BobbyLayne
Footballguy
I would have accepted the trade. At this time a big difference in their respective offenses and quarterback.Pretty impressive so far considering he has had double digit points in his first 3 games in the NFL.
Was planning on rolling with him ROS in full PPR. Got offered Dalton Schultz for him today. Tempting but thinking that Dolcich has more upside once he gets acclimated with Wilson. Both are on bye so I have some time to contemplate
Since Dak's return, Schutlz played 80 snaps in 2g and has run 16 and 14 routes, targeted 35.7% and 43.8% of routes run. TEs need to run at least 23-24 routes to sustain Top Ten production. Healthy Dalton plays 55+ snaps (not 40), runs around 29 routes per game, and is targeted 21%. I question if this is sustainable.
He's re-injured the same PCL twice (e.g., third time the charm here?), and in my view he'll be a limited participant / managing the pain ROS. Def running the risk he'll be do further damage and be shut down.
Dulcich has 87 routes run in 3 games, and plays 20 snaps per game in the slot (vs less than 15 per Schultz.) His ADOT is 12.4, Schultz 5.7. Slightly better catch rate for the rookie, YAC per reception is 6.3 vs 3.7.
Obviously Dalton plays in a better offense with a better QB, but the rookie is getting more opportunity and receiving higher value targets. By every metric (acknowledging these are small sample sizes), the Broncos TE is outplaying last year's TE breakout by a pretty hefty margin. I had the same choice and bet on the talent + what is actually happening on the field this year (vs last year or what I wishcast to happen ROS.)
ETA: it's difficult finding weekly data on blocking assignments, but in Week 8 Dulcich ran 32 routes and was not asked to pass block even once. We generally want TEs who stay in to block 7% or less, and virtually no one outside of Kittle blocks more than that and sustains production. Mark Andrews hasn't pass blocked this season.
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