Subscriber Contest (1 Viewer)

[wollac]

roster: #remaining of #entered, percent alive for the contest, percent alive for the week18: 53 of 5416, 0.98%, 64.63%19: 28 of 1905, 1.47%, 65.12%20: 22 of 1338, 1.64%, 46.81%21: 16 of 961, 1.66%, 51.61%22: 21 of 799, 2.63%, 47.73% 23: 19 of 615, 3.09%, 41.30%24: 16 of 491, 3.26%, 47.06%25: 19 of 402, 4.73%, 51.35%26: 13 of 308, 4.22%, 48.15%27: 8 of 233, 3.43%, 29.63%28: 12 of 180, 6.67%, 66.67%29: 5 of 142, 3.52%, 29.41%30: 19 of 271, 7.01%, 38%After 12 weeks of a consistant trend, the small rosters completely reversed the trend this week. The larger rosters were basically slaughter this week at a higher rate than any time in the contest. The 30 man roster 10 to 1 advantage was reduced to a 7 to 1 season to date advantage in a single week. With 53 entires left, the 18 man roster is the clear favorite to win the contest. They out number the 27-30 man rosters, the 24-26 man rosters, the 22-23 man rosters, and the 20-21 man rosters.

FBG Staff Survival Rate (1 of 23) (Joe Bryant) 4.35%Updated FBG Staff Standings:

2277.8	Jene Bramel (Out Wk 13)2251.9	Jeff Tefertiller (Out Wk 10)2249.7	Jason Wood (out Wk 11)2248.7	Keith Overton (Out Wk 11)2242.85	Joe Bryant2238.85	Matt Waldman (Out Wk 12)2237.35	Jen Maki (Out Wk 11)2221.6	David Yudkin (Out Wk 12)2196.3	Andy Hicks (Out Wk 13)2187.1	Jeff Pasquino (Out Wk 2)2152.9	David Dodds (Out Wk 10)2132.6	Aaron Rudnicki (Out Wk 9)2119.55	Bruce Henderson (Out Wk 8)2090.25	Anthony Borbely (Out Wk 11)2088.85	Sigmund Bloom (Out Wk 12)2083.65	Larry Thomas (Out Wk 5)2071.75	Bob Henry (Out Wk 4)2059.3	Jeff Haseley (Out Wk 10)1994.85	Andrew Garda (Out Wk 11)1934.9	Mark Wimer (Out Wk 3)1858.75	Maurile Tremblay (Out Wk 5)1793.8	Will Grant (Out Wk 6)1755.1	Doug Drinen (Out Wk 2)

 

[LittlePhatty]

Roster Size breakdown:

The minimum 18 player roster was by far the most popular with 5416 entries.

18 - 5416

19 - 1905

20 - 1338

21 - 961

22 - 799

23 - 615

24 - 491

25 - 402

26 - 308

27 - 233

28 - 180

29 - 142

30 - 271

Survival percentages (rounded) for the Final 250:

18 - 53 (slightly less than 1%)

19 - 28 (1.4%)

20 - 22 (1.6%)

21 - 16 (1.6%)

22 - 21 (2.6%)

23 - 19 (3.0%)

24 - 16 (3.2%)

25 - 19 (4.7%)

26 - 13 (4.2%)

27 - 8 (3.4%)

28 - 12 (6.6%)

29 - 5 (3.5%)

30 - 19 (7.0%)

Edit: BassNBrew already posted stats, I missed it.

 

[QuizGuy66]

These are the four worst entries in the whole contest - they would have missed the cut all 13 weeks, by the largest cumulative margin. See what they have in common...

http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2010/110825.php

http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2010/109623.php

http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2010/106194.php

http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2010/111229.php

Rob Bironas? -QG

 

[apalmer]

These are the four worst entries in the whole contest - they would have missed the cut all 13 weeks, by the largest cumulative margin. See what they have in common...

http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2010/110825.php

http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2010/109623.php

http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2010/106194.php

http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2010/111229.php

Rob Bironas? -QG

Owners who didn't read or understand the rules?

 

[Yenrub]

Surprised I made to the finals but happy I did.

Entry 107104

 

[billyjohnson]

Also, had some guy tell me after week one that I was in trouble because I had "wasted" too many points.

That was me, and that's not what I said. But thanks for your valuable contributions to the thread throughout the season, and good lunk in the finals.

 

[BassNBrew]

Team 100291 in with 193 points!! Only semi-scare was in week 11. So much for the theory that it is beneficial to come in just over the cut line...thereby dropping some teams out of the contest with similar lineups. Also, had some guy tell me after week one that I was in trouble because I had "wasted" too many points. week 1: +93week 2: +33week 3: +25week 4: +55week 5: +40week 6: +38week 7: +50week 8: +38week 9: +39week 10: +16week 11: +8week 12: +44week 13: +25Anyway, good luck everyone. I'm assuming just about every team in the 250 has a legitimate shot to win this.

Looks like you wasted a whole lot of points.

 

[pghrob]

Well, I was in the final 500 and missed the cut to 250 by 8.7 points. I wasted $35 this year on Spiller and Jerome Harrison. Also lost Finley. Was very happy to be hanging in there for the final 500. I am looking forward to it again next year. Good luck the rest of the way.

http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2010/104616.php

 

[Marauder]

These are the four worst entries in the whole contest - they would have missed the cut all 13 weeks, by the largest cumulative margin. See what they have in common...

http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2010/110825.php

http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2010/109623.php

http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2010/106194.php

http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2010/111229.php

Only one rostered TE.

 

[Project Mayhem]

This is my first final 250 as well. Stoked to be alive.

However, I will say I have no expectation of winning. I have been just above the cut line almost every week, and have never cleared 200. It's gonna take an average of 200 a week for the next three to be in the thick of it.

Even still, can't wait to see how it all shakes out.

It's nice to know I have a one in 250 shot at 25k!

 

[Northbound Train]

Made it by 1.8 points First week that came really down to the wire for me as I needed all of Brady's 40.6 to get in

Let me be the first to say if it hasn;t already been said....certainly hope for an Arian Foster dud or 3...my RB stable can carry me if Foster stumbles down the stretch...or at least I hope so

BOL gents...this has been alot of fun

 

[Northbound Train]

POst your best 3 week stretch this year for those still alive ...and the weeks.

I scored 640.35 weeks 7-9

 

[kevzilla]

My 74-year-old dad made the finals. If there is an older finalist than that, they should step up and take a bow.

 

[QuizGuy66]

My 74-year-old dad made the finals. If there is an older finalist than that, they should step up and take a bow.

Um, once you get up to that age, taking a bow is difficult, no? Seriously, though, congrats to your dad! -QG

 

[BassNBrew]

My 74-year-old dad made the finals. If there is an older finalist than that, they should step up and take a bow.

Um, once you get up to that age, taking a bow is difficult, no? Seriously, though, congrats to your dad! -QG

Speaking of which...where's your update on 18 wr guy and his buddies.

 

[ninerfan]

Entry 10003 in at #172.

 

[Ariakis]

170.30 with the TD by Aaron Hernandez putting me in during garbage time.

Averaged 200.12 from weeks 8-11. Not many Vick owners so I've got some uniqueness value at QB with most of my players active.

http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2010/108202.php

 

[Otis]

168.80. Congrats to all in the final 250.

168.25

omg thats brutal.i dont feel as bad scoring 140 now lol.

The difference would have been, what, one more catch or 6 more rushing yards from Tomlinson on Monday night.

I was sunk with Gore out for the season now anyway. This was just a tease.

 

[QuizGuy66]

My 74-year-old dad made the finals. If there is an older finalist than that, they should step up and take a bow.

Um, once you get up to that age, taking a bow is difficult, no? Seriously, though, congrats to your dad!

-QG

Speaking of which...where's your update on 18 wr guy and his buddies.

LOL here you go Sorry still trying to come to grips with being out.

Anyhow, here are the entries with the highest number of players at each position still alive:

There were 12 people who tied for the most QBs with 4.

9 RB Guy!

This year's hero - 18 WR Guy!!!

5 TE Guy #1!

5 TE Guy #2!

There are 5 guys with 5 kickers who made it. (We Miss You 21-kicker guy!!! )

6 Defense Guy!

-QG

 

[QuizGuy66]

168.80. Congrats to all in the final 250.

168.25

omg thats brutal.i dont feel as bad scoring 140 now lol.

The difference would have been, what, one more catch or 6 more rushing yards from Tomlinson on Monday night.

I was sunk with Gore out for the season now anyway. This was just a tease.

A catch for no yards would've been a real tease as that woulda put you at 168.75-QG

 

[QuizGuy66]

Found this one interesting

This is the entry that came in last out of the entries that were alive going into this past week.

Sometimes you just get a bunch of guys with a bad week. That's pretty much what happened here.

-QG

 

[Drunken Cowboy]

POst your best 3 week stretch this year for those still alive ...and the weeks.I scored 640.35 weeks 7-9

What are you last three weeks are much more relevant as those are non-bye weeks.

 

[apalmer]

POst your best 3 week stretch this year for those still alive ...and the weeks.I scored 640.35 weeks 7-9

What are you last three weeks are much more relevant as those are non-bye weeks.

The last three weeks may be more relevant because they reflect the current status of your team with respect to injuries, etc., but not because of byes in other weeks. If anything, bye weeks should decrease your scores, so a high 3-week period then would still show a potential to do it now.FWIW, my best three weeks also happen to be the last three weeks--I like to think I'm building momentum at the right time.

 

[Doug Drinen]

Here is a week 14 sim.

and a last-three-weeks sim

 

[Saint]

Doug ---

Can you break down the week 14 sim? I understand AvScore, but what is the #1, #2, #3? My initial guess is that it is the percentage the team is the #1 for the week, ##2, 6-10, etc. Is that correct?

 

[Doug Drinen]

Doug ---Can you break down the week 14 sim? I understand AvScore, but what is the #1, #2, #3? My initial guess is that it is the percentage the team is the #1 for the week, ##2, 6-10, etc. Is that correct?

That is correct.

 

[Donsmith753]

Sim has me at #102 overall.

 

[cascaa]

sim this week #5

rest of year #23

108047

 

[BassNBrew]

168.80. Congrats to all in the final 250.

168.25

omg thats brutal.i dont feel as bad scoring 140 now lol.

The difference would have been, what, one more catch or 6 more rushing yards from Tomlinson on Monday night.

I was sunk with Gore out for the season now anyway. This was just a tease.

The Hawks would have selected Forte instead of Gore and would be moving on to the final 250. That $25K would have come in handy in case Harrison doesn't blow up in the last 4 weeks.

 

[Drunken Cowboy]

Here is a week 14 sim.

and a last-three-weeks sim

The sim hates me again, but it has hated me the last three weeks when I have averaged over 190 per.

 

[apalmer]

168.80. Congrats to all in the final 250.

168.25

omg thats brutal.i dont feel as bad scoring 140 now lol.

The difference would have been, what, one more catch or 6 more rushing yards from Tomlinson on Monday night.

I was sunk with Gore out for the season now anyway. This was just a tease.

The Hawks would have selected Forte instead of Gore and would be moving on to the final 250. That $25K would have come in handy in case Harrison doesn't blow up in the last 4 weeks.

 

[LittlePhatty]

and a last-three-weeks sim

Sim has me at #40.#251 in the sim has only one TE - Finley.

 

[QuizGuy66]

and a last-three-weeks sim

Sim has me at #40.#251 in the sim has only one TE - Finley.

C'mon man, Finley is all anyone needs -QG

 

[Wide Right]

If you are watching tonights game to keep track of contest players, here are some players and the number of remaining teams that have them

P. Manning - 5

Wayne - 8

Garcon - 105

Chris Johnson - 22

Britt - 0 - last two teams got eliminated last week

Nate Washington - 3

Randy Moss - 4

Bo Scaife - 0

At this point in the contest - you want to have players that have low numbers of remaining owners have big games to differentiate you from the pack.

Good luck to those that have some players going tonight (I have Garcon).

 

[TheChairman]

Gah, seeing those numbers makes me even madder at Leon wshington

 

[BassNBrew]

So who's rooting for what from Foster tonite this week?

Until last week, big Foster weeks favored the larger rosters. Last week it dramtically shifted the other way.

 

[GloryDaze]

So who's rooting for what from Foster tonite?Until last week, big Foster weeks favored the larger rosters. Last week it dramtically shifted the other way.

Last minute schedule change?

 

[BassNBrew]

So who's rooting for what from Foster tonite?Until last week, big Foster weeks favored the larger rosters. Last week it dramtically shifted the other way.

Last minute schedule change?

You missed the news of him being released and Indy getting him off waivers?

 

[Das Boot]

Nice start to the 3 week sprint for Gacon owners.

 

[texasheat]

Nice start to the 3 week sprint for Gacon owners.

105 of em

 

[Northbound Train]

So who's rooting for what from Foster tonite this week?

Until last week, big Foster weeks favored the larger rosters. Last week it dramtically shifted the other way.

Hope he does jack #### for the next 3 games...Forte, Bradshaw, Run DMC, LT, Tolbert + Foster owner

 

[fightingillini]

So who's rooting for what from Foster tonite this week?

Until last week, big Foster weeks favored the larger rosters. Last week it dramtically shifted the other way.

Hope he does jack #### for the next 3 games...Forte, Bradshaw, Run DMC, LT, Tolbert + Foster owner

I actually hope Foster is huge during the next 3 weeks. I lost Gore, so I am down to Foster, Bradshaw, T Jones, and McGahee. I need Foster's score to count for all owners so it negates my depth disadvantage. If you have depth at RB after Foster, you want him to do bad.

 

[BassNBrew]

8 teams with Garcon and CJ and 59 points in the books.

18 - 3 (1 has no TE, 1 has only 1 QB, the other is stacked http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2010/108580.php)

19 - 1 (only Gronk at TE)

20 - 2 http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2010/101072.php http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2010/101395.php

21 - 1 http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2010/105600.php missing DeAngelo

25 - 1 http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2010/102507.php only has Gresham at TE

 

[BassNBrew]

8 teams with Garcon and CJ and 59 points in the books.

18 - 3 (1 has no TE, 1 has only 1 QB, the other is stacked http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2010/108580.php)

19 - 1 (only Gronk at TE)

20 - 2 http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2010/101072.php http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2010/101395.php

21 - 1 http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2010/105600.php missing DeAngelo

25 - 1 http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2010/102507.php only has Gresham at TE

22 CJ owners...the breakdown of the non-Garcon CJ owners18 - 5, take note of 108735 and 111325, could be tough nuts to crack

19 - 4

20 - 2

22 - 2

30 - 1, good ole 18 WR guy

 

[Doug Drinen]

Updated sims:

rest-of-season

week 14 only

 

[No Way Jose]

8 teams with Garcon and CJ and 59 points in the books.

18 - 3 (1 has no TE, 1 has only 1 QB, the other is stacked http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2010/108580.php)

19 - 1 (only Gronk at TE)

20 - 2 http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2010/101072.php http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2010/101395.php

21 - 1 http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2010/105600.php missing DeAngelo

25 - 1 http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2010/102507.php only has Gresham at TE

I'm 21 roster guy missing Deangelo. Was defiantly a good night, but my only startable rb's are foster and Hightower. Also gonna have to take Rogers qb points with Anderson pretty much useless. I'm 4 th in the week 14 sim but 75 th on the overall, whatever that means.

 

[LittlePhatty]

It's going to be a strange week.

 

[Das Boot]

139 teams have Rodgers...

things can change in a hurry.

 

[apalmer]

139 teams have Rodgers...things can change in a hurry.

Rodgers out and Ben limping. Gulp.

 

[Das Boot]

It's going to be a strange week.

It's shaping up to be a low scoring one so far.If Foster has a low week, it's going to make for some interesting week 1 standings in the finals.