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*** Official 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Thread *** Oscar (1 Viewer)

Wind direction is very important for storm surge. A north wind in Panama City is actually pushing water away from the coast. On the east side, there should be maximum storm surge.
Yes,Panama City was spared the worst in terms of storm surge.  But Panama City proper (not PCB) likely saw 140-155mph winds, which is obviously an enormous threat.

 
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There's one guy in PC still streaming and it is super bad there now.  

I don't have any streams up but this guy. Ed Turner.  

 
@RyanMaue: FSU Panama City is reporting 100-mph sustained winds from the NNE.  
Right before the bridge when you drive across to Panama City Beach ... 
#HurricaneMichael

 
Looked like Cantore almost got impaled by a piece of flying debris a few minutes ago on TWC.  He and his crew all wearing batters helmets now  :lmao:

 
Most streams are down.  Eye has stayed nearly intact as the interaction with ground started.  

Honestly, the landfall location was probably as perfect as it could have been.  Raked over an AFB and some lower populated barrier islands and national forest.  

10-15 miles to the West all the way to Pensacola would have been orders of magnitude worse.  Same in the other direction with Tallahassee. 

 
A lot of trailers and poor people in Inland Florida are going to lose everything.  The structure of the storm hasn't begun to degrade yet.  

 
Most streams are down.  Eye has stayed nearly intact as the interaction with ground started.  

Honestly, the landfall location was probably as perfect as it could have been.  Raked over an AFB and some lower populated barrier islands and national forest.  

10-15 miles to the West all the way to Pensacola would have been orders of magnitude worse.  Same in the other direction with Tallahassee. 
Very true.  

 
A lot of trailers and poor people in Inland Florida are going to lose everything.  The structure of the storm hasn't begun to degrade yet.  
I would imagine a lot of people are going to lose their lives.  

It's still been intensifying a little, which is insanity.  1:00 CDT update is 155 mph winds - 2 mph away from Cat5.

 
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Yeah, calling that an "awning" is a little bit downplaying it.  It was a solid concrete structure.
also not the hotel... but yes, not a fabric and lightweight pole construction thing either.

eta: "yes" you're right- calling it an awning is downplaying it too much

 
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A lot of trailers and poor people in Inland Florida are going to lose everything.  The structure of the storm hasn't begun to degrade yet.  
Falling big trees near houses and trailers will also do so significant damage. In South Florida, most people do without the shade from big trees after Andrew, Wilma and Irma.

 
Panama City is emerging from the eye and taking the wrap-around pounding from the south-southwest parts of the eyewall

 
Just spoke to my folks and they said it's not that bad in Destin.  Heavy rain and some wind.  They still have power.  They are stupid for sure.  But they are old and in poor health and the risk of them leaving was probably equal or greater than them staying.

 
One of my coworkers parents live in Panama City. They stayed. Probably not the wisest move from looking at some of these feeds.

 
https://www.severestudios.com/storm-chasers/john.humphress.html

This guys is driving around PCB.  They were spared the worst in terms of storm surge.  I am scared to see what the poor sections of Panama City look like when this thing pulls away.
Been watching this guy for a few minutes.  It doesn't look that bad there.  If they didn't get much surge there they'll be okay.  

But like its been said...its the trailers and small homes 2 miles inland getting the 155mph winds that will be gone.  

 
I would imagine a lot of people are going to lose their lives.  

It's still been intensifying a little, which is insanity.  1:00 CDT update is 155 mph winds - 2 mph away from Cat5.
There are some conspiracy theorists out there that are saying NHC downplayed the late wind speeds because the intensity forecast was off as of 48hrs to landfall by 2 categories.  I can see not wanting the narrative to be that NHC missed the intensity call on 2 storms in a row.

 
Been watching this guy for a few minutes.  It doesn't look that bad there.  If they didn't get much surge there they'll be okay.  

But like its been said...its the trailers and small homes 2 miles inland getting the 155mph winds that will be gone.  
Well, damage there appears to have gotten much worse now as hes driving.  

 
There are some conspiracy theorists out there that are saying NHC downplayed the late wind speeds because the intensity forecast was off as of 48hrs to landfall by 2 categories.  I can see not wanting the narrative to be that NHC missed the intensity call on 2 storms in a row.
I don't put much into those theories, generally.  Primarily because there's no way they would be able to keep something like that quiet long term, and anyone involved would be destroyed.

 
Well, damage there appears to have gotten much worse now as hes driving.  
I think he's driving from Panama City Beach, which was west of the worst, towards Panama City.  I'd imagine everyone will be descending on Panama City to survey the damage.  But I'd imagine the absolute worst damage will be Mexico Beach.  The AFB obviously, but I have no idea what that will look like.

 
I think he's driving from Panama City Beach, which was west of the worst, towards Panama City.  I'd imagine everyone will be descending on Panama City to survey the damage.  But I'd imagine the absolute worst damage will be Mexico Beach.  The AFB obviously, but I have no idea what that will look like.
It will probably look like an airport, but with military planes and surrounded by a fence.

 
The Reddit side has taken a zapruder like approach to that Adair situation.  They blame it on them stopping to take video of what was pretty minor damage, and while that was going on they lost their exit path to surge.  The entire time a girlfriend or mom was cheeping on them to get moving and they ignored it.

 
Still blowing 150 gusts. Will make landfall...???...in Georgia as the strongest GOM storm ever to hit there.  Easily.  

I was mostly joking about Cat 1 Atlanta, but I mean it could seriously get there.

 

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