Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums
This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!
🐎 *OFFICIAL 2022 Horse Racing Extravaganza Traveling Road Show Thread - Life Gettin' Better At Big Sandy* 🐎 (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter otb_lifer
- Start date
QuizGuy66
Footballguy
https://twitter.com/atTheTrack7/status/1535630931209355265?t=wFhoAuvdQH5FISy218S7aw&s=19
With $1.1 Million (~5% of Expected Total) in the Win Pool
Mo Donegal - 5/2
Rich Strike - 7/2
Nest - 4
We The People - 5
Creative Minister - 7
Barber Road - 8
Skippylongstocking - 9
Golden Glider - 13
#BelmontStakes
Interesting to say the least.
-QG
With $1.1 Million (~5% of Expected Total) in the Win Pool
Mo Donegal - 5/2
Rich Strike - 7/2
Nest - 4
We The People - 5
Creative Minister - 7
Barber Road - 8
Skippylongstocking - 9
Golden Glider - 13
#BelmontStakes
Interesting to say the least.
-QG
Chaz McNulty
Footballguy
WTP ran a 23.3 and a 47.1 in the Peter Pan and still won easily going away. Is this basically the same track and surface? I think the race is 1/8 mile longer, but there was no let up at the end.again, just like EV in the Preak: if we see opening qtrs of :24.3/:49, just rip up yer tix if you don't have WTP to win, or on top of your verts.
I know the Peter Pan was a grade 3 race, and he didn't get challenged, but do you think any kind of duplication of that effort with a similar time will win this race?
Sorry for all the questions.
otb_lifer
Footballguy
it rained a good portion of that afternoon, and WTP was just gliding on a sealed track - so, no - surface will be different today in that respect ... the weather appears to be clear for the Belmont, as of now.
front speed pretty much held all day yesterday, so if the track is playing similar expect some of the cats who are more comfortable with deeper trips getting into closer quarters - if WTP can ration, then unleash for the final stretch, it will be all over up top.
the class horses (Stakes winners) in the race today are all of the same closing ilk for the most part, that's why i envision Prat rationing out WTP more economically ... doesn't mean he can't or won't rip off sub :24s, but i just don't see where the urgency will be to use him early, unless, as i said earlier, Nest is gonna make them work harder than anticipated.
my comnent about "ripping up tix" was a nod to EV's Preakness, where he was never in danger of not being the freshest/fastest horse in the stretch ... i see similar playing out today - who knows, maybe Prat takes a page from Jose and actually drafts behind Nest, rather than dueling ... highly unlikely, but we don't know what Pletcher/Jose have in mind.
np
wikkidpissah
Footballguy
thought i was gonna have to beat odds less than 2-1 on WtP. at five, he's a bargain. Belmonts are won on the front end about 10x more often than the other two TC legs and there aint nobody gonna interfere. i'd like to think it will be a cold exacta with the filly - cuz she's the best horse in the race - but she could get fried being the first to take up the well-rated colt. still she has my place call.
1 - We the People
2 - Next
3 - Rich Strike (only cuz his Derby run was so freakishly good. dont actually see him figgerin' here)
1 - We the People
2 - Next
3 - Rich Strike (only cuz his Derby run was so freakishly good. dont actually see him figgerin' here)
otb_lifer
Footballguy
14/1 horse pretty much wires 'em in the opener, 6f dirt sprint, and they were busy up front. Dylan Davis bags his first of the day.
9/1 horse takes the second (1m dirt) wire to wire also - decent clip again - looks like inside speed bias (they were both #2) is continuing to be a thing thus far.
YA BETTER BE ON THE ENGINE TODAY (much like yesterday, etc)
9/1 horse takes the second (1m dirt) wire to wire also - decent clip again - looks like inside speed bias (they were both #2) is continuing to be a thing thus far.
YA BETTER BE ON THE ENGINE TODAY (much like yesterday, etc)
Judge Smails
Footballguy
Unlike the Preakness I’m it going to change my mind. Convinced that Mo and Nest will run really well. Pletcher would not race the filly here if he didn’t believe. Doesn’t have to race her here. Bad trip in the Oaks. I agree on the pace and WTP should control it. Nest will lay closer. And Mo will come. Those 3
Last edited by a moderator:
Judge Smails
Footballguy
Rich Strike got the set up of all set ups in Kentucky. Won’t get there here
otb_lifer
Footballguy
look, there wasn't much in that 4 horse field for Matareya to beat after Echo scratched, but Prat dove her right to the rail, ripped off :23s the whole way around ... the 1&3 tried to stay close, but just couldn't even make up an inch as Mat/Prat walked home.
Last edited by a moderator:
NYRAGE
Footballguy
For a horse that likes to finish second, he showed a lot of fight today. Looks like he got passed.otb_lifer said:14/1 horse pretty much wires 'em in the opener, 6f dirt sprint, and they were busy up front. Dylan Davis bags his first of the day.
9/1 horse takes the second (1m dirt) wire to wire also - decent clip again - looks like inside speed bias (they were both #2) is continuing to be a thing thus far.
YA BETTER BE ON THE ENGINE TODAY (much like yesterday, etc)
I love when the track shows an inside speed bias. I will definitely look for inside speed the rest of the way on the dirt.
otb_lifer
Footballguy
BROOKLYN (race 5) coming up in roughly 25 mins.
big harbinger for the Belmont, as this is also at 12f ... keeping a keen eye on Prat with the #3 here ... should break like a rocket right to that rail - and get the early calls - then we see how he rates on 'em.
Cox trained.
big harbinger for the Belmont, as this is also at 12f ... keeping a keen eye on Prat with the #3 here ... should break like a rocket right to that rail - and get the early calls - then we see how he rates on 'em.
Cox trained.
otb_lifer
Footballguy
ok, so ... this has been a souped up surface past couple days - but now they were going 12f.
they went :24.2/:50/1:15
lead pack loafed around, with the 5 having the slight lead ... Saez on the 7 rated beautifully, tucked right behind ... merry-go-round the whole way to the stretch (check those snoozy fractions).
the 5 ceded, and Saez juiced the 7 home from the two path ... Prat got the 3 up for second, after bobbing out the gate, and spotting 'em a couple lengths from jump.
WTP is looking better. and better. he will not fold in the stretch if they let him get away with similar splits.
YMMV, of course - but this was a good omen for those backing the PP winner ... lest Prat stumbles out the gate again ...
Cowboysfan8
Footballguy
Let’s throw a lil at #4 in race 6 for action
Cowboysfan8
Footballguy
QuizGuy66
Footballguy
Belmont odds as of 2:20p ET:
https://www.horseracingnation.com/news/Belmont_Stakes_2022_Updated_win_odds_for_Saturdays_race_123
1. We the People 6-1
2. Skippylongstocking 9-1
3. Nest (f) 4-1
4. Rich Strike 7-2
5. Creative Minister 7-1
6. Mo Donegal 5-2
7. Golden Glider12-1
8. Barber Road 7-1
I am boxing up the 1-5-6-7 but holding off on my win pick for now. Was thinking the 5 but that goes against my policy of just copying off of OTB
Probably will flip to 1 for my $10 win bet and then do a $2 saver with the 5.
Is there a minimum number of horses on the .10 superfecta? Might work it out so my stake in the race is 44.40 otherwise
-QG
https://www.horseracingnation.com/news/Belmont_Stakes_2022_Updated_win_odds_for_Saturdays_race_123
1. We the People 6-1
2. Skippylongstocking 9-1
3. Nest (f) 4-1
4. Rich Strike 7-2
5. Creative Minister 7-1
6. Mo Donegal 5-2
7. Golden Glider12-1
8. Barber Road 7-1
I am boxing up the 1-5-6-7 but holding off on my win pick for now. Was thinking the 5 but that goes against my policy of just copying off of OTB
Probably will flip to 1 for my $10 win bet and then do a $2 saver with the 5.
Is there a minimum number of horses on the .10 superfecta? Might work it out so my stake in the race is 44.40 otherwise
-QG
otb_lifer
Footballguy
Belmont odds as of 2:20p ET:
https://www.horseracingnation.com/news/Belmont_Stakes_2022_Updated_win_odds_for_Saturdays_race_123
1. We the People 6-1
2. Skippylongstocking 9-1
3. Nest (f) 4-1
4. Rich Strike 7-2
5. Creative Minister 7-1
6. Mo Donegal 5-2
7. Golden Glider12-1
8. Barber Road 7-1
I am boxing up the 1-5-6-7 but holding off on my win pick for now. Was thinking the 5 but that goes against my policy of just copying off of OTB
i LOVE the 5, playing him (and Mo) on my exacta under WTP.
my capping buddy loving CM equally as much.
he has moved forward every race, and his Preakness run was none too shabby - he's live.
Last edited by a moderator:
Cowboysfan8
Footballguy
I’m having a hard time putting any tickets together for this undercard. Short fields n big faves 
Cowboysfan8
Footballguy
1-3 ex pays 5-1 right now
Harry Frogfish
Footballguy
Judge Smails said:
Yup. Plus the juice, don't forget the juice. Home cookin for a good ol' boy, got his day in the sun.
Harry Frogfish
Footballguy
On Malathaat, the 3 here, especially at 3-1. Can't take 6YO Letruska -- awesome horse -- at 4/5.
otb_lifer
Footballguy
Okay I will stick with 5 on top make the 1 the saver
--QG
always go with the gut ... gl, QG
- OTB
Judge Smails
Footballguy
Just read this on another site
I watched the DRF Clocker Mike Welsh and he said that Creative Minister got HOT twice this week which he says is a bad sign. Just a heads up.
I watched the DRF Clocker Mike Welsh and he said that Creative Minister got HOT twice this week which he says is a bad sign. Just a heads up.
otb_lifer
Footballguy
WTP's ####show in the Arky was put down to same - totally washed in the post parade - 9th place finish, behind some stiff ### mules, to boot ... only blemish on his record thus far.
also, CM is the only horse on the full TC sched ... he ran on the Derby undercard/in the Preak/now the Belmont.
unraced at 2, so ... maybe the lack of foundation is rearing - will keep an eye on the paddock/walks.
Cowboysfan8
Footballguy
Race 8
ex bx 4,5,12,13
ex bx 4,5,12,13
Judge Smails
Footballguy
Nice little $10 box there. Wish I could have given more props to the 3 for third. Played a little it with the 12 in exotics with the 4 and 5. Perfect spot and faded.
QuizGuy66
Footballguy
Chaz McNulty
Footballguy
$84 spent on Belmont Stakes
$50 win on 1
$10 straight exactors on 3-1 and 6-1
$4 Straight Tri on 3-1-4
Wife exactor box 6-2; Daughter 1 exactor box 3-6; Daughter 2 exactor box 4-8.
Good luck to all!
$50 win on 1
$10 straight exactors on 3-1 and 6-1
$4 Straight Tri on 3-1-4
Wife exactor box 6-2; Daughter 1 exactor box 3-6; Daughter 2 exactor box 4-8.
Good luck to all!
Judge Smails
Footballguy
Something has to give in this race. Doubt Flightline and Speakers Corner can ding dong all the way around. And who knows about the break. I like Aloha West to get 2nd and I'll play a little with Irad too
Cowboysfan8
Footballguy
4/all ex
IC FBGCav
Footballguy
Cowboysfan8
Footballguy
Beast
Judge Smails
Footballguy
Had the $20 exacta but would have really loved the 3 passing the 2 for 3rd. Had a $10 tri. Oh well.
Cowboysfan8
Footballguy
These Belmont odds are ####ed lol
How is Skippylongstocking only 7-1 ??
How is Skippylongstocking only 7-1 ??
otb_lifer
Footballguy
he doesn't train the #2, Gufo ... and that oughtta be the winner here - key box with 3,9
otb_lifer
Footballguy
Wonder how long the Rich Strike effect is gonna be on Triple Crown race odds. Short term pain for thes is gonna be long term gain.
-QG
hey, if it pushes EV to an obscene 5/1 in the Preak, and can give me 3/1 or higher on WTP ... let 'em go!
we profit.
IC FBGCav
Footballguy
Similar threads
