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Dynasty Rookie Draft: Reach, Fade, Avoid, Sleeper — Who You Got? (2 Viewers)

wgoldsph

Footballguy
Alright, who's your:

1. Reach – The rookie you're grabbing higher than consensus.


2. Fade – The one getting too much hype.


3. Avoid – No matter where they fall, you’re out.


4. Sleeper – That late pick who could blow up.



Let's hear it. Who are you planting your flag on this year
 
Alright, who's your:

1. Reach – The rookie you're grabbing higher than consensus. - Bhaysul Tuten


2. Fade – The one getting too much hype.- Jaydon Blue


3. Avoid – No matter where they fall, you’re out.- Shedeur Sanders


4. Sleeper – That late pick who could blow up.- Terrance Ferguson, also, if starter gets hurt I really like DJ Giddens, Jarquez Hunter, Jordan James, and Devin Neal



Let's hear it. Who are you planting your flag on this year
 
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1. Reach - Jalen Milroe - I get major Jalen Hurts vibes here, right down to the big contract QB who is (temporarily) blocking his path (Wentz = Darnold). I'm taking him early-mid 2nd where it fits my build.
2. Fade - Cameron Ward - all my leagues are Superflex and even where i could use a QB I'm not comfortable investing an early-mid 1st on this guy.
3. Avoid - no one? I don't believe in completely crossing a name off my board. But to play along, the guy I'm not landing because someone always likes him more than me is Judkins.
4. Sleeper - All the 2nd round TEs - at their price I like all four (Taylor/Ferguson/Arroyo/Fannin) and think they have the opportunity and skillset to thrive.
 
Reach- K Johnson, he's my RB 3 in this class with how they landed.
Fade- Warren, would rather take a flyer on the TEs that fall to 3rd than use a 1st on him
Avoid- all the QBs
Sleeper- Woody Marks, could take the job as soon as this season.
 
Alright, who's your:

1. Reach – The rookie you're grabbing higher than consensus.
Jordan James

2. Fade – The one getting too much hype.
Travis Hunter, hurts to say, but too many obstructions to top-5 ceiling to draft 1.2 or 1.3.

3. Avoid – No matter where they fall, you’re out.
Cam Ward (1QB), certain someone will pull the trigger earlier than where I'm interested (early 3rd).

4. Sleeper – That late pick who could blow up.
Milroe (1QB) -- expecting him to bust, but the only QB with a ceiling I'm willing to use a third QB roster spot on in 1QB. Probably makes more sense as a watch list guy, but there are too many RBs to name.


Let's hear it. Who are you planting your flag on this year
 
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Alright, who's your:

1. Reach – The rookie you're grabbing higher than consensus.
Jordan James

2. Fade – The one getting too much hype.
Travis Hunter, hurts to say, but too many obstructions to top-5 ceiling to draft 1.2 or 1.3.

3. Avoid – No matter where they fall, you’re out.
Cam Ward (1QB), certain someone will pull the trigger earlier than where I'm interested (early 3rd).

4. Sleeper – That late pick who could blow up.
Milroe (1QB) -- expecting him to bust, but the only QB that I'm considering rostering in 1QB. Probably makes more sense as a watch list guy, but there are too many RBs to name.


Let's hear it. Who are you planting your flag on this year
I should have initially included Jordan James in my sleeper list, but if CMC has health issues, he still has to overtake Guerendo, but I don't think that is an impossible task.
 
1. Reach-Mason Taylor, have said a lot about him, think he's better positioned for a rookie year like Laporta then any other TE in this draft. Now, he might be a sell high in a year, but that's another story.

2. Fade-Warren. Older breakout, nothing overly skilled with his route running or ability to get open. Shaky to terrible QB play. Even with those negatives I can see the play strength, versatility, scheme and draft pedigree to justify him as TE2 in a really strong TE class but in my TEP leagues he's going over few RB's and WR's I prefer.

3. Avoid-Not really an avoid but not spending third round draft capital on RB's I think some view as threats to starters or most likely handcuffs when I don't think the former is realistic and the RB I think has the best shot of being the handcuff can be drafted much later. The two most notable on this list to me are Neal and Marks.

4. Sleeper- the deepest rookie sleeper I was nabbing in a few places was some round 5 shots on Oronde Gadsen in TEP leagues. I love that Taylor, Arroyo, Ferguson and Fannin grouping but don't view the mas sleepy enough to mention.
 
Reach=Cam Skattebo, I think its very likely he's better than either Ohio State RB, and is the #2 guy in his offense after Nabers. He's vastly underrated in my eyes. People are grossly overrating 40 times. I think people see "white RB, who isn't fast" and make assumptions from there. He's got a Josh Jacobs level ceiling in my opinion.

Fade=Quinshon Judkins, I'm not confident at all that he's a better RB than Dylan Sampson, short or long-term.

Avoid=Jaxson Dart, I just think he's really far off as a prospect and the Giants were stupid for taking him, as they likely have a new HC/GM who likely want to pick their own guy in 2026. Could probably add Tyler Shough as well, as I think NO brings in their real long-term guy in 2026.

Sleeper=I already mentioned Sampson, so I'll say Xavier Restrepo. He's already produced with Ward, and I think his 40 time is overrated. Restrepo is 210 pounds. He's more Jarvis Landry than Hunter Renfrow.
 
1. Reach - Harvey - Good situation and looks like he will get a good opportunity to run with the job.
2. Fade - Judkins - Cleveland coupled with Sampson makes him fall beyond where he is going. If he falls far enough I would take him but he will never fall that far.
3. Avoid - All QB's except Milroe - and only Milroe if he falls far enough which he does sometimes.
4. Sleeper - Marks - I think he will get a shot due to an injury to Mixon and will thrive in that offense
 
Reach - Bayshul Tuten (could see him starting in Jax and therefore he could go late first in 1 QB drafts)

Fade - RJ Harvey (great landing spot, but doesn't seem like he has skillset to be an every down back)

Avoid - Dillon Gabriel (can't see him being a viable starter)

Sleeper - Woody Marks (for reasons already stated)
 
Alright, who's your:

1. Reach – The rookie you're grabbing higher than consensus.
Skattebo - I've clogged up his thread enough with my gushing over him

2. Fade – The one getting too much hype.
Higgins - I don't think he was even the best WR on his own team in college, yet continually goes ahead of him in rookie drafts. Looks like Tarzan, plays like Jane in the fact he's built like an X and often lined up at X, yet has issues getting separation and grades very poorly against man and press coverage. Seemed like his path to NFL success was going to be playing as a large slot. Then the Texans took his teammate Noel who is a primary slot and just does everything Higgins does, but better. I think at best, taking him at his current ADP is requiring him to hit his ceiling to pay off. Many other guys at the 1/2 turn of rookie drafts with a much higher ceiling IMO.

3. Avoid – No matter where they fall, you’re out.
Shedeur. It's the Browns, the team is a perpetual mess, and I wonder his value even if everything goes right for him and he winds up the starter. I also found him incredibly unlikable. I don't really believe in rooting against anyone in life (too much negative energy, just ignore them at that point); I also don't want to be in a position where I have to root for this guy either.

4. Sleeper – That late pick who could blow up.
Brashard Smith. I can't help but wear the rosiest of rose tinted glasses and be supremely impressed with his level of play at the college level his senior year at a position he'd never played before in his life. I think he can pack on weight and can work on easily coachable/improvable things like footwork and timing, but his natural abilities (exceptional vision, hands, contact balance, explosion, and acceleration) are some of the qualities we only see in the top backs in the league. And landed on a team with basically 0 playmakers.
Let's hear it. Who are you planting your flag on this year
 
Reach. Mason Taylor. I think he is close to the top 2 and could be had much later. Way better situation also. Bech with honourable mention. Give me him over Higgins, Harris, Williams and see him drafted behind all. This kid has desire

Fade: Kaleb Johnson. I think too high for guy that will be RBBC at best and the situation is murky right now. Especially in PPR leagues

Avoid. Tyler Shough in SF. Saints suck and getting new QB next year. Thinking in battle for #1. Not great situation to be useful this year also. No thanks

Sleeper. Pat Bryant. Real opportunity to be nice safety blanket there. Could really surprise as situation wide open. I like the Smith call also. Jalen Royals another.
 
Reach - Bayshul Tuten (could see him starting in Jax and therefore he could go late first in 1 QB drafts)

Fade - RJ Harvey (great landing spot, but doesn't seem like he has skillset to be an every down back)

Avoid - Dillon Gabriel (can't see him being a viable starter)

Sleeper - Woody Marks (for reasons already stated)
I drafted the three RB's here so I am hoping at least one of the hit. Maybe all three...hahaha
 
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Reach - Luther Burden. Ceiling is he gets volume eventually and he has elite YAC
Fade - Blue. Price is early 3rd. Cowboys OL ain’t what it used to be. Someone will draft him before I do.
Avoid - Egbuka. Solid player but I do not see huge FF upside here. I am OK if this is a miss (keep a sharp eye on Godwin’s status).
Sleeper - Croskey-Merritt. The ceiling is he earns the Ekeler role. The floor is he gets cut.
 
Reach - Judkins. I'm quite convinced he's the best RB in this class besides Jeanty.
Fade - Nobody specific.
Avoid - Jack Bech, That profile from that school, not for me.
Sleeper - Feels like there are more of these than usual this year, players who should have had more value relegated to Sleeper status.
 
1. Reach – I didn’t expect this to be Milroe but given how low he’s going in some, he went from avoid to reach.

2. Fade – Travis Hunter but not by much.

3. Avoid – Nobody. My main league drafts 178 players. IDP but that’s still a lot of players.

4. Sleeper – 🤫 restrepo
 
I've got a couple for each category....

1. Reach – Not really reaching for anybody, but one guy I find myself grabbing earlier than most is Kyle Williams (NE WR). He just seems like a game-changer with more upside than risk, in my opinion, considering where he's being drafted. Another is Devin Neal (NO RB) who seems like he has a great opportunity given the lack of depth in front of him.

2. Fade – Not necessarily too much hype, but just too many guys in the WR room for my taste. I'm shying away from Matthew Golden and Savion Williams (GB WR). One of them may break out, but they've already got a handful of talented guys in that room. I'm taking my chances that the GB WR position, while relatively deep as a whole, continues to be "WR by committee." Cam Skattebo (NYG RB) is another guy I'm seeing go way before I would be interested. I think Tracy will remain the back to own in NY.

3. Avoid – Shedeur Sanders. Unless he literally falls to the last couple of rounds in my rookie drafts, I'm not even considering him. Trevor Etienne is another player that I'm not really considering at the point he's being taken.

4. Sleeper – I've got a few. Riley Leonard, only because I'm not sold on Richardson. Quinn Ewers because Tua is one concussion away from potential retirement. Kalel Mullings (TEN RB) because... Why not? UFDA Nick Nash (ATL WR) sounds like he could realistically have a shot at a roster spot with the Falcons, although it's obviously very early in the process.
 

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