lod001 may have a few of the details wrong, but in broad strokes, I believe his take is more closely aligned with the smart money than yours is.
Trump's chances of reelection are about at their historical peak right now:
https://electionbettingodds.com/
You've expressed your opinion that Trump's victory will be temporary, and that after he's acquitted, that's when public backlash will set in. I appreciate this viewpoint because it's sensible, it aligns with my own hopes, and it appears to be based on your own analysis rather than a repeated talking point taken from elsewhere. This board is at its best when people offer their own original analyses.
But as much as I appreciate your prediction, it appears to be a minority take based on how the betting markets are reacting.
I predict that your reply will be: "Just wait.
After the acquittal, that's when the polls and the betting markets will adjust to reflect public disappointment."
While it's possible that such a reply will ultimately prove accurate, it's not really possible that it represents the majority view. Unlike polls, that's not how markets work.
Somebody without inside information might predict that Microsoft's stock will go up by 5%+ a month from now, but that can't be the majority view. If people generally thought that it would go up in a month, it would go up right now instead (because people would seek to buy it
before it goes up). There are no predictable delays in price movements. The current price is the best estimation of any future price.
So when the prediction markets are saying, right now, that Trump's chances for reelection are favorable, they are necessarily also saying that, to the best approximation, they will also be favorable in March, and in August, and in November.
Maybe you are right and the prediction markets are wrong. I hope so. But
your viewpoint is not representative of the majority.