I got pick 1.8 in a big FFPC Main Event and when I saw I had that pick I was happy with it but only if nothing impacted one of my, and generally speaking almost majority consensus, top 8 picks did not have an injury or something go awry. Something went awry.
I still took Chase at 8 anyway.
It's risky as hell and even in a contest with a 12 week regular season I'm not really overly concerned about week 1 or 2, just need everything to be cool in few weeks.
Now, I will say that despite taking the plunge I have been telling friends of mine for the past few weeks that Chase's holdout had the perfect ingredients to get volatile. Fact he's the last guy with an issue is making me right already and I don't want to be right.
The perfect ingredients are that in Chase you have a player who sat out a year of college under the guise of COVID. That just tells you he's not wanting to take risk with his future payday as well as possibly indicating he's not so in love with the game that he just wants to play no matter what. I also recall last season he was imploring Burrow to sit with his early season calf injury, saying even if he missed 5 games over it. He may not have been wrong but again to me it was a sign that he's thinking missing a few games is just not a big deal in the big picture scheme. Lastly his contract is way less then Aiyuks and Lamb's 5 year year options they were playing on before their extensions, as such missing games is a fairly trivial loss of income for him. I think he could play enough to accrue a full season, which is 6 games, and only be out less then $2M.
And then to top this off you got Mike Brown, who I don't think is as cheap as people portray him, and he wants to pay Chase, but he's no doubt probably the most stubborn owner in the NFL. He'll let you sit and rot and if you want a trade or are holding out. Obviously Burrow has a ton of sway, but Mike Brown has seen players come and seen players go and he just has shown he won't be steam rolled.
So yeah, I'm nervous, lol.
That's bold man. I have to imagine at least one of ARSB, AJ or JJ (maybe Jonathan Taylor?) were available at 1.08. What was your logic for Chase over whoever was remaining?
I picked Chase on 1.09. The night of our draft was a Tuesday, the day that Chase showed up for practice for the first time, and the day before he stopped practicing again. I was deciding between him and AJ Brown. On my board that night I had Chase at 7 overall and Brown at 9 overall. All of the other top 8 went ahead of me, except one homer took Josh Allen at 1.06.
The tie breaker for me was that we have divisions, week 1-5 are division games, and AJ Brown has a Bye in week 5. A win in division is worth more than a win outside (division winner gets 1st round Bye) so I try to avoid guys with a Bye during division games, especially in the early rounds. If the board had fallen they way I had it ranked, not sure who I would have picked, but 50/50 between AJ Brown and Garrett WIlson, who I had ranked at 1.11. I had Jonathan Taylor at 1.10 on my board, but I would have waited for him, and as it turned out I got Taylor at 2.04.
As it turns out, the guy I am playing in Week 5 did draft AJ Brown, so that should be a plus for me, assuming Chase does play.
The main thing that makes me somewhat optimistic is that neither side has been mouthing off to the press. So I don't think there are hard feelings getting in the way of a deal.