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RB A.J. Dillon, GB (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter Faust
- Start date
Faust
MVP
https://twitter.com/pff_college/status/1300223674679779328?s=21PFF College @PFF_College
Highest-graded RB against 8+ defenders in the box last season
AJ Dillon - 87.6
Faust
MVP
Agreed.
Receivers who were still available in the third & fourth round after the Packers selected A.J. Dillon late in the second round:
Bryan Edwards
Devin Duvernay
Lynn Bowden
Gabriel Davis
Antonio Gandy-Golden
Last edited by a moderator:
Ostro
Footballguy
MAC_32
Footballguy
I think Edwards is a good argument, but Dillon > WR wasn't the problem with that draft. They'd have been fine if they stayed put in round 1 and picked either Higgins or Shenault. Then came back with Dillon. Or picked JT. Then came back with Edwards. The problem is/was Jordan Love.
JohnnyU
Footballguy
I could think of other RBs I would prefer over Dillon at that spot if they had to have a RB. I think he has a lot of bust potential.
MAC_32
Footballguy
I probably could too, but I also think every RB after Dobbins fell off the board either came with a low ceiling (i.e. Vaughn and Moss) or increased bust potential (i.e. Dillon and Gibson). That's why they were still available that deep into round two. I'm not going to slam the table for or against Dillon. He doesn't elicit that sorta reaction.
Jordan Love does though.
Alex P Keaton
Footballguy
Sam Quentin
Footballguy
Ostro
Footballguy
JohnnyU
Footballguy
Traded him and Robinson for 2 2021 2nd rd picks this morning. When I drafted Dillon this year at 2.07 it was BPA, so I wasn't enamored with him.
Sam Quentin
Footballguy
We will see if that extension comes to fruition. How the season plays out will likely inform the Packers’ thinking.
rockaction
Footballguy
Yeah, any time the player says he and his agent are working on an extension it's suspect how close in terms the parties are, if they're close at all.
rockaction
Footballguy
There may be something to this, but this is where following this sort of stuff daily should put you. Nobody should be all that concerned when a player in the last year of his deal makes it seems the team wants him by issuing vague -- or even 'definite' -- statements.
You certainly shouldn't move Dillon if you didn't want to upon hearing that. (Not saying JohnnyU did for that reason, but one just shouldn't.)
You certainly shouldn't move Dillon if you didn't want to upon hearing that. (Not saying JohnnyU did for that reason, but one just shouldn't.)
Alex P Keaton
Footballguy
IMO it was always likely that Jones would sign an extension. Which made Dillon an even worse pick by the Packers.
JetMaxx
Footballguy
Is the same guy that prioritized the drafting of Dillon the one that’s negotiating the Jones extension?
Alex P Keaton
Footballguy
Yep. The same guy who has a playoff contender, with an aging superstar QB, who traded up for an inaccurate rookie QB in a draft with tons of WR talent.
Aznflyer14
Footballguy
Most of the rookie RBs who were taken in high draft picks are buried in bit bottom of depth chart. It's simply matter of time before they earn opportunity for more touches as season progresses. The RB attrition compels almost every team to have sufficient depth. Beside, I think Packers will use Dillon much more during latter end of the season especially with the cold climate.
JackReacher
Footballguy
Depends on the options of course, but i could easily see 70 yards and a TD
gruecd
Footballguy
I'll take the under. Been a Packers fan long enough to know that Jamaal Williams will get the lion's share of the work if Jones is out. They trust him.
JackReacher
Footballguy
Agree that Jamaal will get the work, but this is the Houston run defense. AJ will have the opportunity to get his.
Smack Tripper
Footballguy
Dillon was a second rounder for a reason, I added him preemptively and I don't think I have to start him anywhere but I kind of wonder if they won't want to know what they have in him so they know how to plot their offseason
The first goal is to win. Even if it's a 70/30 breakdown favoring Jamal, they should know what they have in Dillon. He should get most of the short yardage and goal-line work.
gruecd
Footballguy
We've been saying that all year long. Packers are one of the worst (if not the worst) teams in the league from the one-yard line, and yet they've refused to use Dillon. That should tell us something.
JackReacher
Footballguy
Tells me there’s an opportunity they have been missing. All it takes is one or two for the dam to break when it comes to goal line work.
dkp993
Footballguy
dipandglide
Footballguy
7-10 carries, 42 yards, .2 TD
dkp993
Footballguy
Lol. Feel ya. Gore is an option for me too. My RB1 now is James White.
If Jones is out I'll get to start Dillion over Frank Gore(yeah my rb2 is that bad)
Smack Tripper
Footballguy
But its not like Green Bay is a shut down D, Houston should keep scoring, so I'm a little less bullish on him, otherwise I could see this playing out
Biabreakable
Footballguy
FWIW I heard DeSean Watson was been playing great football since they fired BOB. While Houstons defense is the worst against the run in the league right now and a good match up for any RB I don't see it being a boat race by GB where they can just give Dillon the ball and close things out in the 2nd half.
I think Dillon has really good burst and power. His change of direction ability isn't bad for a guy his size. He has good footwork and jump cuts to change lanes. I think he is a better RB than Jamal WIlliams but as Bri says it will take awhile for him to master the pro game and earn the trust of the coaches in pass pro and so on.
If you look at his first run in the NFL here he has the burst through the hole to make Jaylyn Holmes miss with an arm tackle. Watching really slow, Holmes beats his block and moves into the lane where Dillon is going. He puts his head down to drive on a tackle on Dillon but the burst of acceleration is so good he misses him, he is behind the target point and he only gets an arm on him as he goes by. Then Kendricks sheds his block and takes on Dillon center mass. Kendricks doesn't suck but Dillon pushes him back at contact and if Kendricks doesnt grab on to his leg Dillon might have been able to get forward lean after the run.
I think he is going to be a good player.
I think Dillon has really good burst and power. His change of direction ability isn't bad for a guy his size. He has good footwork and jump cuts to change lanes. I think he is a better RB than Jamal WIlliams but as Bri says it will take awhile for him to master the pro game and earn the trust of the coaches in pass pro and so on.
If you look at his first run in the NFL here he has the burst through the hole to make Jaylyn Holmes miss with an arm tackle. Watching really slow, Holmes beats his block and moves into the lane where Dillon is going. He puts his head down to drive on a tackle on Dillon but the burst of acceleration is so good he misses him, he is behind the target point and he only gets an arm on him as he goes by. Then Kendricks sheds his block and takes on Dillon center mass. Kendricks doesn't suck but Dillon pushes him back at contact and if Kendricks doesnt grab on to his leg Dillon might have been able to get forward lean after the run.
I think he is going to be a good player.
Winning IS Everything
Footballguy
I've been reading and watching a ton since last night.
LaFleur (all but one time) says AJ not Jamaal as the replacement over n over. That's significant.
I think Jamaal. I think the Packers missing their LT is another sign for Jamaal.
The Packers (WR injuries and LT) should probably use the Titans two and three TE set and grind with their RB but they haven't done that all year. LaFleur clearly believes in his QB regardless of circumstance and I appreciate that.
It's curious that AJ, LaFleur, and Aaron spoke of him being surprised he had a twenty yard run last week. This makes me think short yardage back.
The Titans lost their LT against JJWatt last week and he moved over to face his replacement. Once his replacement did well, JJ moved around as he does but seemed to be opposite LT a bit more than I'd expect. You have to figure the same with GB missing their LT this week.
I guess I'd start Dillon if I had to, you can't ignore the coach saying that. I still highly question it. LaFleur has had plenty of sleepless nights trying to deal with Clowney, Watt, and Mercilus. Their D isn't the same but I don't think LaFleur forgot and is gonna risk Aaron
LaFleur (all but one time) says AJ not Jamaal as the replacement over n over. That's significant.
I think Jamaal. I think the Packers missing their LT is another sign for Jamaal.
The Packers (WR injuries and LT) should probably use the Titans two and three TE set and grind with their RB but they haven't done that all year. LaFleur clearly believes in his QB regardless of circumstance and I appreciate that.
It's curious that AJ, LaFleur, and Aaron spoke of him being surprised he had a twenty yard run last week. This makes me think short yardage back.
The Titans lost their LT against JJWatt last week and he moved over to face his replacement. Once his replacement did well, JJ moved around as he does but seemed to be opposite LT a bit more than I'd expect. You have to figure the same with GB missing their LT this week.
I guess I'd start Dillon if I had to, you can't ignore the coach saying that. I still highly question it. LaFleur has had plenty of sleepless nights trying to deal with Clowney, Watt, and Mercilus. Their D isn't the same but I don't think LaFleur forgot and is gonna risk Aaron
barackdhouse
Footballguy
Yes, yes I am. Not going to say that it is with any degree of confidence, but between Mostert and CMC, Gaskins and Taylor on bye, I'm thin as heck in a couple spots. My only other choices are other backup RBs that I don't think are going to get the work that this guy does today.
