Little is funnier than dismissive cries of "armchair psychology."
If you've ever raised a child, you've practiced armchair psychology. If you've ever steered a loved one away from a bad crowd. If you've ever been in position to hire or fire someone. If you've ever had an adult relationship.
Once you grow up a little, that phrase means the same exact thing as "understanding people."
And just like some people are better and worse at it than others, so too with organizations.
I don't wish failure upon Winston -- or any other prospect. And I don't much care...
...except insofar as I wager upon the success and failure of NFL players as a hobby.
QB's are men in leadership positions, who have to make good decisions constantly, have to gain the acceptance and respect of their teammates, and have to be capable of fully devoting themselves. As long as they can throw the ball downfield 20 yards with a little zip, the strength of their arms matters practically not at all. As long as they can listen to their coaches and commit themselves to improving, the system they played in in college matters practically not at all.
By now, we've seen enough high ranked QB's come and go from the league that we have a pretty decent roadmap about which skills matter, and which don't; as well as which personal/interpersonal traits. Those who ignore history are doomed to repeat it, alas. The good teams scratch the Jameis Winstons off their draft lists before Mel Kiper ever bothers to rank them. The bad ones ooh and aah over all the wrong things.
Which is why some teams are perennial bottom feeders, and others are the Pats, Steelers, Packers, etc.
#### it. The world needs ditch diggers too.