Regarding Kicker….
I think
@TheWinz has posted stats many times showing that 3 $3 Ks outperform higher priced kickers in this best ball format. The trick is rostering $3 kickers who don’t get cut during the season (ignoring bad luck of injuries as well, of course).
So for this year’s contest, here are the $3 kickers:
$3-J Karty LAR/6
$3-J Slye NE/14
$3-N Folk TEN/5
$3-W Reichard MIN/6
$3-G Gano NYG/11
$3-J Bates DET/5
$3-C Little JAX/12
I don’t follow kickers closely but I feel like Gano, Slye and Folk, while “boring” selections, might be the safest names.
I’ve hoesntly never heard of Karty, Reichard or Little, and I heard UFL darling, Bates, might already have competition in camp.
Can anyone shed light on the above kicker situations?
Yes, in this contest, history says rostering multiple cheap kickers who keep their jobs the whole season score a decent amount more than the single expensive ones. And it's not even close. The fun comes in trying to determine whether the bargain bin kickers will keep their jobs or not. For the list above, we can easily break them down into 3 different groups. The first group will be the NFL vets:
Slye - 5 teams and he is only 28. NE had a horrible time last year with rookie Ryland, but he's still on the team battling with Slye. Of the 3 vets, he is the shakiest one IMO. But in his defense, he has kept his job 4 out of 5 seasons.
Folk - He hasn't missed a game in 4 seasons, and these last 4 are his best stretch ever. In 2022 he set the all-time record for consecutive FG's made under 50 yards at 64, and currently, he has the longest streak ever under 40 yards with 78. In these last 4 seasons, he has an overall FG rate of 91.8%, and has made (72.7%) from 50+. He is aging like a fine wine and the gig is his. If TEN opts to keep a 2nd kicker, it will be for kickoffs, and possibly extra long FG's. IMO he is safe.
Gano - Like Folk, he's been around forever. In 4 years for the Giants, he has kicked 87.7%, including a whopping 79.3% from 50+. He was hurt last year and kicking like crap before injury, but should beat out his training camp competition, as long as he can find his mojo. I would've put Gano above Folk in terms of job security, if not for his awful showing before injury last year.
The next group will be drafted rookies. I say drafted because my research says a team that uses a draft pick on a kicker tends to have a longer leash than an undrafted free agent. Over the last 5 years, here are all drafted rookies:
2023 - Moody, Ryland, Carlson - All 3 kept their jobs all season, but none were inside the top 20 in FG percentage. Ryland should've been cut, but I think Belichick just didn't even care enough to make a swap.
2022 - York - As the only drafted kicker, he kept his job all season, even though he sucked. He was tied for the league lead in FG's missed. Teams just aren't willing to give up on someone they drafted, I guess.
2021 - McPherson - Kept his job all season, and set the rookie record with 9 kicks from 50+.
2020 - Rohrwasser, Bass, Sloman - If you haven't heard of Rohrwasser, it's a good read. My short version - he's a Nazi and the Patriots didn't want the bad PR, so they waived him before the contest closed. Bass kept his job all season and scored well, but was K19 in FG accuracy. Sloman was a 7th round pick who blew chunks and was waived after 7 weeks. He kicked one more game after being sent packing to TEN, and hasn't been seen since.
2019 - Gay, Seibert - Both kept their jobs all season. Gay was only 77.1%, but Seibert did well at 86.2%.
So, over the last 5 years, a total of 10 K's have been drafted. Rohrwasser was the only one waived before the contest closed, so we can disregard him. That leaves Sloman as the only drafted rookie to lose his job due to suckage. This year Karty, Little, and Reichard are the drafted rookies. So far, Little and Reichard have already won whatever camp battles there may have been and are the only kickers on their teams. Karty and Tanner Brown are still fighting to be the Rams kicker, but my money is on Karty. Brown is just a camp body who went undrafted last year when the Rams picked him up, then waived him.
The last group is undrafted kickers, and consists of 1 guy. Jake Bates went undrafted in 2023, and he joined the UFL. He is known for a long leg, and kicked in Ford Field last year as a member of the Michigan Panthers. Coincidence that he is now on the Lions? Not much is known about his FG kicking, because it seems he was a kickoff specialist in college. I dug a bit deeper, and it turns out he is a converted soccer player. In High School, he is praised in soccer, but absolutely no mention of football. His first 2 seasons in college were soccer as well (Central Arkansas), again with no mention of football. Then, in 2020 he transferred to Texas State, where he was only used on kickoffs and attempted no FG's or EP's for 2 years. He transferred again in 2022 to Arkansas, where he was only used on kickoffs. I looked, but could find no mention of him ever even attempting a FG in a football game at any level until he joined the UFL last year. It seems his first FG attempt ever was a 64-yarder that he nailed! He went on to hit from 60 and 62 as well. In total, he went 21/28 in 11 games (75%). I can see the hype as far as long kicking is concerned, but just remember, he didn't attempt an in-game kick until he was 24 years old. To me, he is risky.
Of all 7 kickers for $3 this year, the 2 that scare me the most are Slye and Bates. The rest I feel pretty good about.