Week 10 2023 who should I start thread **OFFICIALLY UNOFFICIAL** (1 Viewer)

[fightingillini]

Chaka is killing it as always. Thanks for doing this!

 

[Chaka]

PPR

Jaylen Warren vs GB

or

Chubba Hubbard vs Chi?

I think I go with Warren. He's been too consistent with his opportunities, touches & production. His role seems very secure and doesn't seem likely to be scripted out of a game. His ceiling is meh but his floor has been pretty stable in PPR leagues.

Hubbard definitely looks like the starter and featured guy in Carolina but that hasn't translated into much on the field and I wonder if that opens the door for Sanders to take more of the load. Right, wrong or otherwise I am not a Hubbard believer.

This could easily go either way but I think I like

Warren>Hubbard

 

[fightingillini]

PPR league, have Hill on bye, starting Lamb and Evans at WR and Mixon/Javonte at RB. Who should I start in the flex?

Dotson at SEA
Ford at BAL

Normally I would start Ford, but the BAL matchup is really tough. I expect a slugfest between CLE and BAL.

 

[fightingillini]

Superflex league, which 2 QBs do you start?

Lawrence vs SF
G Smith vs WAS
Purdy at JAX

 

[Kwai Chang Caine]

Yo Chaka! Must win for me or I’m likely done. Half PPR.
Need one RB, TE and Flex
Forman versus Carolina
Mattison versus Saints
Kmet versus Carolina
Taysom Hill versus Minnesota
Deebo versus Jacksonville

I’m inclined to gamble for upside on Foreman and Hill. But I could also play Hill in flex and start Kmet at TE. Could also play both RBs with Mattison in flex. Deebo is the obvious flex but not sure I trust his health or his usage. Appreciate the advice!

 

[Chaka]

Standard scoring. Need a QB to cover Tia’s bye…
Goff at Chargers or Murray vs ATL

Goff and I don't have any regrets if it doesn't play out. The Chargers have a very poor pass D. 30th in att & 32nd in yards and that includes games against Aidan O'Connell, Tyson Bagent & Zach Wilson. The Chargers run D has been surprisingly strong, in part because teams pass a lot more than they run against them (316-193). The Lions could easily dominate the LoS and run all night long, I know they'd like to but with the Chargers offense and run defense I'm not going to rely on that.

I am very excited to see what Murray can do now that he's back. Probably a whole lot. He could put on a show for sure against an Atlanta defense that probably isn't as good as their middle of the pack rankings suggest. He's probably a fine start this week and more of a home run play. I would be tempted to start him too, but when you have another good option like Goff I think I play it more conservative and wait a week to see what Murray does.

Goff>Murray

Even while typing that I have a small pang of regret. I stand by it, for now, but othing wrong with picking Murray.

 

[Chaka]

absurd to type this, but here we are Nov 2023:

.5 PPR
Adams vs Jets
Dell @ Cincy

Jets secondary is probably one of the best in the game. Rookie QB etc etc etc, but who knows, maybe Pierce has some wizard like things happening in Vegas

Dell explodes last week, and this will be a CJ Stroud 50 attempt sort of game....does lightening strike two weeks in a row?

I don't think Dell is a lightning situation. He's a big part of the offense, a starter seeing a 75%+ snap share. Noah Brown, OTOH, feels like lightning in a bottle. Dell isn't a weekly 10 target guy by any stretch and Stroud is amazing at distributing the ball (I think that fact is the main concern) but Dell is a solid play any given week and I agree that Cincinnati is a tough opponent and it doesn't seem like Houston can beat anyone on the ground.

I hate suggesting benching Davante. He's still easily one of the best in the game and Keenan, who has similar traits had a fine game against the Jets. Unfortunately Aidan O'Connell is not Justin Herbert and Davante still seems a little off. As a Raiders fan I may be seeing this through my "Waiting for the Inevitable Disaster" colored sunglasses because, logically you shouldn't bench Davante.

Yeah, I'm going with logic YMMV
Davante>Dell

 

[Chaka]

PPR league, need to start 3 of these RBs and 3 of these WRs:

RBs:

Barkley @ DAL
Etienne vs. SFO
Herbert vs. CAR
Pollard vs. NYG
White vs. TEN

To me, Etienne and White are no-brainers, can't start Herbert yet even if active, so it comes down to playing one of Barkley and Pollard (pains me to even write at this juncture). Trying to balance a lot of volume (albeit perhaps empty) for Barkley versus finally a potential rebound for Pollard against the hapless Giants.

WRs:

Cooper @ BAL
Doubs @ PIT
Douglas vs. IND
Jeudy @ BUF
London @ ARI
Ridley vs. SFO

Thinking it has to be Cooper, London (assuming he plays) and Ridley despite the tough matchups for Cooper/Ridley. If London is out, thinking I'd probably go Douglas.

TIA as usual

I agree about Herbert but I'm not sure I agree with White being a must start. Is it about production, matchup or usage?

Pollard's matchup has to be tempting. It's frustrating because the Cowboys have been part of four blowout victories and this game is shaping up to be another one (I mean, right?). In those four games Pollard has averaged 19 touches (3 receptions), 76 yards with two TDs. I love the touches but the production has been very disappointing.

In two blowout losses Saquon has averaged 18 touches for 86 yards with 0 TDs. But that is a small AF sample size and the matchup is terrible, particularly with Danny DeVito at QB. Can the Giants pull off a miracle? In this case a miracle constitutes keeping the game even remotely close.

Rachaad is going to give you 81 yards (4 receptions) pretty much every week.

This is a head scratcher...actually it's one that will make you pull your hair out if you take magic football too seriously.

It's bizarre and horrible but, yeah, I think I would bench Saquon.

For WRs, IMO, it's pretty easy unless the reports on London are terrible. I'm starting Amari, Ridley and London and not really thinking about it. The Ravens are intimidating AF but AFC Central matchups are crazy and shouldn't be predicted. The Browns defense is probably the best in the league ATM and can keep them in any game. DeShaun appears to be mostly healthy and Amari is still, easily his best WR.

Ridley has not been what everyone was hoping for but he's a steady enough option, you beat San Francisco through the air for the most part and he just has a much better QB than your other options.

To be fair Jeudy has a pretty good QB too, something a lot of the people who were all over Wilson last year should own up and apologize for. He's a little more dink'n'dunk than historically in his career but it is his third offense in three years and if he settles in as the season continues the Payton/Wilson combo could still become prolific. It makes Jeudy the fourth option on my list and really the decision does come down to Jeudy v London IMO.

I don't trust Love or Mac enough to seriously consider Douglas or Doubs this week. Both could be fine but I don't see enough upside to seriously consider them.

London also has a pretty mediocre QB but he does have more upside based on pure talent. The Cardinals pass defense has been pretty scrappy, mostly because teams are running on them a lot but with Kyler back in the lineup maybe they can put up enough offense against a bad Falcons defense to keep them passing all game. Monitor London's health but he'd be my option if he gets in full practice on Thursday & Friday.

Amari>Ridley>London>Jeudy>Doubs>Douglas

Thanks a lot for the in-depth, well thought out response. Regarding your question on White, I think he's a must start due primarily to usage. With that usage has come solid (maybe not spectacular) production, especially for PPR purposes. And he also benefits from being ahead of perhaps the worst group of backup RBs in the league.

On that subject of backups, I'm starting to hear some rumblings (unsubstantiated) that the Cowboys may be getting Dowdle more involved due to Pollard's struggles. That would obviously be a real bummer.

Pollard has been a real bummer for sure. Benching him for Saquon is hardly is entirely defensible.

 

[efactor]

Levis or Russell Wilson is a 6 point per passing TD league?

Thanks

I get the logic of Bills D >>> TB D but Wilson has been quite good this season. He has five multi-TD games (only one on the road @ CHI) and is running for 25 yards/game still. He's improving in this offense, has a good set of WRs and a decent run game. His yardage totals are substandard (200/g) and he has been mostly a dud in his three road games (not a great sample set for multiple reasons) and I wonder if Von Miller will bring a little extra juice this week. So I get it.

Tampa Bay has given up 340, 312 & 443 to Goff, Allen & Stroud in three of their last four games with 9 TDs. They gave up 245 and 0 TD to Desmond Ridder three weeks ago. Do you think Levis & the Titans more closely resemble Det, But & Hou or do they more closely resemble ATL? I like what I have seen from Levis, he has a cannon and isn't afraid to put up long 50-50 balls to his WRs. But he holds onto the ball a little too long and it looks like Burks is trending out this week (that may change but he was DNP yesterday).

When I write a lot it's generally because I am really not sure and trying to see if I can back myself into a consensus opinion. I don't feel I have been successful here as I really have no idea who I like more.

Generally this means I will default to the "safer"/"smarter" play which is Wilson in this case. But it's close enough that I might actually go with Levis because, to me he's more fun to root for, but that's really the only reason.

Levis>Wilson

Thanks

As a 49ers fan, I can't have Seahawks on any of my teams. Too disgusting to wish they do well. Even ex-Seahawks are tough

Levis it is

 

[zamboni]

PPR league, need to start 3 of these RBs and 3 of these WRs:

RBs:

Barkley @ DAL
Etienne vs. SFO
Herbert vs. CAR
Pollard vs. NYG
White vs. TEN

To me, Etienne and White are no-brainers, can't start Herbert yet even if active, so it comes down to playing one of Barkley and Pollard (pains me to even write at this juncture). Trying to balance a lot of volume (albeit perhaps empty) for Barkley versus finally a potential rebound for Pollard against the hapless Giants.

WRs:

Cooper @ BAL
Doubs @ PIT
Douglas vs. IND
Jeudy @ BUF
London @ ARI
Ridley vs. SFO

Thinking it has to be Cooper, London (assuming he plays) and Ridley despite the tough matchups for Cooper/Ridley. If London is out, thinking I'd probably go Douglas.

TIA as usual

I agree about Herbert but I'm not sure I agree with White being a must start. Is it about production, matchup or usage?

Pollard's matchup has to be tempting. It's frustrating because the Cowboys have been part of four blowout victories and this game is shaping up to be another one (I mean, right?). In those four games Pollard has averaged 19 touches (3 receptions), 76 yards with two TDs. I love the touches but the production has been very disappointing.

In two blowout losses Saquon has averaged 18 touches for 86 yards with 0 TDs. But that is a small AF sample size and the matchup is terrible, particularly with Danny DeVito at QB. Can the Giants pull off a miracle? In this case a miracle constitutes keeping the game even remotely close.

Rachaad is going to give you 81 yards (4 receptions) pretty much every week.

This is a head scratcher...actually it's one that will make you pull your hair out if you take magic football too seriously.

It's bizarre and horrible but, yeah, I think I would bench Saquon.

For WRs, IMO, it's pretty easy unless the reports on London are terrible. I'm starting Amari, Ridley and London and not really thinking about it. The Ravens are intimidating AF but AFC Central matchups are crazy and shouldn't be predicted. The Browns defense is probably the best in the league ATM and can keep them in any game. DeShaun appears to be mostly healthy and Amari is still, easily his best WR.

Ridley has not been what everyone was hoping for but he's a steady enough option, you beat San Francisco through the air for the most part and he just has a much better QB than your other options.

To be fair Jeudy has a pretty good QB too, something a lot of the people who were all over Wilson last year should own up and apologize for. He's a little more dink'n'dunk than historically in his career but it is his third offense in three years and if he settles in as the season continues the Payton/Wilson combo could still become prolific. It makes Jeudy the fourth option on my list and really the decision does come down to Jeudy v London IMO.

I don't trust Love or Mac enough to seriously consider Douglas or Doubs this week. Both could be fine but I don't see enough upside to seriously consider them.

London also has a pretty mediocre QB but he does have more upside based on pure talent. The Cardinals pass defense has been pretty scrappy, mostly because teams are running on them a lot but with Kyler back in the lineup maybe they can put up enough offense against a bad Falcons defense to keep them passing all game. Monitor London's health but he'd be my option if he gets in full practice on Thursday & Friday.

Amari>Ridley>London>Jeudy>Doubs>Douglas

Thanks a lot for the in-depth, well thought out response. Regarding your question on White, I think he's a must start due primarily to usage. With that usage has come solid (maybe not spectacular) production, especially for PPR purposes. And he also benefits from being ahead of perhaps the worst group of backup RBs in the league.

On that subject of backups, I'm starting to hear some rumblings (unsubstantiated) that the Cowboys may be getting Dowdle more involved due to Pollard's struggles. That would obviously be a real bummer.

Pollard has been a real bummer for sure. Benching him for Saquon is hardly is entirely defensible.

Agreed - at least I have until 4:25 ET on Sunday to go back and forth - lucky me. May just go with Barkley for the guaranteed volume and a bunch of dumpoffs even if it's ugly. Never know how much Pollard will actually get the ball.

ETA: looking forward to Achane's return when I can bench both Barkley and Pollard. Who would have thunk that two months ago, but such is our fake football world.

 

[Chaka]

Love at Pittsburgh
Minshew against Pats in Germany?

Currently have Love in the lineup…neither seems to have much upside but Love may run a bit more for some points.

Love is fine but I think I go with Minshew because he's better. He's a little more accurate, throws more often, puts up more yards, they both average 1.5 TD pass/game but Love feels far removed from his two consecutive 3 TD games in weeks 1&2, he's thrown six total in the six games since.

Minkah Fitzpatrick being out is a consideration but the Steelers pass rush makes up for a lot and Joey Porter seems to be playing with confidence.

The Patriots, OTOH, are benching starting DBs and keeping healthy guys they traded for from traveling with the team. Shocking as it seems, it feels like Belichick has lost the team.

Again, these two occupy a similar tier so there is nothing wrong with starting Love, he seems to have a safe-ish floor with a little upside, I just think Minshew has a safer floor and just as much upside.

Minshew>Love

 

[Chaka]

Thanks in advance!

DJ Moore tonight? Or Dalton Schultz @ CIN?

Most rankings have Moore higher - perhaps revenge came against old team.

0.5 PPR - 12 team league.

Thanks!

It's always risky benching DJ. He's just so good and has game changing ability that a guy like Schultz lacks. Bagent is trying to get him the ball but, so far it's been a real dink'n'dunk offense with Bagent and he hasn't been able to unlock DJ.

IMO Schultz is playing really well ATM. He's Stroud's favorite target in the RZ (it evens out with Nico inside the 10) and is on a real hot streak over his last four games. He's around the #15 WR/TE in PPG since week four with 13.6 PPG. Moore has averaged 16.3 PPG over that span but that includes two monsters in weeks 4&5 with Fields. In four games with Bagent he's averaging 7.5 PPG.

Offensively everything seems to favor Schultz, however I think the Texans are charging into a Cincinnati buzz saw and may be in for a rude awakening. The Bengals held the #4 & #5 scoring offense in the league to 17 & 18 points over the last two weeks. They are looking like the team that competes for championships we all thought they were.

The Panthers, OTOH, are...ungood.

DJ>Schultz

 

[Timmay]

0.5 PPR

Laporta at Chargers
McBride vs Falcons

 

[LionOfGosforth]

Standard

L.Jackson vs Browns - just a bit fed up with this guy, no td passes 2 weeks straight
or
Stroud @ Bengals - trustworthy in a tough road game after a big home performance?

T.Hill @ Vikings
or
Kittle @ Jags

 

[gucci little piggy]

We love you Chaka. Thanks for all that you're doing here.

Must win game for me:
PPR
Dj Moore vs CAR
or
Jaxon Smith-Njigba vs WAS

JSN has actually outscored DJM in each of the past 3 weeks(with Bagent at QB), but the revenge game narrative(plus good matchup) for Moore is tempting.

 

[icehouse]

Half PPR. Jerome Ford vs BAL, or George Pickens vs GB in the flex? Assuming Charbonnet vs WAS over both if Walker sits.

 

[1320kid]

Do I start Stroud over Lamar this week? Or is that getting too cute...4 points per TD toss, 6 per rush TD, .1 per yard ran.

Look at Lamar’s first game against Browns this year….id stick with Lamar.

Part of me says the Browns Defensive pressure will force him out of the pocket and scramble for running plays. Another part of me says the Ravens run game inside the 5 yard line lately means he will get less TDs on the ground. Could this be a low scoring slugfest with both Defenses playing well as of late? The CIN/HOU game could have more points and HOU could be forced to throw it a bunch to keep up no?

 

[The Dude]

How do you think Lenny plays out in Buffalo?

 

[Skipdog77]

12 team, PPR. Last flex:

D'onta Foreman
or
Javonte Williams

Was planning to go with Javonte, but with Herbert likely out and Chicago facing Carolina, now I'm wavering.

 

[RaidersAreOne]

I'm in a major pickle. I have Mahomes, DeVonta Smith and Waddle all on BYEs:

• QB: I have Levis currently starting vs. the Bucs. I like this matchup and his potential. Should I proceed or look to add a Wilson vs. Buff, Geno vs. Wash, Love vs. Pitt?
• WR: With my top 2 WRs out, I have Diontae Johnson and Demario Douglas (Who is now questionable). Do I start Doubs here instead over Douglas? Do I look to add an Osborn vs. NO (Also questionable), Jameson vs. Chargers?

 

[Chaka]

0.5 PPR

Need 3 of these with at least 1 WR:
Demario Douglas vs Indy in Germany
Calvin Ridley vs San Fran
Nico Collins at Cincy
Donta Foreman vs Carolina
David Montgomery at LA Chargers
Jaylen Warren vs Green Bay

To me it seems like Monty & Nico are pretty automatic. Monty because of TDs and Nico because the Texans can't run and the Bengals look really, really good on offense lately. I'm also not considering Douglas, particularly in anything less than full PPR. Jaylen is fine but you have two other fine options with more upside.

It comes down to Ridley v Foreman IMO and we really can't say much about it until we know if Herbert is playing. Reports I am seeing from today is Herbert is not expected to play, if that turns out to be true then Foreman is a smash start.

If Herbert does suit up I still may lean towards Foreman but I do recognize that the path to beating the 49ers is generally through the air. But a lot of that has to do with how effecient the Niners offense has been at putting pressure on opponents to keep up. The Niners defense is 29th in pass attempts against and 3rd in rush attempts against because of that. They are only 18th in yards per rush attempt. I see that Trent Williams and Aaron Banks (starting guard) were both DNP yesterday, that's a big deal. The loss of Williams in particularly could contribute to a bit more ineffectiveness by the Niners offense, that leads to less scoring and less pressure on the Jaguars to pass. That was a whole bunch of dots I just connected and the more of that I do the less confident we should be in that coming to pass.

The bottom line is Ridley has had a disappointing fantasy season and the Jags don't care because they're 6-2

If Herbert suits up
Foreman>Ridley

 

[Chaka]

Do I start Stroud over Lamar this week? Or is that getting too cute...4 points per TD toss, 6 per rush TD, .1 per yard ran.

Starting Stroud over Lamar isn't getting cute at this point, Stroud is good and the Browns defense is good too. However the Bengals look a lot better on both sides of the ball and I have a lot of trepidation about the Texans this week, I sincerely believe Stroud, Shultz and Collins (possibly Dell) are good starts because the Texans can't run and they will probably need to work to keep up with the Bengals. OTOH I think the Bengals are rounding into form on both sides of the ball and are making a move in the division and the conference.

Lamar has been uneven but he's still been good, regardless. He's a top 10 QB in most formats and he, and the Ravens are playing lights out football.

Nothing wrong with going Stroud here but I'm sticking with Lamar
Lamar>Stroud

 

[Chaka]

Standard scoring, non-ppr league. I need to start 2 out of this group:

Pittman - still getting volume as the #1
Lockett - Hit or miss with him
Ford - Tough matchup and they lost an OL
Moss - Snap share has really decreased
Algier - Getting goal line work

That's tough for sure and it sucks that it's non-PPR.

I don't think you can rely on Moss so much at this point. Since Taylor came back Moss has gone from 80% snap share to 50%, 50%, 39% & 21% last week. I think Indianapolis wins this week and maybe Moss falls in for a TD but I see a lot of downside too.

Allgeier is a very divisive player both in the fantasy realm and, apparently on Atlanta sports media. People are clamoring for more Bijan, I don't think they realize that Bijan is getting 17 or so opportunities/game and, but for the weird migraine game is out touching Allgeier on the season. But, it's true Allgeier is getting the goal line work, out touching Bijan by 6-1 on the season so there is definitely an opportunity for a TD against a pretty soft Arizona defense. But I do worry about a Kyler bump from the Cardinals and Allegeir has been pretty bad at, kinda everything. He's really tough to rely on.

Ford has a very tough matchup but he seems to be the clear #1 RB in Cleveland. He had 27 opportunities, 25 touches (5 receptions on 7 targets) but only managed 77 yards. Still, the Browns do seem committed to him. At the very least Ford is a strong volume play and these AFC Central matchups always seem to play out differently than expected. That being said, beware the Ravens because they have been scary good on defense. #1 in scoring, #2 in yards, 26th in pass attempts against but #2 in pass yards surrendered , they're 8th in rush yards, and have only given up 3 TDs on the ground. Ford is a volume play, yes but I wouldn't have high expectations. Essentially you are hoping he is able to break off a long gainer for a TD. He has that ability but still...

That leaves us with Pittman and Lockett. They're the two most talented players among your options and they have strong matchups. Since everyone is a gamble, I think I gamble on your best players.

Pittman>Lockett>Ford>Allgeier>Moss

 

[Chaka]

PPR league, have Hill on bye, starting Lamb and Evans at WR and Mixon/Javonte at RB. Who should I start in the flex?

Dotson at SEA
Ford at BAL

Normally I would start Ford, but the BAL matchup is really tough. I expect a slugfest between CLE and BAL.

I see that Dotson showed up on the injury report as questionable but it looks like he missed practice for personal reasons, not injury. If he is back in full pads today I think I start him and don't really think twice about it.

Here is what I said about Ford above: Ford has a very tough matchup but he seems to be the clear #1 RB in Cleveland. He had 27 opportunities, 25 touches (5 receptions on 7 targets) but only managed 77 yards. Still, the Browns do seem committed to him. At the very least Ford is a strong volume play and these AFC Central matchups always seem to play out differently than expected. That being said, beware the Ravens because they have been scary good on defense. #1 in scoring, #2 in yards, 26th in pass attempts against but #2 in pass yards surrendered , they're 8th in rush yards, and have only given up 3 TDs on the ground. Ford is a volume play, yes but I wouldn't have high expectations. Essentially you are hoping he is able to break off a long gainer for a TD. He has that ability but still...

Dotson has a neutral matchup, at worst, plays on the most pass happy team in the league and over the last three weeks he has really come around. Over the last three gams he's averaging 8.7 targets, 5.7 receptions, 73 yards and has 2TDs. Whatever was going wrong early in the season seems to have sorted itself out.

Dotson>Ford

 

[fightingillini]

Stroud vs Bengals
Goff vs Chargers

Hard to bench the guy who just finished QB1 for the week and broke the rookie record. But some say the Bengals have a good defense and some say that the Chargers are awful.

I think I would still start Stroud. CIN is going to score points. HOU has no running game. DET could run the ball 30+ times now that Monty is back.

 

[1320kid]

Do I start Stroud over Lamar this week? Or is that getting too cute...4 points per TD toss, 6 per rush TD, .1 per yard ran.

Starting Stroud over Lamar isn't getting cute at this point, Stroud is good and the Browns defense is good too. However the Bengals look a lot better on both sides of the ball and I have a lot of trepidation about the Texans this week, I sincerely believe Stroud, Shultz and Collins (possibly Dell) are good starts because the Texans can't run and they will probably need to work to keep up with the Bengals. OTOH I think the Bengals are rounding into form on both sides of the ball and are making a move in the division and the conference.

Lamar has been uneven but he's still been good, regardless. He's a top 10 QB in most formats and he, and the Ravens are playing lights out football.

Nothing wrong with going Stroud here but I'm sticking with Lamar
Lamar>Stroud

Appreciate the insight as usual Chaka.

 

[BearsFan4Life]

Standard Scoring

TE - need 1 and both are Questionable
Kmet vs Carolina - Thursday
Hockenson vs NO - Sunday

FLEX - pick 1
Barkley @ Dal
Jacobs vs NYJ
Henry @ TB
Aiyuk @ Jax

I know, I have an embarrassment of riches in this 14 team dynasty team. I currently have chosen Hockenson for TE and JJacobs at FLEX. Just looking for your thoughts and greatly appreciate them as always!

 

[1320kid]

Standard Scoring

TE - need 1 and both are Questionable
Kmet vs Carolina - Thursday
Hockenson vs NO - Sunday

FLEX - pick 1
Barkley @ Dal
Jacobs vs NYJ
Henry @ TB
Aiyuk @ Jax

I know, I have an embarrassment of riches in this 14 team dynasty team. I currently have chosen Hockenson for TE and JJacobs at FLEX. Just looking for your thoughts and greatly appreciate them as always!

Ride the hot hand in Kmet imo and Henry against TB for the flex. DAL and NYJ are tough to run against.

 

[Chaka]

Superflex league, which 2 QBs do you start?

Lawrence vs SF
G Smith vs WAS
Purdy at JAX

Kind of a pick 'em but I think I bench Purdy IF it turns out Trent Williams and Aaron Banks are DNP, particularly Williams as he seems to be the glue that holds the line together.

If Williams is in the lineup it's a tougher call because Geno has a great matchup but has been, mostly disappointing as has Lawrence but Lawrence has been running more often and more effectively.

It's a coin toss but I probably bench Lawrence mostly because I am stubbornly holding onto the idea that Geno is going to round back into form, for at least this week.

 

[The Dude]

I have Dak, Pollard and Ferguson
I don't have any other good choices for RB, TE

Should I start Geno to limit exposure to what may be a blow out with reduced opps for Dak? Kinda thinking it's a get right game for Pollard

 

[Chaka]

Yo Chaka! Must win for me or I’m likely done. Half PPR.
Need one RB, TE and Flex
Forman versus Carolina
Mattison versus Saints
Kmet versus Carolina
Taysom Hill versus Minnesota
Deebo versus Jacksonville

I’m inclined to gamble for upside on Foreman and Hill. But I could also play Hill in flex and start Kmet at TE. Could also play both RBs with Mattison in flex. Deebo is the obvious flex but not sure I trust his health or his usage. Appreciate the advice!

Just saw a Rotowire update that Herbert will not be activated tonight so I smash start Foreman.

Deebo logged a full practice yesterday and if he does today I think you start him too. It's a bit risky but he's your best player and if he's healthy you should be starting him until that changes.

Mattison isn't very exciting but you know he will see 15-20 opportunities which can't be entirely ignored. I didn't ignore it but I'm still not starting him because I don't like his prospects against the Saints.

Kmet and Taysom are close. Kmet is a huge target and Bagent seems locked in on him and peppering him with mostly high percentage (read: short) targets. The TDs feel like an aberration, somewhat, but the targets should be there.

It looks like the Saints may have finally decided to make Hill a regular part of the offense which may actually give him a modestly safe floor. If he's getting 5-10 carries, 3-5 targets and the possibility of a pass attempt or two the prospect of him hitting his upside is tantalizing.

Foreman & Deebo for sure, IMO,

Taysom>Kmet

 

[Chaka]

0.5 PPR

Laporta at Chargers
McBride vs Falcons

The Lions offense has a lot of guys clamoring for the ball at this point but I still like the way LaPorta has clearly become Goff's #2 target. In a high powered offense facing a vulnerable defense (and an offense that can score) I think I prefer rolling the dice on LaPorta than being unsure of what to expect from Kyler Murray in his return to the Cardinals.

LaPorta>McBride

 

[Chaka]

Standard

L.Jackson vs Browns - just a bit fed up with this guy, no td passes 2 weeks straight
or
Stroud @ Bengals - trustworthy in a tough road game after a big home performance?

T.Hill @ Vikings
or
Kittle @ Jags

Nothing wrong with rolling out Stroud even against a difficult opponent, hitting their stride, on the road. If you're fed up with Lamar then it isn't fun rooting for him and you have a decent option. Personally I roll with Lamar no matter what, the team is playing lights out, he's playing great ball, he's still running 9 times/game and the Ravens are winning. But Stroud has been fine and, any given week can outperform just about anyone so if you want to roll with him, you should.

Lamar>Stroud

Kittle is great but you kind of get the feeling that Carr and the Saints may have decided to incorporate Hill into the Saints offense on a more consistent basis. That is an interesting prospect.

It's a big risk and Kittle is probably the "smarter" play but
Taysom>Kittle

 

[Chaka]

We love you Chaka. Thanks for all that you're doing here.

Must win game for me:
PPR
Dj Moore vs CAR
or
Jaxon Smith-Njigba vs WAS

JSN has actually outscored DJM in each of the past 3 weeks(with Bagent at QB), but the revenge game narrative(plus good matchup) for Moore is tempting.

There is no doubt that Bagent has not been able to unlock DJ but there is a risk in benching that guy. The real problem is teams don't throw against the Panthers a lot because they don't score a lot of points and they are quite poor against the run. So the bigger issue is who's "revenge" game do you want to bank on? DJ against his old team or Foreman against his old team? Personally, I think the Bears are going to try and run as much as possible. Although best laid plans etc...

The Commanders represent a great matchup for the Seahawks passing game as a whole. JSN has been looking strong lately but it is important to recognize that he is still behind Lockett & DK. When the Seahawks ran up the white flag last week against Baltimore, JSN saw his most action of the season. If this game is close his snap share should be closer to the mid 60% and not near 80% like last week. I guess the question I am asking is do I prefer six targets from Geno against the Commanders or six targets from Bagent against the Panthers?

Tough one. I think, ultimately I am backing the better player ATM (but it's close and you should go with your gut, I know I am)
DJ>JSN

 

[Chaka]

12 team, PPR. Last flex:

D'onta Foreman
or
Javonte Williams

Was planning to go with Javonte, but with Herbert likely out and Chicago facing Carolina, now I'm wavering.

If Herbert is out, and last I saw he is going to be, I don't hesitate to start Foreman and don't I regret it if it doesn't work out.

 

[Chaka]

Half PPR. Jerome Ford vs BAL, or George Pickens vs GB in the flex? Assuming Charbonnet vs WAS over both if Walker sits.

I'm leaning a little bit towards the squeaky wheel here.

This is my take on Ford this week: Ford has a very tough matchup but he seems to be the clear #1 RB in Cleveland. He had 27 opportunities, 25 touches (5 receptions on 7 targets) but only managed 77 yards. Still, the Browns do seem committed to him. At the very least Ford is a strong volume play and these AFC Central matchups always seem to play out differently than expected. That being said, beware the Ravens because they have been scary good on defense. #1 in scoring, #2 in yards, 26th in pass attempts against but #2 in pass yards surrendered , they're 8th in rush yards, and have only given up 3 TDs on the ground. Ford is a volume play, yes but I wouldn't have high expectations. Essentially you are hoping he is able to break off a long gainer for a TD. He has that ability but still...

I like Pickens because even though both he and Ford are capable of landing a big week saving play, I think it is going to be more likely for Pickens.

Pickens>Ford

 

[Chaka]

How do you think Lenny plays out in Buffalo?

I don't think the Bills should leave Lenny alone with a puppy.

 

[Chaka]

I'm in a major pickle. I have Mahomes, DeVonta Smith and Waddle all on BYEs:

• QB: I have Levis currently starting vs. the Bucs. I like this matchup and his potential. Should I proceed or look to add a Wilson vs. Buff, Geno vs. Wash, Love vs. Pitt?
• WR: With my top 2 WRs out, I have Diontae Johnson and Demario Douglas (Who is now questionable). Do I start Doubs here instead over Douglas? Do I look to add an Osborn vs. NO (Also questionable), Jameson vs. Chargers?

I'm fine with Levis but you need to recognize the obvious downside. The Titans aren't that good. I like everything Levis brings to the table and it looks like a great matchup on paper so, why not. When I look at your other options Geno does stand out because of the matchup and the fact that the Seahawks do have three very good targets. His disappointing season can't be ignored but, if ever the stars were aligning for a big game from Geno and the passing game, it's this week. It's close but, f both were on my team

Geno>Levis

 

[Chaka]

Stroud vs Bengals
Goff vs Chargers

Hard to bench the guy who just finished QB1 for the week and broke the rookie record. But some say the Bengals have a good defense and some say that the Chargers are awful.

I think you have two good choices and I think what "some say" seems to be pretty spot on. Any way you look at it the Texans need to pass the ball to win because their run game has been atrocious. To their credit the Texans do seem committed to at least trying to run, they haven't abandoned it entirely like the Commanders or Vikings and it does seem to be working. I do think the Bengals are hitting their stride and holding the Bills and Niners to 17 & 18 points in back to back weeks should be considered.

I believe the Lions would love to run the ball 50 times every week but it seldom plays out that way. The Chargers have been solid against the run and bad against the pass. Some of that has to do with the fact that they are a top 8 scoring offense, some of it is because they don't play very good pass defense.

I think you have two good options and you should choose one and have no regrets. For me, I'm tempted by Stroud but I'm backing the better overall offense

Goff>Stroud

 

[Chaka]

Standard Scoring

TE - need 1 and both are Questionable
Kmet vs Carolina - Thursday
Hockenson vs NO - Sunday

FLEX - pick 1
Barkley @ Dal
Jacobs vs NYJ
Henry @ TB
Aiyuk @ Jax

I know, I have an embarrassment of riches in this 14 team dynasty team. I currently have chosen Hockenson for TE and JJacobs at FLEX. Just looking for your thoughts and greatly appreciate them as always!

I start Hock and don't really think twice about it. He has become the #1 target with Jefferson out. Addison has the edge in TDs but Hock has everything else. O'Connell is dialing up his number too much to ignore. The QB situation is a push, at best, IMO...probably favor Dobbs at this point.

Hock>Kmet

For your flex you have plenty of options. I'm not rolling Barkley because it's Dallas and Tommy Devito is the QB. Not rolling Aiyuk because Deebo is back and Trent Williams may miss another game.

I think Jacobs and Henry are in better situations. Both should see 20+ opportunities and the defenses know it. I like Jacobs a little more because the Raiders still seem very pumped and the Jets are getting run on a lot more than the Bucs (258-195 attempts), the Jets are giving up 4.3 ypc to 3.9 for the Bucs and Jacobs is more involved in the passing game and doesn't have a guy like Spears to siphon off looks.

Jacobs>Henry

 

[massraider]

I'm in a major pickle. I have Mahomes, DeVonta Smith and Waddle all on BYEs:

• QB: I have Levis currently starting vs. the Bucs. I like this matchup and his potential. Should I proceed or look to add a Wilson vs. Buff, Geno vs. Wash, Love vs. Pitt?
• WR: With my top 2 WRs out, I have Diontae Johnson and Demario Douglas (Who is now questionable). Do I start Doubs here instead over Douglas? Do I look to add an Osborn vs. NO (Also questionable), Jameson vs. Chargers?

I would roll with the rookie, Geno as a 2nd option.
I would add Osborn if he goes. Otherwise, Doubs.

Welcome to FBG, sir. I know your stuff from elsewhere.
Check out the Raiders thread.

 

[Chaka]

I have Dak, Pollard and Ferguson
I don't have any other good choices for RB, TE

Should I start Geno to limit exposure to what may be a blow out with reduced opps for Dak? Kinda thinking it's a get right game for Pollard

I can see the argument and I do think the Commanders represent the best opportunity for the Seahawks to finally get correct in the passing game. BUT, my philosophy is if you have a team that has a more than reasonable chance at scoring 40+ points, I want as many pieces of that offense I can get. Capture as much of that pie as you can IMO.

Dak>Geno

 

[Chaka]

I'm in a major pickle. I have Mahomes, DeVonta Smith and Waddle all on BYEs:

• QB: I have Levis currently starting vs. the Bucs. I like this matchup and his potential. Should I proceed or look to add a Wilson vs. Buff, Geno vs. Wash, Love vs. Pitt?
• WR: With my top 2 WRs out, I have Diontae Johnson and Demario Douglas (Who is now questionable). Do I start Doubs here instead over Douglas? Do I look to add an Osborn vs. NO (Also questionable), Jameson vs. Chargers?

Sorry, friend I missed the second part of your question. Is this a PPR league? That is the only circumstance under which I consider Douglas. I have never seen a Belichick coached team look this ready to quit and want nothing to do with the Patriots and everything to do with their opponents.

I don't love Doubs just because of his inconsistent usage, but he does seem to find the end zone with decent regularity, so he is an option here but not a particularly interesting one.

The way I see it with Osborn is it's a simple red light/green light situation. If he clears the protocol you can expect him to play and see about 6-7 targets. If he doesn't clear, he doesn't play. You have time to wait and see on his status. Unfortunately even if he does play he does seem a little bit allergic to the end zone, he doesn't really create much after the catch. So he's probably a 6-60 guy with limited upside. He's your safe floor option.

Jameson is all about whether or not he can pull in one of the two deep ball attempts he will likely see against the bad Chargers pass defense. He is exactly the kind of guy I love rooting for. I have a tendency to favor those kinds of guys in these situations because they are fun to watch and because I am completely aware of the downside. Personally I think he is the most entertaining option and probably has the biggest upside.

With pretty much zero confidence

Jameson>KJ>Douglas>Doubs

 

[Chaka]

How do you think Lenny plays out in Buffalo?

Depending on your roster, I guess he's worth a flier but this Bills team doesn't seem particularly dedicated to getting their RBs involved and when they do it will probably remain a frustrating rotation.

I don't suddenly see them opting to make Fournette a 16 touch guy.

 

[stinkbait]

QB
Jackson v Cle
Purdy v Jax

WR full ppr need 1
Reed GB
Mims Den
Moore AZ

Flex need 1
Spears Tenn
Reed GB
Mims Den
Moore AZ

TIA

 

[Chaka]

QB
Jackson v Cle
Purdy v Jax

WR full ppr need 1
Reed GB
Mims Den
Moore AZ

Flex need 1
Spears Tenn
Reed GB
Mims Den
Moore AZ

TIA

In the future please include matchups. Thank you.

The only one I have a real opinion on is the QB. I'm starting Lamar and not thinking twice. That team is playing too well ATM and they are putting up a ton of points on quality opponents. Lamar is passing the ball better than he ever has, still running with virtually the same frequency and efficiency and is generally playing great football. I understand people are frustrated with his fantasy performance but he's still a top 10 QB with as much upside as anyone in the game.

Purdy is a stable option for the most part but we have seen lately that he can be gotten to, by a strong pass rush. If Trent Williams is out again it makes Purdy even more vulnerable to his low end production. And his upside is generally only okay. Even if the offense is humming he's not truly prolific, he's opportunistic. He's not creating, he's taking what he can see.

Lamar>Purdy

For your WR option? I have no earthly idea. I mean I guess I lean towards Reed because his utilization is maybe the best of the bunch.

Mims has been entirely missing for four consecutive games, I don't seem him as an option on any level.

I guess I can see Moore getting a bump from Murray. He's pretty much a coin toss with Reed. Maybe go with him because he's at home.

But really, no clue. I lean Reed but it's not based on much.

Reed>Moore

I like Spears as your flex because he's getting more touches than the other options. He's got 5-6 reception upside and will see 5-9 carries as well.

Spears>Reed>Moore

 

[Largent]

absurd to type this, but here we are Nov 2023:

.5 PPR
Adams vs Jets
Dell @ Cincy

Jets secondary is probably one of the best in the game. Rookie QB etc etc etc, but who knows, maybe Pierce has some wizard like things happening in Vegas

Dell explodes last week, and this will be a CJ Stroud 50 attempt sort of game....does lightening strike two weeks in a row?

I don't think Dell is a lightning situation. He's a big part of the offense, a starter seeing a 75%+ snap share. Noah Brown, OTOH, feels like lightning in a bottle. Dell isn't a weekly 10 target guy by any stretch and Stroud is amazing at distributing the ball (I think that fact is the main concern) but Dell is a solid play any given week and I agree that Cincinnati is a tough opponent and it doesn't seem like Houston can beat anyone on the ground.

I hate suggesting benching Davante. He's still easily one of the best in the game and Keenan, who has similar traits had a fine game against the Jets. Unfortunately Aidan O'Connell is not Justin Herbert and Davante still seems a little off. As a Raiders fan I may be seeing this through my "Waiting for the Inevitable Disaster" colored sunglasses because, logically you shouldn't bench Davante.

Yeah, I'm going with logic YMMV
Davante>Dell

Thanks....but now playing both given the Higgins injury....who is the most injury prone WR history, and who I just traded for.

 

[IHEARTFF]

Cole Kmet or Chuba Hubbard tonight in TEP?

 

[Chaka]

absurd to type this, but here we are Nov 2023:

.5 PPR
Adams vs Jets
Dell @ Cincy

Jets secondary is probably one of the best in the game. Rookie QB etc etc etc, but who knows, maybe Pierce has some wizard like things happening in Vegas

Dell explodes last week, and this will be a CJ Stroud 50 attempt sort of game....does lightening strike two weeks in a row?

I don't think Dell is a lightning situation. He's a big part of the offense, a starter seeing a 75%+ snap share. Noah Brown, OTOH, feels like lightning in a bottle. Dell isn't a weekly 10 target guy by any stretch and Stroud is amazing at distributing the ball (I think that fact is the main concern) but Dell is a solid play any given week and I agree that Cincinnati is a tough opponent and it doesn't seem like Houston can beat anyone on the ground.

I hate suggesting benching Davante. He's still easily one of the best in the game and Keenan, who has similar traits had a fine game against the Jets. Unfortunately Aidan O'Connell is not Justin Herbert and Davante still seems a little off. As a Raiders fan I may be seeing this through my "Waiting for the Inevitable Disaster" colored sunglasses because, logically you shouldn't bench Davante.

Yeah, I'm going with logic YMMV
Davante>Dell

Thanks....but now playing both given the Higgins injury....who is the most injury prone WR history, and who I just traded for.

LOL I'm not sure Higgins qualifies for that title but I did see the news that he is trending out. You could do worse than Davante and Dell this week.

 

[Chaka]

Cole Kmet or Chuba Hubbard tonight in TEP?

Kmet. He's a big body that Bagent is locked in iny.

I don't think much of Hubbard's game. He may be the starter but, IMO he hasn't done enough with his opportunities to ensure he holds onto the job.