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2024 FBG Subscriber Contest (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter TheWinz
- Start date
Golden Gopher
Footballguy
Well, Worthy doing nothing probably contributed to the line not moving much. Of course, it also contributed to knocking me out. Good luck the rest of the way, everyone. Was fun while it lasted.
TheWinz
Footballguy
Every year I tell myself to roster 3 cheapies, and every year I choose just 2. Next year I will take 3 cheap D's and 4 cheap K's
joey
Footballguy
I rostered 3K and 2D. Still ousted 2 weeks ago so…
BUT, I firmly believe that I will stick with that 3/2 approach next year.
Puppies
Footballguy
I went 3 defense and 3 kickers this year, but I'm probably still toast.
Lost Gano in week 2, and now Reichard, who was my most productive kicker. I'll take a donut in week 12 when Cam Little is on bye, if I make it that far.
Gah, that's rough. I've used Reichard 5 times so far. My only other kicker is Jake Bates, so at least he already had his bye.
Edit: For those who are curious, here is Reichard's stats in this contest:
| Survival Rate | Overall Contest Survival Rate | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Total teams with these players | 655 | ||
| Still Alive | 152 | 23.21 | 14.75 |
Born to Run
Footballguy
You are trending towards "that guy" who rosters 7 kickers every year.
TheWinz
Footballguy
Week 10 starts with 1718 live teams, and will be cutting 515 down to 1203. We kick it off with BAL/CIN on Thursday:
417 - RB Derrick Henry
392 - RB Chase Brown
221 - Andrei Iosivas
220 - RB Justice Hill
181 - TE Isaiah Likely
177 - WR Diontae Johnson
168 - PK Evan McPherson
116 - QB Lamar Jackson
112 - WR Zay Flowers
112 - WR Tee Higgins
107 - PK Justin Tucker
101 - TD Baltimore Ravens
81 - TE Mike Gesicki
72 - QB Joe Burrow
65 - TD Cincinnati Bengals
41 - RB Khalil Herbert
36 - WR Rashod Bateman
31 - TE Mark Andrews
28 - Ja'Marr Chase
14 - WR Jermaine Burton
12 - WR Nelson Agholor
11 - RB Keaton Mitchell
6 - RB Rasheen Ali
5 - TE Tanner Hudson
RB's will be the line movers for sure.
417 - RB Derrick Henry
392 - RB Chase Brown
221 - Andrei Iosivas
220 - RB Justice Hill
181 - TE Isaiah Likely
177 - WR Diontae Johnson
168 - PK Evan McPherson
116 - QB Lamar Jackson
112 - WR Zay Flowers
112 - WR Tee Higgins
107 - PK Justin Tucker
101 - TD Baltimore Ravens
81 - TE Mike Gesicki
72 - QB Joe Burrow
65 - TD Cincinnati Bengals
41 - RB Khalil Herbert
36 - WR Rashod Bateman
31 - TE Mark Andrews
28 - Ja'Marr Chase
14 - WR Jermaine Burton
12 - WR Nelson Agholor
11 - RB Keaton Mitchell
6 - RB Rasheen Ali
5 - TE Tanner Hudson
RB's will be the line movers for sure.
BassNBrew
Footballguy
With 515 getting cut and 417 henry owners we may have out first Thursday night cut line over 0.
TheWinz
Footballguy
Since only 58 have Henry and Brown, that means 751 have either. There will 100% be a cut line after tomorrow's game.
apalmer
Footballguy
Not to mention all us Hill/Yoshi owners!
barackdhouse
Footballguy
I took 3 for this reason and lost 1 of them before week 1 (Gano)
a_troll00
Footballguy
davidwb
Footballguy
The only player on my team (still alive) that is listed above is Lamar Jackson.
QB: Jackson, Stafford, Minshew
RB: Taylor, Mostert, Singletary, Ford, Dobbins, Irving
WR: Aiyuk <sigh>, Smith-Njigba, Sutton, Worthy, Palmer
TE: Kittle, Hill
PK: McPherson, Dicker
TD: Jets, Steelers
BassNBrew
Footballguy
With the cut at 4 our math or data must be wrong.
TheWinz
Footballguy
Not really. It just means 1203 teams scored at least 4 points
BassNBrew
Footballguy
Dang, always get that backwards....
Since only 58 have Henry and Brown, that means 751 have either. There will 100% be a cut line after tomorrow's game.
While those two helped, it was the 10 players after them that got us to a cut.
TheWinz
Footballguy
Correct. We know at least 751 teams scored at least 13.6 points, and since the cut is 4 points, the team in 1203rd has only either Justin Tucker or Evan McPherson, because both kickers scored 4 points. Actually, I'm sure many teams have exactly 4 points right now.
Puppies
Footballguy
Maybe a ray of hope for Graham Gano owners. Gano appears on the injury report for the first time this week as questionable, when he has been out completely and not even on the report since his week 2 injury.
I'm not saying he'll play this week, but I take this as a sign that he's on his way back to active duty at some point, versus being on the shelf for the rest of year. With Will Reichard going on IR last week, it would be great to get my second kicker back, especially with Cam Little on bye in week 12.
We can only hope....
I'm not saying he'll play this week, but I take this as a sign that he's on his way back to active duty at some point, versus being on the shelf for the rest of year. With Will Reichard going on IR last week, it would be great to get my second kicker back, especially with Cam Little on bye in week 12.
We can only hope....
TheWinz
Footballguy
The 8 Joe Burrow/Ja'Marr Chase owners make up less than half of 1 percent of the remaining entries. For his price/commonality/score, the most important player was RB Chase Brown
Oh I just meant the players, not the duo. Doubtful anyone on my team goes over 20 this week looking at the matchups.
Out of 22 players I'm without
Richardson/Geno
Jacobs
Higgins/Rice/Doubs
Njoku
Packers D
TheWinz
Footballguy
Quite nervous for this week, so feel like I have to post the 18-20 player groupthink team, hoping this isn't the end. 
QB
Patrick Mahomes, Caleb Williams
Both are playing, and have high hopes for Patrick ROS. Have averaged only 25.9 per week, but this underperforming $43 duo have already had their byes.
RB
Josh Jacobs, James Conner, Javonte Williams, JK Dobbins, Justice Hill
With Jacobs on bye and Justice scoring less than 1, must have 2 useful scores from the remaining trio. Asking for a flex score is pushing it.
WR
CeeDee Lamb, Malik Nabers, Rashee Rice, Jameson Williams, Keon Coleman
Lost Rice week 3, and now that Jameson is back, CeeDee/Keon are ailing. As with RB, just looking for 2 useful scores here.
TE
George Kittle, Brock Bowers, Taysom Hill
Sucks when a guy on bye has been used 7 times. With the small roster, I really need George and Taysom to shine. Getting a flex here would rock.
PK
Cameron Dicker, Will Reichard, Cam Little
Not so worried about Reichard with 2 options this week. Week 12 when Little is on bye is a different story.
TD
Los Angeles Chargers, Green Bay Packers
Teams were chosen for their nice schedule mesh, so having only LAC vs TEN this week was baked in.
QB
Patrick Mahomes, Caleb Williams
Both are playing, and have high hopes for Patrick ROS. Have averaged only 25.9 per week, but this underperforming $43 duo have already had their byes.
RB
Josh Jacobs, James Conner, Javonte Williams, JK Dobbins, Justice Hill
With Jacobs on bye and Justice scoring less than 1, must have 2 useful scores from the remaining trio. Asking for a flex score is pushing it.
WR
CeeDee Lamb, Malik Nabers, Rashee Rice, Jameson Williams, Keon Coleman
Lost Rice week 3, and now that Jameson is back, CeeDee/Keon are ailing. As with RB, just looking for 2 useful scores here.
TE
George Kittle, Brock Bowers, Taysom Hill
Sucks when a guy on bye has been used 7 times. With the small roster, I really need George and Taysom to shine. Getting a flex here would rock.
PK
Cameron Dicker, Will Reichard, Cam Little
Not so worried about Reichard with 2 options this week. Week 12 when Little is on bye is a different story.
TD
Los Angeles Chargers, Green Bay Packers
Teams were chosen for their nice schedule mesh, so having only LAC vs TEN this week was baked in.
-OZ-
Footballguy
Will’s injury will mean more than rice’s for my squad. Only other kicker is Nick Folk. Why didn’t I take 3 kickers?
rustycolts
Footballguy
Well I got Gano back today,I've only had Folk since week two.Will’s injury will mean more than rice’s for my squad. Only other kicker is Nick Folk. Why didn’t I take 3 kickers?
But hey I'm just happy to still be here.
After the last of the early games end, I'm .1 under cut line on Tension Mask.
Conner, Devonta and Ferguson's scores all count after 4.7 and I think that's no problem for all 3.
Whoever scores more between Karty and Folk
Whatever Chargers score.
Extremely slim chance.
Edit: Per FBG, I'm .2 above cut line.
Conner, Devonta and Ferguson's scores all count after 4.7 and I think that's no problem for all 3.
Whoever scores more between Karty and Folk
Whatever Chargers score.
Extremely slim chance.
Edit: Per FBG, I'm .2 above cut line.
Last edited:
Puppies
Footballguy
Not looking good for me this week.
I'm currently just 4 points above the cut line with the 4pm games coming to conclusion.
I only have Stafford and Goff left at QB and Jameson Williams - 7.2 as WR or FLEX.
The best I can hope for is Goff throwing a couple TD passes to Jameson Williams.
If I get a decent QB score and the cut line also stays below about 125 or 130, I might have a chance to advance.
I'm currently just 4 points above the cut line with the 4pm games coming to conclusion.
I only have Stafford and Goff left at QB and Jameson Williams - 7.2 as WR or FLEX.
The best I can hope for is Goff throwing a couple TD passes to Jameson Williams.
If I get a decent QB score and the cut line also stays below about 125 or 130, I might have a chance to advance.
TheWinz
Footballguy
You are absolutely positively going to advance this week. You are 10 above the cut line and still get all the points of either Goff or Stafford.
Puppies
Footballguy
I just saw that Ridley got a TD with 54 seconds left in the game. That pushed me about 11 above the current cut line. I do need either Stafford or Goff to have a good game (preferably Goff ... with some passes to Jameson Williams)
BlackCrowes
Footballguy
What’s the current Turk line?
apalmer
Footballguy
Nervously 16 over the line with only Jamo (-10.8) and Karty (-4) left. Only 12 points combined from my RBs (why wouldn't LA let Dobbins get that last td?). I've gotten double digits from at least one kicker every week, so I need Karty to uphold their honor this week. How about a couple 6-3 games tonight and tomorrow?
rustycolts
Footballguy
Being 16 over the cutline I definitely would like to see some soccer scores. Me and you are in the same neighborhood.
Im at 111.2 (~14 over), with all of Goff/Stafford and Bates. Looks like I should be moving on!! Survived having KW3 on bye thanks to strong games Bijan and Sutton, and solid from Engram and Kittle.
Never made it this far in the contest, really happy to still be invested this far in, especially since my usual fantasy leagues have been garbage this year, haha!
Never made it this far in the contest, really happy to still be invested this far in, especially since my usual fantasy leagues have been garbage this year, haha!
Ted Lange as your Bartender
Footballguy
Sitting about 9 points below the unofficial cut line. Not having Nico will make this hard, but I still have Achane (-0.6), Waddle (-2.1), Bates/Karty (-9.7) and Lions/Rams DST (all points count)
cstruk
Footballguy
8.45 over with all of Goff and maybe a few points from the Rams kicker. I should be good this week although apparently it’s more fun to say I’m 50 over the cut line and I may not make it. 
Regardless, Dak getting hurt will do me in as Dallas’ offense looks to be toast and I have Lamb, Ferguson, and Dowdle.
Edit to add - Go Lions!!!
Regardless, Dak getting hurt will do me in as Dallas’ offense looks to be toast and I have Lamb, Ferguson, and Dowdle.
Edit to add - Go Lions!!!
Ted Lange as your Bartender
Footballguy
I didn’t even bother mentioning METCHIE!!!! He’s finally gonna count. I got a shot…
