When they started winning last year that was the gameplan (and Cam benefited in fantasy as well)
The players this year have not said many positive things about Chud
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Preseason Game Observations (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter mikel2014
- Start date
The players this year have not said many positive things about Chud
Concept Coop
Footballguy
massraider
Footballguy
It seemed like a natural to use the read option, but when they changed the offense, and went to more traditional running plays, and let Cam run out of the shotgun and on draws, Cam's numbers took off.
nirad3
Footballguy
Then shouldn't you also remove the outlier on the other side?Because people who have a strong suit in math are aware of a thing called outliers to create the normal range. Not saying it is appropriate in FF but that is what draws people to these statements.
Those "take away [blank]" calls are downright stupid. They happened, why take them away?
J Stew was injured games 12-16
Deangelo's numbers week 12-16
12car 67yards
17car 57yards 2rec 56yards 1 REC TD
22car 93yards 2rec 51yards 1 REC TD
10car 19yards 2rec 29yards (lots of Tolbert vs Oak, up by 11 at half)
21car 210yards 1rec 3yards 2RUS TDS
Maybe not godly numbers but certainly relevant if Stewart does not return to action.
In 11 and 12, it was a sub par oline with a QB reliant offense and QB reliant goalline rush plays (split between 2 backs). The sub par oline is still there but I doubt we see the other 2 things.
shadyridr
Footballguy
you can make the argument a 5 yd loss has absolutely nothing to do with the RBs ability
Those "take away [blank]" calls are downright stupid. They happened, why take them away?
Shutout
Footballguy
I don't know. I was just answering the question. I don't generally do this outlier stuff unless I have a strong reason to support why I think it is an outlier.Then shouldn't you also remove the outlier on the other side?Because people who have a strong suit in math are aware of a thing called outliers to create the normal range. Not saying it is appropriate in FF but that is what draws people to these statements.
Those "take away [blank]" calls are downright stupid. They happened, why take them away?
nirad3
Footballguy
I see where you're going but then you could also make the argument that a positive gain has more to do with the OL than the person toting the rock. It may not be a valid argument but you could still make it.you can make the argument a 5 yd loss has absolutely nothing to do with the RBs ability
Those "take away [blank]" calls are downright stupid. They happened, why take them away?
Either way, taking out outliers for fantasy purposes doesn't make sense in my book. Carry on.
Banger
Footballguy
Was really hoping the 2 game suspension would take him off most people's boards until late. He's an awesome 3/4 wr with great upside.
I think it's because people with an agenda find a way to manufacture "stats" to support it.Because people who have a strong suit in math are aware of a thing called outliers to create the normal range. Not saying it is appropriate in FF but that is what draws people to these statements.
Those "take away [blank]" calls are downright stupid. They happened, why take them away?
When was the last time somebody took away from BOTH the top and bottom? No, they don't do that, they take away a player's best performances (runs, games, years, whatever) and just pretend like they didn't happen for no particular reason
Hooper31
Footballguy
Sure. I recommend using the 1.5(IQR) above and below the first quartile and above the third quartile.
nirad3
Footballguy
I haven't dealt with quartiles since 4-square in elementary school.
That said, I just draft based on jersey color anyways so I guess this is all moot.
Hooper31
Footballguy
To calculate score? Never, but this is a discussion about projections, predictions, and expected values. Considering what is and what isn't an outlier is an intelligent thing to do. Again, I recommend the 1.5(IQR) rule. Here's a link if you would like to learn more about it.
[SIZE=12.222222328186035px]Nobody isn't saying that something didn't happen. Outliers are a basic statistics concept. Considering whether or not something is an outlier or not is a basic statistical concept when trying to create a reasonable range of expected values. Isn't that what's important here? Trying to consider what's reasonable for future performance based on past production?[/SIZE]
Hooper31
Footballguy
We use them all the time in the AP Statistics classes I teach.
Well, there you go. Good luck with that.
Run It Up
Footballguy
Then don't read it? Point remains 3.2 is still abysmal. Also, for those that have suggested, yes I'm guilty of not watching the CAR v PHI game, I watched the whip around coverage and saw only about half of DWills snaps, and he looked awful - pardon me if he looked really good on 10% of his carries.nirad3 said:Ghost Rider said:
Those "take away [blank]" calls are downright stupid. They happened, why take them away?
Hooper31
Footballguy
You mentioned using quartiles in elementary school. Why was that? It sounded like you were dismissing the notion as beneath any serious study. I think quartiles in understanding what is and what isn't an outlier is a good idea. Or you could just go by jersey color and randomly piss on someone else's ideas to entertain yourself.
Donnybrook
Footballguy
Buffalo blitzing Ponder continually. Ponder unable to make anything happen.
Good punt return by Woods.
Good punt return by Woods.
Donnybrook
Footballguy
EJ Manuel will be named the starter by the half if Kolb keeps throwing the ball behind his receivers.
GroveDiesel
Footballguy
Manuel would have to be hurt to not win the starting job IMO. We know what Kevin Kolb is and it's not impressive.
GroveDiesel
Footballguy
I like Blatnick. The Bills actually have a lot of young talent at the LB position all of a sudden. Kind of wish they hadn't gotten the TD there though. I want to see more of the offense. The defense has played really well so far though outside a few dumb penalties.
The General
Footballguy
Tom Brady throwing darts again. He has looked amazing all preseason.
Amendola is a better Welker ... he can play outside and get down the field. Potential this season is massive.
Probably need some flashing red lights on the word "IF"
I don't know man those injuries were kind of fluky. I don't see how he's any more susceptible than other players.
Run It Up
Footballguy
Dickie Dunn
Footballguy
Belichick is so miffed at Welker that he might get Amendola 200 catches this season just to stick it to him.
msudaisy26
Footballguy
The Patriots are for sure going ground and pound with all the missing pieces from last year and Brady nursing a bad knee
Bob Magaw
Footballguy
i go by the ian fleming principle...
“Once is happenstance. Twice is coincidence. Three times is enemy action”
captain_amazing
Footballguy
bb7278
Footballguy
Huge bump for the Bills Defense in sacks turnovers.
Fast all over the field 3 sacks,FF,TD.
May be a good DEF 2 option.
Donnybrook
Footballguy
Brees with all day to find Stills.
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KingPrawn
Footballguy
