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2024 FBG Subscriber Contest (4 Viewers)
- Thread starter TheWinz
- Start date
Hot Sauce Guy
Footballguy
joey
Footballguy
Alas, I may have self-jinxed as well. I’m just 7 points above the cut now with only Kincaid remaining so, alas, I may also not make it past this week.
Ps. Alas
Hot Sauce Guy
Footballguy
joey
Footballguy
Sometimes you’ve got take an intentional penalty like this just to inspire the troops.
Skipdog77
Footballguy
At 181.1, with Braelon Allen and Malachi Corely 
to go. Good luck to all those sweating out the Monday night game.
This is my highest score yet this year, average is 161.1. Only been closer than 23 pts above the cut line once. Don't get too high, don't get too low. Slow and steady wins the race. We ain't flashy, but we get the job done. 26 player roster.
That said, now I'll likely flame out next week with a single player on bye.
to go. Good luck to all those sweating out the Monday night game.This is my highest score yet this year, average is 161.1. Only been closer than 23 pts above the cut line once. Don't get too high, don't get too low. Slow and steady wins the race. We ain't flashy, but we get the job done. 26 player roster.
That said, now I'll likely flame out next week with a single player on bye.
Puppies
Footballguy
No Stafford,
No Singletary,
No Malik Nabers,
No Rashee Rice,
No Taysom Hill,
No Will Reichard,
No Graham Gano,
and "no-shows" (8 targets; 0 receptions) from Calvin Ridley, and Jalen McMillian (only returned punts)....
but somehow I managed to squeak by with 148.75 this week.
Feeling pretty fortunate to still be hanging on.
Good luck to everyone sweating the Turk on Monday night
No Singletary,
No Malik Nabers,
No Rashee Rice,
No Taysom Hill,
No Will Reichard,
No Graham Gano,
and "no-shows" (8 targets; 0 receptions) from Calvin Ridley, and Jalen McMillian (only returned punts)....
but somehow I managed to squeak by with 148.75 this week.
Feeling pretty fortunate to still be hanging on.
Good luck to everyone sweating the Turk on Monday night
Trade you spots
QuizGuy66
Footballguy
Looking ahead to week 7...
Looks like 6 players missing next week - though at big positions.
Only 1 QB (Burrow) and only 4 RB (Jav Williams, Ford, Irving and Vidal)
5 WR rolling (Higgins, Ridley, Jameson Williams, Dortch, Tucker)
3 TEs assuming Hill is out (Kittle, Bowers, and Parkinson)
All 3 kickers (Karty, Little, Bates)
All 3 defenses (Packers, Chargers, Broncos)
Every week's a sweat here on out.
-QG
Looks like 6 players missing next week - though at big positions.
Only 1 QB (Burrow) and only 4 RB (Jav Williams, Ford, Irving and Vidal)
5 WR rolling (Higgins, Ridley, Jameson Williams, Dortch, Tucker)
3 TEs assuming Hill is out (Kittle, Bowers, and Parkinson)
All 3 kickers (Karty, Little, Bates)
All 3 defenses (Packers, Chargers, Broncos)
Every week's a sweat here on out.
-QG
joey
Footballguy
Nah. As a compromise, I’ll allow you to root for my team if I survive the week.
joey
Footballguy
Um…be like that.
steelerfan1
Footballguy
about same score as you with kincaid and hopefully shakir. really could have used that falcons d TD yesterday but he downed it to kill the clock...missed B robinson and nabers bigtime this week.
I had predicted that the game most likely to influence the cutline would be the Commanders at Ravens. Turns out I was wrong. The absolute domination of Dallas took the cake. If you take out the scoring of the Lions/Cowboys game the cutline would be sitting at 94.9 instead of 120.2. That game alone, added a massive 25 points to the cutline. Meanwhile, if you remove the Colts/Titans game, the least impactful game, the cutline would drop to 117.6, a measley 2.5 points. So somewhere between those will likely be the impact of the Monday Night game. So for those sweating the Turk, I thought I could give a little context on how much the line is likely to move.
Below is a chart breaking down tonight's players along with how many times they are rostered on teams currently below the cutline. It also shows the average score they will have to beat in order to count for a team, the player's average scoring for the season, and the average current week 6 score for teams rostering the player. This chart only includes teams below the cutline, as their scoring will be the primary mover of the line.
To get an estimate of the final cutline, I added the seasonal averages for the Jets and Bills players. If you do that, the new cutline only moves up to 122. If you are in striking distance, have faith, and if you are just above the cutline all hope is not lost.
Below is a chart breaking down tonight's players along with how many times they are rostered on teams currently below the cutline. It also shows the average score they will have to beat in order to count for a team, the player's average scoring for the season, and the average current week 6 score for teams rostering the player. This chart only includes teams below the cutline, as their scoring will be the primary mover of the line.
To get an estimate of the final cutline, I added the seasonal averages for the Jets and Bills players. If you do that, the new cutline only moves up to 122. If you are in striking distance, have faith, and if you are just above the cutline all hope is not lost.
Jets Player | Rostered | Avg Replacement Value | Avg Player Score | Avg Team Score |
Breece Hall | 142 | 1.48 | 12.6 | 102.8 |
Garrett Wilson | 139 | 1.67 | 14.94 | 103.1 |
Greg Zuerlein | 128 | 5.66 | 5.8 | 104.52 |
New York Jets | 115 | 5.01 | 6 | 102.93 |
Tyler Conklin | 114 | 1.77 | 8.72 | 106.02 |
Aaron Rodgers | 70 | 17.99 | 19.41 | 103.81 |
Braelon Allen | 55 | 2.37 | 7.5 | 104.37 |
Mike Williams | 18 | 3.26 | 6.12 | 105.37 |
Malachi Corley | 8 | 3.2 | 0.7 | 110.16 |
Xavier Gipson | 6 | 3.37 | 1.04 | 105.07 |
Michael Carter | 2 | 2.75 | 0 | 110.17 |
Bills Player | Rostered | Avg Replacement Value | Avg Player Score | Avg Team Score |
Khalil Shakir | 305 | 2.5 | 13.3 | 104.76 |
Dalton Kincaid | 189 | 1.26 | 9.02 | 103.71 |
Ray Davis | 108 | 2.37 | 3.46 | 106.22 |
Keon Coleman | 79 | 2.25 | 7.7 | 104.41 |
James Cook | 66 | 0.91 | 15.74 | 103.55 |
Buffalo Bills | 51 | 3.98 | 7.4 | 101.16 |
Josh Allen | 46 | 14.27 | 24.65 | 105.32 |
Curtis Samuel | 35 | 2.48 | 2.88 | 100.29 |
Tyler Bass | 23 | 5.61 | 9.46 | 101.4 |
Dawson Knox | 23 | 1.58 | 1.5 | 107.43 |
Ty Johnson | 4 | 2.45 | 4.86 | 95.59 |
rustycolts
Footballguy
Pulling for you buddy.
stubby
Footballguy
And Ray Davis …..never thought Tracy/Davis would be my two highest scoring RB in the same week.
Smack Tripper
Footballguy
Turk thoughts?
Army Eye
Footballguy
unofficially, the line right now is 127.25
joey
Footballguy
Nah. As a compromise, I’ll allow you to root for my team if I survive the week.
Thanks Kincaid! Looks like I’m advancing by 8 points.
Any chance you squeaked thru, @BassNBrew ?
Hot Sauce Guy
Footballguy
I’m probably done. I’ll check in the morning but I don’t think i got there. Depends what the Bills D scored. They shoulda had 2 more sacks and a FF/DFR.Nah. As a compromise, I’ll allow you to root for my team if I survive the week.
Thanks Kincaid! Looks like I’m advancing by 8 points.
Any chance you squeaked thru, @BassNBrew ?
Smack Tripper
Footballguy
Holy cow, my unofficial math has me at 128.25 after Kincaid's night
Nah. As a compromise, I’ll allow you to root for my team if I survive the week.
Thanks Kincaid! Looks like I’m advancing by 8 points.
Any chance you squeaked thru, @BassNBrew ?
Nope. 1.4 short.
Obviously Coleman and Shakir stunk. I the two of them can't post 4 points in a game then I chose poorly. Adding in Hollywood and Rice my team wasn't going to make any noise anyway.
joey
Footballguy
Sorry to hear that. Welcome aboard the Team Joey Bandwagon!Nah. As a compromise, I’ll allow you to root for my team if I survive the week.
Thanks Kincaid! Looks like I’m advancing by 8 points.
Any chance you squeaked thru, @BassNBrew ?
Nope. 1.4 short.
Obviously Coleman and Shakir stunk. I the two of them can't post 4 points in a game then I chose poorly. Adding in Hollywood and Rice my team wasn't going to make any noise anyway.
Hot Sauce Guy
Footballguy
Dacomish
Footballguy
UNOFFICIAL future Cut lines (a few ties pushed the number higher remaining this week, but did not affect future weeks):
Start 11695
10% Week 1 Cut to Number – 10528
10% Week 2 cut to Number – 9477
10% Week 3 cut to Number – 8533
20% Week 4 cut to Number – 6828
20% Week 5 cut to Number – 5467
20% Week 6 cut to Number –4374 now 4375
20% Week 7 cut to Number – 3500
30% Week 8 cut to Number – 2450
30% Week 9 cut to Number – 1715
30% Week 10 cut to Number – 1201
30% Week 11 cut to Number – 841
30% Week 12 cut to Number – 589
40% Week 13 cut to Number – 354
40% Week 14 cut to Number – 213 (means the top 12 non-playoff teams this week win a prize)
Notes From Contest Rules:
- In weeks 1--14, the cut is based on scores from the current week only. Scores reset each week.
- Specifically, the cut will be determined as in the following example. Suppose it is week 7 and there are 2,394 entries at the beginning of the week. Because the cut percentage is 20% for that week, 2394 will be multiplied by 0.80 and the resulting number, if not an integer, will be rounded UP to the next greatest integer. In this case, 2394 * 0.8 = 1915.2. We round up to 1916. The entry with the 1916th-highest score, and all entries with an equal or greater score, will move to the next round.
- if fewer than 225 participants remain after week 14, then prizes will be awarded to eliminated participants according to highest score in week 14. If prizes are still unawarded after that, then highest score in week 13, and so on.
Start 11695
10% Week 1 Cut to Number – 10528
10% Week 2 cut to Number – 9477
10% Week 3 cut to Number – 8533
20% Week 4 cut to Number – 6828
20% Week 5 cut to Number – 5467
20% Week 6 cut to Number –
20% Week 7 cut to Number – 3500
30% Week 8 cut to Number – 2450
30% Week 9 cut to Number – 1715
30% Week 10 cut to Number – 1201
30% Week 11 cut to Number – 841
30% Week 12 cut to Number – 589
40% Week 13 cut to Number – 354
40% Week 14 cut to Number – 213 (means the top 12 non-playoff teams this week win a prize)
Notes From Contest Rules:
- In weeks 1--14, the cut is based on scores from the current week only. Scores reset each week.
- Specifically, the cut will be determined as in the following example. Suppose it is week 7 and there are 2,394 entries at the beginning of the week. Because the cut percentage is 20% for that week, 2394 will be multiplied by 0.80 and the resulting number, if not an integer, will be rounded UP to the next greatest integer. In this case, 2394 * 0.8 = 1915.2. We round up to 1916. The entry with the 1916th-highest score, and all entries with an equal or greater score, will move to the next round.
- if fewer than 225 participants remain after week 14, then prizes will be awarded to eliminated participants according to highest score in week 14. If prizes are still unawarded after that, then highest score in week 13, and so on.
steelerfan1
Footballguy
Missed it by 10.5. A big shoutout to aiyuk and Pickens…..good luck to everyone moving on.
Alas you gave me hope, but alas....Man it’s gonna be tight.
Shakir’s ~4 points
I don’t think BUF D/St Outscored DET’a 14 though.
I’m out. Brutal - Nabers plays and I’m a lock.
Thanks for the jinx, @joey
TOTAL112.00
CUT LINE120.20
TOTAL126.55CUT LINE127.90
We started this week with 41 folks eligible for @Joe Bryant extra $100 prize. Another bad week, as we lost a handful more. We bid adieu to @kajaet @Hot Sauce Guy @BassNBrew @Winning IS Everything @Instinctive @papacapps @Gally 
Moving on to week 7 are:
@joey @lsutigers @Deamon @bamabuddha @dzambo @Puppies @BlackCrowes @-OZ- @Dacomish @HairySasquatch @scottybo @rzrback77 @roar_lions @themeanmachine @Harjiran @Tha Guru @Scoresman @QuizGuy66 @Forte Yard Dash @JaBoo @apalmer @da_budman @Neal Cassady @BroncosFan07 @Shaunz33 @IHEARTFF @undercover @ZWK @Saint @Grid71 @Mingooch @Mojo56 @barackdhouse @a_troll00
Of note
- apalmer was this week's top dog with a score of 187.40 (219th overall)
- HairySasquatch was this week's lowest advancing team with 134.10 (4000th overall)
Good luck in week 7!
Moving on to week 7 are:
@joey @lsutigers @Deamon @bamabuddha @dzambo @Puppies @BlackCrowes @-OZ- @Dacomish @HairySasquatch @scottybo @rzrback77 @roar_lions @themeanmachine @Harjiran @Tha Guru @Scoresman @QuizGuy66 @Forte Yard Dash @JaBoo @apalmer @da_budman @Neal Cassady @BroncosFan07 @Shaunz33 @IHEARTFF @undercover @ZWK @Saint @Grid71 @Mingooch @Mojo56 @barackdhouse @a_troll00
Of note
- apalmer was this week's top dog with a score of 187.40 (219th overall)
- HairySasquatch was this week's lowest advancing team with 134.10 (4000th overall)
Good luck in week 7!
