Hello, how are we feeling about Jordan Love’s value in Superflex, and then one quarterback leagues?
As recently as last year and the year before, when doing FFPC SuperFlex startups, I have found that the position was relatively deep when considering the special rule that FFPC allows no team to walk out of the startup with more than 3 QBs (even through trade). True for TriFlex as well. As such I have often waited on QB in these startups until others have their 3 spots filled, and then I can continue filling other spots until the very end. But that was a result of the position being deep, or as perceived by me at the time.
But having just completed my 3rd SF/TF startup in FFPC from the course of the last month, I see that the QB position is dramatically more shallow than it was. Long winded way of saying that I think Love is a guy that can really jump up to around QB15-20 if he has an even "ok" year. My sense of the NFL depth chart for QB is that anybody with a pulse that is locked in as a starter for the conceivable future is gold in SF. There are around ten teams that have no future at QB (today). I just took Love at 7.04 in one startup as my QB1 but as the overall QB21. I missed him in a second startup but he went QB25 at 7.06. Missed in the third and he went 7.01 as QB22. If those startups were happening today I imagine he might climb to the high teens but I figure at least some of his price yesterday had the presumption that he would be the starter baked into it. But I don't know how he doesn't get a bump now.
I picked up Love for close to free off waivers last year in SF format. People overvalue the crap out of QBs and then you pluck stuff like this. Or at least hopefully.
In Underdog BBs, I have done 11 big boards and he is my #1 owned QB so far (this is a 1QB contest) - where his ADP has been 13.10*
In SF Underdog BBs, I have done 6 entries and I have 2 shares and his ADP has been 5.03*
*that is across all entries in the contests, not just my shares
Has been going as QB20 in the Never Too Early FFPC BBs at 11.12 (one-QB) and in the NTE FFPC SuperFlex BB as QB22 at 6.07.
I do think his dynasty value will go much much higher if he is successful and that the buy (very) low window just closed. But he has to prove it of course. I'm bullish. I might say bump Dillon also as I wouldn't be surprised if they ship Aaron Jones post-Rodgers.
In 1QB dynasty he is still replacement level but if you can get him for close to free I might move a known elite QB for a ransom if I was confident enough Love would step up.