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FBG Subscriber Contest Strategy (1 Viewer)

I took Dallas Clark as one of my TEs (along woth Owen Daniels & Bo Scaife) as well as Anthony Gonzalez. I believe Clark &/or Gonzalez will be money all season long. The thing that was attractive to me is I think Clark will produce in the 1st half of the season with Gonzalez coming on in the 2nd half. I really liked that combo in this contest.

 
QB1 - Drew Brees - 21

QB2 - Joey Harrington - 6

QB3 - Daunte Culpepper - 4

QB4 - David Garrard - 2

RB1 - Willie Parker - 44

RB2 - Cadillac Williams - 21

RB3 - LaMont Jordan - 19

RB4 - Brandon Jackson - 15

RB5 - DeShaun Foster - 13

WR1 - T.J. Houshmandzadeh - 34

WR2 - Marques Colston - 27

WR3 - Joe Horn - 7

WR4 - Ted Ginn - 4

WR5 - Wes Welker - 3

WR6 - Patrick Crayton - 3

WR7 - Shaun McDonald - 1

TE1 - Heath Miller - 11

TE2 - David Martin - 6

PK1 - Ryan Longwell - 1

PK2 - John Kasay - 1

TD1 - Jacksonville Jaguars - 4

TD2 - Dallas Cowboys - 3

Total value: 250

 
How many entries this year? I'm sure you guys have the numbers.
I am not sure of the exact total (Doug has that count), but he told me that there were slightly less than 12,000 valid entries. Everyone will advance to week 2.Doug will have all of the vital stats here soon.
 
How many entries this year? I'm sure you guys have the numbers.
I am not sure of the exact total (Doug has that count), but he told me that there were slightly less than 12,000 valid entries. Everyone will advance to week 2.Doug will have all of the vital stats here soon.
thank god:breesandbush: :bag:
That's what I was thinking as a non-Brees/Bush owner.Still think Bush is over-rated in this format with Duece still lurking around. Some weeks he'll single handedly advance you, others he'll leave you with a pumpkin.
 
Glad Eric Johnson is on about half of my fantasy rosters this year. Too bad I started Witten over him in one of the leagues.

 
I have Addai, Wayne, and Eric Johnson - that should make up for Brees at least.

My gosh I'm a @#$%ing genius.

Do you guys want to give me my cash and lifetime membership now, or do I have to wait til the end of the season?

 
How many entries this year? I'm sure you guys have the numbers.
I am not sure of the exact total (Doug has that count), but he told me that there were slightly less than 12,000 valid entries. Everyone will advance to week 2.Doug will have all of the vital stats here soon.
thank god:breesandbush: :lmao:
:goodposting: Me too. Thank goodness for the "less than 12,000 entries". I think we dodged a serious bullet. :lmao:
 
QB - Drew Brees - 21 :goodposting:

QB - Ben Roethlisberger - 18

RB - Willie Parker - 44

RB - Brandon Jacobs - 26

RB - Adrian Peterson - 23

RB - DeShaun Foster - 13

RB - Sammy Morris - 3

RB - Tony Hunt - 1

WR - Javon Walker - 35

WR - Donald Driver - 30

WR - Santonio Holmes - 14

WR - Malcom Floyd - 4

WR - Wes Welker - 3

WR - Patrick Crayton - 3

WR - Jacoby Jones - 2

WR - Justin McCareins - 1

TE - Eric Johnson - 1 :lmao:

TE - Alex Smith - 1

PK - John Kasay - 1

PK - Nick Folk - 1

TD - Oakland Raiders - 3

TD - San Francisco 49ers - 2

 
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QB - Drew Brees - 21 :goodposting:

QB - Matt Leinart - 14

QB - David Garrard - 2

RB - Willis McGahee - 29

RB - Adrian Peterson - 23

RB - Cadillac Williams - 21

RB - Ladell Betts - 14

RB - Jerome Harrison - 2

WR - Lee Evans - 29

WR - Marques Colston - 27 :rant:

WR - Santonio Holmes - 14

WR - Drew Bennett - 6

WR - Wes Welker - 3

WR - Patrick Crayton - 3

TE - Ben Watson - 15

TE - Heath Miller - 11

TE - Eric Johnson - 1 :unsure:

PK - Ryan Longwell - 1

PK - John Kasay - 1

PK - Nick Folk - 1

TD - Baltimore Ravens - 7

TD - San Diego Chargers - 5

Good thing we all advance to week 2

 
QB - Drew Brees - 21 :coffee:

QB - Matt Schaub - 10

RB - Reggie Bush - 45 :rant:

RB - Willie Parker - 44

RB - Adrian Peterson - 23

RB - Anthony Thomas - 4

RB - Tony Hunt - 1

WR - T.J. Houshmandzadeh - 34

WR - Jerricho Cotchery - 24

WR - Craig Davis - 5

WR - Bobby Wade - 5

WR - Roddy White - 3

WR - Wes Welker - 3

WR - Patrick Crayton - 3

WR - Jacoby Jones - 2

TE - Owen Daniels - 11

TE - Eric Johnson - 1 :rant:

PK - Josh Brown - 2

PK - Kris Brown - 1

TD - Pittsburgh Steelers - 4

TD - Carolina Panthers - 3

TD - Houston Texans - 1

_________

The Good ---

1) Matt Schaub could be a good value play this week, as he easily surpasses Brees numbers (I might even have better stats at the end of weekend than Brees did).

2) Reggie Bush is only my RB2, and FWP should be OK, and AP could pick up the slack quickly for Bush off weeks.

3) I've already made the cut, so no worries, mate!

 
Eric Johnson's going to get hurt, leaving a lot of people with only 1 TE. I dont know why everyone loves him so much. As a Niner fan I was so used to seeing him on the IR at some point EVERY FREAKIN' YEAR.

 
I think discussing strategy is fun for this contest.

- I am not sure why people picked guys like Donte Stallworth. That seems pretty pricey for a guy that never seems to be healthy. I may be wrong here, but paying decent money for guys that are often injured doesn't make sense to me.

- I noticed that a lot of owners only chose two QBs and two TEs. Don't potential injuries make that risky? It seems like you'd want a very cheap third guy in there just as an emergency backup.

- Rookies and second year players: while I love the *potential* of Vernon Davis, that seemed like a lot of money to pay for a guy with bad hands that has never proven himself. I believe that while Jason Witten is far less explosive, he was a much safer pick for less money.

 
QB - Peyton Manning - 31

QB - David Garrard - 2

RB - Willis McGahee - 29

RB - Cadillac Williams - 21

RB - DeShaun Foster - 13

RB - Dominic Rhodes - 3

WR - Roy Williams - 36

WR - Randy Moss - 27

WR - Santonio Holmes - 14

WR - Joe Horn - 7

WR - Brandon Stokley - 3

WR - Ernest Wilford - 3

WR - Dennis Northcutt - 1

TE - Antonio Gates - 35

TE - Eric Johnson - 1

PK - Jeff Wilkins - 3

PK - Jason Elam - 3

PK - Ryan Longwell - 1

TD - Chicago Bears - 8

TD - Baltimore Ravens - 7

TD - Arizona Cardinals - 1

TD - Tennessee Titans - 1

Total value: 250

 
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BroadwayG said:
I really don't understand the only two TE thing given that one can fill in as a flex.
NO FLEX in the contest
From the rules:Each week your top QB, top 2 RBs, top 3 WRs, top TE, top flex (either RB, WR or TE), top PK and top Def/ST will count towards your weekly total. You do not have to select who will play. You will receive the maximum score based on your roster.

 
BroadwayG said:
I really don't understand the only two TE thing given that one can fill in as a flex.
I wouldn't have less than 3 for any position except for Kicker. Going with 2 QB's is suicide. TE isn't a big scoring position, but because of the inconsistency at that position, having 3 TE's is a good strategy to ensure you don't get shutout. Any healthy kicker will get you 3-10 points consistently, so there is little value in loading up on kickers.
 
QB - Ben Roethlisberger - 18

QB - Rex Grossman - 13

RB - Travis Henry - 43

RB - Thomas Jones - 27

RB - Marshawn Lynch - 22

RB - DeShaun Foster - 13

WR - Calvin Johnson - 23

WR - Santonio Holmes - 14

WR - Joe Horn - 7

WR - Arnaz Battle - 5

WR - Malcom Floyd - 4

WR - Maurice Stovall - 3

WR - Patrick Crayton - 3

WR - Antwaan Randle El - 2

WR - Dennis Northcutt - 1

TE - Antonio Gates - 35

TE - Leonard Pope - 2

PK - Joe Nedney - 3

PK - Olindo Mare - 3

TD - Jacksonville Jaguars - 4

TD - Pittsburgh Steelers - 4

TD - Tennessee Titans - 1

 
BroadwayG said:
I really don't understand the only two TE thing given that one can fill in as a flex.
I wouldn't have less than 3 for any position except for Kicker. Going with 2 QB's is suicide. TE isn't a big scoring position, but because of the inconsistency at that position, having 3 TE's is a good strategy to ensure you don't get shutout. Any healthy kicker will get you 3-10 points consistently, so there is little value in loading up on kickers.
I disagree. At 1.5 PPR for Te's I think it's very important especially the better ones who are likely to have a consitent 5-7 catches a game, without yards right there that's 7.5-10.5 points for your team, add in the 50-60 yards (now you're at 12.5-15.5 ppg) and a possible TD (12.5-21.5 ppg) and they became very important considering that typicaly cut marks are around 100-140 (if i recall correctly taht was about the range throughout last year).
 
BroadwayG said:
I really don't understand the only two TE thing given that one can fill in as a flex.
I wouldn't have less than 3 for any position except for Kicker. Going with 2 QB's is suicide. TE isn't a big scoring position, but because of the inconsistency at that position, having 3 TE's is a good strategy to ensure you don't get shutout. Any healthy kicker will get you 3-10 points consistently, so there is little value in loading up on kickers.
I disagree. At 1.5 PPR for Te's I think it's very important especially the better ones who are likely to have a consitent 5-7 catches a game, without yards right there that's 7.5-10.5 points for your team, add in the 50-60 yards (now you're at 12.5-15.5 ppg) and a possible TD (12.5-21.5 ppg) and they became very important considering that typicaly cut marks are around 100-140 (if i recall correctly taht was about the range throughout last year).
I didn't give too much attention to TE's...Based on the average results of the top 10 TE's in 2006 (top 10 in receptions, top 10 in yardage, top 10 in td's)

Receptions = 661 /16 = 4.1/gm X 1.5 = 6.2 ffp

yardage = 764/16 = 47.8/gm = 4.8 ffp

td's = 62/16 = .39 x 6 = 2.34 ffp

6.2 + 4.8 + 2.3 = 13.3 ffp/game

Reality is it will be even lower since it was the top 10 in each category. Probably around 5-8 ffp/game unless you picked a top TE. I thought my $ could be used better elsewhere.

 
BroadwayG said:
I really don't understand the only two TE thing given that one can fill in as a flex.
I wouldn't have less than 3 for any position except for Kicker. Going with 2 QB's is suicide. TE isn't a big scoring position, but because of the inconsistency at that position, having 3 TE's is a good strategy to ensure you don't get shutout. Any healthy kicker will get you 3-10 points consistently, so there is little value in loading up on kickers.
I disagree. At 1.5 PPR for Te's I think it's very important especially the better ones who are likely to have a consitent 5-7 catches a game, without yards right there that's 7.5-10.5 points for your team, add in the 50-60 yards (now you're at 12.5-15.5 ppg) and a possible TD (12.5-21.5 ppg) and they became very important considering that typicaly cut marks are around 100-140 (if i recall correctly taht was about the range throughout last year).
I didn't give too much attention to TE's...Based on the average results of the top 10 TE's in 2006 (top 10 in receptions, top 10 in yardage, top 10 in td's)

Receptions = 661 /16 = 4.1/gm X 1.5 = 6.2 ffp

yardage = 764/16 = 47.8/gm = 4.8 ffp

td's = 62/16 = .39 x 6 = 2.34 ffp

6.2 + 4.8 + 2.3 = 13.3 ffp/game

Reality is it will be even lower since it was the top 10 in each category. Probably around 5-8 ffp/game unless you picked a top TE. I thought my $ could be used better elsewhere.
I don't mean to poke, but your numbers are obliterated by the best starter format of the contest. :ptts:

 
BroadwayG said:
I really don't understand the only two TE thing given that one can fill in as a flex.
I wouldn't have less than 3 for any position except for Kicker. Going with 2 QB's is suicide. TE isn't a big scoring position, but because of the inconsistency at that position, having 3 TE's is a good strategy to ensure you don't get shutout. Any healthy kicker will get you 3-10 points consistently, so there is little value in loading up on kickers.
I disagree. At 1.5 PPR for Te's I think it's very important especially the better ones who are likely to have a consitent 5-7 catches a game, without yards right there that's 7.5-10.5 points for your team, add in the 50-60 yards (now you're at 12.5-15.5 ppg) and a possible TD (12.5-21.5 ppg) and they became very important considering that typicaly cut marks are around 100-140 (if i recall correctly taht was about the range throughout last year).
You disagreed with a minor point about what is considered 'big', but what about the main point of having at least 3 TEs? I was making the point it is important to get points out of that position and the best way to guarantee decent production is with more than 2 TE's.
 
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I disagree. At 1.5 PPR for Te's I think it's very important especially the better ones who are likely to have a consitent 5-7 catches a game
You're looking for TEs that have 80 to 112 catches per year? Only one TE had that kind of production last year.
 
I disagree. At 1.5 PPR for Te's I think it's very important especially the better ones who are likely to have a consitent 5-7 catches a game
You're looking for TEs that have 80 to 112 catches per year? Only one TE had that kind of production last year.
My squad:QB - Peyton Manning - 31QB - David Garrard - 2QB - Bruce Gradkowski - 1RB - LaDainian Tomlinson - 70RB - Adrian Peterson - 23RB - T.J. Duckett - 2RB - Greg Jones - 1WR - Chad Johnson - 43WR - Reggie Wayne - 39WR - Joe Horn - 7WR - Patrick Crayton - 3WR - Jacoby Jones - 2WR - Antwaan Randle El - 2WR - Chris Henry - 2WR - Dennis Northcutt - 1TE - Greg Olsen - 7TE - Alex Smith - 1PK - Adam Vinatieri - 5PK - Nick Folk - 1TD - San Diego Chargers - 5TD - Cleveland Browns - 1TD - Tennessee Titans - 1
 
BroadwayG said:
I really don't understand the only two TE thing given that one can fill in as a flex.
I wouldn't have less than 3 for any position except for Kicker. Going with 2 QB's is suicide. TE isn't a big scoring position, but because of the inconsistency at that position, having 3 TE's is a good strategy to ensure you don't get shutout. Any healthy kicker will get you 3-10 points consistently, so there is little value in loading up on kickers.
I disagree. At 1.5 PPR for Te's I think it's very important especially the better ones who are likely to have a consitent 5-7 catches a game, without yards right there that's 7.5-10.5 points for your team, add in the 50-60 yards (now you're at 12.5-15.5 ppg) and a possible TD (12.5-21.5 ppg) and they became very important considering that typicaly cut marks are around 100-140 (if i recall correctly taht was about the range throughout last year).
I didn't give too much attention to TE's...Based on the average results of the top 10 TE's in 2006 (top 10 in receptions, top 10 in yardage, top 10 in td's)

Receptions = 661 /16 = 4.1/gm X 1.5 = 6.2 ffp

yardage = 764/16 = 47.8/gm = 4.8 ffp

td's = 62/16 = .39 x 6 = 2.34 ffp

6.2 + 4.8 + 2.3 = 13.3 ffp/game

Reality is it will be even lower since it was the top 10 in each category. Probably around 5-8 ffp/game unless you picked a top TE. I thought my $ could be used better elsewhere.
Well, I guess I was just trying to say I don't think the TE position is that important - even with the 1.5 ppr. Its an inconsistant scoring position and not a lot of point difference between the players. Certainly Gates will provide the points but I didn't want to spend $35 for him. Just my view.(edited to add my team)

QB - Matt Hasselbeck - 15

QB - Matt Schaub - 10

QB - David Garrard - 2

RB - Steven Jackson - 60

RB - Edgerrin James - 29

RB - DeShaun Foster - 13

RB - Greg Jones - 1

WR - T.J. Houshmandzadeh - 34

WR - Lee Evans - 29

WR - Bernard Berrian - 16

WR - Ronald Curry - 8

WR - Demetrius Williams - 3

WR - Dennis Northcutt - 1

TE - Bo Scaife - 9

TE - Alex Smith - 1

PK - Matt Stover - 3

PK - Jason Hanson - 2

PK - John Kasay - 1

PK - Nick Folk - 1

TD - Baltimore Ravens - 7

TD - Miami Dolphins - 4

TD - Arizona Cardinals - 1

 
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In a vaccum Gates is worth the $35 but it seemed to hurt the rest of my team more than he would help. Looking back I wish I went with a 3rd TE as well even if just to cover my back with the flex.

 
BroadwayG said:
I really don't understand the only two TE thing given that one can fill in as a flex.
I wouldn't have less than 3 for any position except for Kicker. Going with 2 QB's is suicide. TE isn't a big scoring position, but because of the inconsistency at that position, having 3 TE's is a good strategy to ensure you don't get shutout. Any healthy kicker will get you 3-10 points consistently, so there is little value in loading up on kickers.
I disagree. At 1.5 PPR for Te's I think it's very important especially the better ones who are likely to have a consitent 5-7 catches a game, without yards right there that's 7.5-10.5 points for your team, add in the 50-60 yards (now you're at 12.5-15.5 ppg) and a possible TD (12.5-21.5 ppg) and they became very important considering that typicaly cut marks are around 100-140 (if i recall correctly taht was about the range throughout last year).
You disagreed with a minor point about what is considered 'big', but what about the main point of having at least 3 TEs? I was making the point it is important to get points out of that position and the best way to guarantee decent production is with more than 2 TE's.
Yes I agree that it's a way to gaurantee decent production.
 
QB - Vince Young - 17

QB - Matt Leinart - 14

RB - Clinton Portis - 41

RB - Laurence Maroney - 38

RB - DeShaun Foster - 13

RB - Adrian Peterson - 4

RB - Sammy Morris - 3

RB - Tony Hunt - 1

WR - Javon Walker - 35

WR - Lee Evans - 29

WR - Bernard Berrian - 16

WR - Arnaz Battle - 5

WR - Anthony Gonzalez - 3

WR - Patrick Crayton - 3

WR - Bryant Johnson - 3

TE - Dallas Clark - 12

TE - Eric Johnson - 1

PK - Stephen Gostkowski - 4

PK - John Kasay - 1

TD - Dallas Cowboys - 3

TD - Green Bay Packers - 3

TD - Detroit Lions - 1

Pay up FBGs!

 
I disagree. At 1.5 PPR for Te's I think it's very important especially the better ones who are likely to have a consitent 5-7 catches a game
You're looking for TEs that have 80 to 112 catches per year? Only one TE had that kind of production last year.
My squad:QB - Peyton Manning - 31QB - David Garrard - 2QB - Bruce Gradkowski - 1RB - LaDainian Tomlinson - 70RB - Adrian Peterson - 23RB - T.J. Duckett - 2RB - Greg Jones - 1WR - Chad Johnson - 43WR - Reggie Wayne - 39WR - Joe Horn - 7WR - Patrick Crayton - 3WR - Jacoby Jones - 2WR - Antwaan Randle El - 2WR - Chris Henry - 2WR - Dennis Northcutt - 1TE - Greg Olsen - 7TE - Alex Smith - 1PK - Adam Vinatieri - 5PK - Nick Folk - 1TD - San Diego Chargers - 5TD - Cleveland Browns - 1TD - Tennessee Titans - 1
Killer team dude, good job!
 
I disagree. At 1.5 PPR for Te's I think it's very important especially the better ones who are likely to have a consitent 5-7 catches a game
You're looking for TEs that have 80 to 112 catches per year? Only one TE had that kind of production last year.
I understand your point but I believe your logic is wrong. I'd be looking at a TE having 80-112 catches per year IF the 5-7 catches were limited to only 1 TE. But you're not, you only need one TE to get those 5 catches and it doesn't have to be the same one every week. If you grab two decent TE's (and possibly a 3rd cheaply) you have a good shot at getting those 5 catches week in and out (case in point look at E. Johnson last night, will he continue to catch 7 ball a game? Not likely, it got someone 15 points or so) I'm not saying that you have to go out and grab Gates, just not to overlook the position.And even if I down grade the numbers to 4 catches (64 rec per year) a game you still talking about 10+ ppg, which can be crucial.
 
My team

QB - Jon Kitna - 20

QB - Jeff Garcia - 8

QB - David Garrard - 2

RB - Willis McGahee - 29

RB - Ahman Green - 23

RB - LaMont Jordan - 19

RB - DeShaun Foster - 13

WR - Braylon Edwards - 28

WR - Santonio Holmes - 14

WR - Ronald Curry - 8

WR - Bobby Wade - 5

WR - Troy Williamson - 4

WR - Dwayne Jarrett - 3

WR - Jacoby Jones - 2

TE - Antonio Gates - 35

TE - Ben Watson - 15

TE - Daniel Graham - 7

TE - Eric Johnson - 1

PK - Jason Elam - 3

PK - Neil Rackers - 2

TD - Chicago Bears - 8

TD - Houston Texans - 1

I made sure not to screw myself on Bye weeks this year, and with TE's getting 1.5 PPR and a flex I tried to make sure I was decent there. I have 3 RB's with no competition and a 4th that could put up decent #s, and went hit or miss on WR's..

 
QB - Vince Young - 17

QB - Matt Leinart - 14

QB - Matt Schaub - 10

RB - Jerious Norwood - 24

RB - Adrian Peterson - 23

RB - Chester Taylor - 16

RB - Ladell Betts - 14

RB - DeShaun Foster - 13

WR - Mark Clayton - 25

WR - Bernard Berrian - 16

WR - Santonio Holmes - 14

WR - Ronald Curry - 8

WR - Arnaz Battle - 5

WR - Jacoby Jones - 2

WR - Shaun McDonald - 1

TE - Chris Cooley - 22

TE - Randy McMichael - 11

TE - Daniel Graham - 7

PK - Neil Rackers - 2

PK - Rian Lindell - 1

TD - Minnesota Vikings - 3

TD - Washington Redskins - 2

 
think i posted this earlier in the thread, but when i looked at the week to week data from last year, on average, about 25 RBs, 35 WRs, and 13 TEs scored over 10 points with this scoring.

 
If you do the math, you can prove that 7 WRs that give you 5 good games is only about 7% worse than having 4 WRs that give you 9 good games.That's one performance / week comparatively speaking - so if you think about what a "5 good week" WR would cost vs. a "9 week", you can get the idea.
I see what you are saying (35 versus 36) but aren't you really trying to figure the relative probabilities of how 3WRs (or 3WRs and 1Flex) are going to perform, and therefore you need to consider the product of probabilities (in other words isn't the 7WR team 75% as good as the 4WR team in terms of the combined performance of 3WR and 1Flex starter, versus 93% as good?). I never liked statistics....Edited to ask: Wouldn't the math be:If Ratio of Individual Probabilities of 1 Good Score on each team = X = (7*5/16)/(4*9/16) = 97.2%Then Ratio of Team Probabilities of 4 "good" starting WR scores (3WR and 1FLEX) = 4*X = 89% (3*X = 91% excluding FLEX)?Wouldn't you want to pay whatever you could afford to achieve any relative advantage? In other words, put all your money on your starters? As for choosing between WHICH starters (LT and 4RBs OR Addai, Bush and 2RBs for example) isn't the actual math to work out where to spend based on projected variation in week to week performance versus auction cost all so protracted and assumption-dependant that its silly to approach this on any such detailed numbers basis, and better to just populate your team starters first assuming their relative chances of success can be approximated based on a typical value versus baseline? What are the relative confidence factors in, say, Marvin Harrison versus Marty Booker? I simply don't know if the relative standard deviation of lower tier players is bigger, smaller or the same as higher tier players. Did Joe lock Yudkin in a basement and force him to work out all these probabilities when setting auction prices?
 
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The first thing I did was throw Dodds' projections into a spreadsheet that used this scoring system.

Bush was listed third at 261.30 projected points.

Tomlinson and Jackson were both over 300 points.

9 WRs and Gates were projected to finish ahead of the 3rd best RB.

I then calculated the points per $ each player was projected at.

I used all of that information to carefully consider the most logical selections. Then I totally ignored it and went with my own thoughts as I valued some of the key players differently to the projections that I used. I only created the spreadsheet to give myself an idea of where the value may lie. The biggest thing I drew from that was to look for a WR flex rather than an overpriced RB flex.

You will probably laugh at this team. I went all out, and OUT is exactly what I expect. Early.

QB Drew Brees NO/4 21

QB Damon Huard KC/8 4

Brees looked to be the best value of the top five QBs, and I thought he might get closer to Manning than seems likely after last night's game. As I was investing in a semi-stud, I only chose two QBs. I haven't looked at this since Leftwich lost his job or Garrard would have been included.

RB Joseph Addai IND/6 46

RB LaDainian Tomlinson SD/7 70

RB Warrick Dunn ATL/8 12

Tomlinson is about as reliable as it gets, even ignoring last year. I wanted him on the team somehow. Addai benefits from the incredible passing game of the Colts and has no competition for carries. I think he'll be top three and he seemed the best value from the next tier. I am relying almost totally on the top two due to the strength of their respective offenses. Dunn was a cheap starter that gives me a slight hope of some production when the other two are on their byes.

WR Devery Henderson NO/4 9

WR Vincent Jackson SD/7 17

WR Isaac Bruce STL/9 15

WR Arnaz Battle SF/6 5

WR Joe Horn ATL/8 7

WR Wes Welker NE/10 3

I wanted Lee Evans on the team but couldn't find the cap room. So I went with a small committee. Henderson could emerge this year and should have a bigger role. Jackson seems likely to improve a lot too. Bruce is a reliable top 25 guy that could have a few bigger weeks if Holt misses any time. Battle and Horn were cheap options on teams that will have to pass a lot. Welker should be ok as a slot receiver and may have a few bigger weeks if/when Moss or Stallworth are out. I deliberately chose six different bye weeks.

TE Dallas Clark IND/6 12

TE Eric Johnson NO/4 1

TE Bo Scaife TEN/4 9

Dallas Clark is Manning's roommate and he'll sit there saying give me the ball, give me the ball. Johnson and Scaife seemed to have upside when I picked them.

PK John Kasay CAR/7 1

PK Rian Lindell BUF/6 1

PK Sebastian Janikowski OAK/5 1

PK Rob Bironas TEN/4 1

To make room for the above studs, I had to pick four kickers. They all have different byes, and having four means I might squeeze a few additional points from this position, but the main purpose was just to make cap room for Tomlinson and Addai.

TM San Diego Chargers SD/7 5

TM Chicago Bears CHI/9 8

TM Tennessee Titans TEN/4 1

TM Detroit Lions DET/6 1

The defensive scoring seems to be very low, and relies largely on touchdowns, so I went with two stud defenses that have excellent return games with Hester and Sproles. The other two defenses were cheap options to allow me to get under the cap.

 
The first thing I did was throw Dodds' projections into a spreadsheet that used this scoring system.Bush was listed third at 261.30 projected points. Tomlinson and Jackson were both over 300 points.9 WRs and Gates were projected to finish ahead of the 3rd best RB.I then calculated the points per $ each player was projected at.I used all of that information to carefully consider the most logical selections. Then I totally ignored it and went with my own thoughts as I valued some of the key players differently to the projections that I used. I only created the spreadsheet to give myself an idea of where the value may lie. The biggest thing I drew from that was to look for a WR flex rather than an overpriced RB flex.You will probably laugh at this team. I went all out, and OUT is exactly what I expect. Early.QB Drew Brees NO/4 21QB Damon Huard KC/8 4Brees looked to be the best value of the top five QBs, and I thought he might get closer to Manning than seems likely after last night's game. As I was investing in a semi-stud, I only chose two QBs. I haven't looked at this since Leftwich lost his job or Garrard would have been included.RB Joseph Addai IND/6 46RB LaDainian Tomlinson SD/7 70RB Warrick Dunn ATL/8 12Tomlinson is about as reliable as it gets, even ignoring last year. I wanted him on the team somehow. Addai benefits from the incredible passing game of the Colts and has no competition for carries. I think he'll be top three and he seemed the best value from the next tier. I am relying almost totally on the top two due to the strength of their respective offenses. Dunn was a cheap starter that gives me a slight hope of some production when the other two are on their byes.WR Devery Henderson NO/4 9WR Vincent Jackson SD/7 17WR Isaac Bruce STL/9 15WR Arnaz Battle SF/6 5WR Joe Horn ATL/8 7WR Wes Welker NE/10 3I wanted Lee Evans on the team but couldn't find the cap room. So I went with a small committee. Henderson could emerge this year and should have a bigger role. Jackson seems likely to improve a lot too. Bruce is a reliable top 25 guy that could have a few bigger weeks if Holt misses any time. Battle and Horn were cheap options on teams that will have to pass a lot. Welker should be ok as a slot receiver and may have a few bigger weeks if/when Moss or Stallworth are out. I deliberately chose six different bye weeks.TE Dallas Clark IND/6 12TE Eric Johnson NO/4 1TE Bo Scaife TEN/4 9Dallas Clark is Manning's roommate and he'll sit there saying give me the ball, give me the ball. Johnson and Scaife seemed to have upside when I picked them.PK John Kasay CAR/7 1PK Rian Lindell BUF/6 1PK Sebastian Janikowski OAK/5 1PK Rob Bironas TEN/4 1To make room for the above studs, I had to pick four kickers. They all have different byes, and having four means I might squeeze a few additional points from this position, but the main purpose was just to make cap room for Tomlinson and Addai.TM San Diego Chargers SD/7 5TM Chicago Bears CHI/9 8TM Tennessee Titans TEN/4 1TM Detroit Lions DET/6 1The defensive scoring seems to be very low, and relies largely on touchdowns, so I went with two stud defenses that have excellent return games with Hester and Sproles. The other two defenses were cheap options to allow me to get under the cap.
4 Placekickers, but only 2 QB's???? Makes no sense. Brees is a great QB but is still gonna have bad weeks. Is Hurad dependable enough to pick up the slack. As I said, no one is gonna win with only 2 QB's unless one is named Manning. I would still have three. Even stud QB's have off weeks and you need backups to pick up the slack. QB is too high scoring position to have just two.
 
I disagree. At 1.5 PPR for Te's I think it's very important especially the better ones who are likely to have a consitent 5-7 catches a game
You're looking for TEs that have 80 to 112 catches per year? Only one TE had that kind of production last year.
My squad:QB - Peyton Manning - 31QB - David Garrard - 2QB - Bruce Gradkowski - 1RB - LaDainian Tomlinson - 70RB - Adrian Peterson - 23RB - T.J. Duckett - 2RB - Greg Jones - 1WR - Chad Johnson - 43WR - Reggie Wayne - 39WR - Joe Horn - 7WR - Patrick Crayton - 3WR - Jacoby Jones - 2WR - Antwaan Randle El - 2WR - Chris Henry - 2WR - Dennis Northcutt - 1TE - Greg Olsen - 7TE - Alex Smith - 1PK - Adam Vinatieri - 5PK - Nick Folk - 1TD - San Diego Chargers - 5TD - Cleveland Browns - 1TD - Tennessee Titans - 1
Killer team dude, good job!
He's gonna have to sweat Indy's bye bigtime but the good thing is that it's early in the season. Or is that a bad thing?
 
QB - Jon Kitna - 20

QB - Matt Leinart - 14

RB - Cedric Benson - 32

RB - Willis McGahee - 29

RB - Leon Washington - 14

RB - Ladell Betts - 14

RB - Michael Bennett - 5

RB - Michael Robinson - 3

RB - Dominic Rhodes - 3

RB - Brian Leonard - 3

WR - Donald Driver - 30

WR - Bernard Berrian - 16

WR - Santonio Holmes - 14

WR - Ronald Curry - 8

WR - Wes Welker - 3

WR - Patrick Crayton - 3

TE - Ben Watson - 15

TE - David Martin - 6

PK - Stephen Gostkowski - 4

PK - Olindo Mare - 3

TD - Chicago Bears - 8

TD - Green Bay Packers - 3

 
QB - J.P. Losman - 12

QB - Jeff Garcia - 8

RB - Joseph Addai - 46 :loco: :thumbup: :thumbup:

RB - Deuce McAllister - 23 :homer:

RB - Leon Washington - 14

RB - Dominic Rhodes - 3

RB - Brian Leonard - 3

RB - Greg Jones - 1

WR - Reggie Wayne - 39 :thumbup: :thumbup: :thumbup:

WR - Lee Evans - 29

WR - Isaac Bruce - 15

WR - Maurice Stovall - 3

WR - Wes Welker - 3

WR - Patrick Crayton - 3 :excited:

WR - Derek Hagan - 2

TE - Todd Heap - 26

TE - Owen Daniels - 11

TE - Eric Johnson - 1 :thumbup: :thumbup:

PK - Neil Rackers - 2

PK - John Kasay - 1

TD - Pittsburgh Steelers - 4

TD - Arizona Cardinals - 1

 
I'm figuring 135 points in week 1 for my roster. I think scoring will be lower this year, so that should hold up fine.

 

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