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2023 FBG Subscriber Contest (1 Viewer)

:kicksrock: Meant to get this in but I’ll probably change it again anyway. My TEs are a definite risk both for bye weeks and two rookies. :oldunsure:

QB - Trevor Lawrence - JAX/9 - $19
QB - Jordan Love - GB/6 - $9
RB - Nick Chubb - CLE/5 - $30
RB - Dameon Pierce - HOU/7 - $21
RB - James Cook - BUF/13 - $18
RB - Alvin Kamara - NO/11 - $15
RB - Roschon Johnson - CHI/13 - $8
WR - Garrett Wilson - NYJ/7 - $29
WR - Calvin Ridley - JAX/9 - $21
WR - Diontae Johnson - PIT/6 - $18
WR - Marvin Mims Jr. - DEN/9 - $8
WR - Justyn Ross - KC/10 - $5
TE - Darren Waller - NYG/13 - $17
TE - Dalton Kincaid - BUF/13 - $10
TE - Luke Musgrave - GB/6 - $6
PK - Jason Sanders - MIA/10 - $4
PK - Dustin Hopkins - CLE/5 - $3
PK - Anders Carlson - GB/6 - $3
TD - Detroit Lions - DET/9 - $3
TD - Tennessee Titans - TEN/7 - $3
 
I haven’t been on in a few days, so I missed the extra challenge, which is sad because I’ve been rolling with the same lineup for about a week. There’s really no benefit for me to post it until the contest closes at this point.
 
Not sure if I'll keep this, but maybe I will for the sake of the $100 and to keep my sanity next few days.

Picked the stud QB with the earliest bye and tried to see if I could build a roster where I might survive without spending ~$8 on a QB who would likely only count one week. Did that by loading up on as many studs as possible at other positions (with enough depth to survive, hopefully). 7 out of 8 skill guys scores will count in week 6... and 7 out of 9 will count in weeks 11 and 13... but my "cheap" guys aren't terrible. This is a very different approach than I've had in the past, both in terms of the 1-QB and also lack of depth. Didn't like taking all $3 kickers either.

QB - Joe Burrow - CIN/7 - $21

RB - Austin Ekeler - LAC/5 - $34
RB - Christian McCaffrey - SF/9 - $34
RB - Alvin Kamara - NO/11 - $15
RB - Jaylen Warren - PIT/6 - $11

Also heavily considered were J Cook and T Chandler

WR - Tyreek Hill - MIA/10 - $33
WR - Chris Olave - NO/11 - $27
WR - Jahan Dotson - WAS/14 - $14
WR - Zay Flowers - BAL/13 - $10
WR - Jayden Reed - GB/6 - $7

Also heavily considered were C Ridley, M Thomas, V Jefferson, I Hodgins, T Atwell, M Wilson

TE - Darren Waller - NYG/13 - $17
TE - Luke Musgrave - GB/6 - $6
TE - Jake Ferguson - DAL/7 - $6

Also heavily considered were D Kincaid, S LaPorta, C Otton

PK - Anders Carlson - GB/6 - $3
PK - Cairo Santos - CHI/13 - $3
PK - Ka'imi Fairbairn - HOU/7 - $3

TD - Detroit Lions - DET/9 - $3
TD - Los Angeles Chargers - LAC/5 - $3
I like this better if you dump Warren and convert Waller to Kelce.
 
Your team has been successfully entered .

QB - Patrick Mahomes - KC/10 - $25
QB - Kenny Pickett - PIT/6 - $10
RB - Nick Chubb - CLE/5 - $30
RB - Joe Mixon - CIN/7 - $24
RB - James Cook - BUF/13 - $18
RB - Raheem Mostert - MIA/10 - $10
RB - Ezekiel Elliott - NE/11 - $7
WR - Brandon Aiyuk - SF/9 - $18
WR - George Pickens - PIT/6 - $15
WR - Jahan Dotson - WAS/14 - $14
WR - Van Jefferson - LAR/10 - $8
WR - Joshua Palmer - LAC/5 - $6
WR - Parris Campbell - NYG/13 - $4
WR - Tank Dell - HOU/7 - $3
WR - Michael Wilson - ARI/14 - $3
TE - Evan Engram - JAX/9 - $15
TE - Dalton Kincaid - BUF/13 - $10
TE - Hayden Hurst - CAR/7 - $8
TE - Luke Musgrave - GB/6 - $6
PK - Cameron Dicker - LAC/5 - $4
PK - Cairo Santos - CHI/13 - $3
PK - Ka'imi Fairbairn - HOU/7 - $3
TD - Atlanta Falcons - ATL/11 - $3
TD - Carolina Panthers - CAR/7 - $3

Total value: 250

Here's my 2023 entry. It's based somewhat on lessons learned last year, although there is no guarantee that it plays out to any advantage. I'm not exactly comfortable with it and I know I'm weak at WR, but that's partially because I dumped one receiver to add an additional TE for better overall value. I went Stud and Dud on QB, hoping it gives me a better floor each week, and I do think Pickett may surprise some people this year. He definitely has the supporting cast, as well as a much better offensive line. He has Johnson, Pickens, Freiermuth, and Robinson for receivers, as well as (the 'other ' Calvin), Calvin Austin, who was a promising 4th round pick last year but missed the entire season after an injury in camp. Perhaps PIckett would have done better last year if he had not had to spend half of his time in the backfield scrambling for his life. Hopefully he will do well enough to fill in on the bye week and also provide some decent weekly numbers in case Mahommes had some bad weeks. I may have overspent on RB for what I got, but I wanted to roster 2 that I felt would likely count each week. I feel good about TE and I'm hoping to get a flex score from a TE most weeks. I normally do only $3 kickers, but I don't want another Roberto Blankenship fiasco, so I spent an extra dollar there. Defenses were chosen based on fitting the bye weeks and also having some of the easiest schedules. I ended up with a roster of 24, although I'm not sure I wouldn't have been better off consolidating a couple players to get another better WR. I know that statistically you are better off with a larger linup, but it's difficult to feel like you have en ough scorers if you do. My last dilemma was should I dump one of my $3 lottery tickets in favor of a 3rd defense. I couldn't make up my mind so I opted not to (unless I change my mind before midnight). So that said, this is my dice roll for 2023.
This team instantly scores more points if you dump either Elliot or Mosert for 2-3 more defenses or bump Aiyuk to Waddle/Higgins/Olave.
 
In for the bonus contest.

Usually, I go for an 18 size roster but went for 21 this year as I spent less on TE than normal. Kamara was in every lineup submission as he is one of the most underpriced players. If your lineup cannot handle being without him for 3 weeks, your team isn't going anywhere. Waller was also in almost every lineup.

Traded out Mahomes for Herbert and Moss as I wanted the early QB bye since I am going cheap on QB2 and Moss has a path to big value.

Moss, Michael Wilson and $2 in kickers would normally have been traded for a more useful $9 player or a TE upgrade but I ran into a lot of bye week issues and I felt the $15-$21 TEs other than Waller were overpriced and/or too likely to miss time so I went with popular dart throws at rb/wr and $4 kickers instead.

Your team has been successfully entered.

QB - Justin Herbert - LAC/5 - $21
QB - Sam Howell - WAS/14 - $8

RB - Christian McCaffrey - SF/9 - $34
RB - Joe Mixon - CIN/7 - $24
RB - James Cook - BUF/13 - $18
RB - Alvin Kamara - NO/11 - $15
RB - Zack Moss - IND/11 - $4

WR - Mike Williams - LAC/5 - $17
WR - George Pickens - PIT/6 - $15
WR - Jahan Dotson - WAS/14 - $14
WR - Michael Thomas - NO/11 - $12
WR - Zay Flowers - BAL/13 - $10
WR - Nico Collins - HOU/7 - $10
WR - Michael Wilson - ARI/14 - $3

TE - Darren Waller - NYG/13 - $17
TE - Hunter Henry - NE/11 - $8
TE - Luke Musgrave - GB/6 - $6

PK - Cameron Dicker - LAC/5 - $4
PK - Jason Sanders - MIA/10 - $4

TD - Detroit Lions - DET/9 - $3
TD - Carolina Panthers - CAR/7 - $3

Total value: 250
IMO another example of too much RB. Cook is projected for 178 points, Aiyuk/London 208 points. Now maybe you have Cook exceeding the expert projections by more that 20%...there's got to be a RB you have rostered that you don't feel comfortable doing that. If you expect all your RBs to do that, then Cmacs 289 should become Hill at 327.
 
Well shoot, my email didn't give me notification of updates and being tagged, and changed my roster since that Page 3 post. I didn't change it all weekend, so if I posted it now it would be the same roster I had before the deadline, but looks like I missed it. For the record, this is what I'm rolling with, but totally accept I missed the cut for the bonus prize:

QB - Tua Tagovailoa - MIA/10 - $14
QB - Jared Goff - DET/9 - $14
RB - Nick Chubb - CLE/5 - $30
RB - Dameon Pierce - HOU/7 - $21
RB - Khalil Herbert - CHI/13 - $13
RB - Tank Bigsby - JAX/9 - $9
RB - Ezekiel Elliott - NE/11 - $7
RB - Kyren Williams - LAR/10 - $4
RB - Ty Chandler - MIN/13 - $3
RB - Chris Evans - CIN/7 - $3
WR - A.J. Brown - PHI/10 - $30
WR - Tyler Lockett - SEA/5 - $19
WR - Jahan Dotson - WAS/14 - $14
WR - Courtland Sutton - DEN/9 - $12
WR - Josh Reynolds - DET/9 - $3
WR - Michael Wilson - ARI/14 - $3
TE - Darren Waller - NYG/13 - $17
TE - Sam LaPorta - DET/9 - $9
TE - Taysom Hill - NO/11 - $8
PK - Brandon McManus - JAX/9 - $4
PK - Greg Zuerlein - NYJ/7 - $4
TD - New York Jets - NYJ/7 - $6
TD - Chicago Bears - CHI/13 - $3
 
Alright break down of what SHOULD be my final rooster (it's the same as the one above - this is just the big 'ol breakdown post):

QB - 2 for $31

QB - Joe Burrow - CIN/7 - $21
QB - Kenny Pickett - PIT/6 - $10

Still hate going 2 QB but it generally seems to be the risk to take on here and frankly the very low dollar options just seem like such throwaways. Joey B is my guy and I have to have him especially at this kind of price point. Pickett was on exactly zero of my permutations or even preliminary thoughts still I saw him in the thread and ran the numbers a bit more. Week 6 is such a great bye and it does really seem like he should take the next step - at least compared to Love who's got virtually no game action and Howell who feels like a pure gamble. I hate the Steelers lol but I am resigned to doing this ;)



-QG

Welcome to the Dark Side.
 
So I wake up this morning and see that NO has listed Taysom Hill as their QB2 instead of TE as an effort to game the new QB3 rule. Assuming they follow through with that strategy, that means if Carr gets hurt Hill has to be the replacement for the rest of the game (3rd QB can't play unless Hill gets hurt). That probably bumps his value enough that I'd have rostered him had they announced it last week.
 
So I wake up this morning and see that NO has listed Taysom Hill as their QB2 instead of TE as an effort to game the new QB3 rule. Assuming they follow through with that strategy, that means if Carr gets hurt Hill has to be the replacement for the rest of the game (3rd QB can't play unless Hill gets hurt). That probably bumps his value enough that I'd have rostered him had they announced it last week.
Seems like lighting $8 on fire to me, personally.
 
My updated team, may do one more time, but just in case I do not....

QB - Trevor Lawrence - JAX/9 - $19
QB - Sam Howell - WAS/14 - $8
RB - Nick Chubb - CLE/5 - $30
RB - James Cook - BUF/13 - $18
RB - Alvin Kamara - NO/11 - $15
RB - Jaylen Warren - PIT/6 - $11
RB - Raheem Mostert - MIA/10 - $10
RB - Ezekiel Elliott - NE/11 - $7
WR - Garrett Wilson - NYJ/7 - $29
WR - Calvin Ridley - JAX/9 - $21
WR - Gabe Davis - BUF/13 - $12
WR - Zay Flowers - BAL/13 - $10
WR - Marvin Mims Jr. - DEN/9 - $8
WR - Tank Dell - HOU/7 - $3
WR - Michael Wilson - ARI/14 - $3
TE - Darren Waller - NYG/13 - $17
TE - Sam LaPorta - DET/9 - $9
TE - Luke Musgrave - GB/6 - $6
PK - Michael Badgley - DET/9 - $3
PK - Ka'imi Fairbairn - HOU/7 - $3
TD - New York Giants - NYG/13 - $4
TD - Jacksonville Jaguars - JAX/9 - $4

Total value: 250
If you're only going with two kickers, you might at least want two that are actually on active rosters. Just sayin'...
Thanks for the heads up, I missed that. I am out on the extra 100 since I had to edit after the deadline, but I think I have rostered kickers now. LOL
 
QB - Justin Herbert - LAC/5 - $21
QB - Sam Howell - WAS/14 - $8
RB - Nick Chubb - CLE/5 - $30
RB - Tony Pollard - DAL/7 - $29
RB - Roschon Johnson - CHI/13 - $8
RB - Ezekiel Elliott - NE/11 - $7
RB - Zack Moss - IND/11 - $4
WR - Garrett Wilson - NYJ/7 - $29
WR - Keenan Allen - LAC/5 - $21
WR - Diontae Johnson - PIT/6 - $18
WR - Elijah Moore - CLE/5 - $11
WR - Nico Collins - HOU/7 - $10
WR - Isaiah Hodgins - NYG/13 - $6
TE - Dalton Kincaid - BUF/13 - $10
TE - Sam LaPorta - DET/9 - $9
TE - Hayden Hurst - CAR/7 - $8
PK - Jason Sanders - MIA/10 - $4
PK - Riley Patterson - DET/9 - $4
PK - Greg Zuerlein - NYJ/7 - $4
TD - New York Jets - NYJ/7 - $6
TD - Los Angeles Chargers - LAC/5 - $3

Total value: 250
 
Don't see myself changing at this point, so I'll do the analysis thing, too:

QB - Patrick Mahomes - KC/10 - $25
QB - Kenny Pickett - PIT/6 - $10

2 QBs definitely makes me nervous, but there's a huge difference between what the big 3 will score and what 2nd or 3rd tier guys will score, so I decided I wanted one of them. Allen almost carried me to the finals last year, but that Week 13 bye was too much to risk. Spending big bucks on Mahomes meant only one backup, so I went homer on Pickett who I think is vastly under-rated. With all the targets he has, he'll score some points (hopefully when I need them). Waffled on him or Love, but as fate would have it, they play each other on Mahomes's bye week and I'd rather have Kenny v. the GB defense than Love v. Pgh.

RB - Nick Chubb - CLE/5 - $30
RB - Dameon Pierce - HOU/7 - $21
RB - Alvin Kamara - NO/11 - $15
RB - Khalil Herbert - CHI/13 - $13
RB - Kyren Williamsz - LAR/10 - $4

Chubb is the best priced top RB, and Pierce and Kamara seemed like bargains. I bounced back and forth between Herbert, Warren and Tank at that 4th RB. I finally decided that Herbert's down side is he might get pushed into a committee. Meanwhile, I'd be hoping that Warren or Tank could push their way into a committee situation. Why not go with the guy being chased than those doing the chasing? Besides, with Kamara missing the first 3 weeks, it's nice to have the early coverage from Herbert. If Herbert loses carries later, Kamara will be there. Williams seemed like a good dart throw. Five different bye weeks means 4 active all the time.

WR - Calvin Ridley - JAX/9 - $21
WR - Drake London - ATL/11 - $18
WR - Diontae Johnson - PIT/6 - $18
WR - Jahan Dotson - WAS/14 - $14
WR - Zay Flowers - BAL/13 - $10
WR - Michael Wilson - ARI/14 - $3

Tried to pretty much go with guys who have a good chance to outproduce their prices. Ridley, London and Johnson all have top 15 potential. Dotson should be a WR2/3 at worst, and may be on the WR2 side consistently if McLaurin's toe issues continue (as us Yinzers know, it was turf toe that ended Jack Lambert's career, so never take it lightly). Five different bye weeks, with only my $3 dart throw on bye the same week as Dotson. Extra factor is none of my WRs have the same bye weeks as Chubb and Pierce, so I'll have extra flex coverage on the weeks they're out (similarly, none of my top 4 RBs share byes with any of my top 4 WRs, so I'll have extra RB flexes available on the weeks my WRs are down).

TE - Dalton Kincaid - BUF/13 - $10
TE - Sam LaPorta - DET/9 - $9
TE - Luke Musgrave - GB/6 - $6
TE - Jake Ferguson - DAL/7 - $6

I've ALWAYS been a stud TE guy in the contest (last year I had Hockenson, Goedert and Schultz} but I got priced out of those guys this year and decided to try the young guns shotgun approach. I briefly had Waller in there, but decided to go with Kincaid and LaPorta for almost the same cost. None of these guys are going to outscore Kelce, but they have enough potential that one of them could keep me close most weeks. Since their total cost is less than Kelce, it freed up money for RBs and WRs.

PK - Cameron Dicker - LAC/5 - $4
PK - Brandon McManus - JAX/9 - $4
PK - Ka'imi Fairbairn - HOU/7 - $3

Like eveeryone else, I hated the $3 kickers this year. Most of my teams had 3 $4 guys, but I needed $4 to upgrade from Tank to Herbert, so I cut a D and dropped down to Fairbairn.

TD - Los Angeles Chargers - LAC/5 - $3
TD - Carolina Panthers - CAR/7 - $3

I usually go with 3, but money was just too tight this year, so went with two decent D's with early byes. FWIW, Draft Dominator says there's little or no difference between projected points for any of the $3, $4 and most of the $5 Ds, so there's no reason to go higher unless you want to spring for $6 teams.
I’ve been flirting with almost the same roster and most of the same dilemmas this past couple weeks…I like where you landed
 
Here's my first iteration from day 1 and the final version. Only 3 players carried through from the original. Which would you rather?

Original​
Final​
QB – Jalen Hurts​
QB – Joe Burrow​
QB – Mac Jones​
QB – Baker Mayfield​
RB – Travis Etienne Jr.​
RB – Christian McCaffrey​
RB – Rachaad White​
RB – Bijan Robinson​
RB – Khalil Herbert​
RB – Deuce Vaughn​
RB – Zach Evans
RB – Zach Evans
RB – Kareem Hunt​
RB – Ty Chandler​
WR – Amon-Ra St. Brown​
WR – Justin Jefferson​
WR – Garret Wilson​
WR – Tyreek Hill​
WR – Gabe Davis​
WR – George Pickens​
WR – Quentin Johnston​
WR – Justyn Ross​
WR – Rashee Rice​
WR – Cedric Tillman​
WR – Josh Reynolds​
TE – Juwan Johnson​
TE – Kyle Pitts​
TE – Luke Musgrave​
TE – Pat Freiermuth​
TE – Logan Thomas​
TE – Jake Ferguson
TE – Jake Ferguson
TE – Isaiah Likely​
TE – Darnell Washington​
TE – Donald Parham Jr.
TE – Donald Parham Jr.
PK – Brett Maher​
PK – Cameron Dicker​
PK – Ka’imi Fairbairn​
PK – Anders Carlson​
TD – LA Chargers​
TD – Atlanta Falcons​
TD – LA Rams​
TD – Houston Texans​
 
So I wake up this morning and see that NO has listed Taysom Hill as their QB2 instead of TE as an effort to game the new QB3 rule. Assuming they follow through with that strategy, that means if Carr gets hurt Hill has to be the replacement for the rest of the game (3rd QB can't play unless Hill gets hurt). That probably bumps his value enough that I'd have rostered him had they announced it last week.

RE: Taysom HIll as QB

A little bit confusing... but according to the rules, if Taysom Hill is listed as QB, but he lines up as TE, he cannot get points for receptions, so he does not get the normal 1.5 ppr as he would if he were listed as a TE. But he can get points for a receiving TD or rushing TD when playing as a TE (because he's now a QB, and QBs get points for that).... so he can get points for everything a QB normally gets points for when playing as QB.

❓ But the plot thickens.... because the above assumes he is listed on the contest entry as a QB, and at the present moment, he IS NOT. He is still listed as a TE.

So I think ultimately it depends on whether or not the contest entry lists him as TE or a QB when it officially locks at 12:00am on Thursday. If he's still listed as a TE, then I think he will be able to have all the options that both a QB and a TE have, as listed in the rules.

Since this can possibly affect the scoring and the integrity of the contest, @Joe Bryant , and @Contest Turk , can you please chime in and clarify this latest development and let us know how it will be handled?

Thank you!!
 
So I wake up this morning and see that NO has listed Taysom Hill as their QB2 instead of TE as an effort to game the new QB3 rule. Assuming they follow through with that strategy, that means if Carr gets hurt Hill has to be the replacement for the rest of the game (3rd QB can't play unless Hill gets hurt). That probably bumps his value enough that I'd have rostered him had they announced it last week.

RE: Taysom HIll as QB

A little bit confusing... but according to the rules, if Taysom Hill is listed as QB, but he lines up as TE, he cannot get points for receptions, so he does not get the normal 1.5 ppr as he would if he were listed as a TE. But he can get points for a receiving TD or rushing TD when playing as a TE (because he's now a QB, and QBs get points for that).... so he can get points for everything a QB normally gets points for when playing as QB.

❓ But the plot thickens.... because the above assumes he is listed on the contest entry as a QB, and at the present moment, he IS NOT. He is still listed as a TE.

So I think ultimately it depends on whether or not the contest entry lists him as TE or a QB when it officially locks at 12:00am on Thursday. If he's still listed as a TE, then I think he will be able to have all the options that both a QB and a TE have, as listed in the rules.

Since this can possibly affect the scoring and the integrity of the contest, @Joe Bryant , and @Contest Turk , can you please chime in and clarify this latest development and let us know how it will be handled?

Thank you!!
I don't see any way they change his designation in the contest. Too many people have already submitted lineups counting on his TE designation.
 
So I wake up this morning and see that NO has listed Taysom Hill as their QB2 instead of TE as an effort to game the new QB3 rule. Assuming they follow through with that strategy, that means if Carr gets hurt Hill has to be the replacement for the rest of the game (3rd QB can't play unless Hill gets hurt). That probably bumps his value enough that I'd have rostered him had they announced it last week.

RE: Taysom HIll as QB

A little bit confusing... but according to the rules, if Taysom Hill is listed as QB, but he lines up as TE, he cannot get points for receptions, so he does not get the normal 1.5 ppr as he would if he were listed as a TE. But he can get points for a receiving TD or rushing TD when playing as a TE (because he's now a QB, and QBs get points for that).... so he can get points for everything a QB normally gets points for when playing as QB.

❓ But the plot thickens.... because the above assumes he is listed on the contest entry as a QB, and at the present moment, he IS NOT. He is still listed as a TE.

So I think ultimately it depends on whether or not the contest entry lists him as TE or a QB when it officially locks at 12:00am on Thursday. If he's still listed as a TE, then I think he will be able to have all the options that both a QB and a TE have, as listed in the rules.

Since this can possibly affect the scoring and the integrity of the contest, @Joe Bryant , and @Contest Turk , can you please chime in and clarify this latest development and let us know how it will be handled?

Thank you!!
I don't see any way they change his designation in the contest. Too many people have already submitted lineups counting on his TE designation.

Agreed. Probably the simplest solution is to just let it sit as it is, and then Hill can get points as either a TE or a QB. So in that case, this plays out exactly as it did last year and people that rostered him get a boost if he is involved in some plays as the QB. This is essentially the same as some situations where a RB throws a pass.
 
Well shoot, my email didn't give me notification of updates and being tagged, and changed my roster since that Page 3 post. I didn't change it all weekend, so if I posted it now it would be the same roster I had before the deadline, but looks like I missed it. For the record, this is what I'm rolling with, but totally accept I missed the cut for the bonus prize:

QB - Tua Tagovailoa - MIA/10 - $14
QB - Jared Goff - DET/9 - $14
RB - Nick Chubb - CLE/5 - $30
RB - Dameon Pierce - HOU/7 - $21
RB - Khalil Herbert - CHI/13 - $13
RB - Tank Bigsby - JAX/9 - $9
RB - Ezekiel Elliott - NE/11 - $7
RB - Kyren Williams - LAR/10 - $4
RB - Ty Chandler - MIN/13 - $3
RB - Chris Evans - CIN/7 - $3
WR - A.J. Brown - PHI/10 - $30
WR - Tyler Lockett - SEA/5 - $19
WR - Jahan Dotson - WAS/14 - $14
WR - Courtland Sutton - DEN/9 - $12
WR - Josh Reynolds - DET/9 - $3
WR - Michael Wilson - ARI/14 - $3
TE - Darren Waller - NYG/13 - $17
TE - Sam LaPorta - DET/9 - $9
TE - Taysom Hill - NO/11 - $8
PK - Brandon McManus - JAX/9 - $4
PK - Greg Zuerlein - NYJ/7 - $4
TD - New York Jets - NYJ/7 - $6
TD - Chicago Bears - CHI/13 - $3
If this indeed matches a page 3 lineup, and is still the official entry for the contest, then I think it should be allowed in the bonus contest. Just my $0.02.

Look at me being liberal with someone else's money...

ETA...wait, I think I misread. You said you DID change the lineup since the early posted version...Never mind. I can't help you, dude.
 
So I wake up this morning and see that NO has listed Taysom Hill as their QB2 instead of TE as an effort to game the new QB3 rule. Assuming they follow through with that strategy, that means if Carr gets hurt Hill has to be the replacement for the rest of the game (3rd QB can't play unless Hill gets hurt). That probably bumps his value enough that I'd have rostered him had they announced it last week.

RE: Taysom HIll as QB

A little bit confusing... but according to the rules, if Taysom Hill is listed as QB, but he lines up as TE, he cannot get points for receptions, so he does not get the normal 1.5 ppr as he would if he were listed as a TE. But he can get points for a receiving TD or rushing TD when playing as a TE (because he's now a QB, and QBs get points for that).... so he can get points for everything a QB normally gets points for when playing as QB.

❓ But the plot thickens.... because the above assumes he is listed on the contest entry as a QB, and at the present moment, he IS NOT. He is still listed as a TE.

So I think ultimately it depends on whether or not the contest entry lists him as TE or a QB when it officially locks at 12:00am on Thursday. If he's still listed as a TE, then I think he will be able to have all the options that both a QB and a TE have, as listed in the rules.

Since this can possibly affect the scoring and the integrity of the contest, @Joe Bryant , and @Contest Turk , can you please chime in and clarify this latest development and let us know how it will be handled?

Thank you!!
I don't see any way they change his designation in the contest. Too many people have already submitted lineups counting on his TE designation.

Agreed. Probably the simplest solution is to just let it sit as it is, and then Hill can get points as either a TE or a QB. So in that case, this plays out exactly as it did last year and people that rostered him get a boost if he is involved in some plays as the QB. This is essentially the same as some situations where a RB throws a pass.

Correct. For the purposes of this contest, Hill is a TE. He will therefore get TE reception points.
 
Well shoot, my email didn't give me notification of updates and being tagged, and changed my roster since that Page 3 post. I didn't change it all weekend, so if I posted it now it would be the same roster I had before the deadline, but looks like I missed it. For the record, this is what I'm rolling with, but totally accept I missed the cut for the bonus prize:

QB - Tua Tagovailoa - MIA/10 - $14
QB - Jared Goff - DET/9 - $14
RB - Nick Chubb - CLE/5 - $30
RB - Dameon Pierce - HOU/7 - $21
RB - Khalil Herbert - CHI/13 - $13
RB - Tank Bigsby - JAX/9 - $9
RB - Ezekiel Elliott - NE/11 - $7
RB - Kyren Williams - LAR/10 - $4
RB - Ty Chandler - MIN/13 - $3
RB - Chris Evans - CIN/7 - $3
WR - A.J. Brown - PHI/10 - $30
WR - Tyler Lockett - SEA/5 - $19
WR - Jahan Dotson - WAS/14 - $14
WR - Courtland Sutton - DEN/9 - $12
WR - Josh Reynolds - DET/9 - $3
WR - Michael Wilson - ARI/14 - $3
TE - Darren Waller - NYG/13 - $17
TE - Sam LaPorta - DET/9 - $9
TE - Taysom Hill - NO/11 - $8
PK - Brandon McManus - JAX/9 - $4
PK - Greg Zuerlein - NYJ/7 - $4
TD - New York Jets - NYJ/7 - $6
TD - Chicago Bears - CHI/13 - $3
Honestly the +EV move is to change your contest entry back. It wasn't that bad and $100 for a top 250 finish is much more likely than finishing in the top 6.
 
Well shoot, my email didn't give me notification of updates and being tagged, and changed my roster since that Page 3 post. I didn't change it all weekend, so if I posted it now it would be the same roster I had before the deadline, but looks like I missed it. For the record, this is what I'm rolling with, but totally accept I missed the cut for the bonus prize:

QB - Tua Tagovailoa - MIA/10 - $14
QB - Jared Goff - DET/9 - $14
RB - Nick Chubb - CLE/5 - $30
RB - Dameon Pierce - HOU/7 - $21
RB - Khalil Herbert - CHI/13 - $13
RB - Tank Bigsby - JAX/9 - $9
RB - Ezekiel Elliott - NE/11 - $7
RB - Kyren Williams - LAR/10 - $4
RB - Ty Chandler - MIN/13 - $3
RB - Chris Evans - CIN/7 - $3
WR - A.J. Brown - PHI/10 - $30
WR - Tyler Lockett - SEA/5 - $19
WR - Jahan Dotson - WAS/14 - $14
WR - Courtland Sutton - DEN/9 - $12
WR - Josh Reynolds - DET/9 - $3
WR - Michael Wilson - ARI/14 - $3
TE - Darren Waller - NYG/13 - $17
TE - Sam LaPorta - DET/9 - $9
TE - Taysom Hill - NO/11 - $8
PK - Brandon McManus - JAX/9 - $4
PK - Greg Zuerlein - NYJ/7 - $4
TD - New York Jets - NYJ/7 - $6
TD - Chicago Bears - CHI/13 - $3
Irelad, if you want to be eligible for Joe's extra $100 prize, your roster must match what you posted on page 3. Here it is:

QB - Kirk Cousins - MIN/13 - $17
QB - Tua Tagovailoa - MIA/10 - $14
RB - James Cook - BUF/13 - $18
RB - Isiah Pacheco - KC/10 - $18
RB - Zach Charbonnet - SEA/5 - $14
RB - Khalil Herbert - CHI/13 - $13
RB - Elijah Mitchell - SF/9 - $10
RB - Tank Bigsby - JAX/9 - $9
RB - Ezekiel Elliott - NE/11 - $7
RB - Kyren Williams - LAR/10 - $4
WR - DJ Moore - CHI/13 - $18
WR - George Pickens - PIT/6 - $15
WR - Courtland Sutton - DEN/9 - $12
WR - Odell Beckham Jr. - BAL/13 - $9
WR - Romeo Doubs - GB/6 - $9
WR - Joshua Palmer - LAC/5 - $6
WR - Darius Slayton - NYG/13 - $5
WR - Corey Davis - NYJ/7 - $3
WR - Greg Dortch - ARI/14 - $3
TE - Dalton Kincaid - BUF/13 - $10
TE - Sam LaPorta - DET/9 - $9
TE - Taysom Hill - NO/11 - $8
PK - Greg Zuerlein - NYJ/7 - $4
PK - Dustin Hopkins - LAC/5 - $3
PK - Cairo Santos - CHI/13 - $3
TD - Atlanta Falcons - ATL/11 - $3
TD - Detroit Lions - DET/9 - $3
TD - Los Angeles Rams - LAR/10 - $3
 
Well shoot, my email didn't give me notification of updates and being tagged, and changed my roster since that Page 3 post. I didn't change it all weekend, so if I posted it now it would be the same roster I had before the deadline, but looks like I missed it. For the record, this is what I'm rolling with, but totally accept I missed the cut for the bonus prize:

QB - Tua Tagovailoa - MIA/10 - $14
QB - Jared Goff - DET/9 - $14
RB - Nick Chubb - CLE/5 - $30
RB - Dameon Pierce - HOU/7 - $21
RB - Khalil Herbert - CHI/13 - $13
RB - Tank Bigsby - JAX/9 - $9
RB - Ezekiel Elliott - NE/11 - $7
RB - Kyren Williams - LAR/10 - $4
RB - Ty Chandler - MIN/13 - $3
RB - Chris Evans - CIN/7 - $3
WR - A.J. Brown - PHI/10 - $30
WR - Tyler Lockett - SEA/5 - $19
WR - Jahan Dotson - WAS/14 - $14
WR - Courtland Sutton - DEN/9 - $12
WR - Josh Reynolds - DET/9 - $3
WR - Michael Wilson - ARI/14 - $3
TE - Darren Waller - NYG/13 - $17
TE - Sam LaPorta - DET/9 - $9
TE - Taysom Hill - NO/11 - $8
PK - Brandon McManus - JAX/9 - $4
PK - Greg Zuerlein - NYJ/7 - $4
TD - New York Jets - NYJ/7 - $6
TD - Chicago Bears - CHI/13 - $3
If this indeed matches a page 3 lineup, and is still the official entry for the contest, then I think it should be allowed in the bonus contest. Just my $0.02.

Look at me being liberal with someone else's money...

ETA...wait, I think I misread. You said you DID change the lineup since the early posted version...Never mind. I can't help you, dude.
The bolded is all that matters. Once the contest closes, I will be comparing your actual roster to what I saw on the pages I mentioned. You can change it 100 times in the next few hours, as long as your final roster matches the page I referred to on the above post.
 
I updated my lineup to this one, after many attempts. More today than all combined probably. I went back to two stud QBs as originally planned. So I'm out on this board stipend. Chandler is the only player on the roster that isn't a legit "starter" without injuries. Three tight ends (which I like) help fill in the gaps with the RBs and WRs. Not relying on a super stud like Kelce with this lineup. On paper, my average weekly score is less but with no dips for bye-week.

QB - Josh Allen - BUF/13 - $25
QB - Joe Burrow - CIN/7 - $21
RB - Bijan Robinson - ATL/11 - $33
RB - Tony Pollard - DAL/7 - $29
RB - Rachaad White - TB/5 - $19
RB - Ty Chandler - MIN/13 - $3
WR - DeVonta Smith - PHI/10 - $26
WR - George Pickens - PIT/6 - $15
WR - Jahan Dotson - WAS/14 - $14
WR - Courtland Sutton - DEN/9 - $12
TE - Evan Engram - JAX/9 - $15
TE - Tyler Higbee - LAR/10 - $14
TE - Tyler Conklin - NYJ/7 - $7
PK - Brandon McManus - JAX/9 - $4
PK - Greg Zuerlein - NYJ/7 - $4
PK - Anders Carlson - GB/6 - $3
TD - Los Angeles Chargers - LAC/5 - $3
TD - Tennessee Titans - TEN/7 - $3
 
I updated my lineup to this one, after many attempts. More today than all combined probably. I went back to two stud QBs as originally planned. So I'm out on this board stipend. Chandler is the only player on the roster that isn't a legit "starter" without injuries. Three tight ends (which I like) help fill in the gaps with the RBs and WRs. Not relying on a super stud like Kelce with this lineup. On paper, my average weekly score is less but with no dips for bye-week.

QB - Josh Allen - BUF/13 - $25
QB - Joe Burrow - CIN/7 - $21
RB - Bijan Robinson - ATL/11 - $33
RB - Tony Pollard - DAL/7 - $29
RB - Rachaad White - TB/5 - $19
RB - Ty Chandler - MIN/13 - $3
WR - DeVonta Smith - PHI/10 - $26
WR - George Pickens - PIT/6 - $15
WR - Jahan Dotson - WAS/14 - $14
WR - Courtland Sutton - DEN/9 - $12
TE - Evan Engram - JAX/9 - $15
TE - Tyler Higbee - LAR/10 - $14
TE - Tyler Conklin - NYJ/7 - $7
PK - Brandon McManus - JAX/9 - $4
PK - Greg Zuerlein - NYJ/7 - $4
PK - Anders Carlson - GB/6 - $3
TD - Los Angeles Chargers - LAC/5 - $3
TD - Tennessee Titans - TEN/7 - $3

IT's a solid, strong roster... barring injuries, it should do well. 5 players on bye week 7, but if you have to have one high week, that's a good place to do it, with 6 NFL teams on bye. Nice that you do not have many week 13/14 byes. Good luck!
 
I updated my lineup to this one, after many attempts. More today than all combined probably. I went back to two stud QBs as originally planned. So I'm out on this board stipend. Chandler is the only player on the roster that isn't a legit "starter" without injuries. Three tight ends (which I like) help fill in the gaps with the RBs and WRs. Not relying on a super stud like Kelce with this lineup. On paper, my average weekly score is less but with no dips for bye-week.

QB - Josh Allen - BUF/13 - $25
QB - Joe Burrow - CIN/7 - $21
RB - Bijan Robinson - ATL/11 - $33
RB - Tony Pollard - DAL/7 - $29
RB - Rachaad White - TB/5 - $19
RB - Ty Chandler - MIN/13 - $3
WR - DeVonta Smith - PHI/10 - $26
WR - George Pickens - PIT/6 - $15
WR - Jahan Dotson - WAS/14 - $14
WR - Courtland Sutton - DEN/9 - $12
TE - Evan Engram - JAX/9 - $15
TE - Tyler Higbee - LAR/10 - $14
TE - Tyler Conklin - NYJ/7 - $7
PK - Brandon McManus - JAX/9 - $4
PK - Greg Zuerlein - NYJ/7 - $4
PK - Anders Carlson - GB/6 - $3
TD - Los Angeles Chargers - LAC/5 - $3
TD - Tennessee Titans - TEN/7 - $3
Nicely done.
 
So I wake up this morning and see that NO has listed Taysom Hill as their QB2 instead of TE as an effort to game the new QB3 rule. Assuming they follow through with that strategy, that means if Carr gets hurt Hill has to be the replacement for the rest of the game (3rd QB can't play unless Hill gets hurt). That probably bumps his value enough that I'd have rostered him had they announced it last week.

RE: Taysom HIll as QB

A little bit confusing... but according to the rules, if Taysom Hill is listed as QB, but he lines up as TE, he cannot get points for receptions, so he does not get the normal 1.5 ppr as he would if he were listed as a TE. But he can get points for a receiving TD or rushing TD when playing as a TE (because he's now a QB, and QBs get points for that).... so he can get points for everything a QB normally gets points for when playing as QB.

❓ But the plot thickens.... because the above assumes he is listed on the contest entry as a QB, and at the present moment, he IS NOT. He is still listed as a TE.

So I think ultimately it depends on whether or not the contest entry lists him as TE or a QB when it officially locks at 12:00am on Thursday. If he's still listed as a TE, then I think he will be able to have all the options that both a QB and a TE have, as listed in the rules.

Since this can possibly affect the scoring and the integrity of the contest, @Joe Bryant , and @Contest Turk , can you please chime in and clarify this latest development and let us know how it will be handled?

Thank you!!
I don't see any way they change his designation in the contest. Too many people have already submitted lineups counting on his TE designation.

Agreed. Probably the simplest solution is to just let it sit as it is, and then Hill can get points as either a TE or a QB. So in that case, this plays out exactly as it did last year and people that rostered him get a boost if he is involved in some plays as the QB. This is essentially the same as some situations where a RB throws a pass.

Correct. For the purposes of this contest, Hill is a TE. He will therefore get TE reception points.

So if Hill pulls the Brad Johnson he can get 13.5 + .1 per yard on a single play :)

-QG
 
QB - Patrick Mahomes - KC/10 - $25
QB - Jordan Love - GB/6 - $9
RB - Christian McCaffrey - SF/9 - $34
RB - Alvin Kamara - NO/11 - $15
RB - Ezekiel Elliott - NE/11 - $7
RB - Zack Moss - IND/11 - $4
RB - Ty Chandler - MIN/13 - $3
WR - Ja'Marr Chase - CIN/7 - $36
WR - Jaxon Smith-Njigba - SEA/5 - $13
WR - Zay Flowers - BAL/13 - $10
WR - Jayden Reed - GB/6 - $7
WR - Kendrick Bourne - NE/11 - $4
WR - Jalin Hyatt - NYG/13 - $4
WR - Tank Dell - HOU/7 - $3
WR - Puka Nacua - LAR/10 - $3
WR - Michael Wilson - ARI/14 - $3
TE - Travis Kelce - KC/10 - $35
TE - Luke Musgrave - GB/6 - $6
TE - Jake Ferguson - DAL/7 - $6
PK - Cameron Dicker - LAC/5 - $4
PK - Brandon McManus - JAX/9 - $4
PK - Cairo Santos - CHI/13 - $3
TD - Atlanta Falcons - ATL/11 - $3
TD - Los Angeles Chargers - LAC/5 - $3
TD - Tennessee Titans - TEN/7 - $3
TD - Carolina Panthers - CAR/7 - $3

26 players (my past avg: 29.3), including 4 who cost $25+ (my past avg: 3.5)

Higher prices this year, especially on the cheap guys, led me to get my tied-for smallest roster ever at 26 (same as in 2019; others years I've gone 29 or 30). Got a top 2 projected player at all 4 main positions (in most cases top 1), spending a few extra bucks rather than trying to get clever at guessing who will be this year's top guys. They're joined by a whole bunch of cheap guys, with just a few midrange guys (just 3 in the whole $10-$24 range). That's basically my usual distribution - go big on a few studs, fill up the roster with cheap contributors, the middle gets squeezed out.

QB: 2 for $34 (my past avg: 3.0 for $26)
Went with 2 QBs, as I argued for. One stud, one cheap guy. Was looking at some other guys in both categories, but I like both of these two and their stackmates. Also considered going for 2 midrange guys like Tua, Richardson, Rodgers, but decided the savings weren't worth giving up on the much better chance at huge production that you get from a top QB.

RB: 5 for $63 (my past avg: 4.8 for $79)
Generally I like to get 1 stud RB, and to try not to spend too much on the position since I want my flexes to come from elsewhere. Hoping these 5 will be enough, though was tempted to add another cheap back (Chris Evans or Kyren Williams). I'm very thin wk11, and pretty thin until Kamara comes back.

WR: 9 for $83 (my past avg: 9.4 for $83)
Chase won out over Tyreek & Jefferson just due to byes - wk7 is much better than wk10 (shared with KC) or wk13. JSN & Flowers are two midrange guys who I was willing to get, because they're very underpriced (IMO) and have plenty of late-season upside. Reed probably wouldn't have made my roster if I wasn't going with Love (though would've been in my "also strongly considered" list). Then five cheap guys, including some who should be among the most rostered guys in the contest (Dell & Wilson). Would've liked to fit Tutu Atwell in too. Most of these guys are rookies.

TE: 3 for $47 (my past avg: 4.1 for $42)
Went big with Kelce to stack with Mahomes, and got two of the most obvious plays of the contest, one of whom stacks with Love. Was also tempted by Tyler Conklin, Sam LaPorta, and Dalton Kincaid. If Kelce's injury is more significant than the initial reports suggest then I may have to blow up this roster and give up the chance at Joe's bonus prize. But I'm willing to bet on making it through early-season absences from Kelce, Kamara, and perhaps JSN & Moss.

PK: 3 for $11 (my past avg: 3.8 for $9)
Usually like the $3 guys, but for an extra dollar each I get better offenses and more job security. I miss the glory days of $2 kickers & defenses.

DEF: 4 for $12 (my past avg: 4.3 for $10)
Lots of cheap guys, as usual. They (almost) never miss a game, and any one can turn a pick 6 into a spike week. Playoff round opponents include HOU (2x), CHI, DEN, ATL, and CAR.
 
Well shoot, my email didn't give me notification of updates and being tagged, and changed my roster since that Page 3 post. I didn't change it all weekend, so if I posted it now it would be the same roster I had before the deadline, but looks like I missed it. For the record, this is what I'm rolling with, but totally accept I missed the cut for the bonus prize:

QB - Tua Tagovailoa - MIA/10 - $14
QB - Jared Goff - DET/9 - $14
RB - Nick Chubb - CLE/5 - $30
RB - Dameon Pierce - HOU/7 - $21
RB - Khalil Herbert - CHI/13 - $13
RB - Tank Bigsby - JAX/9 - $9
RB - Ezekiel Elliott - NE/11 - $7
RB - Kyren Williams - LAR/10 - $4
RB - Ty Chandler - MIN/13 - $3
RB - Chris Evans - CIN/7 - $3
WR - A.J. Brown - PHI/10 - $30
WR - Tyler Lockett - SEA/5 - $19
WR - Jahan Dotson - WAS/14 - $14
WR - Courtland Sutton - DEN/9 - $12
WR - Josh Reynolds - DET/9 - $3
WR - Michael Wilson - ARI/14 - $3
TE - Darren Waller - NYG/13 - $17
TE - Sam LaPorta - DET/9 - $9
TE - Taysom Hill - NO/11 - $8
PK - Brandon McManus - JAX/9 - $4
PK - Greg Zuerlein - NYJ/7 - $4
TD - New York Jets - NYJ/7 - $6
TD - Chicago Bears - CHI/13 - $3
If this indeed matches a page 3 lineup, and is still the official entry for the contest, then I think it should be allowed in the bonus contest. Just my $0.02.

Look at me being liberal with someone else's money...

ETA...wait, I think I misread. You said you DID change the lineup since the early posted version...Never mind. I can't help you, dude.
The bolded is all that matters. Once the contest closes, I will be comparing your actual roster to what I saw on the pages I mentioned. You can change it 100 times in the next few hours, as long as your final roster matches the page I referred to on the above post.
No worries, I'm out for the the extra contest, as I updated it many times since that page 3 post.
 
As usual, I am freaking out and changed my roster like 10 times in the past few hours

Stastical Trivia - Volume 2023, Number 2

Things to consider when balancing your roster between positions....


We all know that injuries are part of the game, and they do happen. So how do you structure your lineup so that you are at least somewhat insulated from a situation that invariably will happen?

I was curious about incidence of injuries, so I went back 5 years through my contest entries and calculated some statistics. Have you ever wondered if you are more likely to lose one position to injury more than others? Below is what I found. It is a calculation of the number of man-games lost to injury by players on my rosters for the last 5 years. These numbers are just for how many games were missed due to injury. This does not count situations where a player got cut and was without a job (like Rodrigo Blankenship last year).

QB = 1.96%
RB = 14.05%
WR = 8.45%
TE = 9.13%
PK = 4.05%

This is the percentage of games missed due to injury. Now granted, this is only the players that were on my rosters the last 5 years, but I suspect it's probably a fairly accurate estimate of what you can expect in a typical season. I have long believed for example that I was more likely to lose a running back than a wide receiver due to injury, due to the amount of normal wear and tear faced by running backs, vs WR or TE. These numbers appear to confirm that suspicion. Side note: The QB percentage may be small because I rarely roster a running QB like Lamar or Jalen.

Take it for what it's worth. But to me, it resulted in adding one extra RB even though I hated to spend the cap dollars there. Your mileage may vary.

Good luck everyone this year, and thanks to @Joe Bryant and @Contest Turk for making all this fun possible for all of us!

... and @TheWinz ... Now maybe you go back and change your roster a few more times.... :wink:
 
Last edited:
As usual, I am freaking out and changed my roster like 10 times in the past few hours

Stastical Trivia - Volume 2023, Number 2

Things to consider when balancing your roster between positions....


We all know that injuries are part of the game, and they do happen. So how do you structure your lineup so that you are at least somewhat insulated from a situation that invariably will happen?

I was curious about incidence of injuries, so I went back 5 years through my contest entries and calculated some statistics. Have you ever wondered if you are more likely to lose one position to injury more than others? Below is what I found. It is a calculation of the number of man-games lost to injury by players on my rosters for the last 5 years. These numbers are just for how many games were missed due to injury. This does not count situations where a player got cut and was without a job (like Rodrigo Blankenship last year).

QB = 1.96%
RB = 14.05%
WR = 8.45%
TE = 9.13%
PK = 4.05%

This is the percentage of games missed due to injury. Now granted, this is only the players that were on my rosters the last 5 years, but I suspect it's probably a fairly accurate estimate of what you can expect in a typical season. I have long believed for example that I was more likely to lose a running back than a wide receiver due to injury, due to the amount of normal wear and tear faced by running backs, vs WR or TE. These numbers appear to confirm that suspicion. Side note: The QB percentage may be small because I rarely roster a running QB like Lamar or Jalen.

Take it for what it's worth. But to me, it resulted in adding one extra RB even though I hated to spend the cap dollars there. Your mileage may vary.

Good luck everyone this year, and thanks to @Joe Bryant and @Contest Turk for making all this fun possible for all of us!

... and @TheWinz ... Now maybe you go back and change your roster a few more times.... :wink:
I come up with the exact opposite conclusion. I want my cap dollars concentrated on positions where injuries are less likely. If you take CMAC and he's lost for the year, unless you have a horseshoe hidden somewhere we can't mention, you're not going to win. When you considered that RB $s also bring you fewer projected points, the optimum team will spend as little as possible once the two required RB scores are posted.
 
Just a heads-up, people. The entry form will be locked up at precisely 11:59:59 ET tonight. Prior to last year, it hadn't locked until early the next morning. Just letting you know that that's not the case any more.

Newest Version of SuperTurk just dropped :thumbup: :scared:

-QG
 
As usual, I am freaking out and changed my roster like 10 times in the past few hours

Stastical Trivia - Volume 2023, Number 2

Things to consider when balancing your roster between positions....


We all know that injuries are part of the game, and they do happen. So how do you structure your lineup so that you are at least somewhat insulated from a situation that invariably will happen?

I was curious about incidence of injuries, so I went back 5 years through my contest entries and calculated some statistics. Have you ever wondered if you are more likely to lose one position to injury more than others? Below is what I found. It is a calculation of the number of man-games lost to injury by players on my rosters for the last 5 years. These numbers are just for how many games were missed due to injury. This does not count situations where a player got cut and was without a job (like Rodrigo Blankenship last year).

QB = 1.96%
RB = 14.05%
WR = 8.45%
TE = 9.13%
PK = 4.05%

This is the percentage of games missed due to injury. Now granted, this is only the players that were on my rosters the last 5 years, but I suspect it's probably a fairly accurate estimate of what you can expect in a typical season. I have long believed for example that I was more likely to lose a running back than a wide receiver due to injury, due to the amount of normal wear and tear faced by running backs, vs WR or TE. These numbers appear to confirm that suspicion. Side note: The QB percentage may be small because I rarely roster a running QB like Lamar or Jalen.

Take it for what it's worth. But to me, it resulted in adding one extra RB even though I hated to spend the cap dollars there. Your mileage may vary.

Good luck everyone this year, and thanks to @Joe Bryant and @Contest Turk for making all this fun possible for all of us!

... and @TheWinz ... Now maybe you go back and change your roster a few more times.... :wink:
I come up with the exact opposite conclusion. I want my cap dollars concentrated on positions where injuries are less likely. If you take CMAC and he's lost for the year, unless you have a horseshoe hidden somewhere we can't mention, you're not going to win. When you considered that RB $s also bring you fewer projected points, the optimum team will spend as little as possible once the two required RB scores are posted.
We both agree that you want to spend as little “extra money” as possible on RB, because those are the most expensive projected points in the contest. But if by “drawing the exact opposite conclusion “ you mean ignoring the likelihood that you might lose a RB to injury, then you increase the likelihood of eating donuts for breakfast. Everything is a trade-off.
 
I really hate this contest. So I had it all figured out, I had my team all ready to go, all I had to do was click the boxes,, but NOOOO, I start filling out the form and it all goes off the rails, "Hey I could upgrade just two points and get him. I will just drop this guy. Great, now I have six people on byes the same week." :wall:

I literally have to start all over.
 
Welp maybe I shouldn't have done that late add of Chris Evans - he's behind Trayveon Williams on the announced depth chart (he is the top KOR guy so at least he will dress). Not sure that Perine role is all his or not. No changing my rooster now though.

-QG
 
As usual, I am freaking out and changed my roster like 10 times in the past few hours

Stastical Trivia - Volume 2023, Number 2

Things to consider when balancing your roster between positions....


We all know that injuries are part of the game, and they do happen. So how do you structure your lineup so that you are at least somewhat insulated from a situation that invariably will happen?

I was curious about incidence of injuries, so I went back 5 years through my contest entries and calculated some statistics. Have you ever wondered if you are more likely to lose one position to injury more than others? Below is what I found. It is a calculation of the number of man-games lost to injury by players on my rosters for the last 5 years. These numbers are just for how many games were missed due to injury. This does not count situations where a player got cut and was without a job (like Rodrigo Blankenship last year).

QB = 1.96%
RB = 14.05%
WR = 8.45%
TE = 9.13%
PK = 4.05%

This is the percentage of games missed due to injury. Now granted, this is only the players that were on my rosters the last 5 years, but I suspect it's probably a fairly accurate estimate of what you can expect in a typical season. I have long believed for example that I was more likely to lose a running back than a wide receiver due to injury, due to the amount of normal wear and tear faced by running backs, vs WR or TE. These numbers appear to confirm that suspicion. Side note: The QB percentage may be small because I rarely roster a running QB like Lamar or Jalen.

Take it for what it's worth. But to me, it resulted in adding one extra RB even though I hated to spend the cap dollars there. Your mileage may vary.

Good luck everyone this year, and thanks to @Joe Bryant and @Contest Turk for making all this fun possible for all of us!

... and @TheWinz ... Now maybe you go back and change your roster a few more times.... :wink:
I come up with the exact opposite conclusion. I want my cap dollars concentrated on positions where injuries are less likely. If you take CMAC and he's lost for the year, unless you have a horseshoe hidden somewhere we can't mention, you're not going to win. When you considered that RB $s also bring you fewer projected points, the optimum team will spend as little as possible once the two required RB scores are posted.
We both agree that you want to spend as little “extra money” as possible on RB, because those are the most expensive projected points in the contest. But if by “drawing the exact opposite conclusion “ you mean ignoring the likelihood that you might lose a RB to injury, then you increase the likelihood of eating donuts for breakfast. Everything is a trade-off.
I think you just have to risk eating the donut. Some years you will but in the years you don't, you'll have a much better chance at being a contender for real coin.
 

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