2023 FBG Subscriber Contest (3 Viewers)

[Ignoratio Elenchi]

Thanks @Contest Turk and thanks y'all for the feedback. Looks as tough as ever.

We tried pretty hard to get the bye weeks included and we will next year. I know that makes it more fun for people. I know too that some love not having them on there as it makes it more difficult but I'm not a fan of that kind of obstacle. But for this year, no bye weeks.

@Contest Turk came through with the bye weeks! Nice.

booooo

 

[chocula]

I can't wait to put together a lineup that stinks. At least I will have fun losing.

When I pull up the contest page, it says coming soon. How are you guys putting lineups together?

 

[apalmer]

I can't wait to put together a lineup that stinks. At least I will have fun losing.

When I pull up the contest page, it says coming soon. How are you guys putting lineups together?

hi again!

 

[chocula]

Thank you

 

[rustycolts]

So I checked out avg scores of the team I picked. 150.2 that's not going to do the trick. Back to the drawing board.

 

[tjolitz58]

Here is my first try:

QB - Dak Prescott - DAL/7 - $16
QB - Derek Carr - NO/11 - $11
RB - Rhamondre Stevenson - NE/11 - $27
RB - Cam Akers - LAR/10 - $21
RB - Samaje Perine - DEN/9 - $16
RB - Zach Charbonnet - SEA/5 - $14
RB - Roschon Johnson - CHI/13 - $8
RB - Kareem Hunt - FA/1--18 - $6
WR - Chris Olave - NO/11 - $27
WR - Jaxon Smith-Njigba - SEA/5 - $13
WR - Skyy Moore - KC/10 - $12
WR - Marvin Mims Jr. - DEN/9 - $8
WR - Jayden Reed - GB/6 - $7
WR - John Metchie III - HOU/7 - $6
TE - Darren Waller - NYG/13 - $17
TE - Tyler Higbee - LAR/10 - $14
TE - Jake Ferguson - DAL/7 - $6
PK - Brandon McManus - JAX/9 - $4
PK - Anders Carlson - GB/6 - $3
PK - Cairo Santos - CHI/13 - $3
TD - Green Bay Packers - GB/6 - $5
TD - Atlanta Falcons - ATL/11 - $3
TD - Carolina Panthers - CAR/7 - $3

 

[TwinTurbo]

They did a great job with the pricing.

 

[joey]

Feeling like a Studs kind of line up without much depth and hope I get lucky with injuries.

 

[TheWinz]

I have my first 2 players locked in. Only took me 5 days from the moment the contest opened. I plan on having 2 more in the next 24 hours.

 

[Galileo]

2nd lineup...forgot to post my 1st attempt.

QB - Justin Fields - CHI/13 - $20
QB - Tua Tagovailoa - MIA/10 - $14
RB - Nick Chubb - CLE/5 - $30
RB - Isiah Pacheco - KC/10 - $18
RB - David Montgomery - DET/9 - $18
RB - Brian Robinson - WAS/14 - $15
WR - Amon-Ra St. Brown - DET/9 - $30
WR - Chris Olave - NO/11 - $27
WR - George Pickens - PIT/6 - $15
WR - Skyy Moore - KC/10 - $12
TE - Darren Waller - NYG/13 - $17
TE - Hayden Hurst - CAR/7 - $8
TE - Taysom Hill - NO/11 - $8
PK - Dustin Hopkins - LAC/5 - $3
PK - Brett Maher - DEN/9 - $3
PK - Cairo Santos - CHI/13 - $3
TD - Chicago Bears - CHI/13 - $3
TD - Detroit Lions - DET/9 - $3
TD - Carolina Panthers - CAR/7 - $3

 

[FairWarning]

I am not seeing it on the mobile. Is there a certain subscription you need to qualify? I have the $47/year plan.

 

[KingPrawn]

2nd lineup...forgot to post my 1st attempt.

QB - Justin Fields - CHI/13 - $20
QB - Tua Tagovailoa - MIA/10 - $14
RB - Nick Chubb - CLE/5 - $30
RB - Isiah Pacheco - KC/10 - $18
RB - David Montgomery - DET/9 - $18
RB - Brian Robinson - WAS/14 - $15
WR - Amon-Ra St. Brown - DET/9 - $30
WR - Chris Olave - NO/11 - $27
WR - George Pickens - PIT/6 - $15
WR - Skyy Moore - KC/10 - $12
TE - Darren Waller - NYG/13 - $17
TE - Hayden Hurst - CAR/7 - $8
TE - Taysom Hill - NO/11 - $8
PK - Dustin Hopkins - LAC/5 - $3
PK - Brett Maher - DEN/9 - $3
PK - Cairo Santos - CHI/13 - $3
TD - Chicago Bears - CHI/13 - $3
TD - Detroit Lions - DET/9 - $3
TD - Carolina Panthers - CAR/7 - $3

Second lineup? I did two lineups just while you were reading this

 

[Dez]

I am not seeing it on the mobile. Is there a certain subscription you need to qualify? I have the $47/year plan.

I have the same plan I have had for the past 10 years not seeing it either.

 

[Hot Sauce Guy]

3 revisions already and it’s not even 9:00

 

[Hot Sauce Guy]

I

I have the same plan I have had for the past 10 years not seeing it either.

just clicked the link & did it in a browser on my phone.

 

[scottybo]

I am not seeing it on the mobile. Is there a certain subscription you need to qualify? I have the $47/year plan.

Subscribe to Footballguys

Subscribe to Footballguys

www.footballguys.com

I am not seeing it on the mobile. Is there a certain subscription you need to qualify? I have the $47/year plan.

I have the same plan I have had for the past 10 years not seeing it either.

Subscribe to Footballguys

Subscribe to Footballguys

www.footballguys.com

 

[scottybo]

QB - Tua Tagovailoa - MIA/10 - $14
QB - Aaron Rodgers - NYJ/7 - $14
QB - Kenny Pickett - PIT/6 - $10
RB - James Conner - ARI/14 - $20
RB - Javonte Williams - DEN/9 - $19
RB - Rachaad White - TB/5 - $19
RB - Alvin Kamara - NO/11 - $15
WR - Garrett Wilson - NYJ/7 - $29
WR - Jaylen Waddle - MIA/10 - $28
WR - Diontae Johnson - PIT/6 - $18
WR - Elijah Moore - CLE/5 - $11
WR - Romeo Doubs - GB/6 - $9
TE - Evan Engram - JAX/9 - $15
TE - Dawson Knox - BUF/13 - $8
TE - Jake Ferguson - DAL/7 - $6
PK - Brett Maher - DEN/9 - $3
PK - Cairo Santos - CHI/13 - $3
TD - New Orleans Saints - NO/11 - $6
TD - Los Angeles Chargers - LAC/5 - $3

5-3
6-3
7-3
9-3
10-2
11-2
13-2
14-1

Slight edit to my previous entry.

 

[(HULK)]

I really wanted Anthony Richardson on my team but I feel like he's priced higher than the general market has him rated. So, good pricing job on that. I'll probably get him on there still, but it's not as much of a shoe in as I expected.

 

[Puppies]

I am not seeing it on the mobile. Is there a certain subscription you need to qualify? I have the $47/year plan.

I have the same plan I have had for the past 10 years not seeing it either.

Well, if you go to the Footballguy.com page on your computer and look for this year's contests, they are NOT there yet either. I think the contest at the moment is only accessible through the link that the Contest Turk posted here in the forum. You can get there on your phone by browsing to this forum and clicking on the link. I'm really surpised that they have not put a link up on the regular page yet. If they want participation in the contest, they need to open the gate and let everyone in.

Here's the link: https://www.footballguys.com/contests/contest/EntryForm.php

 

[Puppies]

I really wanted Anthony Robinson on my team but I feel like he's priced higher than the general market has him rated. So, good pricing job on that. I'll probably get him on there still, but it's not as much of a shoe in as I expected.

Thanks @Contest Turk and thanks y'all for the feedback. Looks as tough as ever.

We tried pretty hard to get the bye weeks included and we will next year. I know that makes it more fun for people. I know too that some love not having them on there as it makes it more difficult but I'm not a fan of that kind of obstacle. But for this year, no bye weeks.

@Contest Turk came through with the bye weeks! Nice.

Just FYI.... @Joe Bryant , @Contest Turk

Do you realize that even though we can get to the subscriber contest through the link in this forum, and also through the link in Joe Bryant's email yesterday, the contest link still does not show up on the Contest page on Footballguys.com?

It still says "2023 Contests coming soon". You probably want to get that fixed and open the gates to people who are not reading this forum.

 

[Puppies]

I really wanted Anthony Robinson on my team but I feel like he's priced higher than the general market has him rated. So, good pricing job on that. I'll probably get him on there still, but it's not as much of a shoe in as I expected.

Did you mean Anthony "Richardson"?

 

[Irelad]

Any reason why Adam Trautman isn't an option for TE? Seems like he may leapfrog Greg Dulcich for the starting role.

 

[Joe Bryant]

I really wanted Anthony Robinson on my team but I feel like he's priced higher than the general market has him rated. So, good pricing job on that. I'll probably get him on there still, but it's not as much of a shoe in as I expected.

Thanks @Contest Turk and thanks y'all for the feedback. Looks as tough as ever.

We tried pretty hard to get the bye weeks included and we will next year. I know that makes it more fun for people. I know too that some love not having them on there as it makes it more difficult but I'm not a fan of that kind of obstacle. But for this year, no bye weeks.

@Contest Turk came through with the bye weeks! Nice.

Just FYI.... @Joe Bryant , @Contest Turk

Do you realize that even though we can get to the subscriber contest through the link in this forum, and also through the link in Joe Bryant's email yesterday, the contest link still does not show up on the Contest page on Footballguys.com?

It still says "2023 Contests coming soon". You probably want to get that fixed and open the gates to people who are not reading this forum.

Yes. It's on the list of tasks to get done today.

 

[KingPrawn]

I really wanted Anthony Robinson on my team but I feel like he's priced higher than the general market has him rated. So, good pricing job on that. I'll probably get him on there still, but it's not as much of a shoe in as I expected.

Thanks @Contest Turk and thanks y'all for the feedback. Looks as tough as ever.

We tried pretty hard to get the bye weeks included and we will next year. I know that makes it more fun for people. I know too that some love not having them on there as it makes it more difficult but I'm not a fan of that kind of obstacle. But for this year, no bye weeks.

@Contest Turk came through with the bye weeks! Nice.

Just FYI.... @Joe Bryant , @Contest Turk

Do you realize that even though we can get to the subscriber contest through the link in this forum, and also through the link in Joe Bryant's email yesterday, the contest link still does not show up on the Contest page on Footballguys.com?

It still says "2023 Contests coming soon". You probably want to get that fixed and open the gates to people who are not reading this forum.

Yes. It's on the list of tasks to get done today.

Take your time. I'm good with it this way for another couple of weeks. Increases my odds of making it past week 9

 

[apalmer]

I've always been a stud TE guy for the contest, but I can't seem to squeeze the top guys into a roster I like this year, so I may have to shift to a different strategy. I'm also looking at ditching my standard "3 $3 kicker" mantra because I can't find enough $3 guys that I'm comfortable believing will still have jobs come November.

 

[(HULK)]

I really wanted Anthony Robinson on my team but I feel like he's priced higher than the general market has him rated. So, good pricing job on that. I'll probably get him on there still, but it's not as much of a shoe in as I expected.

Did you mean Anthony "Richardson"?

Yes, phone must've auto-co-wrekted it

 

[Puppies]

I really wanted Anthony Robinson on my team but I feel like he's priced higher than the general market has him rated. So, good pricing job on that. I'll probably get him on there still, but it's not as much of a shoe in as I expected.

Did you mean Anthony "Richardson"?

Yes, phone must've auto-co-wrekted it

I agree with you that Richardson is both over-hyped and over-priced. He was a huge turnover risk at Florida and I would say a mediocre college QB at best (and I'm a Florida fan). I understand that his physical size and his running ability give him a decent upside, but he is very raw as an NFL prospect. So call me skeptical that he actually ends up being worth his cap price in the contest this year.

 

[joey]

Mahommes/Love combo seems like nice Stud + upside QB pair this year

 

[TheWinz]

4 players locked in and $12 spent

 

[Dacomish]

Kind of where I'm at, still tinker daily but mostly the K's at this point barring any injury before Lock. I wanted to go all $3 kickers, but like already mentioned earlier in the thread - I don't trust many of those to keep their jobs all season, so went with a bit more solidity there.

QB - Jared Goff - DET/9 - $14
QB - Aaron Rodgers - NYJ/7 - $14
QB - Mac Jones - NE/11 - $8
RB - Nick Chubb - CLE/5 - $30
RB - Najee Harris - PIT/6 - $25
RB - Dameon Pierce - HOU/7 - $21
RB - Cordarrelle Patterson - ATL/11 - $7
RB - Ty Chandler - MIN/13 - $3
WR - A.J. Brown - PHI/10 - $30
WR - DJ Moore - CHI/13 - $18
WR - Mike Evans - TB/5 - $16
WR - DJ Chark Jr. - CAR/7 - $8
WR - Michael Wilson - ARI/14 - $3
TE - Pat Freiermuth - PIT/6 - $17
TE - Sam LaPorta - DET/9 - $9
TE - Jake Ferguson - DAL/7 - $6
PK - Cameron Dicker - LAC/5 - $4
PK - Graham Gano - NYG/13 - $4
PK - Greg Zuerlein - NYJ/7 - $4
TD - Detroit Lions - DET/9 - $3
TD - Los Angeles Chargers - LAC/5 - $3
TD - Los Angeles Rams - LAR/10 - $3

Total value: 250

 

[msudaisy26]

QB - Trevor Lawrence - JAX/9 - $19
QB - Jordan Love - GB/6 - $9
RB - Bijan Robinson - ATL/11 - $33
RB - Brian Robinson - WAS/14 - $15
RB - Alvin Kamara - NO/11 - $15
RB - Khalil Herbert - CHI/13 - $13
RB - Tank Bigsby - JAX/9 - $9
WR - Calvin Ridley - JAX/9 - $21
WR - Christian Watson - GB/6 - $20
WR - DJ Moore - CHI/13 - $18
WR - Drake London - ATL/11 - $18
WR - Elijah Moore - CLE/5 - $11
TE - Darren Waller - NYG/13 - $17
TE - Juwan Johnson - NO/11 - $9
TE - Jake Ferguson - DAL/7 - $6
PK - Brandon McManus - JAX/9 - $4
PK - Jason Sanders - MIA/10 - $4
TD - Detroit Lions - DET/9 - $3
TD - Los Angeles Chargers - LAC/5 - $3
TD - Carolina Panthers - CAR/7 - $3

I am considering going with 2 defenses and bumping down on a receiver so I can add another cheap flier receiver.

 

[BassNBrew]

QB - Trevor Lawrence - JAX/9 - $19
QB - Jordan Love - GB/6 - $9
RB - Bijan Robinson - ATL/11 - $33
RB - Brian Robinson - WAS/14 - $15
RB - Alvin Kamara - NO/11 - $15
RB - Khalil Herbert - CHI/13 - $13
RB - Tank Bigsby - JAX/9 - $9
WR - Calvin Ridley - JAX/9 - $21
WR - Christian Watson - GB/6 - $20
WR - DJ Moore - CHI/13 - $18
WR - Drake London - ATL/11 - $18
WR - Elijah Moore - CLE/5 - $11
TE - Darren Waller - NYG/13 - $17
TE - Juwan Johnson - NO/11 - $9
TE - Jake Ferguson - DAL/7 - $6
PK - Brandon McManus - JAX/9 - $4
PK - Jason Sanders - MIA/10 - $4
TD - Detroit Lions - DET/9 - $3
TD - Los Angeles Chargers - LAC/5 - $3
TD - Carolina Panthers - CAR/7 - $3

I am considering going with 2 defenses and bumping down on a receiver so I can add another cheap flier receiver.

Not advisable IMO. I think you'll post more points with an extra defense than a cheap flier. Often what separates people in the money slots is a 9 point strip sack or 8 point pick six.

 

[Winning IS Everything]

My first stab.... Only 275 more to go. LOL

QB - Deshaun Watson - CLE/5 - $18
QB - Tua Tagovailoa - MIA/10 - $14
QB - Ryan Tannehill - TEN/7 - $8
RB - Nick Chubb - CLE/5 - $30
RB - Rachaad White - TB/5 - $19
RB - James Cook - BUF/13 - $18
RB - Raheem Mostert - MIA/10 - $10
RB - Ezekiel Elliott - NE/11 - $7
WR - Christian Kirk - JAX/9 - $20
WR - Brandon Aiyuk - SF/9 - $18
WR - Gabe Davis - BUF/13 - $12
WR - Elijah Moore - CLE/5 - $11
WR - Zay Flowers - BAL/13 - $10
WR - Van Jefferson - LAR/10 - $8
TE - Sam LaPorta - DET/9 - $9
TE - Hayden Hurst - CAR/7 - $8
TE - Jake Ferguson - DAL/7 - $6
PK - Cade York - CLE/5 - $4
PK - Jason Sanders - MIA/10 - $4
PK - Greg Zuerlein - NYJ/7 - $4
TD - Minnesota Vikings - MIN/13 - $4
TD - Seattle Seahawks - SEA/5 - $4
TD - Denver Broncos - DEN/9 - $4

 

[Irelad]

I need to go scour last year's thread, I recall someone having some interesting statistics on team size vs survival.

 

[scottybo]

I need to go scour last year's thread, I recall someone having some interesting statistics on team size vs survival.

Via @TheWinz

QB roster makeup heading into the finals

1 QB - 4 teams (all have Hurts)
2 QB's - 109 teams
3 QB's - 88 teams
4 QB's - 23 teams
5 QB's - 1 team

Via @Puppies

Statistical Trivia - Final Edition (for the 14-week regular season qualifying period)

Overall Survival Rate for the Entire Contest = 1.83%

Highest Survival Rates by Roster Size

28 = 4.07%
27 = 4.06%
24 = 3.50%
25 = 3.37%
30 = 3.10%

Lowest Survival Rates by Roster Size
18 = 1.19%
19 = 1.23%
22 = 1.79%
21 = 2.02%
20 = 2.16%

Average Cut Line - all 14 weeks = 131.34
Average Cut line - 2 teams on bye = 139.98
Average Cut line - 4 teams on bye = 123.89
Average Cut liine - 6 teams on bye = 131.25

Highest Cut line = 145.10 Week 13 (6 teams on bye)
Lowest Cut Line = 117.00 Week 11 (4 teams on bye)

Average cut line movement for a single Monday Night game = 6.06 points
Highest Movement = 8.35 (week 5; No teams on bye)
Lowest Movement = 2.40 (week 13 - 2 teams on bye)

 

[steelerfan1]

QB - Trevor Lawrence - JAX/9 - $19
QB - Jordan Love - GB/6 - $9
RB - Nick Chubb - CLE/5 - $30
RB - Najee Harris - PIT/6 - $25
RB - Alvin Kamara - NO/11 - $15
RB - Khalil Herbert - CHI/13 - $13
WR - CeeDee Lamb - DAL/7 - $31
WR - DJ Moore - CHI/13 - $18
WR - George Pickens - PIT/6 - $15
WR - Jahan Dotson - WAS/14 - $14
TE - Travis Kelce - KC/10 - $35
TE - Dawson Knox - BUF/13 - $8
PK - Brett Maher - DEN/9 - $3
PK - Cairo Santos - CHI/13 - $3
PK - Ka'imi Fairbairn - HOU/7 - $3
TD - Los Angeles Chargers - LAC/5 - $3
TD - Tennessee Titans - TEN/7 - $3
TD - Los Angeles Rams - LAR/10 - $3

 

[IHEARTFF]

this is not addictive or anything so thats cool

 

[wollac]

I guess I know what I'll be doing over the next couple weeks.

 

[SeniorVBDStudent]

this is not addictive or anything so thats cool

Hi. My name is Veebs and I'm an auctionbestballdraftaholic.

 

[Irelad]

Last year I got eliminated in Week 10 with a 22 team roster. Early this season I was gravitating towards going with some big names and then filling out with low-cost fliers, but that kept ending up with teams of only 18 or 19 players. Here's my first attempt to make a 28 player roster. Week 13 bye is going to be a rough week for everyone I'm guessing.

QB - Kirk Cousins - MIN/13 - $17
QB - Tua Tagovailoa - MIA/10 - $14
RB - James Cook - BUF/13 - $18
RB - Isiah Pacheco - KC/10 - $18
RB - Zach Charbonnet - SEA/5 - $14
RB - Khalil Herbert - CHI/13 - $13
RB - Elijah Mitchell - SF/9 - $10
RB - Tank Bigsby - JAX/9 - $9
RB - Ezekiel Elliott - NE/11 - $7
RB - Kyren Williams - LAR/10 - $4
WR - DJ Moore - CHI/13 - $18
WR - George Pickens - PIT/6 - $15
WR - Courtland Sutton - DEN/9 - $12
WR - Odell Beckham Jr. - BAL/13 - $9
WR - Romeo Doubs - GB/6 - $9
WR - Joshua Palmer - LAC/5 - $6
WR - Darius Slayton - NYG/13 - $5
WR - Corey Davis - NYJ/7 - $3
WR - Greg Dortch - ARI/14 - $3
TE - Dalton Kincaid - BUF/13 - $10
TE - Sam LaPorta - DET/9 - $9
TE - Taysom Hill - NO/11 - $8
PK - Greg Zuerlein - NYJ/7 - $4
PK - Dustin Hopkins - LAC/5 - $3
PK - Cairo Santos - CHI/13 - $3
TD - Atlanta Falcons - ATL/11 - $3
TD - Detroit Lions - DET/9 - $3
TD - Los Angeles Rams - LAR/10 - $3

 

[SeniorVBDStudent]

Which teams have the MOST UNCERTAINTY wrt distribution of carries?

SEA, CHI, ATL

Agree or disagree?

 

[Irelad]

Which teams have the MOST UNCERTAINTY wrt distribution of carries?

SEA, CHI, ATL

Agree or disagree?

Most of what I've read says Khalil Herbert is pretty clearly the lead back. Obviously Justin Fields will have carries, but seems clearer than others. I would add PHI in there. Lots of mouths to feed there, not convinced Swift will be the clear leading back.

 

[Grid71]

Any chance we get Rico Dowdle added to the RB list for $3? Asking for a friend.

 

[Hot Sauce Guy]

Somehow I’m still on mg 1st iteration of the roster.

I can’t bring myself to change it.

 

[Hot Sauce Guy]

Any chance we get Rico Dowdle added to the RB list for $3? Asking for a friend.

I wouldn’t hold my breath on changes after the release of the contest.

 

[Hot Sauce Guy]

this is not addictive or anything so thats cool

this is not addictive or anything so thats cool

Hi. My name is Veebs and I'm an auctionbestballdraftaholic.

4 players locked in and $12 spent

I love you guys

 

[Hot Sauce Guy]

Weeks 9 & 13 are gonna be tricky.

 

[TwinTurbo]

I need to go scour last year's thread, I recall someone having some interesting statistics on team size vs survival.

Via @TheWinz

QB roster makeup heading into the finals

1 QB - 4 teams (all have Hurts)
2 QB's - 109 teams
3 QB's - 88 teams
4 QB's - 23 teams
5 QB's - 1 team

Via @Puppies

Statistical Trivia - Final Edition (for the 14-week regular season qualifying period)

Overall Survival Rate for the Entire Contest = 1.83%

Highest Survival Rates by Roster Size

28 = 4.07%
27 = 4.06%
24 = 3.50%
25 = 3.37%
30 = 3.10%

Lowest Survival Rates by Roster Size
18 = 1.19%
19 = 1.23%
22 = 1.79%
21 = 2.02%
20 = 2.16%

Average Cut Line - all 14 weeks = 131.34
Average Cut line - 2 teams on bye = 139.98
Average Cut line - 4 teams on bye = 123.89
Average Cut liine - 6 teams on bye = 131.25

Highest Cut line = 145.10 Week 13 (6 teams on bye)
Lowest Cut Line = 117.00 Week 11 (4 teams on bye)

Average cut line movement for a single Monday Night game = 6.06 points
Highest Movement = 8.35 (week 5; No teams on bye)
Lowest Movement = 2.40 (week 13 - 2 teams on bye)

The survival rate data during the qualifying period is as you would expect, but how does it compare to the finals data? Has there ever been a year where a 27-28 roster size won or placed in the top 10?

Also I suspect the survival rate for a smaller roster size where all players stayed healthy is likely much higher than the survival rate for the field.

 

[a_troll00]

I need to go scour last year's thread, I recall someone having some interesting statistics on team size vs survival.

Via @TheWinz

QB roster makeup heading into the finals

1 QB - 4 teams (all have Hurts)
2 QB's - 109 teams
3 QB's - 88 teams
4 QB's - 23 teams
5 QB's - 1 team

Via @Puppies

Statistical Trivia - Final Edition (for the 14-week regular season qualifying period)

Overall Survival Rate for the Entire Contest = 1.83%

Highest Survival Rates by Roster Size

28 = 4.07%
27 = 4.06%
24 = 3.50%
25 = 3.37%
30 = 3.10%

Lowest Survival Rates by Roster Size
18 = 1.19%
19 = 1.23%
22 = 1.79%
21 = 2.02%
20 = 2.16%

Average Cut Line - all 14 weeks = 131.34
Average Cut line - 2 teams on bye = 139.98
Average Cut line - 4 teams on bye = 123.89
Average Cut liine - 6 teams on bye = 131.25

Highest Cut line = 145.10 Week 13 (6 teams on bye)
Lowest Cut Line = 117.00 Week 11 (4 teams on bye)

Average cut line movement for a single Monday Night game = 6.06 points
Highest Movement = 8.35 (week 5; No teams on bye)
Lowest Movement = 2.40 (week 13 - 2 teams on bye)

The survival rate data during the qualifying period is as you would expect, but how does it compare to the finals data? Has there ever been a year where a 27-28 roster size won or placed in the top 10?

Also I suspect the survival rate for a smaller roster size where all players stayed healthy is likely much higher than the survival rate for the field.

I recall the top teams in the finals were much closer to 18 players than 28.

The top teams were those that nailed their studs rather than having a deep roster.

 

[TwinTurbo]

I need to go scour last year's thread, I recall someone having some interesting statistics on team size vs survival.

Via @TheWinz

QB roster makeup heading into the finals

1 QB - 4 teams (all have Hurts)
2 QB's - 109 teams
3 QB's - 88 teams
4 QB's - 23 teams
5 QB's - 1 team

Via @Puppies

Statistical Trivia - Final Edition (for the 14-week regular season qualifying period)

Overall Survival Rate for the Entire Contest = 1.83%

Highest Survival Rates by Roster Size

28 = 4.07%
27 = 4.06%
24 = 3.50%
25 = 3.37%
30 = 3.10%

Lowest Survival Rates by Roster Size
18 = 1.19%
19 = 1.23%
22 = 1.79%
21 = 2.02%
20 = 2.16%

Average Cut Line - all 14 weeks = 131.34
Average Cut line - 2 teams on bye = 139.98
Average Cut line - 4 teams on bye = 123.89
Average Cut liine - 6 teams on bye = 131.25

Highest Cut line = 145.10 Week 13 (6 teams on bye)
Lowest Cut Line = 117.00 Week 11 (4 teams on bye)

Average cut line movement for a single Monday Night game = 6.06 points
Highest Movement = 8.35 (week 5; No teams on bye)
Lowest Movement = 2.40 (week 13 - 2 teams on bye)

The survival rate data during the qualifying period is as you would expect, but how does it compare to the finals data? Has there ever been a year where a 27-28 roster size won or placed in the top 10?

Also I suspect the survival rate for a smaller roster size where all players stayed healthy is likely much higher than the survival rate for the field.

I recall the top teams in the finals were much closer to 18 players than 28.

The top teams were those that nailed their studs rather than having a deep roster.

Yes that was my recollection as well. It would be interesting to see the survival rates for roster sizes where all players stayed healthy and played in all their games. My guess is the results would flip.