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Week 15 who should I start thread **OFFICIAL** (1 Viewer)

Chaka

Chaka

Footballguy
SUPER DEEP CRUNCH TIME EDITION!

This is where we ask questions and offer help. And thank you to all of the posters who come here to offer that help.

A couple notes:

I attempt to give well considered responses to all questions posted.

1) This only works if people participate. If you ask for help it is good form to offer help to someone else.

2) It helps if you post the matchup. e.g. Mayfield vs Den or Matt Ryan @ Mia

3) Please post important league scoring considerations (e.g. PPR, super-flex etc).

4) Please go easy on the nicknames, save that for other threads. We can't help if we don't know who you are talking about.

View this as an exercise to help focus your thoughts about teams in general. Players you own may not be involved in these WDIS questions but certainly you will own players on many of these teams. Analyzing other players will help you identify things you may have otherwise not considered.

 
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As always I post my weekly and season long results for H-2-H decisions. It's merely the raw results based upon my personal league scoring (full PPR, 1 pt/15 yds rush/receive, 1 pt 50 yards passing). And, as always, I post results from the same H-2-H calls based on a random coin toss.

Last week I went 27-8-1  :eek:  and the random coin toss went 19-17-1

On the season I am 204-157-19 and the coin toss is 183-179-19

On to this week!

 
Okay I'll start because, wow this may be my toughest week on the season (bold are in my lineup ATM).

Full PPR

1) RB 2: J.Jacobs @ Cleveland on Saturday

Donta Foreman @ Pittsburgh

Rashaad Penny @ Los Angeles Rams

Javonte Williams v Cincinnati 

2) WR2: Mike Williams (Questionable) v Kansas City

Odell Beckham Jr. v Seattle

Darnell Mooney v Vikings

3) FLEX: whoever I don't select for RB2 or WR2?

The long version:

J.Jacobs - If you haven't been following him closely he appears to be a disappointment but, since their week eight bye the Raiders are 1-5 HOWEVER over that span Jacobs is getting 18 opportunities, he has 30 receptions (35 targets). He has a TD in 2 of 5 games and is the #16 RB in my league (ppg) over that span.  

Penny - The Texans ain't the Rams that's for sure. But Carroll just gave keys to Penny RoS (yes, yes, yes injuries.  We all know about that, but he's healthy this week...so far). One factor I did not consider until today is the Seahawks didn't pick up Penny's fifth year option so he's playing for a contract.  When healthy this kid always seems to flash.  Dude has only had four career games with 12 or more carries but he has a TD in each one and has gone 16-137, 15-74 (4 receptions for 33 & another TD), 14-129 & 12-108.

M.Williams - No one was higher on this guy than me and technically he has been a mid-WR2 all year (21st in ppg in my 12 team league) and I have rolled him out reliably all season based upon the notion that I can withstand a dud from him to reap the benefits of his huge games.  But since week 9 he is WR37 in my league and had one big game, that he salvaged with a 53 yard TD at 2:09 left in the 4th.  He's dinged up and on a short week and his target numbers have dropped from 9/game weeks 1-8 to 6/game weeks 9-14 and he only got 6 targets with Keenan out of the lineup this week.

Mooney - Not really considering him. It's a fine matchup but after Sunday night how can we possibly rely on him? 19 yard catch on the first drive then four mostly bad targets the rest of the way.

 
BobbyLayne said:
Smart money is on the coin toss 
Click to expand...
You're not wrong.

My week-over-week correct call % since Week 3:

58.6%
41.2%
58.5%
41.9%
55.2%
40.8%
68.0%
39.1%
79.3%
50.0%
40.0%
75.0%
I'm definitely alternating weeks.

Coin Toss:

41.4%
41.2%
41.5%
54.8%
51.7%
51.0%
60.0%
43.5%
55.2%
33.3%
50.0%
51.4%

I'm 7-4-1 against the coin toss on the season.
 

 
Probably decides who gets the #1 seed in my league, half PPR, need a WR/RB/flex:

  • Stevenson @ Colts (Saturday)
  • Dillon @ Ravens
  • Gallup @ Giants
  • Parker vs Jets
  • McLaurin @ Eagles (if available)
I could switch CPatt from WR to RB if neither Stevenson or Dillon look appealing but I doubt I want to do that. Suppose a lot depends on Damien Harris?

 
OK Serious Business

Need one Flex from the infirmary:

Carter @ MIA

McKissic @ PHI

Pollard @ NYG

Swift v ARI

are you sensing a pattern yet?

Herbert v MIN (MNF)

he does return Kickoffs so won’t be a zero

Hock v ARI 

no idea on his status either, using Freiermuth at TE

Sutton v CIN

not sure why he is still rostered, averaging less than 3.50 his last 7

TO THE WW WE GO!!

Penny

Bateman

(don’t get too excited, I have $1 FABB left)

Freeman @ JAX

Malcolm Brown v NYJ

Craig Reynolds (or Josh Reynolds) v ARI

Gabe Davis v CAR

Allen Lizard (Lizzard?) @ BAL

Cousin Sal who used to be a wingback st Butler

Thank you for attending my Ted Talk

 
Playoff time for me! 

Trying to decide who to start in my WR2 and Flex in a 0.5 PPR league. Dalvin Cook, David Montgomery and Cooper Kupp are locked in at my other RB/WR Spots. 

Need 1 WR and 1 Flex:  

DJ Moore at Buffalo

Michael Pittman vs NE

Damian Harris at Indy

Donta Foreman at Pittsburgh

Michael Carter at Miami

 
titusbramble said:
Probably decides who gets the #1 seed in my league, half PPR, need a WR/RB/flex:

  • Stevenson @ Colts (Saturday)
  • Dillon @ Ravens
  • Gallup @ Giants
  • Parker vs Jets
  • McLaurin @ Eagles (if available)
I could switch CPatt from WR to RB if neither Stevenson or Dillon look appealing but I doubt I want to do that. Suppose a lot depends on Damien Harris?
Click to expand...
Interesting calls all around.  I think if Damien Harris is out Stevenson is the smart play.  I doubt the Patriots try to run the ball 46 times again but running is clearly what this team was designed to do and you should lean into that.

If Harris plays Stevenson still may be your best option but your other options are so close it is very likely The Field wins no matter who you choose.

If Lamar is out the Ravens will have trouble keeping up with the Packers. But they had a tough time keeping up with the Browns and they only managed 100 rush yards on 29 carries.  I like Dillon a lot but I am not prepared to say he is as good as Chubb. Dillon has been getting plenty of work over his last five games (18.4 opps/game) and it really looks like the Pack is trying to keep A.Jones on a snap count, but that may change.  Still even if all those opportunities continue Dillon is only averaging just under 4.1 ypc over his last 70+ carries (10 yards/reception on 17 catches is nice) with a TD in two of five games. 

I am impressed that Gallup got nine targets last week even with CeeDee & Amari healthy.  He's averaging 8 targets/game over his last five (9 over his last 4). I wish Dak was playing better though, not sure how Dallas only managed one offensive TD last week.  It's a great matchup but also definitely has the potential to be a run based attack for significant portions even with a diminished Zeke.

I really like Parker as a player and with the entire Mia backfield in Covid protocol there is such an opportunity for him against the Jets in Miami. I think he has a reasonable floor and really big upside but he hasn't been on the field enough to have any confidence in any sort of prediction about his usage or production.

McLaurin is a great player but he hasn't been the target sponge that we have seen in past seasons.  Over his last six full games he averages 7.7 targets/game (including a 12 target effort in week 7, which is forever ago IMO).  Over his last five full games it's 6.8 targets/game.  The upside is always there but with a healthy Gibson (and likely McKissic) along with a dinged up Heinicke I think he presents more risk than your other options.

Stevenson>>>The Field if Harris is out

If Harris plays

Stevenson>Parker>Gallup>Dillon>McLaurin

 
BobbyLayne said:
OK Serious Business

Need one Flex from the infirmary:

Carter @ MIA

McKissic @ PHI

Pollard @ NYG

Swift v ARI

are you sensing a pattern yet?

Herbert v MIN (MNF)

he does return Kickoffs so won’t be a zero

Hock v ARI 

no idea on his status either, using Freiermuth at TE

Sutton v CIN

not sure why he is still rostered, averaging less than 3.50 his last 7

TO THE WW WE GO!!

Penny

Bateman

(don’t get too excited, I have $1 FABB left)

Freeman @ JAX

Malcolm Brown v NYJ

Craig Reynolds (or Josh Reynolds) v ARI

Gabe Davis v CAR

Allen Lizard (Lizzard?) @ BAL

Cousin Sal who used to be a wingback st Butler

Thank you for attending my Ted Talk
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PPR? I think it is but I don't have your league configuration memorized. 

Regardless of PPR if Swift plays you have to play him.  Campbell seems to be one of those coaches who abuses the heck out of his lead back.

If Swift is out...I like Penny regardless of scoring configuration. He can't face the Texans every week but he definitely brings something to the table that no other Seattle RB does (including Carson IMO).  He has been given the keys by Carroll, is healthy this week (for now) and is playing for a contract.  It's a tough matchup but Seattle arguably has the best WR duo in the league and with Lockett & Russ doing what they do with the deep passing game the Rams won't be able to stack the box.

McKissic is an option in PPR formats but I like him less with an injured Heinicke and we don't have an update on his status yet.

Hock is a solid option as well but, again, we don't know where he is at this week.

I can't recommend Carter on the road coming off an injury against a surging Miami defense coming off a bye.

Pollard is another good choice but if the Cowboys start rolling the Giants he may get more rest, that is if he plays at all.

Swift>Penny>Hock>Carter>Pollard>McKissic

 
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Timmay said:
Playoff time for me! 

Trying to decide who to start in my WR2 and Flex in a 0.5 PPR league. Dalvin Cook, David Montgomery and Cooper Kupp are locked in at my other RB/WR Spots. 

Need 1 WR and 1 Flex:  

DJ Moore at Buffalo

Michael Pittman vs NE

Damian Harris at Indy

Donta Foreman at Pittsburgh

Michael Carter at Miami
Click to expand...
I like Pittman over the field here.  It's a brutal matchup but he's your best player IMO.

DJ hasn't had fewer than 7 targets in any game this season, that's really significant.  But he's dinged up and it's a brutal road matchup with two inconsistent QBs.

Can we trust Harris's hamstring? After seeing him pull up lame untouched against Buffalo when he tried to play through it, I am skeptical.

Foreman is the clear lead back in Tennessee but he's a plodder and this is exactly the kind of game Pittsburgh rises to the occasion for.  They are one of the best playing with their backs against the wall.

Michael Carter on the road, coming off an injury against a surging Miami defense coming off a bye. I have no idea what to think of him this week.  I almost picked him up off my wire last night but opted for OBJ instead FWIW.

Pittman>DJ>Foreman>Carter/Harris

IF there are amazing reports with nothing but full participation in practice this week for Harris you can consider bumping him above DJ but...even with the bye watching him pull up lame gave me serious concern.

 
Chaka said:
PPR? I think it is but I don't have your league configuration memorized. 

Regardless of PPR if Swift plays you have to play him.  Campbell seems to be one of those coaches who abuses the heck out of his lead back.

If Swift is out...I like Penny regardless of scoring configuration. He can't fact the Texans every week but he definitely brings something to the table that no other Seattle RB does (including Carson IMO).  He has been given the keys by Carroll, is healthy this week (for now) and is playing for a contract.  It's a tough matchup but Seattle arguably has the best WR duo in the league and with Lockett & Russ doing what they do with the deep passing game the Rams won't be able to stack the box.

McKissic is an option in PPR formats but I like him less with an injured Heinicke and we don't have an update on his status yet.

Hock is a solid option as well but, again, we don't know where he is at this week.

I can't recommend Carter on the road coming off an injury against a surging Miami defense coming off a bye.

Pollard is another good choice but if the Cowboys start rolling the Giants he may get more rest, that is if he plays at all.

Swift>Penny>Hock>Carter>Pollard>McKissic
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sorry Full PPR 

appreciate the sanity check, that’s pretty much what I had 

 
PPR and return yards

Last Flex spot

Aiyuk vs. ATL

Pittman vs. NE

McCloud vs TEN

I lean toward Aiyuk and a nice matchup with ATL, though SF always makes me nervous.  Pittman is the number 1, but NE may be able to shut him down.  McCloud has been more involved in the passing game the past few weeks and given me some decent performances with the return yards and has a nice matchup, but, ya know, he's Ray Ray McCloud...

 
Dak or Taysom?

Harris, Javonte, Penny, or Swift (if he plays)?

std format

 
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Long Ball Larry said:
PPR and return yards

Last Flex spot

Aiyuk vs. ATL

Pittman vs. NE

McCloud vs TEN

I lean toward Aiyuk and a nice matchup with ATL, though SF always makes me nervous.  Pittman is the number 1, but NE may be able to shut him down.  McCloud has been more involved in the passing game the past few weeks and given me some decent performances with the return yards and has a nice matchup, but, ya know, he's Ray Ray McCloud...
Click to expand...


I like aiyuk here and im a proud pitty city owner. I think NE shuts him down.

 
Long Ball Larry said:
PPR and return yards

Last Flex spot

Aiyuk vs. ATL

Pittman vs. NE

McCloud vs TEN

I lean toward Aiyuk and a nice matchup with ATL, though SF always makes me nervous.  Pittman is the number 1, but NE may be able to shut him down.  McCloud has been more involved in the passing game the past few weeks and given me some decent performances with the return yards and has a nice matchup, but, ya know, he's Ray Ray McCloud...
Click to expand...
The Highlander? Dude there can be only one.  :brush:

Normally I would say Pittman but you have to question anyone when facing the Patriots.  Aiyuk has finally seemed to turn the corner on this season, particularly with Deebo spending so much time in the backfield, and he has been very close to Pittman's numbers since week 8, but Pittman has still been slightly better.

It's a close one but

Aiyuk>Pittman this is a really tough call so go with your gut here.

 
-jb- said:
Dak or Taysom?

Harris, Javonte, Penny, or Swift (if he plays)?

std format
Click to expand...
Man it's tough to bench Taysom at this point. His running really makes it a difficult call.  But the Bucs aren't the Jets. Taysom has started 6 games at QB and averages 182 yards passing with 79 yards rushing.  He has six rushing TDs and six passing TDs in those six games (interestingly he has not had a game with a passing TD & a rushing TD in those starts. It's either two passing or two rushing TDs).  He's faced only one tough opponent in those games, Dallas this season and he threw four picks in that one.

The Giants are a mess and my guess is Jones is going to miss another game (if not RoS) so the Dallas D should feast. What does that mean for the offense though? Lots of running even with a Zeke in decline? Or do the Cowboys just unleash the passing game for 50-54 minutes before grinding out the win? Yeah, it's tough to put a finger on.

This is really a toss up I think I lean Taysom>Dak but that could easily change multiple times before kickoff.

I think you are obligated to roll Swift out if he plays.  Dan Campbell is right up there with Vrabel, Rhule & Zimmer when it comes to abusing his lead back.  Swift may get hurt but you can't ignore a guy who may get 30 opportunities.

If Swift is out it comes down to Javonte & Penny for me.  Penny is healthy for now and has performed very well in the five healthy games he has played in his entire career, but there's the rub, will he hold up?  Who knows.  It's also a tough matchup.

Javonte also has a tough matchup, on paper, and he has a vulture in the backfield with him.  Seriously how did Gordon get 24 opportunities to 17 for Javonte last week? But he's at home and regardless of Gordon he should be in line for about 15 opportunities and he has looked special enough to make something happen with that volume.

Harris is a consideration for me only if he has full practices every day this week, even then he's in a timeshare and isn't nearly as talented as Javonte.

Swift>Javonte>Penny>Harris  I could see flip-flopping on Penny/Javonte this week.

 
thx @Chaka. you and @BobbyLayne seem way higher on swift than I was expecting folks to be. I still get the feeling he doesn't play, but bobby is super on top of the Honolulu blue, so I trust his take there. it's so hard to bench Javonte......

 
-jb- said:
thx @Chaka. you and @BobbyLayne seem way higher on swift than I was expecting folks to be. I still get the feeling he doesn't play, but bobby is super on top of the Honolulu blue, so I trust his take there. it's so hard to bench Javonte......
Click to expand...
I prefer Javonte as a player but D'Andre seems to have a better chance to get 18-20+ opportunities and he has performed well enough to make him a viable option.

With that said Javonte looks like a legitimate stud RB in the making, and he has a solid shot at 15 opportunities. If your gut tells you to roll him out then I think you should go with your gut.

 
Chaka said:
Okay I'll start because, wow this may be my toughest week on the season (bold are in my lineup ATM).

Full PPR

1) RB 2: J.Jacobs @ Cleveland on Saturday

Donta Foreman @ Pittsburgh

Rashaad Penny @ Los Angeles Rams

Javonte Williams v Cincinnati 

2) WR2: Mike Williams (Questionable) v Kansas City

Odell Beckham Jr. v Seattle

Darnell Mooney v Vikings

3) FLEX: whoever I don't select for RB2 or WR2?

The long version:

J.Jacobs - If you haven't been following him closely he appears to be a disappointment but, since their week eight bye the Raiders are 1-5 HOWEVER over that span Jacobs is getting 18 opportunities, he has 30 receptions (35 targets). He has a TD in 2 of 5 games and is the #16 RB in my league (ppg) over that span.  

Penny - The Texans ain't the Rams that's for sure. But Carroll just gave keys to Penny RoS (yes, yes, yes injuries.  We all know about that, but he's healthy this week...so far). One factor I did not consider until today is the Seahawks didn't pick up Penny's fifth year option so he's playing for a contract.  When healthy this kid always seems to flash.  Dude has only had four career games with 12 or more carries but he has a TD in each one and has gone 16-137, 15-74 (4 receptions for 33 & another TD), 14-129 & 12-108.

M.Williams - No one was higher on this guy than me and technically he has been a mid-WR2 all year (21st in ppg in my 12 team league) and I have rolled him out reliably all season based upon the notion that I can withstand a dud from him to reap the benefits of his huge games.  But since week 9 he is WR37 in my league and had one big game, that he salvaged with a 53 yard TD at 2:09 left in the 4th.  He's dinged up and on a short week and his target numbers have dropped from 9/game weeks 1-8 to 6/game weeks 9-14 and he only got 6 targets with Keenan out of the lineup this week.

Mooney - Not really considering him. It's a fine matchup but after Sunday night how can we possibly rely on him? 19 yard catch on the first drive then four mostly bad targets the rest of the way.
Click to expand...
Looks like OBJ just made this decision a whole lot easier.

Penny @ Rams

or

J.Jacobs @ Cleveland

Right now have Penny penciled into my lineup.

 
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Greenbay or Arizona defense?  Have AZ In but man, our league gives 2pts per sack and Ravens have been very generous this year leading the league with 3.6/ game.  So that's a base of like 8 points to start. -- but AZ @ Det is appealing.

And in standard, if McLaurin is out,   KJ Osborn @ CHI or D. Parker vs Jets? 

 
JIslander said:
Greenbay or Arizona defense?  Have AZ In but man, our league gives 2pts per sack and Ravens have been very generous this year leading the league with 3.6/ game.  So that's a base of like 8 points to start. -- but AZ @ Det is appealing.

And in standard, if McLaurin is out,   KJ Osborn @ CHI or D. Parker vs Jets? 
Click to expand...
I’d go with ARI & KJO

monitor Detroit’s injury report 

GB has a really good matchup, the Ravens have been so dysfunctional since the MIA game

If Hock & Swift are back this week I’d be tempted to switch the DT

 
Week 15, in the playoffs, 12 team league, 1 ppr, standard scoring.

Even though my team has sustained key injuries, and I have managed to pick the wrong QB to start almost every week, I still managed to back into the playoffs.  That being said, I need a homerun at QB, clearly I cannot be trusted to make this selection myself.

So...WDIS?

Cousins at Chicago. Cousins did not have a good game last week, but still managed to throw for 2 TD's and scored 18.2 FF points.  The Chicago D is ranked pretty low for this matchup.

Wilson at LAR.  Wilson has been improving every week since he returned from his finger injury.  But he has struggled in the past against the Rams, who are home, and coming off of a  big win against Arizona.

Prescott at NYG. Prescott has been awful the last 2 outings,  scoring only 14 FF points in each of his last 2 matches.  Prescott has been up and down all season, not sure how much I trust him at this point, although I think he has the highest ceiling, could be a boom/bust play.

WDIS Cousins, Wilson, or Prescott this week? 

 
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BobbyLayne said:
OK Serious Business

Need one Flex from the infirmary:

Carter @ MIA

McKissic @ PHI

Pollard @ NYG

Swift v ARI

are you sensing a pattern yet?

Herbert v MIN (MNF)

he does return Kickoffs so won’t be a zero

Hock v ARI 

no idea on his status either, using Freiermuth at TE

Sutton v CIN

not sure why he is still rostered, averaging less than 3.50 his last 7

TO THE WW WE GO!!

Penny

Bateman

(don’t get too excited, I have $1 FABB left)

Freeman @ JAX

Malcolm Brown v NYJ

Craig Reynolds (or Josh Reynolds) v ARI

Gabe Davis v CAR

Allen Lizard (Lizzard?) @ BAL

Cousin Sal who used to be a wingback st Butler

Thank you for attending my Ted Talk
Click to expand...


Chaka said:
PPR? I think it is but I don't have your league configuration memorized. 

Regardless of PPR if Swift plays you have to play him.  Campbell seems to be one of those coaches who abuses the heck out of his lead back.

If Swift is out...I like Penny regardless of scoring configuration. He can't face the Texans every week but he definitely brings something to the table that no other Seattle RB does (including Carson IMO).  He has been given the keys by Carroll, is healthy this week (for now) and is playing for a contract.  It's a tough matchup but Seattle arguably has the best WR duo in the league and with Lockett & Russ doing what they do with the deep passing game the Rams won't be able to stack the box.

McKissic is an option in PPR formats but I like him less with an injured Heinicke and we don't have an update on his status yet.

Hock is a solid option as well but, again, we don't know where he is at this week.

I can't recommend Carter on the road coming off an injury against a surging Miami defense coming off a bye.

Pollard is another good choice but if the Cowboys start rolling the Giants he may get more rest, that is if he plays at all.

Swift>Penny>Hock>Carter>Pollard>McKissic
Click to expand...
Swapped Igwebuike for Netflix Reynolds and dropped Herbert for Bateman (my last dollar of FABB was enough)

______________

Flexing Bateman

will see which of the 5 OUT players is active Werk 15 

(Carter-McKissic-Pollard-Swift or Hock)

_____________

Playoffs are such a crap shoot. Need good timing, stuff beyond your control. Hope your guys are peaking AND that you avoid any buzz saw teams or 45 point explosions.

I’ve had dominant teams just crap out and go LL, 4th place. I’ve had 6-loss teams barely get in the last playoff spot, and then run the table with B2B blowouts. 

Sometimes you get every call right - optimal lineup, max points - and you lose. Especially in years like 2021, when I know I’m stacked and clearly have the best team, it can be super frustrating if it doesn’t work out. Yet I know, at least intellectually, it all evens out. I look back on 25 years of FF Championships and essentially it’s been roughly 1/3rd dominant teams,  1/3 Cinderella underdogs, and 1/3rd coin flips.

Anyway, good luck to everyone this weekend and the next 2-3 weeks. I hope that regardless of outcome (coin flips), you will feel like your process was as good as it could be.

 
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Chaka said:
I like Pittman over the field here.  It's a brutal matchup but he's your best player IMO.

DJ hasn't had fewer than 7 targets in any game this season, that's really significant.  But he's dinged up and it's a brutal road matchup with two inconsistent QBs.

Can we trust Harris's hamstring? After seeing him pull up lame untouched against Buffalo when he tried to play through it, I am skeptical.

Foreman is the clear lead back in Tennessee but he's a plodder and this is exactly the kind of game Pittsburgh rises to the occasion for.  They are one of the best playing with their backs against the wall.

Michael Carter on the road, coming off an injury against a surging Miami defense coming off a bye. I have no idea what to think of him this week.  I almost picked him up off my wire last night but opted for OBJ instead FWIW.

Pittman>DJ>Foreman>Carter/Harris

IF there are amazing reports with nothing but full participation in practice this week for Harris you can consider bumping him above DJ but...even with the bye watching him pull up lame gave me serious concern.
Click to expand...


Thanks Chaka. I was able to pickup Rashaad Penny off WW. Does that change anything? 

 
RB2 decision, Non-Ppr pick one of :

Sony Michel, Royce Freeman, Malcom Brown, 

WR3 decision, Non-Ppr pick one of:

Russel Gage, Allen Robinson, KJ Osborn, AJ Green, Robby Anderson

 
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Win or go fishing. Decimal scoring. 1 ppr.

Need TWO of the following:

                                                M.Gordon vs Cinn

                                                D.Parker vs NYJ

                                                S.Shepard vs Dall

                                                C.Kirk @ Det

                                                N.Fant vs Cinn

 
C-Bound said:
Green, G. Davis, Lazard, or Bateman?  PPR
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Such a pick 'em situation but, assuming you are talking about AJ Green I think I roll him out there first.  Hopkins is gimpy, again, and AJ is looking like a decent floor option with good upside. All those others have lower floors, IMO, and around the same upside.

AJ Green>G.Davis>Lazard>>Bateman

 
Runnyb said:
Chuba Hubard or Abdullah? Coin toss it seems. PPR.
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It is a coin toss I guess. I guess Abdullah is the receiving back and they have a super difficult roadie this week so I would say Ameer probably is the right play. 

Abdullah>Hubbard man if this were a premier backfield the nickname "Hubba-Dubba" would rule.

 
JIslander said:
Greenbay or Arizona defense?  Have AZ In but man, our league gives 2pts per sack and Ravens have been very generous this year leading the league with 3.6/ game.  So that's a base of like 8 points to start. -- but AZ @ Det is appealing.

And in standard, if McLaurin is out,   KJ Osborn @ CHI or D. Parker vs Jets? 
Click to expand...
Close call with the defenses indeed, particularly if Lamar is out.  But Arizona also has a nice matchup in theory too.  Although Detroit doesn't actually yield a ton of points to fantasy defenses. Baltimore gives up more sacks and picks (although that 4 pick game by Lamar feels like an aberration, Detroit gains far fewer yards and scores far fewer points. GB and Ari are virtually identical in yardage and points yielded (Ari has the slightest edge in both) and they each have a combined 50 sacks+INT+Forced Fumbles

It's a tossup really by any measure.  Go with your gut.  I think I roll

Ari>GB but that is based upon nothing.

If Thielen is out then I definitely roll with KJ>Davante

If Thielen plays then Davante has a clearer path to 8+ targets IMO

 
MissionCoach said:
Week 15, in the playoffs, 12 team league, 1 ppr, standard scoring.

Even though my team has sustained key injuries, and I have managed to pick the wrong QB to start almost every week, I still managed to back into the playoffs.  That being said, I need a homerun at QB, clearly I cannot be trusted to make this selection myself.

So...WDIS?

Cousins at Chicago. Cousins did not have a good game last week, but still managed to throw for 2 TD's and scored 18.2 FF points.  The Chicago D is ranked pretty low for this matchup.

Wilson at LAR.  Wilson has been improving every week since he returned from his finger injury.  But he has struggled in the past against the Rams, who are home, and coming off of a  big win against Arizona.

Prescott at NYG. Prescott has been awful the last 2 outings,  scoring only 14 FF points in each of his last 2 matches.  Prescott has been up and down all season, not sure how much I trust him at this point, although I think he has the highest ceiling, could be a boom/bust play.

WDIS Cousins, Wilson, or Prescott this week? 
Click to expand...
Champagne problems.

My instinct is to roll with Wilson.  His finger finally seems to be better, he's hitting Lockett deep on the regular again (seriously that is the best deep ball combo in the league), they arguably have the best WR 1-2 in the league (Minn & Dallas are in that conversation too) and they may actually have enough of a running game to help keep an extra man in the box.  But the running game is probably not so good as to take over a game and limit Russ, unlike Cousins.  The Rams appear to be riddled with The Vid which will disrupt their week to some unquantifiable degree but they are good enough to still win this game which means Seattle is unlikely to be salting away a victory in the 3rd quarter, which I expect Dallas to be doing.

Wilson>Cousins>Dak  But really you are probably fine with any of these guys.

 
Timmay said:
Thanks Chaka. I was able to pickup Rashaad Penny off WW. Does that change anything? 
Click to expand...
Penny is a guy a lot of us are going to be struggling with this week.  He has a prime opportunity, the Rams are diminished due to The Vid and he's playing for a contract.

If you need a real upside gamble I can absolutely see rolling him out there above DJ, Harris or Carter.  But if you want to go with the safer floor I stand by DJ.  It's all about your risk tolerance.

If it was my team, and I am not 100% that I would do this, I think I roll Penny>DJ 

 
poye said:
RB2 decision, Non-Ppr pick one of :

Sony Michel, Royce Freeman, Malcom Brown, 

WR3 decision, Non-Ppr pick one of:

Russel Gage, Allen Robinson, KJ Osborn, AJ Green, Robby Anderson
Click to expand...
Do we have any reason to think Henderson won't be back this week?  Assuming Henderson is back

If Gaskin is out Brown>Freeman>Michel

If Gaskin plays Freeman>Brown>Michel

If Henderson is out Michel>>the other two

For your WR if Thielen is out 

KJ>Gage>AJ>Anderson>Robinson

If Thielen plays

Gage>AJ>KJ>Anderson>Robinson

I won't chase points with the Carolina offense in such a difficult road matchup and Robinson has done nothing to warrant consideration all season.  This may finally be his week but how many times does a guy gotta hurt you before you cut bait?

 
Rubi said:
Win or go fishing. Decimal scoring. 1 ppr.

Need TWO of the following:

                                                M.Gordon vs Cinn

                                                D.Parker vs NYJ

                                                S.Shepard vs Dall

                                                C.Kirk @ Det

                                                N.Fant vs Cinn
Click to expand...
Gordon & Parker seem pretty clear to me.

They are the ones with the clearest path to opportunities by a wide margin IMO.

Shepard may be a consideration but with Glennon at QB and that defense harassing him all day I don't like any Giants this week.

 
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