2018 FBG Subscriber Contest (4 Viewers)

[HairySasquatch]

I'm likely taking out either Goodwin or Agholor and going with 2 cheaper WRs. Everyone has Goodwin so I may drop him, whereas Agholor has equal upside IMO. 
 

Boom or bust decision.  Goodwin is by far the best value based on predictions and what I have seen this preseason and the end of last year.  Goodwin's cost is between $8-10 lower than the other WR with similar predictions.  

If you don't believe he will live up to those predictions, then leaving him off your team would be the right call.  But if you leave him off your team and he meets or exceeds those predictions, you will often find yourself playing from behind....Goodwin will be one of the highest owned WR, so you could find yourself playing from behind a lot of teams.

 

[SeniorVBDStudent]

Boom or bust decision.  Goodwin is by far the best value based on predictions and what I have seen this preseason and the end of last year.  Goodwin's cost is between $8-10 lower than the other WR with similar predictions.  

If you don't believe he will live up to those predictions, then leaving him off your team would be the right call.  But if you leave him off your team and he meets or exceeds those predictions, you will often find yourself playing from behind....Goodwin will be one of the highest owned WR, so you could find yourself playing from behind a lot of teams.

Boom or bust is correct.  The DFS analogy is if you want to win a tournament contest you have to pivot off the highly owned player....AND you have to pivot to the player who outperforms the highly owned player.  If you don't meet the second criteria, you don't cash.

What makes the situation really interesting is that although the consensus is that Jimmy G walks on water, there is a huge standard deviation on the whole situation.  I lean to believing the hype, but anyone who tells you its a foregone conclusion is smoking the good stuff.

Here is the universe within $2 of Mr. Goodwin:

Corey Davis

Pierre Garcon

Sammy Watkins

Robby Anderson

Randall Cobb

Cooper Kupp

Robert Woods

Nelson Agholor

Will Fuller

Marquise Goodwin

Jordy Nelson

Sterling Shepard

DeVante Parker

DJ Moore

Marqise Lee

Kelvin Benjamin

Kenny Stills

Kenny Golladay

That's a LOT of options.  The chance that several names on this list end up outperforming Goodwin significantly is not tiny.  The chance that at least two outperform Goodwin might be around even money.  I might even be inclined to restrict the pool to those players in the $11-13 range.

 

[chocula]

6 of the top 11 teams last year (top 10 subscribers, plus Clayton Gray, the top staffer) averaged under $10 per receiver.   4 of those averaged under $9 per receiver. If you have enough of the "right" WR2s, you can do just fine.

Very interesting.  I have been thinking that I need 1 stud WR such as Hopkins, 1 WR2 and down from there. The same with RB. 

 

[[icon]]

No goodwin

Over $40 invested in TE

3ea PK and DEF

:championship:

 

[Steeler]

This is my current team but I'm not sure if I like it very much

QB - Alex Smith - WAS/4 - $12
QB - Jameis Winston - TB/5 - $10
QB - Joe Flacco - BAL/10 - $5

A. Smith should do well in the WAS offense that got K. Cousins his massive contract.  Winston was on a tear at the end of last year, having a great pre-season.  Flacco for $5 is too good to pass up, plus he's motivated by Lamar (lol, like he wasn't motivated in the past when he sucked)

============
RB - Ezekiel Elliott - DAL/8 - $35
RB - Christian McCaffrey - CAR/4 - $26
RB - Royce Freeman - DEN/10 - $16
RB - Corey Clement - PHI/9 - $10
RB - Peyton Barber - TB/5 - $8
RB - Latavius Murray - MIN/10 - $7

Zeke and CMC have been on every iteration for me.  Freeman has been there for a while as well.  P. Barber will be this year's K. Hunt (in terms of low price RB on a ton of teams - hopefully he gets anywhere near Hunt's production from last year).  I really like Clement in the PHI offense and I'm not worried about 100 year old Sproles or Ajai.  If all three stay healthy he'll have some good weeks, if one of the others gets hurt he'll be that much more valuable.  L. Murray has been on/off this team a lot - probably should spend that $7 elsewhere.

============

WR - Brandin Cooks - LAR/12 - $19
WR - Marquise Goodwin - SF/11 - $13
WR - Tyler Lockett - SEA/7 - $9
WR - John Brown - BAL/10 - $6
WR - Cole Beasley - DAL/8 - $5
WR - Dede Westbrook - JAX/9 - $5
WR - John Ross - CIN/9 - $5

Rolling with Goodwin and the cast of bargain/value plays.  Had Golladay and 2 additional $4 WR but "upgraded" to B. Cooks - not sure I like this group all that much.

============

TE - Jordan Reed - WAS/4 - $16
TE - O.J. Howard - TB/5 - $11
TE - Hayden Hurst - BAL/10 - $6
TE - Dallas Goedert - PHI/9 - $4

The #1 TE for each of my QBs + Goedert - pretty dumb was to select TE   Tinkered with a few lineups where i had Gronk and Kelce with only 4 RBs and decided against it.  Might revisit that idea before the rosters lock.

============

PK - Ryan Succop - TEN/8 - $4
PK - Harrison Butker - KC/12 - $4
PK - Josh Lambo - JAX/9 - $3

$11 for kickers - whatever

============

TD - Los Angeles Rams - LAR/12 - $8
TD - Cleveland Browns - CLE/11 - $2

CLE has been on every one of my iterations as well and I was disappointed to see them destroy the Eagles last week - if they weren't going to be the most owned defense before that showing, they were certainly added to a bunch of rosters after that performance.  I missed the Rams in my main redraft league so I'm paying up for them in this contest.  I've never rolled with 2 defense before, but I like both of these Ds and it's not always about value at every position (did I just say that out loud? )

 

[TheWinz]

This is my current team but I'm not sure if I like it very much

QB - Alex Smith - WAS/4 - $12
QB - Jameis Winston - TB/5 - $10
QB - Joe Flacco - BAL/10 - $5

A. Smith should do well in the WAS offense that got K. Cousins his massive contract.  Winston was on a tear at the end of last year, having a great pre-season.  Flacco for $5 is too good to pass up, plus he's motivated by Lamar (lol, like he wasn't motivated in the past when he sucked)

============
RB - Ezekiel Elliott - DAL/8 - $35
RB - Christian McCaffrey - CAR/4 - $26
RB - Royce Freeman - DEN/10 - $16
RB - Corey Clement - PHI/9 - $10
RB - Peyton Barber - TB/5 - $8
RB - Latavius Murray - MIN/10 - $7

Zeke and CMC have been on every iteration for me.  Freeman has been there for a while as well.  P. Barber will be this year's K. Hunt (in terms of low price RB on a ton of teams - hopefully he gets anywhere near Hunt's production from last year).  I really like Clement in the PHI offense and I'm not worried about 100 year old Sproles or Ajai.  If all three stay healthy he'll have some good weeks, if one of the others gets hurt he'll be that much more valuable.  L. Murray has been on/off this team a lot - probably should spend that $7 elsewhere.

============

WR - Brandin Cooks - LAR/12 - $19
WR - Marquise Goodwin - SF/11 - $13
WR - Tyler Lockett - SEA/7 - $9
WR - John Brown - BAL/10 - $6
WR - Cole Beasley - DAL/8 - $5
WR - Dede Westbrook - JAX/9 - $5
WR - John Ross - CIN/9 - $5

Rolling with Goodwin and the cast of bargain/value plays.  Had Golladay and 2 additional $4 WR but "upgraded" to B. Cooks - not sure I like this group all that much.

============

TE - Jordan Reed - WAS/4 - $16
TE - O.J. Howard - TB/5 - $11
TE - Hayden Hurst - BAL/10 - $6
TE - Dallas Goedert - PHI/9 - $4

The #1 TE for each of my QBs + Goedert - pretty dumb was to select TE   Tinkered with a few lineups where i had Gronk and Kelce with only 4 RBs and decided against it.  Might revisit that idea before the rosters lock.

============

PK - Ryan Succop - TEN/8 - $4
PK - Harrison Butker - KC/12 - $4
PK - Josh Lambo - JAX/9 - $3

$11 for kickers - whatever

============

TD - Los Angeles Rams - LAR/12 - $8
TD - Cleveland Browns - CLE/11 - $2

CLE has been on every one of my iterations as well and I was disappointed to see them destroy the Eagles last week - if they weren't going to be the most owned defense before that showing, they were certainly added to a bunch of rosters after that performance.  I missed the Rams in my main redraft league so I'm paying up for them in this contest.  I've never rolled with 2 defense before, but I like both of these Ds and it's not always about value at every position (did I just say that out loud? )

FYI - Hurst has a stress fracture in his foot and will have to have a screw inserted in his foot. He's likely out for at least Week 1.

That'll free up $6.  Maybe you can use that to upgrade elsehwere.  For a 1-for-1, it'll get you something like Brees over Smith.  And, if you choose to drop Murray like you said, that'll be $13.  That could get you from Cooks to Julio Jones, if you wanted a top WR.  I think currently I have 9 of your guys, so me likey.

 

[(HULK)]

I have a 30 player team right now and I really like it.

3 QBs for $28

5 RBs for $105

10 WRs for $67 (somehow confident in this group)

4 TEs for $30

4 Ks for $10

4 Ds for $10

 

[TheWinz]

I have a 30 player team right now and I really like it.

3 QBs for $28

5 RBs for $105

10 WRs for $67 (somehow confident in this group)

4 TEs for $30

4 Ks for $10

4 Ds for $10

Your team looks stacked!  I just don't like the bye week conflicts with your WR's.

 

[Elevencents]

I have a 30 player team right now and I really like it.

3 QBs for $28

5 RBs for $105

10 WRs for $67 (somehow confident in this group)

4 TEs for $30

4 Ks for $10

4 Ds for $10

 

[Elevencents]

Having second thoughts. To Gronk and risk having 1 remaining TE if he gets injured or go with 3 solid picks like Rudolph, Reed and Watson. 

 

[HairySasquatch]

Having second thoughts. To Gronk and risk having 1 remaining TE if he gets injured or go with 3 solid picks like Rudolph, Reed and Watson. 

Same issue for me....Get Gronk, middle tier guy, and cheap flyer or Go with 2 middle tier guys (like Burton and Njoku) with a cheap flyer and be able to upgrade to an elite WR.

 

[SeniorVBDStudent]

Having second thoughts. To Gronk and risk having 1 remaining TE if he gets injured or go with 3 solid picks like Rudolph, Reed and Watson. 

Reed and Watson are solid picks?  No risk there?

 

[BassNBrew]

Boom or bust is correct.  The DFS analogy is if you want to win a tournament contest you have to pivot off the highly owned player....AND you have to pivot to the player who outperforms the highly owned player.  If you don't meet the second criteria, you don't cash.

What makes the situation really interesting is that although the consensus is that Jimmy G walks on water, there is a huge standard deviation on the whole situation.  I lean to believing the hype, but anyone who tells you its a foregone conclusion is smoking the good stuff.

Here is the universe within $2 of Mr. Goodwin:

Corey Davis

Pierre Garcon

Sammy Watkins

Robby Anderson

Randall Cobb

Cooper Kupp

Robert Woods

Nelson Agholor

Will Fuller

Marquise Goodwin

Jordy Nelson

Sterling Shepard

DeVante Parker

DJ Moore

Marqise Lee

Kelvin Benjamin

Kenny Stills

Kenny Golladay

That's a LOT of options.  The chance that several names on this list end up outperforming Goodwin significantly is not tiny.  The chance that at least two outperform Goodwin might be around even money.  I might even be inclined to restrict the pool to those players in the $11-13 range.

I don't think the dfs analogy applies here.  It only takes one week of Goodwin posting 10-150-2 and you likely get swamped.  The first 12 weeks aren't about being the highest scoring team, you just don't want to be the lowest.  The only way you really gain an advantage is if Goodwin gets hurt early in the year.  If you own him and he get hurt early in the year, well some huge percentage of the field is in the same boat.

 

[Elevencents]

Reed and Watson are solid picks?  No risk there?

Risk for sure. But I honestly think Reed can put up top 5 numbers if healthy and Watson is serviceable (considering he’s less than 1/3 the price).  

 

[Rhythmdoctor]

Well after sitting onnthe same roster for weeks, last night I blew it all up. I realized my roster was very similar to my high stakes teams and I don’t like the idea of having all my eggs clustered around the same 10-15 players. I’m using the subscriber contest to hedge against my real fantasy teams. It’s refreshing having an almost entirely new set of players. 

 

[FF Ninja]

I really thought that if I waited it out that an Indy RB would emerge. So much for that. 

 

[Interseptopus]

I don't think the dfs analogy applies here.  It only takes one week of Goodwin posting 10-150-2 and you likely get swamped.  The first 12 weeks aren't about being the highest scoring team, you just don't want to be the lowest.  The only way you really gain an advantage is if Goodwin gets hurt early in the year.  If you own him and he get hurt early in the year, well some huge percentage of the field is in the same boat.

This is a good point where it may be beneficial to own him. I'm concerned that Garcon is back. Sure, it doesn't mean JimmyG can't have a favorite target, but I don't think Goodwin gets roughly 25% of the targets with him back. 

I will probably end up trying to find some money to score both Goodwin and Corey Davis on my team, as I think both are severely under valued. Both have potential for a stat line of 85/1500. Davis I think has greater potential for double digit TDs, whereas if you take Goodwin's stats with JimmyG and project them out to 16 games last year, you get 3 TDs.  

 

[massraider]

Man, there are a TON of cheap WR I like.

 

[Foxer2373]

Took a punt on RB and a huge kneel at WR this year.....

Still going all in on being the year of the QB and Tight End! 

 

[Gottabesweet]

Took a punt on RB and a huge kneel at WR this year.....

Still going all in on being the year of the QB and Tight End! 

How many TE's?

 

[Interseptopus]

Took a punt on RB and a huge kneel at WR this year.....

Still going all in on being the year of the QB and Tight End! 

How many TE's?

shhhhhhhhhhhh

don't answer that question

 

[(HULK)]

Do we not do this anymore?  Used to be how we did it up until they locked, then people would post their whole she-bang.

 

[(HULK)]

Man, there are a TON of cheap WR I like.

I agree.  All of mine are from the bargin bin.

 

[reel_smooth]

Here's what I'm trotting out there. Will probably keep looking it over, but, not sure I want to change it. Trying to use some QB/WR or QB/TE stacking and minimizing BYE week conflicts.

QB - Goff / Carr / Manning

RB - D. Johnson / McCaffrey / L. Miller / J. Williams / P. Barber

WR - Diggs / Cooks / J. Nelson / Hurns / K. Cole

TE - Engram / Burton / Gesicki

PK - Fairbairn / Parkey

DEF - Chicago / Buffalo

Only 20 players, but, I also like the idea that I'm not diluting the talent pool to much by shooting for longer odds on lower-priced players. 

 

[Raback]

Here's what I'm trotting out there. Will probably keep looking it over, but, not sure I want to change it. Trying to use some QB/WR or QB/TE stacking and minimizing BYE week conflicts.

QB - Goff / Carr / Manning

RB - D. Johnson / McCaffrey / L. Miller / J. Williams / P. Barber

WR - Diggs / Cooks / J. Nelson / Hurns / K. Cole

TE - Engram / Burton / Gesicki

PK - Fairbairn / Parkey

DEF - Chicago / Buffalo

Only 20 players, but, I also like the idea that I'm not diluting the talent pool to much by shooting for longer odds on lower-priced players. 

I think that WR corps will sink you 

 

[Elevencents]

Do we not do this anymore?  Used to be how we did it up until they locked, then people would post their whole she-bang.

I think it’s a waste of a post putting your dollar amounts per position. How is that contributing? It just makes you look paranoid, lol. Just post your team there is nothing super secret going on. 

 

[SeniorVBDStudent]

I'm out.

[slaps $5 on the table]

#Kramer

 

[Raback]

My current 30 man roster.  Lowest I’ve ever had in the  before was 25.  

QB - Blake Bortles - JAX/9 - $8
QB - Mitchell Trubisky - CHI/5 - $7
QB - Baker Mayfield - CLE/11 - $4
QB - Sam Darnold - NYJ/11 - $3
RB - Melvin Gordon - LAC/8 - $30
RB - Saquon Barkley - NYG/9 - $28
RB - Christian McCaffrey - CAR/4 - $26
RB - Royce Freeman - DEN/10 - $16
RB - James Conner - PIT/7 - $4
WR - Will Fuller - HOU/10 - $13
WR - Marquise Goodwin - SF/11 - $13
WR - Keelan Cole - JAX/9 - $7
WR - Michael Gallup - DAL/8 - $6
WR - John Brown - BAL/10 - $6
WR - Geronimo Allison - GB/7 - $6
WR - John Ross - CIN/9 - $5
WR - Taywan Taylor - TEN/8 - $4
WR - TreQuan Smith - NO/6 - $3
WR - Phillip Dorsett - NE/11 - $2
TE - Kyle Rudolph - MIN/10 - $16
TE - Trey Burton - CHI/5 - $14
TE - David Njoku - CLE/11 - $12
PK - Zane Gonzalez - CLE/11 - $2
PK - Aldrick Rosas - NYG/9 - $2
PK - Cody Parkey - CHI/5 - $2
PK - Jason Sanders - MIA/11 - $2
TD - Washington Redskins - WAS/4 - $3
TD - Oakland Raiders - OAK/7 - $2
TD - Indianapolis Colts - IND/9 - $2
TD - Cleveland Browns - CLE/11 - $2

 

[msudaisy26]

My current 30 man roster.  Lowest I’ve ever had in the  before was 25.  

QB - Blake Bortles - JAX/9 - $8
QB - Mitchell Trubisky - CHI/5 - $7
QB - Baker Mayfield - CLE/11 - $4
QB - Sam Darnold - NYJ/11 - $3
RB - Melvin Gordon - LAC/8 - $30
RB - Saquon Barkley - NYG/9 - $28
RB - Christian McCaffrey - CAR/4 - $26
RB - Royce Freeman - DEN/10 - $16
RB - James Conner - PIT/7 - $4
WR - Will Fuller - HOU/10 - $13
WR - Marquise Goodwin - SF/11 - $13
WR - Keelan Cole - JAX/9 - $7
WR - Michael Gallup - DAL/8 - $6
WR - John Brown - BAL/10 - $6
WR - Geronimo Allison - GB/7 - $6
WR - John Ross - CIN/9 - $5
WR - Taywan Taylor - TEN/8 - $4
WR - TreQuan Smith - NO/6 - $3
WR - Phillip Dorsett - NE/11 - $2
TE - Kyle Rudolph - MIN/10 - $16
TE - Trey Burton - CHI/5 - $14
TE - David Njoku - CLE/11 - $12
PK - Zane Gonzalez - CLE/11 - $2
PK - Aldrick Rosas - NYG/9 - $2
PK - Cody Parkey - CHI/5 - $2
PK - Jason Sanders - MIA/11 - $2
TD - Washington Redskins - WAS/4 - $3
TD - Oakland Raiders - OAK/7 - $2
TD - Indianapolis Colts - IND/9 - $2
TD - Cleveland Browns - CLE/11 - $2

We have almost the identical receivers, tight ends and running backs. 

 

[-OZ-]

I had Devonte Adams in for a long time thinking I wanted a top WR, but I'm liking the same group of cheap receivers y'all are.

 

[Elevencents]

My current 30 man roster.  Lowest I’ve ever had in the  before was 25.  

QB - Blake Bortles - JAX/9 - $8
QB - Mitchell Trubisky - CHI/5 - $7
QB - Baker Mayfield - CLE/11 - $4
QB - Sam Darnold - NYJ/11 - $3
RB - Melvin Gordon - LAC/8 - $30
RB - Saquon Barkley - NYG/9 - $28
RB - Christian McCaffrey - CAR/4 - $26
RB - Royce Freeman - DEN/10 - $16
RB - James Conner - PIT/7 - $4
WR - Will Fuller - HOU/10 - $13
WR - Marquise Goodwin - SF/11 - $13
WR - Keelan Cole - JAX/9 - $7
WR - Michael Gallup - DAL/8 - $6
WR - John Brown - BAL/10 - $6
WR - Geronimo Allison - GB/7 - $6
WR - John Ross - CIN/9 - $5
WR - Taywan Taylor - TEN/8 - $4
WR - TreQuan Smith - NO/6 - $3
WR - Phillip Dorsett - NE/11 - $2
TE - Kyle Rudolph - MIN/10 - $16
TE - Trey Burton - CHI/5 - $14
TE - David Njoku - CLE/11 - $12
PK - Zane Gonzalez - CLE/11 - $2
PK - Aldrick Rosas - NYG/9 - $2
PK - Cody Parkey - CHI/5 - $2
PK - Jason Sanders - MIA/11 - $2
TD - Washington Redskins - WAS/4 - $3
TD - Oakland Raiders - OAK/7 - $2
TD - Indianapolis Colts - IND/9 - $2
TD - Cleveland Browns - CLE/11 - $2

At first I was like whoa that’s a lot of players. But props, that’s a good looking list. Love Bortles at QB, the rest are kinda scary but starters for a nickel - hard to beat. 

 

[Interseptopus]

anyone going with only 2 kickers?

 

[Foxer2373]

anyone going with only 2 kickers?

2 kickers 3D this year after all the cuts last year I finally took some solids who should be employed all season. 

 

[Interseptopus]

2 kickers 3D this year after all the cuts last year I finally took some solids who should be employed all season. 

So far I have TB and NYG kickers. 3 defenses. considering decreasing a defense and a wr to free up enough for another 2 dollar kicker. not sure that's worth it

 

[Foxer2373]

How many TE's?

 2 - 3 haven’t fully decided to keep or toss a long shot....

however the 2 are the 2 I expect to be 1 and 2 this year both over 1000yards and 8 TD’s

 

[Foxer2373]

So far I have TB and NYG kickers. 3 defenses. considering decreasing a defense and a wr to free up enough for another 2 dollar kicker. not sure that's worth it

Look at how many 2$ kickers are already fired or injured. They are not worth it this year and I was one of the huge pushers to bring back the 2$ kickers after it went to 3$ as the lowest bid. 

 

[TheWinz]

anyone going with only 2 kickers?

Let's talk about kickers, and forget about the contest for a moment.  When we are drafting kickers in fantasy, what are we looking for?  For me, in order of priority, it is:

1) Job security - I want that warm fuzzy my kicker won't be replaced during the season.

2) Good offense - It's a given that the highest scoring teams produce the highest scoring kickers.  I don't think anyone will argue this.

3) Quality of kicker - Can this guy actually kick?  A good kicker typically has a very high percentage of extra points and short FG's

4) Distance FG's - Will the K's team let him attempt long FG's?  Some teams opt to punt or go for it on 4th down, based on the K's leg.  There have also been years where a team's K2 attempts all the really long FG's.

5) Weather/Dome - Lastly, I would prefer if my kicker plays in nicer weather, or in a dome.  This is more of a tiebreaker between equal kickers.

Now with that all said, let's get back to the subscriber contest.  Last year, 13 of the the top 25 teams carried 2 K's, and the other 12 carried 3 K's.  Based on my priorities, a few kickers represent real value this year.  FWIW, I will be carrying 2 K's that are $3 each.

 

[reel_smooth]

I think that WR corps will sink you 

I'm not beyond trying to learn something; why do you think that?

 

[Longtucky Lemmings]

QB: Goff, Manning, Darnold

RB: Fournette, Drake, Miller, K Johnson

WR: Diggs, Landry, Corey Davis, Mike Williams, Tyrel Williams, Cole, Westbrook, T Smith

TE: Engram, Reed, Gesiki

K: Vinatieri, Gonzalez, Fairbairn

DEF: Arizona, Cleveland, Green Bay

 

[Raback]

I'm not beyond trying to learn something; why do you think that?

If you’re only going with 5 WRs, you need more consistent options IMO.  Like instead of Brandin Cooks someone more like Jarvis Landry. Jordy Nelson and Allen Hurn are not guys I would want to have to rely on.  But mainly there are so many cheap WR options out there that I don’t see why you couldn’t throw a couple more cheap guys in there.  

 

[Raback]

anyone going with only 2 kickers?

I have more than usual (4 at the moment), only because I couldn’t find another spot to spend the money.  I think a 4th K is more likely to score for me than an 11th WR 

 

[Interseptopus]

I have more than usual (4 at the moment), only because I couldn’t find another spot to spend the money.  I think a 4th K is more likely to score for me than an 11th WR 

wow. not sure I'd go that route but to each their own. 

 

[-OZ-]

Who else ran over to the entry form to add the bears defense? 

Just to see they're already $5. 

Am I missing something here? I can see the price with Mack. Before? 

 

[The Kerminator]

Who else ran over to the entry form to add the bears defense? 

Just to see they're already $5. 

Am I missing something here? I can see the price with Mack. Before? 

I did too. Was surprised they were already at $5. FBGs must have foreshadowed this.

 

[Interseptopus]

Who else ran over to the entry form to add the bears defense? 

Just to see they're already $5. 

Am I missing something here? I can see the price with Mack. Before? 

no idea. hard to afford it tbh. 

3 potent offenses in the division

 

[HairySasquatch]

no idea. hard to afford it tbh. 

3 potent offenses in the division

In this contest, that doesn't matter.  Points and yards given up don't count for or against you.  You want the team that will get the most turnovers and sacks.  Chicago just got a sack machine.

 

[reel_smooth]

If you’re only going with 5 WRs, you need more consistent options IMO.  Like instead of Brandin Cooks someone more like Jarvis Landry. Jordy Nelson and Allen Hurn are not guys I would want to have to rely on.  But mainly there are so many cheap WR options out there that I don’t see why you couldn’t throw a couple more cheap guys in there.  

I'll certainly look at it. Guess I wanted Cooks as the stack option with Goff. And I have heard nothing bad, just absolute glowing praise, from the Raiders about Jordy Nelson and how well he's meshing with Carr. Not sure I'm all that big on Beast Mode & the Oakland running game at this stage so I'm thinking they'll be throwing. A lot. We've seen before that Carr can air it out. I can see Cooper & Nelson both having big years. And again, Nelson is the stack option w/ Carr. Hurns - I understand he's a little more risky, but, to me, also has a lot of upside. He also has a BYE week apart from the others which was also what I was looking at. But I do agree that there are some $6-7 dollar guys worth a look and I will re-evaluate the L/U. 

 

[msudaisy26]

Who else ran over to the entry form to add the bears defense? 

Just to see they're already $5. 

Am I missing something here? I can see the price with Mack. Before? 

I have had them the whole time. They were an up and coming defense last year and thought they could be a top 5ish defense this year. Now every one will have them. 

 

[-OZ-]

I have had them the whole time. They were an up and coming defense last year and thought they could be a top 5ish defense this year. Now every one will have them. 

Not everyone

Although I am still considering it.

Raiders at $2 was easy to pick if he had stayed in place.

 

[TheWinz]

Trying to break down the D position here, so bear with me.  This is certainly open for discussion, and I am hoping for some feedback on my thought process.  First, let me just say, 16 of last year's top 25 finishers had only 2 D's.  Eight teams carried 3, and one had 4.

For this year's contest, sacks are 1 point, and turnovers (INT & fumble recovery) are 2 points.  Obviously, TD's are 6 points, but are very hard to predict.  For all the ways for a D to score points, which one is the easiest to predict?  For me, it's sacks, followed by interceptions.  All other D points can vary wildly from game to game, and year to year.  In 2017, there were only 6 teams that finished in the top 10 in both sacks and INT's.

I'm a firm believer that history repeats itself, as long as the status quo remains the same.  In regards to D's, that obviously means player personnel.  With that in mind, I have chosen to roster just 2 defenses, totaling $9.

Thoughts?