Football Guys Fantasy Playoff Contest (1 Viewer)

[AB in DC]

This question has already been answered..."Will at least three games in the wildcard round be won by the visiting teams?"The correct answer was "No". Both home teams won today.If you answered "No", you earned 330.36 .... like I did.

I'd be interested to know what people saw in this one at approximately even point yields? at 50/50 splits across the board it only occurs 5/16. Tommorows away teams have ~3 point line spreads in their favor, missed what todays were. but for the even yield the away teams would need in general a 11:5 likely hood of winning (68% chance)? I almost feel stupid typing this because it seems so out of whack, but its late so forgive if my math is crazy talk.

Sounds about right. Going into yesterday I would have set Atlanta odds at 60%, Indy at 65%, Baltimore at 80%, Philly at 65%. I probably should have done the math before I made the pick, but it seemed to point to a Yes vote.(edit: at those odds, YES is 61%.)(edit: lower Baltimore to 70% and the other road teams to 60% and you still have YES at 52%)

 

[AB in DC]

BTW, are the final payouts/odds for each YES and NO posted anywhere?

 

[Charley]

5 touchdowns so far... 5 players scored.Missed 51 yarder just now.

woulda been good from 50 not really but I was thinking about that when I heard it on the radio.Anyway here's my picks, in 5 question groups:If I was in the minority (based on latest unofficial counts) I've put the letter in CAPS1 to 5: N y Y n y6 to 10: Y y Y n n11 to 15: N N N N Y16 to 20: N N n Y N21 to 25: n N Y Y y26 to 30: y y N y N31 to 35: n y n N y 19 picks of the underdog by me21 of the 35 Qs have a majority of yes (provisionally)Just under 53% of the total picks were yes.If someone guessed yes and got all correct (based on the provisional numbers) they'd get 13,678.54 points. If someone guessed no and got all correct (based on the provisional numbers) they'd get 15,224.07 points.If someone went with the majority every time and got all correct they'd get 9,718.98 points. (Provisionally)If someone went with the minority every time and got all correct they'd get 19,183.63 points. (Provisionally)If I get them all right I'll win with 14,490.48 (Provisionally)Will be fun -QG

1 to 5: y N n n N6 to 10: Y N n Y Y11 to 15: y y N N Y16 to 20: N N Y Y y21 to 25: Y N Y Y N26 to 30: y y N N N31 to 35: Y N n N N 25 picks of the underdog picks by me. 18 different picks than QG. 17,951 total potential points. Without doing any historical analysis, my strategy was to take all 15 of the most underdog picks, then read the other questions and make the other picks. Gut feeling was that the house odds for most of the obvious underdog picks would be very good.

 

[Doug Drinen]

This standings page, along with the newly-revamped entry pages, should generate some discussion.

 

[Doug Drinen]

BTW, are the final payouts/odds for each YES and NO posted anywhere?

You can find your potential payouts here.Now that I look at that, though, you can't see both the yes and no payouts on the same page. I'll work something up.

 

[valhallan]

Did anyone just pick the higher payoff on each question? I thought about doing that because it seemed like many of these questions would be 50/50 propositions.

 

[fflnut]

9 players scored touchdowns now... or is it 10?

11 now

Edit for correction and update:I originally counted 10 total players, but didn't count defensive TDs. Antrell Rolle's fumble return for AZ and now Ed Reed's int TD brings the total to 12 total players. QBs throwing for a TD don't count, correct? With QBs I think it's 15 total players.

 

[Charley]

This standings page, along with the newly-revamped entry pages, should generate some discussion.

Interesting. I'll throw in my $.02 on the Peyton/Eli question. Initially, when I read the question, I thought of course Peyton will have more passing yardage than Eli. If they were both to play only one game, then I'd put the odds about 70-75% in Peyton's favor. But the differences were that (1) INDY was a wildcard team, and (2) NYG had an easier path to the Super Bowl IMO. So INDY had 4 potential games compared to NYG's 3 games. However, INDY was going to play all of their games on the road, while NYG had 2 home games if they won. Even if you assumed that Peyton would average 300 yds/game and Eli 225 yds/game, then there were some scenarios where Eli could prevail -- basically where Eli plays at least one more game than Peyton plays in the playoffs. With one of these scenarios, I estimated that INDY had a 37.5% chance of losing the 1st game against SD and NYG had at least 52.5% chance of winning their 1st playoff game at home. Assuming those 2 events were independent, then the joint probability of INDY losing and NYG winning was about 20%. Considering the other possible scenarios for NYG to play at least one more game than INDY, I thought Eli had at least a 25-30% chance of having more yardage. The 652 points for going with Eli looked good to me.With INDY losing, now Eli can have more yardage if he has more than Peyton's total in the 1st game (unlikely) -- or more total yardage if the Giants play 2 or 3 playoff games (likely). Thus, I think the current estimate of Eli having a 60% chance of having more passing yardage is pretty reasonable, but I'd put it about 5-10% higher.

 

[Charley]

This question has already been answered..."Will at least three games in the wildcard round be won by the visiting teams?"The correct answer was "No". Both home teams won today.If you answered "No", you earned 330.36 .... like I did.

I'd be interested to know what people saw in this one at approximately even point yields? at 50/50 splits across the board it only occurs 5/16. Tommorows away teams have ~3 point line spreads in their favor, missed what todays were. but for the even yield the away teams would need in general a 11:5 likely hood of winning (68% chance)? I almost feel stupid typing this because it seems so out of whack, but its late so forgive if my math is crazy talk.

Sounds about right. Going into yesterday I would have set Atlanta odds at 60%, Indy at 65%, Baltimore at 80%, Philly at 65%. I probably should have done the math before I made the pick, but it seemed to point to a Yes vote.(edit: at those odds, YES is 61%.)(edit: lower Baltimore to 70% and the other road teams to 60% and you still have YES at 52%)

My thoughts were pretty different. Granted, all of the visiting teams looked stronger than the home teams. However, "Yes" means either (1) all the home teams had to lose, or (2) exactly one home team would lose. My odds of the road teams winning were a lot lower than 60%, 65%, 80% and 65% -- mainly because home field advantage is pretty important in the playoffs IMO. I would have gone with maybe 52.5%, 57.5%, 57.5%, 55%.

 

[gianmarco]

With the caliber of the defensive teams this year in the playoffs (Balt, Pitt, Tenn, NYG, Miami, Minn), as well as some pretty high turnover prone teams, I would have liked to see a few more defensive questions instead of being so skewed to offensive stats.

Still, awesome contest

 

[fflnut]

Well there's 4 turn overs for Miami. Now all they have to do is come back and win it and the following will be worth 1112 points!

Will there be at least one game in which the winning team turns the ball over 4 or more times?

 

[Jilez001]

Well there's 4 turn overs for Miami. Now all they have to do is come back and win it and the following will be worth 1112 points!

Will there be at least one game in which the winning team turns the ball over 4 or more times?

Looks like this is unlikely to happen. Hooray for my equity though, currently the highest ranked player who botched the safety question . In projected points... I win sklansky bucks?

 

[Jilez001]

This question has already been answered..."Will at least three games in the wildcard round be won by the visiting teams?"The correct answer was "No". Both home teams won today.If you answered "No", you earned 330.36 .... like I did. <_<

I'd be interested to know what people saw in this one at approximately even point yields? at 50/50 splits across the board it only occurs 5/16. Tommorows away teams have ~3 point line spreads in their favor, missed what todays were. but for the even yield the away teams would need in general a 11:5 likely hood of winning (68% chance)? I almost feel stupid typing this because it seems so out of whack, but its late so forgive if my math is crazy talk.

Sounds about right. Going into yesterday I would have set Atlanta odds at 60%, Indy at 65%, Baltimore at 80%, Philly at 65%. I probably should have done the math before I made the pick, but it seemed to point to a Yes vote.(edit: at those odds, YES is 61%.)(edit: lower Baltimore to 70% and the other road teams to 60% and you still have YES at 52%)

My thoughts were pretty different. Granted, all of the visiting teams looked stronger than the home teams. However, "Yes" means either (1) all the home teams had to lose, or (2) exactly one home team would lose. My odds of the road teams winning were a lot lower than 60%, 65%, 80% and 65% -- mainly because home field advantage is pretty important in the playoffs IMO. I would have gone with maybe 52.5%, 57.5%, 57.5%, 55%.

Blah upon waking I missed an application of the binomial theorem and made up something else. Anyway, upon applying the most binomial of theorems an away team projected to win just shy of 60% nets out half the equity. Still a large number, but obviously within the projections of some.

 

[Monty Burns]

Did anyone just pick the higher payoff on each question? I thought about doing that because it seemed like many of these questions would be 50/50 propositions.

I did initially,then figured others would also do this, so I went and changed about a half dozen that I was most sure of the other way....

 

[zed2283]

Akers 51-yarder.

 

[Doug Drinen]

Akers 51-yarder.

Standings updated.

 

[The Kerminator]

Will at least three games in the wildcard round be won by the visiting teams? yes 365.50 0.00 wrong

Will there be at least one safety in the postseason? no 295.95 0.00 wrong

Will there be at least one made field goal of 51 yards or longer in the postseason? no 873.36 0.00 wrong

Off to a great start.

 

[Doug Drinen]

A few probabilities tweaked. New standings posted.

 

[CrossEyed]

A few probabilities tweaked. New standings posted.

Tied for first. Of course, so are 1020 other people.

 

[PatrickT]

Will at least three games in the wildcard round be won by the visiting teams? yes 365.50 0.00 wrong

Will there be at least one safety in the postseason? no 295.95 0.00 wrong

Will there be at least one made field goal of 51 yards or longer in the postseason? no 873.36 0.00 wrong

Off to a great start. :(

The only thing worse than being wrong on the safety question is that it was my team that gave up the safety.

 

[BAT1man]

By my count, 18 different players scored a TD this weekend. 22 more needed for 40 and a "Yes".

Will there be at least three games in which the team that wins was behind at halftime? - The Cardinals did, two more to go for a "Yes".

 

[Mario Kart]

By my count, 18 different players scored a TD this weekend. 22 more needed for 40 and a "Yes".

4 = Bal/Mia game3 = Phi/Min7 = Atl/Ari4 = Ind/SD18 = totalPlayers still playing that scored:Tomlinson SprolesFitzgeraldBoldinHightowerRolle (Def Ari)Reed (Def Bal)McClainFlaccoSamuel (Def Phi)WestbrookD. MasonChris JohnsonSteve SmithJonathan StewartEdgerin JamesDonovan McNabbB. CelekWillie ParkerGary RussellHeath MillerL. NaaneeV. Jackson

 

[Mario Kart]

Questions that have been determined:

Will at least three games in the wildcard round be won by the visiting teams?

No - Answer = 2 (Baltimore beat Miami 27-9 and Philadelphia beat Minnesota 26-14) on the road.

Will there be at least one safety in the postseason?

Yes - Answer = Wild Card Weekend. Matt Ryan was sacked in the endzone.

Will there be at least one made field goal of 51 yards or longer in the postseason?

Yes - Answer = Akers vs. Minnesota in the Wild Card.

Questions that have a running total for its determination but may need to wait for the Super Bowl conclusion(for now):

Will Reggie Wayne have more total postseason receiving yards than Steve Smith (of the Panthers)?

129 = Wayne (DONE)

0 = Smith (vs. Arizona)

Will Larry Fitzgerald have more total postseason receiving yards than Santonio Holmes?

101 = Fitzgerald (@ Carolina)

0 = Holmes (vs. San Diego)

Will Kerry Collins have more total postseason passing TDs than Kurt Warner?

2 = Warner (@ Carolina)

0 = Collins (vs. Baltimore)

Will Chris Johnson and LenDale White score more total combined postseason TDs than DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart?

0 = Johnson/White (vs. Baltimore)

0 = Williams/Stewart (vs. Arizona)

Will Peyton Manning have more total postseason passing yards than Eli Manning?

310 = Peyton Manning (DONE)

0 = Eli Manning (vs. Philadelphia)

Will Michael Turner have more total postseason rushing yards than Brandon Jacobs?

42 = Turner's rushing (DONE)

0 = Jacobs rushing (vs. Philadelphia)

Will the Cardinals allow more total points in the postseason than the Steelers?

24 = Arizona points (@ Carolina)

0 = Pittsburgh (vs. San Diego)

Will there be at least one player who has 300 or more total rushing yards in the postseason?

75 = McClain

62 = McGahee

105 = Sproles

38 = Westbrook

73 = James

Will there be at least one player who has 300 or more total receiving yards in the postseason?

71 = Mason

83 = Westbrook

101 = Fitzgerald

72 = Boldin

87 = Gates

57 = Chambers

Will all four games in the divisional round be won by the home team?

Tennessee, Carolina, Pittsburgh, NY Giants need to win

Will at least three postseason games be won by teams from the AFC South?

0 = Indianapolis

0 = Tennessee

If yes, Tennessee must win the Superbowl

Will at least one team that plays in the wildcard round play in the Super Bowl?

Baltimore, San Diego, Philadelphia, Arizona must win two more games.

Will both championship round games be won by the home team?

TBD

Questions that, most likely, need to wait for the conclusion of the Super Bowl to be determined:

Will the overall postseason rushing yardage leader come from an AFC team?

TBD

Will the overall postseason receiving yardage leader come from an AFC team?

TBD

Will the overall postseason passing yardage leader come from an AFC team?

TBD

Will the total combined postseason points scored by AFC teams be greater than the total combined postseason points scored by NFC teams?

94 = NFC

76 = AFC

Will at least 40 DIFFERENT players score a touchdown in the postseason?

18 = Wild Card Weekend

Will there be at least one game in which the LOSING team scores 30 or more points?

TBD

Will there be at least one game in which the winning team turns the ball over 4 or more times?

TBD

Will there be at least three games in which the team that wins was behind at halftime?

1 = Atlanta @ Arizona (17-14 half)

Will there be at least three successful two-point conversions in the postseason?

0 = Wild Card Weekend

Questions that, most likely, need to wait for the conclusion of the Superbowl to be determined:

Will the AFC team win the Super Bowl?

TBD

Will the TOTAL number of points scored in the Super Bowl be greater than the number of points scored by the WINNING TEAM in the BCS National Championship Game?

24 - Florida Alligators

Will there be at least one player who rushes for 100 or more yards during the Super Bowl game

TBD

Will there be at least one player who has 100 or more receiving yards during the Super Bowl game

TBD

Will there be at least one player who has 250 or more passing yards during the Super Bowl game

TBD

Will there be more field goals than touchdowns in the Super Bowl game?

TBD

Will the team that scores LAST in the Super Bowl be the team that wins the Super Bowl?

TBD

Will there be at least one quarter in the Super Bowl in which no points are scored by either team

TBD

Will there be a rushing TD of 10 yards or longer in the Super Bowl?

TBD

Will there be a passing TD of 25 yards or longer in the Super Bowl?

TBD

 

[Doug Drinen]

Will the TOTAL number of points scored in the Super Bowl be greater than the number of points scored by the WINNING TEAM in the BCS National Championship Game?

I've bumped the probability of this one up to 88%.

 

[Mr. Know-It-All]

Hooray! I am in the top 3000!

 

[QuizGuy66]

Will the TOTAL number of points scored in the Super Bowl be greater than the number of points scored by the WINNING TEAM in the BCS National Championship Game?

I've bumped the probability of this one up to 88%.

Surprised it's only 88%. The total points has been 24 or less only 3 times in 42 Super Bowls and it hasn't happened since Super Bowl IX (Pitt 16 Minn 6).-QG

 

[Doug Drinen]

Will the TOTAL number of points scored in the Super Bowl be greater than the number of points scored by the WINNING TEAM in the BCS National Championship Game?

I've bumped the probability of this one up to 88%.

Surprised it's only 88%. The total points has been 24 or less only 3 times in 42 Super Bowls and it hasn't happened since Super Bowl IX (Pitt 16 Minn 6).

I looked at all this season's games involving teams still alive (minus the Cardinals, who have no chance of playing in the SB). About 88% of them were 24 or less. Lots of good defenses, which is of course typical of playoff teams. But what makes this year a little different (I think) is the relative lack of high-powered offenses.

 

[Mario Kart]

Will the TOTAL number of points scored in the Super Bowl be greater than the number of points scored by the WINNING TEAM in the BCS National Championship Game?

I've bumped the probability of this one up to 88%.

Surprised it's only 88%. The total points has been 24 or less only 3 times in 42 Super Bowls and it hasn't happened since Super Bowl IX (Pitt 16 Minn 6).

I looked at all this season's games involving teams still alive (minus the Cardinals, who have no chance of playing in the SB). About 88% of them were 24 or less. Lots of good defenses, which is of course typical of playoff teams. But what makes this year a little different (I think) is the relative lack of high-powered offenses.

I would not be surprised if Arizona wins today.

 

[Jilez001]

These got answered

Will Kerry Collins have more total postseason passing TDs than Kurt Warner? (no)

Will all four games in the divisional round be won by the home team? (no)

The titans rb tds over the panthers rb's will probably be answered shortly... damn that CJ3 and his taped ankle!

 

[Doug Drinen]

These got answeredWill Kerry Collins have more total postseason passing TDs than Kurt Warner? (no)Will all four games in the divisional round be won by the home team? (no)The titans rb tds over the panthers rb's will probably be answered shortly... damn that CJ3 and his taped ankle!

Updated.

 

[Doug Drinen]

The titans rb tds over the panthers rb's will probably be answered shortly... damn that CJ3 and his taped ankle!

Updated again.

 

[Doug Drinen]

Will there be at least one player who has 300 or more total receiving yards in the postseason?

Fitz has 252 right now.

 

[Jilez001]

Will at least three postseason games be won by teams from the AFC South? no

Forgot about that one .

 

[Doug Drinen]

Will at least three postseason games be won by teams from the AFC South? no

Good spot. Updated.The tie for first is now down to 130 teams.

 

[Jilez001]

I'm interested to see the odds update after today. At a quick glance

Will the Cardinals allow more total points in the postseason than the Steelers?

Will Larry Fitzgerald have more total postseason receiving yards than Santonio Holmes?

Will the total combined postseason points scored by AFC teams be greater than the total combined postseason points scored by NFC teams?

All seem like 10:1 candidates or better for the favorites.

 

[Jilez001]

I'm interested to see the odds update after today. At a quick glance Will the Cardinals allow more total points in the postseason than the Steelers?Will Larry Fitzgerald have more total postseason receiving yards than Santonio Holmes?Will the total combined postseason points scored by AFC teams be greater than the total combined postseason points scored by NFC teams?All seem like 10:1 candidates or better for the favorites.

Another one of extremely high likelyhood. At this point its dependant on 4 specific game outcomes going forward for this to be a no ;/.Will at least one team that plays in the wildcard round play in the Super Bowl?

 

[Mario Kart]

****UPDATED****

with Saturday the 10th stats (first two Divisional games)

Questions that have been determined:

Answers from Wild Card Weekend:

Will at least three games in the wildcard round be won by the visiting teams?

No - Answer = 2 (Baltimore beat Miami 27-9 and Philadelphia beat Minnesota 26-14) on the road.

Will there be at least one safety in the postseason?

Yes - Answer = Wild Card Weekend. Matt Ryan was sacked in the endzone.

Will there be at least one made field goal of 51 yards or longer in the postseason?

Yes - Answer = Akers vs. Minnesota in the Wild Card.

Answers from Divisional Playoff Weekend:

Will Reggie Wayne have more total postseason receiving yards than Steve Smith (of the Panthers)?

129 = Wayne

43 = Smith

Yes

Will Kerry Collins have more total postseason passing TDs than Kurt Warner?

4 = Warner ()

0 = Collins

No

Will Chris Johnson and LenDale White score more total combined postseason TDs than DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart?

1 = Johnson/White

1 = Williams/Stewart

No

Will all four games in the divisional round be won by the home team?

No

Will at least three postseason games be won by teams from the AFC South?

No

Questions that have a running total for its determination but may need to wait for the Super Bowl conclusion(for now):

Will Larry Fitzgerald have more total postseason receiving yards than Santonio Holmes?

267 = Fitzgerald ()

0 = Holmes (vs. San Diego)

Will Peyton Manning have more total postseason passing yards than Eli Manning?

310 = Peyton Manning (DONE)

0 = Eli Manning (vs. Philadelphia)

Will Michael Turner have more total postseason rushing yards than Brandon Jacobs?

42 = Turner's rushing (DONE)

0 = Jacobs rushing (vs. Philadelphia)

Will the Cardinals allow more total points in the postseason than the Steelers?

37 = Arizona points (@ Carolina)

0 = Pittsburgh (vs. San Diego)

Will there be at least one player who has 300 or more total rushing yards in the postseason?

1. Edgerrin James ARI 130

2. Darren Sproles SD 105

3. Tim Hightower ARI 99

4. Willis McGahee BAL 94

5. Le'Ron McClain BAL 87

Will there be at least one player who has 300 or more total receiving yards in the postseason?

1. Larry Fitzgerald ARI 267

2. Derrick Mason BAL 149

Will at least one team that plays in the wildcard round play in the Super Bowl?

Baltimore, San Diego, Philadelphia, Arizona must win two more games.

Will both championship round games be won by the home team?

TBD

Questions that, most likely, need to wait for the conclusion of the Super Bowl to be determined:

Will the overall postseason rushing yardage leader come from an AFC team?

1. Edgerrin James ARI 130

2. Darren Sproles SD 105

3. Tim Hightower ARI 99

4. Willis McGahee BAL 94

5. Le'Ron McClain BAL 87

Will the overall postseason receiving yardage leader come from an AFC team?

1. Larry Fitzgerald ARI 267

2. Derrick Mason BAL 149

3. Justin Gage TEN 135

4. Reggie Wayne IND 129

5. Anthony Gonzalez IND 97

Will the overall postseason passing yardage leader come from an AFC team?

1. Kurt Warner ARI 491

2. Peyton Manning IND 310

3. Donovan McNabb PHI 300

4. Joe Flacco BAL 296

5. Kerry Collins TEN 281

Will the total combined postseason points scored by AFC teams be greater than the total combined postseason points scored by NFC teams?

140 = NFC

99 = AFC

Will at least 40 DIFFERENT players score a touchdown in the postseason?

18 = Wild Card Weekend

5 = Divisional Weekend

Will there be at least one game in which the LOSING team scores 30 or more points?

TBD

Will there be at least one game in which the winning team turns the ball over 4 or more times?

TBD

Will there be at least three games in which the team that wins was behind at halftime?

1 = Atlanta @ Arizona (17-14 half)

Will there be at least three successful two-point conversions in the postseason?

0 = Wild Card Weekend

0 = Divisional Weekend

Questions that, most likely, need to wait for the conclusion of the Superbowl to be determined:

Will the AFC team win the Super Bowl?

TBD

Will the TOTAL number of points scored in the Super Bowl be greater than the number of points scored by the WINNING TEAM in the BCS National Championship Game?

24 - Florida Alligators

Will there be at least one player who rushes for 100 or more yards during the Super Bowl game

TBD

Will there be at least one player who has 100 or more receiving yards during the Super Bowl game

TBD

Will there be at least one player who has 250 or more passing yards during the Super Bowl game

TBD

Will there be more field goals than touchdowns in the Super Bowl game?

TBD

Will the team that scores LAST in the Super Bowl be the team that wins the Super Bowl?

TBD

Will there be at least one quarter in the Super Bowl in which no points are scored by either team

TBD

Will there be a rushing TD of 10 yards or longer in the Super Bowl?

TBD

Will there be a passing TD of 25 yards or longer in the Super Bowl?

TBD

 

[Mario Kart]

Will Reggie Wayne have more total postseason receiving yards than Steve Smith (of the Panthers)?129 = Wayne 43 = Smith Yes

If Doug is still awake... this question was also answered today.

 

[QuizGuy66]

Will Reggie Wayne have more total postseason receiving yards than Steve Smith (of the Panthers)?129 = Wayne 43 = Smith Yes

If Doug is still awake... this question was also answered today.

I thought that the Turk never sleeps -QG

 

[Doug Drinen]

Updated.

 

[Jilez001]

Updated.

Will at least one team that plays in the wildcard round play in the Super Bowl? no 40%This seems way high for the no to me. For the no to be true the only successful outcome giants and pittsburgh have to win both today and next week. For a 40% to be accurate they need to be ~80% favorites in their corresponding games. Is there that much confidence in these two teams against sd/balt and phi/ari??

 

[Doug Drinen]

Updated.

Will at least one team that plays in the wildcard round play in the Super Bowl? no 40%This seems way high for the no to me. For the no to be true the only successful outcome giants and pittsburgh have to win both today and next week. For a 40% to be accurate they need to be ~80% favorites in their corresponding games. Is there that much confidence in these two teams against sd/balt and phi/ari??

You're probably right. I'll knock that down a smidge while updating the Turner/Jacobs question, which I think we can assume is in the bank now.

 

[The Kerminator]

Updated.

Will at least one team that plays in the wildcard round play in the Super Bowl? no 40%This seems way high for the no to me. For the no to be true the only successful outcome giants and pittsburgh have to win both today and next week. For a 40% to be accurate they need to be ~80% favorites in their corresponding games. Is there that much confidence in these two teams against sd/balt and phi/ari??

You're probably right. I'll knock that down a smidge while updating the Turner/Jacobs question, which I think we can assume is in the bank now.

Looks like you can probably put this one in the YES column, barring a miracle comeback by the Giants.

 

[Doug Drinen]

Looks like you can probably put this one in the YES column, barring a miracle comeback by the Giants.

Banked. Along with the Peyton/Eli question.Now down to 12 entries tied for first.

 

[Doug Drinen]

A few things tweaked. Standings updated.

 

[Mario Kart]

****UPDATED****

with Divisional games completed

Questions that have been determined:

Answers from Wild Card Weekend:

Will at least three games in the wildcard round be won by the visiting teams?

No - Answer = 2 (Baltimore beat Miami 27-9 and Philadelphia beat Minnesota 26-14) on the road.

Will there be at least one safety in the postseason?

Yes - Answer = Wild Card Weekend. Matt Ryan was sacked in the endzone.

Will there be at least one made field goal of 51 yards or longer in the postseason?

Yes - Answer = Akers vs. Minnesota in the Wild Card.

Answers from Divisional Playoff Weekend:

Will Reggie Wayne have more total postseason receiving yards than Steve Smith (of the Panthers)?

129 = Wayne

43 = Smith

Yes

Will Kerry Collins have more total postseason passing TDs than Kurt Warner?

4 = Warner ()

0 = Collins

No

Will Chris Johnson and LenDale White score more total combined postseason TDs than DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart?

1 = Johnson/White

1 = Williams/Stewart

No

Will all four games in the divisional round be won by the home team?

No

Will at least three postseason games be won by teams from the AFC South?

No

Will Peyton Manning have more total postseason passing yards than Eli Manning?

310 = Peyton Manning (DONE)

169 = Eli Manning (vs. Philadelphia)

Yes

Will Michael Turner have more total postseason rushing yards than Brandon Jacobs?

42 = Turner's rushing

92 = Jacobs rushing

No

Will at least one team that plays in the wildcard round play in the Super Bowl?

Philadelphia, Arizona

Yes

Questions that have a running total for its determination but may need to wait for the Super Bowl conclusion(for now):

Will Larry Fitzgerald have more total postseason receiving yards than Santonio Holmes?

267 = Fitzgerald (vs. Philadelphia)

25 = Holmes (vs. Baltimore)

Will the Cardinals allow more total points in the postseason than the Steelers?

37 = Arizona points (@ Carolina)

24 = Pittsburgh (vs. San Diego)

Will there be at least one player who has 300 or more total rushing yards in the postseason?

1. Willie Parker PIT 146

2. Edgerrin James ARI 130

3. Darren Sproles SD 120

4. Tim Hightower ARI 99

5. Willis McGahee BAL 94

Will there be at least one player who has 300 or more total receiving yards in the postseason?

1. Larry Fitzgerald ARI 267

2. Derrick Mason BAL 149

Will both championship round games be won by the home team?

Arizona and Pittsburgh

Questions that, most likely, need to wait for the conclusion of the Super Bowl to be determined:

Will the overall postseason rushing yardage leader come from an AFC team?

1. Willie Parker PIT 146

2. Edgerrin James ARI 130

3. Darren Sproles SD 120

4. Tim Hightower ARI 99

5. Willis McGahee BAL 94

Will the overall postseason receiving yardage leader come from an AFC team?

1. Larry Fitzgerald ARI 267

2. Derrick Mason BAL 149

3. Antonio Gates SD 146

4. Darren Sproles SD 136

5. Justin Gage TEN 135

Will the overall postseason passing yardage leader come from an AFC team?

2. Donovan McNabb PHI 517

3. Kurt Warner ARI 491

5. Joe Flacco BAL 296

Will the total combined postseason points scored by AFC teams be greater than the total combined postseason points scored by NFC teams?

174 = NFC

168 = AFC

Will at least 40 DIFFERENT players score a touchdown in the postseason?

18 = Wild Card Weekend

12 = Divisional Weekend

Will there be at least one game in which the LOSING team scores 30 or more points?

TBD

Will there be at least one game in which the winning team turns the ball over 4 or more times?

TBD

Will there be at least three games in which the team that wins was behind at halftime?

1 = Atlanta @ Arizona (17-14 half)

Will there be at least three successful two-point conversions in the postseason?

0 = Wild Card Weekend

0 = Divisional Weekend

Questions that, most likely, need to wait for the conclusion of the Superbowl to be determined:

Will the AFC team win the Super Bowl?

TBD

Will the TOTAL number of points scored in the Super Bowl be greater than the number of points scored by the WINNING TEAM in the BCS National Championship Game?

24 - Florida Alligators

Will there be at least one player who rushes for 100 or more yards during the Super Bowl game

TBD

Will there be at least one player who has 100 or more receiving yards during the Super Bowl game

TBD

Will there be at least one player who has 250 or more passing yards during the Super Bowl game

TBD

Will there be more field goals than touchdowns in the Super Bowl game?

TBD

Will the team that scores LAST in the Super Bowl be the team that wins the Super Bowl?

TBD

Will there be at least one quarter in the Super Bowl in which no points are scored by either team

TBD

Will there be a rushing TD of 10 yards or longer in the Super Bowl?

TBD

Will there be a passing TD of 25 yards or longer in the Super Bowl?

TBD

 

[Doug Drinen]

Bump.

And also a heads-up that I added some language to the rules page about how we will handle a potential tie on questions 15, 16, and 17 (Will the overall postseason [rushing/receiving/passing] leader come from an AFC team?)

 

[Doug Drinen]

A few things updated.

 

[Mario Kart]

****UPDATED****

with Conference games completed

Questions that have been determined:

Answers from Wild Card Weekend:

Will at least three games in the wildcard round be won by the visiting teams?

No - Answer = 2 (Baltimore beat Miami 27-9 and Philadelphia beat Minnesota 26-14) on the road.

Will there be at least one safety in the postseason?

Yes - Answer = Wild Card Weekend. Matt Ryan was sacked in the endzone.

Will there be at least one made field goal of 51 yards or longer in the postseason?

Yes - Answer = Akers vs. Minnesota in the Wild Card.

Answers from Divisional Playoff Weekend:

Will Reggie Wayne have more total postseason receiving yards than Steve Smith (of the Panthers)?

129 = Wayne

43 = Smith

Yes

Will Kerry Collins have more total postseason passing TDs than Kurt Warner?

4 = Warner ()

0 = Collins

No

Will Chris Johnson and LenDale White score more total combined postseason TDs than DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart?

1 = Johnson/White

1 = Williams/Stewart

No

Will all four games in the divisional round be won by the home team?

No

Will at least three postseason games be won by teams from the AFC South?

No

Will Peyton Manning have more total postseason passing yards than Eli Manning?

310 = Peyton Manning (DONE)

169 = Eli Manning (vs. Philadelphia)

Yes

Will Michael Turner have more total postseason rushing yards than Brandon Jacobs?

42 = Turner's rushing

92 = Jacobs rushing

No

Will at least one team that plays in the wildcard round play in the Super Bowl?

Philadelphia, Arizona

Yes

Answers after the Conference Championships:

Will Larry Fitzgerald have more total postseason receiving yards than Santonio Holmes?

419 = Fitzgerald

95 = Holmes

Yes

Will there be at least one player who has 300 or more total receiving yards in the postseason?

1. Larry Fitzgerald ARI 419

Yes

Will both championship round games be won by the home team?

Arizona and Pittsburgh

Yes

Will the overall postseason receiving yardage leader come from an AFC team?

1. Larry Fitzgerald ARI 419+

No

Will the overall postseason passing yardage leader come from an AFC team?

1. Donovan McNabb PHI 892

2. Kurt Warner ARI 770

5. Ben Roethlisberger PIT 436

No

Will there be at least three games in which the team that wins was behind at halftime?

1 = Atlanta @ Arizona (17-14 half)

No

Questions that have a running total for its determination but may need to wait for the Super Bowl conclusion(for now):

Will the Cardinals allow more total points in the postseason than the Steelers?

62 = Arizona

38 = Pittsburgh

Will there be at least one player who has 300 or more total rushing yards in the postseason?

1. Edgerrin James ARI 203

2. Willie Parker PIT 193

Questions that, most likely, need to wait for the conclusion of the Super Bowl to be determined:

Will the overall postseason rushing yardage leader come from an AFC team?

1. Edgerrin James ARI 203

2. Willie Parker PIT 193

Will the total combined postseason points scored by AFC teams be greater than the total combined postseason points scored by NFC teams?

231 = NFC

205 = AFC

Will at least 40 DIFFERENT players score a touchdown in the postseason?

18 = Wild Card Weekend

12 = Divisional Weekend

Will there be at least one game in which the LOSING team scores 30 or more points?

TBD

Will there be at least one game in which the winning team turns the ball over 4 or more times?

TBD

Will there be at least three successful two-point conversions in the postseason?

0 = Wild Card Weekend

0 = Divisional Weekend

1 = Conference Championships

Questions that, most likely, need to wait for the conclusion of the Superbowl to be determined:

Will the AFC team win the Super Bowl?

TBD

Will the TOTAL number of points scored in the Super Bowl be greater than the number of points scored by the WINNING TEAM in the BCS National Championship Game?

24 - Florida Alligators

Will there be at least one player who rushes for 100 or more yards during the Super Bowl game

TBD

Will there be at least one player who has 100 or more receiving yards during the Super Bowl game

TBD

Will there be at least one player who has 250 or more passing yards during the Super Bowl game

TBD

Will there be more field goals than touchdowns in the Super Bowl game?

TBD

Will the team that scores LAST in the Super Bowl be the team that wins the Super Bowl?

TBD

Will there be at least one quarter in the Super Bowl in which no points are scored by either team

TBD

Will there be a rushing TD of 10 yards or longer in the Super Bowl?

TBD

Will there be a passing TD of 25 yards or longer in the Super Bowl?

TBD

 

[Favre'sTheMan]

Excellent contest for the playoffs! Neat idea....even though I'm about 2700th in the standings!