Direct Headline: Nate Silver: 'Calm down,'
Donald Trump won't win the GOP nomination
Nate Silver, the founder and editor-in-chief of the data-journalism website FiveThirtyEight, told an audience at an event in New York on Wednesday he didn't think Trump would be the nominee because he was not conservative enough...But Silver, who was heralded for correctly predicting which candidate would win every state in the 2012 presidential election, isn't quite clear on how or when Trump's demise will occur....Silver also predicted that if Trump's support did not erode, the Republican Party establishment — which remains vehemently opposed to Trump — could still work overtime to make changes to the primary rules that would make it difficult for Trump to compete...
Maxwell Tani Sep 10, 2015, 9:48 AM
https://www.businessinsider.com/nate-silver-donald-trump-wont-win-2015-9
Direct Headline: Here's why Donald Trump won't win the Republican presidential nomination
But can Donald Trump really win the 2016 Republican presidential nomination? But more-knowledgable people think he won’t. They include the quants and geeks, some Republican consultants and operatives, and lots of political scientists. A trio of political data experts empanelled by FiveThirtyEight for a podcast earlier this month estimated Trump’s chances of snagging the nomination at 2%, 0% and minus-10%, respectively...“If Trump is nominated, then everything we think we know about presidential nominations is wrong,” ...Early polling is not very predictive. Especially polling more than 300 days out.
Tom McCarthy Sat 22 Aug 2015 07.43 EDT
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2015/aug/22/donald-trump-wont-win-republican-presidential-nomination
Direct Headline: More on Early Polls
The graph
shows that polls 300 days [before the vote] have little predictive value at all... ( which covers the period 1956-2008)...The r-squared values increase sharply during the next 3 months or so—when the eventual nominees are becoming better known during the primaries—and then increase more sharply again in the 3 months before the election, when the general election campaign is underway.
By Greg Marx, CJR May 26, 2011
https://archives.cjr.org/the_kicker/more_on_early_polls.php
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Trying to derail the topic is bad enough, but you make a limp wristed flailing attempt at it. If you are going to do something, at least do it right.
Crazy idea, I'm going to stay on topic, raise the level of discussion and set an example for all my Conservative brothers here on how to approach weak little jabs like yours.
A major part of the methodology to say Trump "owns" and "controls" the current Republican Party hinges on his ability to get the 2024 RNC ticket and retake POTUS. A lot of the leftist arguments on that will rely on current polling data.
Except the polling industry has shown that anything related to Trump can only be consistently described as non predictive.
Polling data that anyone wants to drive forward this far out of the 2024 general cycle has no practical value.
It's just weak soft cover to try to change the narrative away from the failures of this current administration. ( Sound familiar? Cheap pathetic attempts at counter narratives built on ultra soft hijacking?)
What no one wants to discuss is that Trump wouldn't even be in the fringe contention window for 2024 if not for the catastrophic level face plant that this current Obama/Biden/Harris/Rice regime has inflicted on America in a little over a year's time. How bad do you need to fail to accidentally backdoor force a perpetual J6 headache like Trump forward?
Since the radical left refuses to discuss the juggernaut sized Red colored elephant in the room, the only thing left is to try to smear every single Republican in the country as some kind of blind zombie like Morlock slave to the Mar-A-Lago Empire.