 3961 3659 92.4%Matt Forte 3548 3243 91.4%Ray Rice 17621 15846 89.9%Jason Witten 2222 1988 89.5%Roddy White 6029 5328 88.4%Wes Welker 6173 5454 88.4%Steve Smith (CAR) 319 278 87.1%Larry Fitzgerald 10774 9282 86.2%Maurice Jones-Drew 2239 1898 84.8%Tony Gonzalez 3719 3141 84.5%Fred Jackson 2789 2348 84.2%Darren Sproles 1910 1603 83.9%Aaron Rodgers 6079 5090 83.7%Adrian Peterson 6222 5167 83.0%Reggie Wayne 283 231 81.6%Rob Gronkowski 4447 3620 81.4%Steve Johnson 9567 7732 80.8%Tom Brady 7055 5663 80.3%Ryan Mathews 1964 1561 79.5%Michael Turner 2646 2057 77.7%Dwayne Bowe 1975 1531 77.5%Brandon Marshall 2454 1895 77.2%Robert Meachem 1220 936 76.7%Vernon Davis 756 580 76.7%A.J. Green 2189 1676 76.6%Percy Harvin 2343 1783 76.1%Hakeem Nicks 3346 2511 75.0%Jordy Nelson 6992 5207 74.5%Jeremy Maclin 1631 1196 73.3%Dallas Clark 386 282 73.1%Darren McFadden 10183 7419 72.9%Anquan Boldin 1416 1031 72.8%Ahmad Bradshaw 2047 1488 72.7%Drew Brees 1146 829 72.3%Pierre Garcon 903 653 72.3%Jermichael Finley 6708 4837 72.1%Kellen Winslow 1628 1160 71.3%Dustin Keller 1393 988 70.9%Vincent Jackson 21617 15123 70.0%Greg Olsen 13305 9306 69.9%Matthew Stafford 30137 21069 69.9%Owen Daniels 19829 13842 69.8%Jason Hanson 6650 4574 68.8%Brandon Pettigrew 7263 4981 68.6%Jabar Gaffney 591 405 68.5%Mike Thomas 3416 2322 68.0%Mike Williams (TB) 7271 4931 67.8%Green Bay Packers 4854 3270 67.4%Jonathan Stewart 159 107 67.3%Santonio Holmes 1794 1204 67.1%Frank Gore 1970 1319 67.0%Deion Branch 1252 837 66.9%Santana Moss 8188 5400 66.0%Dez Bryant 14761 9731 65.9%David Nelson 352 232 65.9%DeSean Jackson 2283 1495 65.5%Fred Davis 4001 2582 64.5%Nate Washington 1805 1159 64.2%Plaxico Burress 9468 6067 64.1%Heath Miller 2008 1285 64.0%David Akers 2573 1645 63.9%Aaron Hernandez 17595 11245 63.9%New York Jets 5133 3278 63.9%Jermaine Gresham 1008 641 63.6%Jahvid Best 5080 3228 63.5%Antonio Brown 25172 15995 63.5%Dan Bailey 4297 2699 62.8%Brandon Lloyd 5308 3334 62.8%Eric Decker 2589 1609 62.1%Andre Johnson 4597 2853 62.1%Chris Wells 22564 13973 61.9%Shonn Greene 1644 1014 61.7%Houston Texans 13867 8506 61.3%San Francisco 49ers 3741 2286 61.1%Mike Tolbert 6245 3799 60.8%Chris Johnson 1833 1103 60.2%Neil Rackers 4938 2938 59.5%Mason Crosby 3090 1828 59.2%Mike Nugent 2513 1479 58.9%Stephen Gostkowski 2587 1521 58.8%Chicago Bears 2239 1314 58.7%Ed Dickson 728 426 58.5%Detroit Lions 12366 7193 58.2%Ben Watson 1666 967 58.0%Arian Foster 1656 961 58.0%Early Doucet 757 439 58.0%Cam Newton 1285 744 57.9%Willis McGahee 9279 5362 57.8%New York Giants 1628 935 57.4%Baltimore Ravens 4782 2736 57.2%Billy Cundiff 2674 1527 57.1%Cedric Benson 3049 1733 56.8%Robbie Gould 1286 729 56.7%Michael Jenkins 2203 1243 56.4%Julio Jones 5515 3107 56.3%James Starks 4140 2327 56.2%Marques Colston 701 392 55.9%Johnny Knox 2297 1279 55.7%Sebastian Janikowski 8141 4478 55.0%Michael Vick 2856 1570 55.0%Miles Austin 1583 869 54.9%BenJarvus Green-Ellis 2417 1323 54.7%Hines Ward 1573 858 54.5%Steven Jackson 9416 5057 53.7%Michael Bush 3819 2041 53.4%Nate Burleson 22996 12185 53.0%Lance Moore 15411 8165 53.0%Visanthe Shiancoe 3281 1735 52.9%LeGarrette Blount 8931 4686 52.5%Rashard Mendenhall 6495 3389 52.2%Ben Tate 28966 15114 52.2%Steve Breaston 1801 921 51.1%Jerome Simpson 648 331 51.1%Alex Henery 5702 2908 51.0%Rian Lindell 7333 3728 50.8%Philadelphia Eagles 5729 2912 50.8%Jeremy Shockey 1436 714 49.7%Sidney Rice 587 290 49.4%Eli Manning 1208 596 49.3%Davone Bess 1275 625 49.0%Nick Folk 6797 3288 48.4%Tony Romo 3650 1754 48.1%Reggie Bush 11671 5606 48.0%Greg Little 2263 1073 47.4%Darrius Heyward-Bey 2682 1269 47.3%Mario Manningham 13634 6443 47.3%Brian Hartline 328 154 47.0%Philip Rivers 18329 8592 46.9%Josh Scobee 1691 790 46.7%Matt Ryan 5048 2349 46.5%Mark Ingram 5633 2613 46.4%Marcedes Lewis 382 177 46.3%Dan Carpenter 3712 1719 46.3%Jason Avant 1146 530 46.2%Matt Schaub 5359 2478 46.2%Jared Cook 2146 981 45.7%Connor Barth 2544 1161 45.6%Marshawn Lynch 1889 856 45.3%Ryan Fitzpatrick 4122 1861 45.1%Atlanta Falcons 2759 1239 44.9%Matt Bryant 9284 4165 44.9%Ryan Longwell 4214 1877 44.5%Rob Bironas 6776 2998 44.2%James Jones 2446 1080 44.2%Denarius Moore 21709 9562 44.0%Josh Cribbs 5381 2369 44.0%Devery Henderson 3088 1353 43.8%Kevin Walter 1312 572 43.6%Dallas Cowboys 9032 3937 43.6%Antonio Gates 800 348 43.5%Mohamed Massaquoi 3658 1591 43.5%Felix Jones 18564 8057 43.4%Devin Hester 2422 1048 43.3%Cincinnati Bengals 961 414 43.1%Adam Vinatieri 2585 1113 43.1%Buffalo Bills 9331 4017 43.1%Arrelious Benn 1228 528 43.0%Dexter McCluster (WR) 10995 4718 42.9%Kenny Britt 2137 910 42.6%New Orleans Saints 8388 3570 42.6%Ben Roethlisberger 5483 2330 42.5%Nick Novak 1021 433 42.4%Pierre Thomas 12258 5165 42.1%Brent Celek 6465 2701 41.8%Titus Young 539 224 41.6%LaDainian Tomlinson 1195 495 41.4%Shaun Suisham 15329 6342 41.4%Olindo Mare 5052 2086 41.3%New England Patriots 4745 1954 41.2%Oakland Raiders 1623 661 40.7%Michael Crabtree 1279 517 40.4%Phil Dawson 7767 3133 40.3%Joseph Addai 1537 604 39.3%Tampa Bay Buccaneers 4534 1781 39.3%Peyton Hillis 5600 2197 39.2%Brandon Jacobs 4081 1593 39.0%Austin Collie 2054 798 38.9%Mark Sanchez 3845 1486 38.6%Tim Hightower 26932 10317 38.3%Jason Hill 559 213 38.1%Washington Redskins 3407 1297 38.1%Daniel Thomas 1063 401 37.7%Arizona Cardinals 10841 4086 37.7%Pittsburgh Steelers 6785 2545 37.5%Minnesota Vikings 2342 842 36.0%Malcom Floyd 8306 2969 35.7%Roy Williams 630 225 35.7%DeAngelo Williams 1532 540 35.2%Ryan Grant 1167 409 35.0%Josh Freeman 6110 2119 34.7%Jacoby Jones 1246 430 34.5%Joe Flacco 1983 671 33.8%Anthony Fasano 1241 418 33.7%Danario Alexander 597 197 33.0%Todd Heap 2614 861 32.9%Legedu Naanee 674 222 32.9%Emmanuel Sanders 2003 657 32.8%Donald Driver 2242 723 32.2%Chris Cooley 205 66 32.2%Torrey Smith 28 9 32.1%Dexter McCluster (RB) 25 8 32.0%Delanie Walker 417 132 31.7%Josh Brown 15444 4886 31.6%Harry Douglas 7412 2342 31.6%Denver Broncos 10355 3264 31.5%Josh Morgan 416 131 31.5%Randy McMichael 1248 390 31.3%Indianapolis Colts 472 147 31.1%Tony Scheffler 1963 605 30.8%Kevin Boss 1002 303 30.2%Tennessee Titans 2039 610 29.9%Demarco Murray 322 95 29.5%Devin Aromashodu 205 60 29.3%Chad Ochocinco 1966 574 29.2%Kendall Hunter 2855 833 29.2%Ryan Succop 1631 475 29.1%Jay Cutler 2057 588 28.6%Matt Prater 3717 1054 28.4%Damian Williams 189 53 28.0%Matt Hasselbeck 1214 336 27.7%Jacoby Ford 4107 1117 27.2%Cleveland Browns 4061 1091 26.9%Montario Hardesty 8930 2352 26.3%Jacksonville Jaguars 4765 1254 26.3%Joel Dreessen 849 223 26.3%Seattle Seahawks 2152 550 25.6%Andre Roberts 4460 1130 25.3%Mike Williams (SEA) 821 208 25.3%Delone Carter 2847 720 25.3%Evan Moore 10349 2605 25.2%San Diego Chargers 7175 1772 24.7%Colt McCoy 16421 4053 24.7%Lawrence Tynes 4290 1025 23.9%Andy Dalton 1662 397 23.9%Golden Tate 705 167 23.7%Dennis Pitta 1039 243 23.4%Roy Helu 4381 1018 23.2%Lance Kendricks 27738 6310 22.7%Derrick Mason 860 195 22.7%Marion Barber 10154 2298 22.6%Javon Ringer 6208 1398 22.5%Kansas City Chiefs 2044 455 22.3%St. Louis Rams 9387 2069 22.0%Cadillac Williams 1640 357 21.8%Jamaal Charles 3685 802 21.8%C.J. Spiller 1749 380 21.7%Jason Campbell 1243 270 21.7%Carolina Panthers 1228 266 21.7%Mike Sims-Walker 9460 2037 21.5%David Gettis 19 4 21.1%Ted Ginn 871 182 20.9%Matt Cassel 550 114 20.7%Randall Cobb 3000 619 20.6%Donald Brown 822 168 20.4%Jay Feely 17756 3613 20.3%Alex Smith 399 80 20.1%Kevin Kolb 8056 1614 20.0%Kyle Rudolph 1236 242 19.6%Zach Miller (SEA) 2172 417 19.2%Chaz Schilens 343 65 19.0%Kyle Orton 3872 732 18.9%Knowshon Moreno 5696 1053 18.5%Eddie Royal 1742 320 18.4%Tarvaris Jackson 126 23 18.3%Miami Dolphins 1630 291 17.9%Maurice Morris 434 76 17.5%Chad Henne 4333 743 17.1%Isaac Redman 8116 1386 17.1%Tim Tebow 486 79 16.3%Ricky Williams 1529 237 15.5%Bernard Scott 3642 558 15.3%Zach Miller (JAX) 1318 200 15.2%Thomas Jones 2060 300 14.6%Patrick Crayton 2192 318 14.5%Danny Woodhead 4062 570 14.0%Anthony Armstrong 809 108 13.3%Vincent Brown 269 35 13.0%Jonathan Baldwin 108 14 13.0%Kevin Ogletree 340 44 12.9%Ryan Torain 166 21 12.7%Toby Gerhart 649 81 12.5%Braylon Edwards 3551 425 12.0%Rex Grossman 1700 199 11.7%Earl Bennett 4181 483 11.6%LaRod Stephens-Howling 7095 808 11.4%Sam Bradford 12898 1447 11.2%Jacquizz Rodgers 468 51 10.9%Justin Forsett 475 51 10.7%Mewelde Moore 812 86 10.6%Garrett Hartley 509 53 10.4%Tashard Choice 2731 280 10.3%Steve Smith (PHI) 2734 255 9.3%Danny Amendola 17038 1570 9.2%Bernard Berrian 7973 707 8.9%Jason Snelling 1622 143 8.8%Donovan McNabb 6116 539 8.8%Nate Kaeding 2132 172 8.1%Greg Camarillo 562 43 7.7%Michael Hoomanawanui 454 34 7.5%Deji Karim 9716 709 7.3%Lex Hilliard 168 11 6.5%Jeff Reed 235 15 6.4%John Beck 1034 66 6.4%Jerricho Cotchery 733 45 6.1%Jarett Dillard 50 3 6.0%Joe McKnight 367 22 6.0%Christian Ponder 410 24 5.9%Tony Moeaki 583 32 5.5%Lee Evans 12918 693 5.4%Martellus Bennett 356 19 5.3%Leonard Hankerson 244 13 5.3%Jacob Tamme 2202 109 5.0%Derrick Ward 5394 230 4.3%Shayne Graham 1026 43 4.2%Allen Bradford 96 4 4.2%Alex Green 708 27 3.8%David Thomas 735 28 3.8%Blaine Gabbert 545 18 3.3%Riley Cooper 342 11 3.2%David Buehler 1490 47 3.2%Taiwan Jones 3047 92 3.0%Ronnie Brown 1590 46 2.9%Brian Robiskie 1373 39 2.8%T.J. Houshmandzadeh 668 18 2.7%Peyton Manning 112 3 2.7%Shane Vereen 352 9 2.6%Jordan Shipley 3223 74 2.3%Travis Beckum 1047 22 2.1%John Carlson 838 15 1.8%Donnie Avery 341 5 1.5%Mark Clayton 342 5 1.5%Roscoe Parrish 2281 28 1.2%Charlie Whitehurst 605 7 1.2%Vince Young 912 9 1.0%Louis Murphy 299 2 0.7%Bilal Powell 1412 9 0.6%Brandon Tate 858 5 0.6%Jerome Harrison 7748 18 0.2%Mike Goodson 635 1 0.2%Bo Scaife 410 0 0.0%Brandon Jackson 153 0 0.0%Bruce Gradkowski 177 0 0.0%Cecil Shorts 923 0 0.0%David Anderson 50 0 0.0%David Garrard 629 0 0.0%James Hardy 167 0 0.0%Jeremiah Johnson 59 0 0.0%Jerrel Jernigan 128 0 0.0%Micheal Spurlock 99 0 0.0%Rashad Jennings 219 0 0.0%Ryan Williams 136 0 0.0%Sammie Stroughter 152 0 0.0%Tandon Doss 96 0 0.0%Terrell Owens 821 0 0.0%Ignoratio Elenchi
Footballguy
If I had to guess, I'd say ties at the same position were broken by price (the most expensive player counted). For example, you'll notice that Peyton Manning is credited with three starts, while David Garrard is credited with zero. This guy had both of them, and in my process (and apparently Doug's as well) Manning is credited with the start at QB for the three weeks this entry was alive.
For any ties that might have occurred at the flex position, I think RBs took precedence over WRs, who took precedence over TEs.
For any ties that might have occurred at the flex position, I think RBs took precedence over WRs, who took precedence over TEs.
apalmer
Footballguy
As a McFadden owner, I feel your pain.Oof ADP is OUT for Sunday
The Future Champs
Footballguy
Kenny Britt is my highest priced player, and Manningham is my 2nd. Quit yer crying.As a McFadden owner, I feel your pain.Oof ADP is OUT for Sunday
Do you not have Bush?As a McFadden owner, I feel your pain.Oof ADP is OUT for Sunday
Yep, Manningham doubtful.Also, maybe a bit of a surprise- Denarious Moore is out, whom is on about 50% of remaining teams' rosters.Kenny Britt is my highest priced player, and Manningham is my 2nd. Quit yer crying.As a McFadden owner, I feel your pain.Oof ADP is OUT for Sunday
The majority of remaining McFadden owners, oddly do not have Michael Bush. Similarly, the majority of remaining Bush owners do not have McFaddenSounds like the Raiders want to try to get McFadden back into the lineup next week, which stinks for Bush owners. As one of them, I'm content... considering he is one of the main reasons I'm still hereDo you not have Bush?As a McFadden owner, I feel your pain.Oof ADP is OUT for Sunday
apalmer
Footballguy
Tough to take a high-priced RB and his handcuff in the contest, especially with a late bye week team. In hindsight, it would have been a great move, but in August it looked like the potential value was outweighed by weakening my RB corps in Week 8 so, I took the other Bush. Can't complain about what Reggie has done, though-- he's kept me alive so far.'Bad_Mo said:Do you not have Bush?As a McFadden owner, I feel your pain.Oof ADP is OUT for Sunday
True. I took Cadillac Williams because I didn't trust Jackson to stay healthy all season. However, he was a cheap option. With the cheaper backup RBs, I targeted certain guys behind guys who I felt would go down at some point (versus a RBBC situation, hoping my guy rose to the top).Tough to take a high-priced RB and his handcuff in the contest, especially with a late bye week team. In hindsight, it would have been a great move, but in August it looked like the potential value was outweighed by weakening my RB corps in Week 8 so, I took the other Bush. Can't complain about what Reggie has done, though-- he's kept me alive so far.'Bad_Mo said:Do you not have Bush?As a McFadden owner, I feel your pain.Oof ADP is OUT for Sunday
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Cantonese32
Footballguy
Does anyone want to venture an educated/uneducated guess on what the cut-off will be this week? My uneducated guess will be 160-170pts. Do any of you DB guys have simulation capabilities? (I sure hope Doug brings that back next year!)
Ever Present Lurker
Footballguy
Well, my kicker is off to a rip-roarin start. If only the rest of my team was there.
Couple of the guys ran simulations using FBGs projections. The estimated cutoff was around 130 or something. But the numbers are not realistic because FBGs projections are very conservative.Using some guesswork and numbers from prior weeks, 160-170 seemed like a much more reasonable estimate.
After a half of play, I would say the cutoff might be even lower.
Antonio Brown's Punt Return won't count for diddely.
Ignoratio Elenchi
Footballguy
Well I'm pretty sure I'm out this week. It's been fun, and I survived about 8 weeks longer than I thought I would. Good luck to those who make it to the final 250.
The Future Champs
Footballguy
Thanks for all the great work on the thread.Well I'm pretty sure I'm out this week. It's been fun, and I survived about 8 weeks longer than I thought I would. Good luck to those who make it to the final 250.
The Future Champs
Footballguy
Steelers D.Antonio Brown's Punt Return won't count for diddely.
rustycolts
Footballguy
125.85 after the early games.I might have a little hope.
looking bad for me. 106.45 after the 1 pm games.
wollac
Footballguy
87.45 after early games, however, I have my entire WR corps still to play, I'm liking my chances...
QB: Rivers and Stafford (-14.5)
RB: Felix Jones and Pierre Thomas (-4.4)
WR: Vincent Jackson, Dez Bryant, Lance Moore, Nate Burleson, Malcolm Floyd, and Mohammad Massaquoi (-0, -0, -0)
TE: Lance Kendricks (-14.8)
PK: Tynes and Feely (-15)
DEF: Dallas and Arizona (-4)
QB: Rivers and Stafford (-14.5)
RB: Felix Jones and Pierre Thomas (-4.4)
WR: Vincent Jackson, Dez Bryant, Lance Moore, Nate Burleson, Malcolm Floyd, and Mohammad Massaquoi (-0, -0, -0)
TE: Lance Kendricks (-14.8)
PK: Tynes and Feely (-15)
DEF: Dallas and Arizona (-4)
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LittlePhatty
Footballguy
Lots of lesser-owned players having big games today so far.
northwoods
Footballguy
Please have a low cut, please have a low cut, please have a low cut....
Mister CIA
Footballguy
Peterson/McFadden owner here. Surprised I made it this far.Come on Cecil Shorts!As a McFadden owner, I feel your pain.Oof ADP is OUT for Sunday
