2023 FBG Subscriber Contest (3 Viewers)

[JaBoo]

Projections (w/o CMC) would expect 116.70 for my team - but I think the expectation would be a hair higher with kicker variance tbh.

Curious about the active QB ownership though with 1/3 likely unavailable. Gotta think some unexpected 0s are out there for folks.

-QG

I tried pulling this for the remaining active teams.
Based on the Football Guys projections for week 7 (couldn't get our exact scoring system):

62 teams will not have a QB rostered this week.
All teams will have atleast 1 WR, but 19 teams do not have a WR2.
18 will not have any running backs, and 187 will only have 1
15 teams will not have a TE
87 will not have a kicker
99 without a defense
56 teams will be missing a flex player, with 6 of those missing both.

According to the projections I pulled, you will be right near the cutline. Mostly, because FBG are projecting Gainwell for more points than McCaffrey (both about 3 points).

But if the Pittsburgh/Rams game goes off, both Puka and Pickett could pop off, and by Sunday night kickoff, you've got nothing to sweat!

Good Luck!

 

[QuizGuy66]

Thanks @JaBoo

-QG

 

[Bill Dauterive]

Howell is my only QB this week, with 3 RBs and 2 TEs. Going to need my WRs to carry me if there's any chance. Come on 2019 DeVante Parker!

 

[Irelad]

Lol @TheWinz I'm literally at the very bottom. Doesn't bode well for me staying in the Chubb survivors club. Especially since the only 2 RBs I have playing this week are Kamara and Bigsby...

 

[TheWinz]

Lol @TheWinz I'm literally at the very bottom. Doesn't bode well for me staying in the Chubb survivors club. Especially since the only 2 RBs I have playing this week are Kamara and Bigsby...

Kamara yes
Bigsby no

 

[BassNBrew]

Kamara explosion is going to make the big roosters particularly cocky this week.

He'll keep alot of Chubb owners around too. Before this week....

Survival rate for ALL teams: 37.39 percent
Survival rate for teams with these players: 38.52 percent

 

[BassNBrew]

If you didn't at least own Ridley and his 1.5 points, you are currently below the 1.5 cut line.

To those left, enjoy the last week of 1 in 5 boots, next week it's jumps to almost 1 in 3 getting the axe.

 

[TheWinz]

Individual scores and ownership numbers for Thursday Night's game

22.10 - QB Trevor Lawrence - 398
21.45 - QB Derek Carr - 417
21.30 - RB Alvin Kamara - 907
21.20 - RB Travis Etienne - 327
21.00 - WR Christian Kirk - 123
18.80 - TE Taysom Hill - 215
13.20 - WR Michael Thomas - 321
12.70 - WR Chris Olave - 441
12.00 - TE Evan Engram - 266
9.00 - TD Jacksonville Jaguars - 494
8.30 - PK Brandon McManus - 533
7.80 - TE Foster Moreau - 27
7.20 - WR Rashid Shaheed - 95
4.00 - TD New Orleans Saints - 475
1.50 - WR Calvin Ridley - 967
1.40 - RB Jamaal Williams - 180
0.20 - RB Tank Bigsby - 594
0.00 - TE Juwan Johnson - 394
0.00 - WR Zay Jones - 70
0.00 - RB Kendre Miller - 67

 

[brun]

A decent start for me with:
21.30 - RB Alvin Kamara
21.20 - RB Travis Etienne
8.30 - PK Brandon McManus

GL all

 

[BassNBrew]

Kamara 2 pointer gets you nothing

 

[TheWinz]

Kamara 2 pointer gets you nothing

Correct. 2-pt conversions don't exist in this contest.

 

[TheWinz]

There is a live team with:

QB - $15 Anthony Richardson
RB - $12 Jamaal Williams
RB - $9 Tank Bigsby
WR - $37 Justin Jefferson
WR - $21 Calvin Ridley
TE - $9 Juwan Johnson
TE - $6 Jake Ferguson
TD - $6 New York Jets

That's $115 and 3.10 pts thus far.

 

[QuizGuy66]

0.2+ (not as many guys as usual -0.00)


-QG

 

[Balco]

Kamara looks done as a rusher but they pepper him with targets which really helps.

Had higher hopes for Engram but he is steady.

 

[apalmer]

So I get 21.5 from my 2 RB slots this week. Would have been nice to see Kamara get into the endzone instead of Hill, but maybe what he did will keep me alive.

 

[Irelad]

So I get 21.5 from my 2 RB slots this week. Would have been nice to see Kamara get into the endzone instead of Hill, but maybe what he did will keep me alive.

Haha, I'm in the exact same boat. I rostered Hill too, so at least that's a decent score at TE, possibly get flex scores out of my TE group of Waller, LaPorta, and Hill.

 

[Puppies]

Top 12 at Each Position through 6 weeks:

How many of these guys do you have on your roster? ..... or "rooster"

Position	Name	TOTAL​	AVERAGE​
RB	McCaffrey	138.50​	23.08​
RB	Mostert	132.40​	22.07​
RB	Williams	104.60​	17.43​
RB	Etienne Jr.	102.80​	17.13​
RB	Achane	99.20​	24.80​
RB	Moss	94.60​	18.92​
RB	Swift	86.20​	14.37​
RB	Montgomery	84.10​	16.82​
RB	Robinson	84.00​	14.00​
RB	Henry	83.80​	13.97​
RB	Pollard	79.10​	13.18​
RB	Pacheco	78.70​	13.12​
WR	Hill	160.80​	26.80​
WR	Diggs	141.00​	23.50​
WR	Allen	126.95​	25.39​
WR	Thielen	124.50​	20.75​
WR	Chase	123.80​	20.63​
WR	Nacua	122.20​	20.37​
WR	Brown	121.20​	20.20​
WR	Moore	120.20​	20.03​
WR	Jefferson	111.10​	22.22​
WR	Adams	104.10​	17.35​
WR	St. Brown	101.90​	20.38​
WR	Collins	101.70​	16.95​
QB	Tagovailoa	174.90​	29.15​
QB	Hurts	167.40​	27.90​
QB	Cousins	165.65​	27.61​
QB	Mahomes	159.15​	26.53​
QB	Goff	157.40​	26.23​
QB	Fields	149.75​	24.96​
QB	Wilson	148.25​	24.71​
QB	Jackson	146.35​	24.39​
QB	Herbert	145.20​	29.04​
QB	Purdy	143.90​	23.98​
QB	Stroud	141.50​	23.58​
QB	Howell	139.40​	23.23​
TE	Kelce	106.60​	21.32​
TE	Hockenson	96.40​	16.07​
TE	LaPorta	94.00​	15.67​
TE	Engram	84.10​	14.02​
TE	Andrews	83.40​	16.68​
TE	Kmet	79.60​	13.27​
TE	Smith	71.70​	11.95​
TE	Schultz	71.00​	11.83​
TE	Waller	70.20​	11.70​
TE	Goedert	69.70​	11.62​
TE	Kittle	66.60​	11.10​
TE	Pitts	63.70​	10.62​
PK	Elliott	78.40​	13.07​
PK	Maher	77.10​	12.85​
PK	Fairbairn	71.40​	11.90​
PK	Butker	70.00​	11.67​
PK	McManus	65.80​	10.97​
PK	Hopkins	58.80​	11.76​
PK	Moody	57.60​	9.60​
PK	Zuerlein	56.30​	9.38​
PK	Bass	54.20​	10.84​
PK	McPherson	53.80​	8.97​
PK	Gay	52.80​	10.56​
PK	Myers	52.40​	10.48​
DEF	Cowboys	64.00​	10.67​
DEF	Bills	56.00​	9.33​
DEF	Bengals	51.00​	8.50​
DEF	Jets	51.00​	8.50​
DEF	Steelers	51.00​	10.20​
DEF	Chargers	49.00​	8.17​
DEF	Jaguars	48.00​	8.00​
DEF	Saints	45.00​	7.50​
DEF	Seahawks	45.00​	9.00​
DEF	Vikings	42.00​	7.00​
DEF	Eagles	42.00​	7.00​
DEF	Buccaneers	41.00​	8.20​

 

[TheWinz]

For those who did not roster Alvin Kamara, here's another way to look at it - over 25% of his owners also rostered Calvin Ridley

 

[QuizGuy66]

Top 12 at Each Position through 6 weeks:

How many of these guys do you have on your roster? ..... or "rooster"

Position	Name	TOTAL​	AVERAGE​
RB	McCaffrey	138.50​	23.08​
RB	Mostert	132.40​	22.07​
RB	Williams	104.60​	17.43​
RB	Etienne Jr.	102.80​	17.13​
RB	Achane	99.20​	24.80​
RB	Moss	94.60​	18.92​
RB	Swift	86.20​	14.37​
RB	Montgomery	84.10​	16.82​
RB	Robinson	84.00​	14.00​
RB	Henry	83.80​	13.97​
RB	Pollard	79.10​	13.18​
RB	Pacheco	78.70​	13.12​
WR	Hill	160.80​	26.80​
WR	Diggs	141.00​	23.50​
WR	Allen	126.95​	25.39​
WR	Thielen	124.50​	20.75​
WR	Chase	123.80​	20.63​
WR	Nacua	122.20​	20.37​
WR	Brown	121.20​	20.20​
WR	Moore	120.20​	20.03​
WR	Jefferson	111.10​	22.22​
WR	Adams	104.10​	17.35​
WR	St. Brown	101.90​	20.38​
WR	Collins	101.70​	16.95​
QB	Tagovailoa	174.90​	29.15​
QB	Hurts	167.40​	27.90​
QB	Cousins	165.65​	27.61​
QB	Mahomes	159.15​	26.53​
QB	Goff	157.40​	26.23​
QB	Fields	149.75​	24.96​
QB	Wilson	148.25​	24.71​
QB	Jackson	146.35​	24.39​
QB	Herbert	145.20​	29.04​
QB	Purdy	143.90​	23.98​
QB	Stroud	141.50​	23.58​
QB	Howell	139.40​	23.23​
TE	Kelce	106.60​	21.32​
TE	Hockenson	96.40​	16.07​
TE	LaPorta	94.00​	15.67​
TE	Engram	84.10​	14.02​
TE	Andrews	83.40​	16.68​
TE	Kmet	79.60​	13.27​
TE	Smith	71.70​	11.95​
TE	Schultz	71.00​	11.83​
TE	Waller	70.20​	11.70​
TE	Goedert	69.70​	11.62​
TE	Kittle	66.60​	11.10​
TE	Pitts	63.70​	10.62​
PK	Elliott	78.40​	13.07​
PK	Maher	77.10​	12.85​
PK	Fairbairn	71.40​	11.90​
PK	Butker	70.00​	11.67​
PK	McManus	65.80​	10.97​
PK	Hopkins	58.80​	11.76​
PK	Moody	57.60​	9.60​
PK	Zuerlein	56.30​	9.38​
PK	Bass	54.20​	10.84​
PK	McPherson	53.80​	8.97​
PK	Gay	52.80​	10.56​
PK	Myers	52.40​	10.48​
DEF	Cowboys	64.00​	10.67​
DEF	Bills	56.00​	9.33​
DEF	Bengals	51.00​	8.50​
DEF	Jets	51.00​	8.50​
DEF	Steelers	51.00​	10.20​
DEF	Chargers	49.00​	8.17​
DEF	Jaguars	48.00​	8.00​
DEF	Saints	45.00​	7.50​
DEF	Seahawks	45.00​	9.00​
DEF	Vikings	42.00​	7.00​
DEF	Eagles	42.00​	7.00​
DEF	Buccaneers	41.00​	8.20​

6 if my math is correct.
-QG

 

[brun]

Top 12 at Each Position through 6 weeks:

How many of these guys do you have on your roster? ..... or "rooster"

Position	Name	TOTAL​	AVERAGE​
RB	McCaffrey	138.50​	23.08​
RB	Mostert	132.40​	22.07​
RB	Williams	104.60​	17.43​
RB	Etienne Jr.	102.80​	17.13​
RB	Achane	99.20​	24.80​
RB	Moss	94.60​	18.92​
RB	Swift	86.20​	14.37​
RB	Montgomery	84.10​	16.82​
RB	Robinson	84.00​	14.00​
RB	Henry	83.80​	13.97​
RB	Pollard	79.10​	13.18​
RB	Pacheco	78.70​	13.12​
WR	Hill	160.80​	26.80​
WR	Diggs	141.00​	23.50​
WR	Allen	126.95​	25.39​
WR	Thielen	124.50​	20.75​
WR	Chase	123.80​	20.63​
WR	Nacua	122.20​	20.37​
WR	Brown	121.20​	20.20​
WR	Moore	120.20​	20.03​
WR	Jefferson	111.10​	22.22​
WR	Adams	104.10​	17.35​
WR	St. Brown	101.90​	20.38​
WR	Collins	101.70​	16.95​
QB	Tagovailoa	174.90​	29.15​
QB	Hurts	167.40​	27.90​
QB	Cousins	165.65​	27.61​
QB	Mahomes	159.15​	26.53​
QB	Goff	157.40​	26.23​
QB	Fields	149.75​	24.96​
QB	Wilson	148.25​	24.71​
QB	Jackson	146.35​	24.39​
QB	Herbert	145.20​	29.04​
QB	Purdy	143.90​	23.98​
QB	Stroud	141.50​	23.58​
QB	Howell	139.40​	23.23​
TE	Kelce	106.60​	21.32​
TE	Hockenson	96.40​	16.07​
TE	LaPorta	94.00​	15.67​
TE	Engram	84.10​	14.02​
TE	Andrews	83.40​	16.68​
TE	Kmet	79.60​	13.27​
TE	Smith	71.70​	11.95​
TE	Schultz	71.00​	11.83​
TE	Waller	70.20​	11.70​
TE	Goedert	69.70​	11.62​
TE	Kittle	66.60​	11.10​
TE	Pitts	63.70​	10.62​
PK	Elliott	78.40​	13.07​
PK	Maher	77.10​	12.85​
PK	Fairbairn	71.40​	11.90​
PK	Butker	70.00​	11.67​
PK	McManus	65.80​	10.97​
PK	Hopkins	58.80​	11.76​
PK	Moody	57.60​	9.60​
PK	Zuerlein	56.30​	9.38​
PK	Bass	54.20​	10.84​
PK	McPherson	53.80​	8.97​
PK	Gay	52.80​	10.56​
PK	Myers	52.40​	10.48​
DEF	Cowboys	64.00​	10.67​
DEF	Bills	56.00​	9.33​
DEF	Bengals	51.00​	8.50​
DEF	Jets	51.00​	8.50​
DEF	Steelers	51.00​	10.20​
DEF	Chargers	49.00​	8.17​
DEF	Jaguars	48.00​	8.00​
DEF	Saints	45.00​	7.50​
DEF	Seahawks	45.00​	9.00​
DEF	Vikings	42.00​	7.00​
DEF	Eagles	42.00​	7.00​
DEF	Buccaneers	41.00​	8.20​

6 if my math is correct.
-QG

2 RB, 2 & 4
0 WR
1 QB, 10
1 TE, 3
2 K, 5 & 10
3 D, 3, 6 & 9

 

[TheWinz]

QB's 9 & 12
WR 1
TE 9
PK 6
TD 6

This is why my team can't score more than 10 above the weekly cut.

 

[Irelad]

QBs: 1 and 5
RBs: none
WRs: none
TEs: 3 and 9
PK: 5 and 8
DEF: none

No wonder I'm at the bottom of the survivors list

 

[QuizGuy66]

More specifically
RB 1
WRs 5 and 6
TE 9
PK 6
DEF 6

-QG

 

[SeniorVBDStudent]

8

but 3 are kickers.

I spent 12 on the position versus $9 for 3.

 

[Kuz]

For those who did not roster Alvin Kamara, here's another way to look at it - over 25% of his owners also rostered Calvin Ridley

For those who did not roster Alvin Kamara, here's another way to look at it - over 25% of his owners also rostered Calvin Ridley

Why would this matter

 

[brun]

I just did a quick query. Among live teams, aside from QB, every position group I have is unique. The one team that includes my same 3 QBs, rostered a total of 9 QBs.
I don't know if that's meaningful but I was surprised.

 

[joey]

I just did a quick query. Among live teams, aside from QB, every position group I have is unique. The one team that includes my same 3 QBs, rostered a total of 9 QBs.
I don't know if that's meaningful but I was surprised.

Mine is the only team with Eitienne, Mostert, Pierce and Moss.
for better or worse

 

[brun]

I just did a quick query. Among live teams, aside from QB, every position group I have is unique. The one team that includes my same 3 QBs, rostered a total of 9 QBs.
I don't know if that's meaningful but I was surprised.

Mine is the only team with Eitienne, Mostert, Pierce and Moss.
for better or worse

We're close. I have ETN, Mostert, Kamara, Mixon, Zeke & Brieda. Still waiting for Mixon to earn his spot (week 9 would be timely). Zeke & Brieda were long shots so I have low expectations for them..

 

[QuizGuy66]

Only live team (out of 2) with the Burrow/McCaffrey/Walker combo

-QG

 

[BassNBrew]

I just did a quick query. Among live teams, aside from QB, every position group I have is unique. The one team that includes my same 3 QBs, rostered a total of 9 QBs.
I don't know if that's meaningful but I was surprised.

When you are talking about positions groups with 50-80 options and the ability to chose between 2-18 selections, someone matching your selections at RB or WR is starting to become along the lines of matching power ball number. You guys should be posting when someone actually matches you exact players.

 

[Puppies]

My team is the only team that has Chubb, Mixon, J.Cook, Mostert, and Elliot as running backs. No other team in the entire contest has these same 5 running backs.

In other words, my running back room sucks, and I think I have exclusive rights to that statement

 

[Stray Doug]

Out of 3737 teams this week:

• 73 have no starting QB projected this week. I'll give the first tough luck award to rooster 102967 who has Anthony Richardson, Justin Fields, and Daniel Jones.
• 880 have only 1 starting QB projected this week... 51 of whom only have 1 rostered in the contest (including myself). I'll give the second tough luck award to rooster 106913 who has Anthony Richardson, Aaron Rodgers, Jimmy Garoppolo, and is now pinning their full hopes on Brock Purdy.
• 1932 have 2 starting QBs projected this week.
• 748 have 3 starting QBs projected this week.
• 104 have 4+ starting QBs projected this week.

10 additional teams besides the two "tough luck awards" that I mentioned above have 3+ QBs out who normally are starters, however those additional teams have at least 1 of their QBs out due to a planned bye week rather than fully due to a trio of injuries.

This week I've recorded all the team numbers so that I can follow-up (hopefully Tuesday) with a post to check team survival rates based on # of QBs.

Data for this analysis made possible by jdkapow

 

[TheWinz]

I was looking at QB's for this week, and I don't think they will matter as much as I originally thought. Sure, for many folks, it will be crucial, but here are the QB's not playing in week 7, and how common they were from the start:

#6 - Rodgers - would've been on a bye if he wasn't hurt
#7 - Richardson
#11 - Fields
#16 - D. Jones
#19 - Burrow - on a bye
#22 - Prescott - on a bye
#25 - Young - on a bye
#26 - Garoppolo
#28 - Tannehill - would've been on a bye if he wasn't hurt
#31 - Stroud - on a bye
#36 - Murray - less common than 4 backup QB's

Really, this should mainly affect the owners of Richardson, Fields, Danny, and Garoppolo

 

[BroncosFan07]

I was looking at QB's for this week, and I don't think they will matter as much as I originally thought. Sure, for many folks, it will be crucial, but here are the QB's not playing in week 7, and how common they were from the start:

#6 - Rodgers - would've been on a bye if he wasn't hurt
#7 - Richardson
#11 - Fields
#16 - D. Jones
#19 - Burrow - on a bye
#22 - Prescott - on a bye
#25 - Young - on a bye
#26 - Garoppolo
#28 - Tannehill - would've been on a bye if he wasn't hurt
#31 - Stroud - on a bye
#36 - Murray - less common than 4 backup QB's

Really, this should mainly affect the owners of Richardson, Fields, Danny, and Garoppolo

I think the impact will be felt more along the lines of a lot of teams having no room for error. If their normal, productive QB had a rough game, they’ll be stuck with that score. Most of the popular QBs will still put up 20+ so they will be fine.

 

[Puppies]

Elliott . Yes!

Thanks! I needed that.

 

[TheWinz]

Van Jefferson just caught a pass for 5 yards!

 

[FairWarning]

I’m in serious trouble of not advancing. Not a single TD and have to think the Lions pull starters. I was beating the cut line by 35+ every week.

 

[scottybo]

St. Brown, Waller and Hopkins elevating the team today. Decent start.

 

[scottybo]

Hopkins with a paltry 24 points today.

So far.

 

[a_troll00]

129.1 after the early games with (Love -22.1, Walker -0, Warren and Moore -1.5, and PK Sanders -8.5) to go

Perhaps I get one more week in this contest.

 

[scottybo]

126.1
Hurts/Pickett -0
Walker/Mostert -0(flex)/6.7(RB)
Pickens -0(flex)/9.9(WR)
Goedert -0(flex)/26.3(TE)
Sanders (-24)
Chargers (-2)

 

[QuizGuy66]

Gaggle of tight ends showed up big time today so looking good to my amazement (welcome back Dalton Kincaid!).
After 1pm:

101.40 + (Pickett - 0.00) + (McCaffrey/Walker/Gainwell - 0.00/0.20/11.80/19.50) + (Doubs/Nacua/Mi Wilson - 8.30/9.30/11.80/19.50) + (Musgrave - 11.80/19.50/26.30) + (J Sanders - 24.00) + (Rams/Chargers - 2.00)

Good luck to those sweating The Turk

-QG

 

[scottybo]

Opening cut line 69.6

 

[Irelad]

118.9 after the early games. Got Tua (-13.4), and Lockett, Sutton, Palmer, M. Wilson (-0). Only WR score thus far is Dotson at 9.3. Currently my trio of TEs (Waller, LaPorta, T. Hill) are filling up my flex scores, lowest being 14.4. Not sure I'm safe yet, but feeling pretty good about my chances.

 

[cstruk]

Early MVP this week is definitely Dustin Hopkins. Too bad I don’t have him.

 

[SeniorVBDStudent]

Gibbs, Waller and Bourne may be structural contributors....possibly even Zeke Elliott. I'm starting to believe; this may be dangerous.

Hopkins has probably beat Jake Elliott for the week; 24 points from a kicker works every week!

141 after the early games...probably looking at 155 without Garrett Wilson...I'll take it.

 

[PIK95]

Thank you Josh Allen. And James Cook and Etienne. And thank you Josh Downs and Puka!!! And Waller finally. Thankful this week.

Even Dotson had a couple targets? Gotta be a typo...

 

[QuizGuy66]

After 4pm

150.80 + (McCaffrey/Gainwell - 0.20/11.80) + (Sanders - 24.00)

That'll do.

-QG

 

[QuizGuy66]

4pm cut is at 106.45

Surprisingly high for a week with so many byes.

-QG

 

[(HULK)]

168.4 and probably still alive.

I don't understand how though, with dead $ on Chubb and Richardson and a decent amount of misses on players.