What's new
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums

This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!

2024 FBG Subscriber Contest (2 Viewers)

done in by some bad choices at TE but I'm gonna blame Zuerlein


QB Caleb Williams - $16 39.90
QB Geno Smith - $12 19.60
QB Bryce Young - $11 0.00

RB De'Von Achane - $21 0.00
RB D'Andre Swift - $17 19.90
RB Javonte Williams - $14 5.10
RB Blake Corum - $11 0.00
RB Jerome Ford - $11 1.40
RB Jaylen Wright - $7 0.00
RB Braelon Allen - $5 0.80

WR George Pickens - $19 8.30
WR Rashee Rice - $13 0.00
WR Brian Thomas Jr. - $13 5.70
WR Joshua Palmer - $12 5.80
WR Rome Odunze - $11 6.00
WR Romeo Doubs - $10 19.90
WR Khalil Shakir - $10 3.90

TE Taysom Hill - $8 0.00
TE Mike Gesicki - $7 0.00
TE Greg Dulcich - $5 0.00

PK Greg Zuerlein - $4 8.40
PK Cairo Santos - $4 5.00

TD New Orleans Saints - $5 13.00
TD Detroit Lions - $4 14.00

TOTAL 127.30
CUT LINE 127.90
 
Awards and notable teams of the week.

Strongest Living Team: This season is shaping up quite differently from last year, probably because of injuries and the lower scoring overall. After week 6 last year, we still had two teams averaging over 200 points per week. This year, we have only one over 190. Reggie Dunlop (#100017) is the strongest living team to date, averaging 191.41 ppw.

Strongest Dead Team: House (#101917) is averaging an impressive 180.94 points per week, which will gain them nothing as they were eliminated last week. Theirs is the only eliminated roster in the top 68 overall.

Keep Your Day Job Award: Scoring is really compressed this year: there are no teams averaging under 90 ppw. Usually, this category is dominated by gimmick teams (25 kickers, that sort of thing), but not this year! I don’t think I’ve ever seen a “serious” entry claiming the top (er, bottom) spot in scoring, but that’s what we have right now. Entry #111371 has a very normal-looking roster distribution (2QB-6RB-5WR-2TE-1K-2D), and yet is averaging only 90.54 ppw. The team looks disastrous in hindsight, headlined by McCaffrey, Tua and Tyreek, but wouldn’t have stood out as a problem before the season started.

Safest Team: Another example of how different this season is than last. At this point last year, we still had a team that had always cleared the cutline by at least 60 points. This year, the safest team is Entry #108835, with a minimum clearance of only 46.70.

Just Skating By Award: Flamingo (#104424) loves living on the edge: their best performance cleared the line by 15.05 points, and that was in week 1. Since then, they’ve only managed to clear by even 10 points once.

By the way, there are 16 living teams that finished exactly at the cutline once. That's a lot more than I would have thought. Nobody's done it twice, which is not surprising as that seems astronomically unlikely.

Steady Eddie Award: Two ways to look at this. Feral Hogs (#109761) has always scored between 153.55 and 161.25, for a miniscule standard deviation of 2.99, lowest in the contest. More impressive though (I think) is battlestallion (#101511), who has cleared the cutline by between 36.15 and 44.00 points, for a standard deviation of 2.32. The living team with the next-lowest clearance SD is at 3.30, almost a full point higher. A shoutout here to Daring Knaves (#100685), who has always come within 1.20 and 9.55 points of the cutline…but always on the wrong side of it. Ouch.

Crazy Eddie Award: Usually, teams with really high variance are dead by now. Through week 6 last year, though, the team with the highest standard deviation was still alive, which was kind of incredible. The natural order has reasserted itself this year, though: of the 200 rosters with the highest standard deviation, only one is still alive. Zors Outlaws (#102162) sits in 194th with a SD of 36.91, driven largely by the 242.15 score they put up in week 4.

Icarus Award: Entry #102188 was riding high with the 20th-highest average score among living teams until it all came crashing down this week. Looking at the roster, I wouldn’t have guessed it: not an excessive number of byes or injuries, and Goff, Jayden Reed and the Lions D certainly pulled their weight. Just too many mediocre performances apart from those.

Woulda Coulda Shoulda Award: Poor Entry #104954. If we ignore week 1, they’re the 25th-highest scoring team in the contest, but that’s all dead man scoring, as they were eliminated right out of the gate. I hear they thought week 1 was a practice week.

Notable Teams:

QBs:
Taking lots of QBs is a terrible idea, people. All of the teams with 8 or more QBs (including #111642, who had 14) are dead. Of the 17 teams with 7 QBs, only 2 are still alive (a 12% survival rate compared to 37% overall). Those two are Entry #107291 and Entry #110545. I wouldn’t bet on them living much longer.

RBs: Nothing wrong with taking lots of RBs, though! Yes, the 18- and 16-RB teams are gone, but Entry #107216, with 13 RBs, is still with us. And 2 of the 6 12-RB teams are still around, which is basically the overall survival rate.

WRs: Entry #111450 rostered 15 WRs…and 4 RBs, and only 1 QB, TE, K and D. And they’re still alive! One of the two 13-WR teams (Entry #110201) is also still kicking.

TEs: The four teams with 8+ TEs are all gone. But 7 of the 15 teams with 6 TEs are still alive, a very good survival rate!

PKs: There are always a bunch of gimmick teams with a ridiculous number of kickers. This year, we had Entry #107503 taking 23 of them. That’s gone about as well as you’d expect: they’ve never sniffed the cutline. But we do still have one surviving (out of 6) 10-kicker team, Entry #110996, which is pretty amazing: last year, we were down to 7-K teams at this point. In fact, there are two 8-K teams still alive this year, despite the fact that the three 9-K teams, the other ten 8-K teams, all 14 7-K teams, and all 25 6-K teams have been eliminated. Strange stuff.

DEFs: Entry #110500, with 10 defenses, is still hanging in there. No other team with more than 6 has survived.

And me, you ask? I’m still alive, trying to make the finals for the 3rd straight year. Nothing spectacular so far, but no particularly close scrapes either. I’ve lost Rashee Rice, but so has everyone else.
 
And now the players:

Eliminated Players: Raise a glass to the dear departed spirit of Ian Book, the first and still only player entirely eliminated from the contest. The one team that rostered him (Entry #105237) left us in week 4. Next on the chopping block are Josh Johnson (one team left) and Jimmy Garoppolo (two teams left).

The Biggest Mistake: I would propose three possibilities here. Christian McCaffrey was rostered on 731 non-staff teams, of which only 114 are still alive (15.6% survival rate). Only the aforementioned Book and Garoppolo have lower survival rates. Right behind him, with 225 rosterers and a 16.4% survival rate, is Puka Nacua, the worst pick who has actually scored points this season. And then there’s Tua Tagovailoa, the worst mistake made by over 1000 teams, 1356 of them to be exact. There are 465 of them still alive to rue that choice, a survival rate of 34.3%...which isn’t too far off the overall rate, so I guess he’s really not in the running here.

The Survivor: Brian Thomas is the obvious choice here. Lots of rosterers (1092) and a contest-best survival rate of 68.8%. Who has the 2nd-highest survival rate? It’s Nico Collins: I don’t think he’ll be up there much longer.

The Bargain: We don’t have to scan down much further for this one. Colby Parkinson has the 3rd-highest survival rate (65.0%) and cost only $3 to roster.

The Parasite: I, a stupid person, thought rostering Drew Lock was a really terrible idea. There were 10 contestants, much smarter than me, who said, “watch this!” Of those 10, 6 are still alive for a 60% survival rate, easily best among players who have yet to score a point. More interesting perhaps is the guy right behind him, Dylan Laube. Hundreds of his rosterers were excited to see him get his first chance this week…and he fumbled away his only carry. That carry went for zero yards, and fumbles aren’t counted in this contest, which means he’s still at exactly 0 points scored on the season. And yet, an incredible 54.6% of his 710 original rosterers are still alive and waiting to see what he has in store for them next week.

The Martyr: Okay, Sam LaPorta hasn’t been what we were all expecting, but he’s scored some points every non-bye week and seems to be heating up a bit, and that’s not so bad for a TE, right? No? Not for his rosterers anyway, only 19.8% of which are still alive.
 
148 and sometimes, it's better to be lucky than good. RB production:
RB Zamir White - $160.00
RB Tony Pollard - $1616.30
RB Devin Singletary - $150.00
RB Blake Corum - $110.00
RB Jerome Ford - $111.40
RB Jaylen Wright - $70.00
RB Dylan Laube - $20.00
RB Justice Hill - $20.90
I think I can Trump that. I got 6 points out of my RBs of course I only had two. I still made it but by the skin of my teeth.
 
Got cut last week (5). Of course this week was my contest high score of 189.35. I only have myself to blame. And 7 byes on week 5.

Of note, only D. Henry and C. Godwin have counted all 6 weeks for my squad.
 
done in by some bad choices at TE but I'm gonna blame Zuerlein


QB Caleb Williams - $16 39.90
QB Geno Smith - $12 19.60
QB Bryce Young - $11 0.00

RB De'Von Achane - $21 0.00
RB D'Andre Swift - $17 19.90
RB Javonte Williams - $14 5.10
RB Blake Corum - $11 0.00
RB Jerome Ford - $11 1.40
RB Jaylen Wright - $7 0.00
RB Braelon Allen - $5 0.80

WR George Pickens - $19 8.30
WR Rashee Rice - $13 0.00
WR Brian Thomas Jr. - $13 5.70
WR Joshua Palmer - $12 5.80
WR Rome Odunze - $11 6.00
WR Romeo Doubs - $10 19.90
WR Khalil Shakir - $10 3.90

TE Taysom Hill - $8 0.00
TE Mike Gesicki - $7 0.00
TE Greg Dulcich - $5 0.00

PK Greg Zuerlein - $4 8.40
PK Cairo Santos - $4 5.00

TD New Orleans Saints - $5 13.00
TD Detroit Lions - $4 14.00

TOTAL 127.30
CUT LINE 127.90
Not that I'm one to listen to after this week but.........

If you dump that 3rd QB your TEs could have included Kittle.
 
We started this week with 41 folks eligible for @Joe Bryant extra $100 prize. Another bad week, as we lost a handful more. We bid adieu to @kajaet @Hot Sauce Guy @BassNBrew @Winning IS Everything @Instinctive @papacapps @Gally :crying:

Moving on to week 7 are: :clap:
@joey @lsutigers @Deamon @bamabuddha @dzambo @Puppies @BlackCrowes @-OZ- @Dacomish @HairySasquatch @scottybo @rzrback77 @roar_lions @themeanmachine @Harjiran @Tha Guru @Scoresman @QuizGuy66 @Forte Yard Dash @JaBoo @apalmer @da_budman @Neal Cassady @BroncosFan07 @Shaunz33 @IHEARTFF @undercover @ZWK @Saint @Grid71 @Mingooch @Mojo56 @barackdhouse @a_troll00

Of note
- apalmer was this week's top dog with a score of 187.40 (219th overall)
- HairySasquatch was this week's lowest advancing team with 134.10 (4000th overall)

Good luck in week 7!

:banned:
I'm being carried by my RB trio of Walker/Monty/Brown and my Goff/Darnold duo.

WRs started out great but losing Rice, and having guys like Shakir and Iosavic fall off recently might catch up to me. I need Malik to return.
 
Spent little time on my entry and injs to pacheco and rice leave me not long for the contest. However, i had to giggle when I saw my strategery of taking only Mahomes and Maye at qb paid off for me this week.
 
What's everyone's biggest regret this year? I kept track of most of my roster iterations, and at some point in the process I decided that I wanted four "starting" RBs, didn't feel comfortable with only 3 and then flyers on backups. I had Bijan, KW3, and Javonte locked in, so I traded out Rico Dowdle (Zeke was the nominal starter at the time), Justice Hill, and Jauan Jennings for (drumroll please) .... Gus Edwards.... :sick:
 
I sense that there are 102 happy Amari Cooper owners right now.

He was just traded to Buffalo, and should become Josh Allen's WR1.

Maybe good news for David Njoku and Jerry Jeudy as they should pick up some of that target share. I'll take all the help I can get with Njoku.
 
Last edited:
I sense that there are 102 happy Amari Cooper owners right now.

He was just traded to Buffalo, and should become Josh Allen's WR1.

Maybe good news for David Njoku also, as he should pick up some of that target share. I'll take all the help I can get with Njoku.
Davante Adams reuniting with Aaron Rodgers could be pretty huge too.
 
What's everyone's biggest regret this year? I kept track of most of my roster iterations, and at some point in the process I decided that I wanted four "starting" RBs, didn't feel comfortable with only 3 and then flyers on backups. I had Bijan, KW3, and Javonte locked in, so I traded out Rico Dowdle (Zeke was the nominal starter at the time), Justice Hill, and Jauan Jennings for (drumroll please) .... Gus Edwards.... :sick:
I am still doing well but had 3 kickers so early but going with 2 would have given me $3 but McMillian WR from TB was a late add at $6 due to training camp talk…he is only person I have not used so his $6 and the kicker $3 could have gotten me another player

But overall happy with my 25 player team….so far… 😁
 
Entrants who played the NICK CHUBB gambit, looks like their ship is coming in. 902 teams drafted him, 196 are still alive.
 
Hopefully Ty Chandler gets more touches with the Aaron Jones news. My running back group needs serious help (Javonte Williams and Jaleel McLaughlin were my scorers last week)
 
I was looking at folks who just missed the cut.

Rawv, missed by 0.05


His QB was Josh Allen.

The last 2 plays of week 6.

  • 2nd & 11 at BUF 29​

    (0:56 - 4th) J.Allen kneels to BUF 28 for -1 yards.
  • 3rd & 12 at BUF 28​

    (0:36 - 4th) J.Allen kneels to BUF 27 for -1 yards.
  • (0:00 - 4th) END GAME

In a private fantasy football league I used to run, I negated the effect of the QB taking a knee costing people fantasy points.

I did that in the scoring setup by awarding 0.1 points per carry for all running plays. That in effect offset the -1 yard when a QB takes a knee, resulting in 0 fantasy points for that play. It had minimal effect on RBs, giving them a slight bonus when they got lots of carries in a game. 20 carries for example, would add 2 fantasy points to their score.
 
After following this board for a number of years, I noticed a lot of the respected roosters seemed to front load their bye weeks. I tried that this year. Thus far $78 worth of my roster has already had their bye. So I thought I would pull some numbers to see how I compare with the other surviving teams. I also included some details about the teams with players on bye in week 7.

The categories:

Value of Players Beyond the Bye: This is the total salary cap of players who had a bye in week 5 or 6.

Value of Players on Bye in Week 7: This is the cost of the Cowboys and Bears players on rosters.

% of Score: The portion of a team's score that the players on bye have contributed. In the case of the team with $121 on bye, these players have contributed 46% of their total points for the season.

The chart is broken down by percentile. By example, the column "Value of players on bye in week 7": the team with the most salary cap on bye has $121 sitting out next week. (It's this team.) The next 20% of teams with the largest chunk of their salary cap on bye will be missing players costing a cumulative of $33 to $121. And so on, with last 20% of teams with players on bye being between 0-$5.

PercentileValue of Players Beyond the ByeValue of Players on Bye in Week 7% of Score
100th​
169​
121​
46​
80th​
88​
33​
14.7​
60th​
72​
21​
9.5​
40th​
58​
12​
5.5​
20th​
42​
5​
1.7​
Last Entry​
0​
0​
0​
 
After following this board for a number of years, I noticed a lot of the respected roosters seemed to front load their bye weeks. I tried that this year. Thus far $78 worth of my roster has already had their bye. So I thought I would pull some numbers to see how I compare with the other surviving teams. I also included some details about the teams with players on bye in week 7.

The categories:

Value of Players Beyond the Bye: This is the total salary cap of players who had a bye in week 5 or 6.

Value of Players on Bye in Week 7: This is the cost of the Cowboys and Bears players on rosters.

% of Score: The portion of a team's score that the players on bye have contributed. In the case of the team with $121 on bye, these players have contributed 46% of their total points for the season.

The chart is broken down by percentile. By example, the column "Value of players on bye in week 7": the team with the most salary cap on bye has $121 sitting out next week. (It's this team.) The next 20% of teams with the largest chunk of their salary cap on bye will be missing players costing a cumulative of $33 to $121. And so on, with last 20% of teams with players on bye being between 0-$5.

PercentileValue of Players Beyond the ByeValue of Players on Bye in Week 7% of Score
100th​
169​
121​
46​
80th​
88​
33​
14.7​
60th​
72​
21​
9.5​
40th​
58​
12​
5.5​
20th​
42​
5​
1.7​
Last Entry​
0​
0​
0​

One team that tried this strategy was #108600: they had 9 players on bye for week 5 (half of their 18-man roster). And they scored 28.0 points, by far the lowest score I've ever seen in this contest, even among ridiculous gimmick teams with 23 kickers.
 
One team that tried this strategy was #108600: they had 9 players on bye for week 5 (half of their 18-man roster). And they scored 28.0 points, by far the lowest score I've ever seen in this contest, even among ridiculous gimmick teams with 23 kickers.
I just looked at that team. He missed the cut in weeks 2, 3, 4, and 5! On the bright side, he only has $12 left with their byes.
 
After following this board for a number of years, I noticed a lot of the respected roosters seemed to front load their bye weeks. I tried that this year. Thus far $78 worth of my roster has already had their bye. So I thought I would pull some numbers to see how I compare with the other surviving teams. I also included some details about the teams with players on bye in week 7.

The categories:

Value of Players Beyond the Bye: This is the total salary cap of players who had a bye in week 5 or 6.

Value of Players on Bye in Week 7: This is the cost of the Cowboys and Bears players on rosters.

% of Score: The portion of a team's score that the players on bye have contributed. In the case of the team with $121 on bye, these players have contributed 46% of their total points for the season.

The chart is broken down by percentile. By example, the column "Value of players on bye in week 7": the team with the most salary cap on bye has $121 sitting out next week. (It's this team.) The next 20% of teams with the largest chunk of their salary cap on bye will be missing players costing a cumulative of $33 to $121. And so on, with last 20% of teams with players on bye being between 0-$5.

PercentileValue of Players Beyond the ByeValue of Players on Bye in Week 7% of Score
100th​
169​
121​
46​
80th​
88​
33​
14.7​
60th​
72​
21​
9.5​
40th​
58​
12​
5.5​
20th​
42​
5​
1.7​
Last Entry​
0​
0​
0​
This is a strategy I employ. I try to have a good balance on bye weeks but I always try and have XX1 byes early but only double up on XX1 byes the first bye week only when the cut won’t be as deep. This year I had Hurts and AJB on bye early
 
This is a strategy I employ. I try to have a good balance on bye weeks but I always try and have XX1 byes early but only double up on XX1 byes the first bye week only when the cut won’t be as deep. This year I had Hurts and AJB on bye early

When you talk about XX1, do you include DEF and K in those, or do you think about them in a separate category?
 
Week 7 kicks off with New Orleans vs Denver. Ownership numbers from most to least are:

1377 - TE Taysom Hill (Doubtful)
855 - RB Javonte Williams
459 - RB Jaleel McLaughlin
442 - QB Bo Nix
411 - WR Courtland Sutton
357 - TE Greg Dulcich
292 - RB Alvin Kamara
291 - TD New Orleans Saints
231 - PK Wil Lutz
231 - TD Denver Broncos
179 - WR Rashid Shaheed (OUT)
132 - PK Blake Grupe
80 - WR Chris Olave (OUT)
74 - QB Derek Carr (Doubtful)
47 - TE Juwan Johnson
40 - RB Jamaal Williams
40 - WR Josh Reynolds (OUT)
36 - WR Marvin Mims
34 - WR Troy Franklin
24 - RB Audric Estime
18 - RB Kendre Miller

Looking at the numbers, the Broncos will move the cut line way more than the Saints. And with 875 teams expected to get cut, we will have a line after tonight's game.
 
This is a strategy I employ. I try to have a good balance on bye weeks but I always try and have XX1 byes early but only double up on XX1 byes the first bye week only when the cut won’t be as deep. This year I had Hurts and AJB on bye early

When you talk about XX1, do you include DEF and K in those, or do you think about them in a separate category?
Separate category... I typically do 3/3 but this year went 2/3 which was a mistake... I should have gone 3 Kicker, 2 Defense.... Here's my team to give you an idea. https://tensionmask.com/fbgcontest/team/109227

I went for a small rooster this year, which is different than previous years but wanted to mix it up. I like stacking a few WR with the main QB, which is a bit easier, but as an Eagles fan with an early bye, I couldn't resist. So looking at my byes.. I QB1/WR1/WR2 in Week 5 (risky week), then only WR2/WR3 combo in Week 6, Week 7 was RB1/2 bye, Week 10 RB1/2 bye, Week 11 has TE1 bye, etc. With a higher player pool in earlier weeks, I tend to risk going out early so I have more weapons by EOY.

Will it work? No iea, but figure worth a try.
 
What a lousy first half. (unless you rostered Lutz) My only player in tonights game is McGlaughlin who has gotten me a whopping -.20 yikes I OWE the contest points lol
 

Users who are viewing this thread

Back
Top