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2024 FBG Subscriber Contest (2 Viewers)
- Thread starter TheWinz
- Start date
rustycolts
Footballguy
Sitting at 114.70. Cutline moved 12 tonight. It's going to be an exciting Monday night.
I have all the Rams points, Mostert - 1.7, Hill - 9.40. So there is still a shot.
I have all the Rams points, Mostert - 1.7, Hill - 9.40. So there is still a shot.
Titans_fan
Footballguy
Good week for a low cutline as I'm on pace for my lowest score of the season. Sitting at 133.25 with Jonnu (-8.3) and Karty (-6.2) left.
In other news, if Karty doesn't count, Gano will reduce my "yet to use" list to one (Jaleel McLaughlin, ugh).
On to week 11!
In other news, if Karty doesn't count, Gano will reduce my "yet to use" list to one (Jaleel McLaughlin, ugh).
On to week 11!
apalmer
Footballguy
Freudian slip?Ghost team continues going as McCaffrey would a counted this week.
160.90 + (Parkinson - 7.10) + (Karty - 13.00)
Good luck to those swearing The Turk for real
-QG
but I’m outBlackCrowes
Footballguy
up 23 and all done. feelin....ok.
Puppies
Footballguy
I just noticed that @Contest Turk is about 19 points under the cut line (90.80) with Stafford left to play (and all Stafford's points will count).
Hoping for a good night from Stafford to keep the Turk in the contest.
Hoping for a good night from Stafford to keep the Turk in the contest.
TheWinz
Footballguy
Ownership numbers for tonight below. With 1718 still alive, Achane is on 25.3% of remaining rosters. When you add in Karty (18%), Stafford (17.5%), and Kupp (13.1%), I think the line will move at least 10, and probably closer to 15. Best of luck to all tonight.
435 - RB De'Von Achane
309 - PK Joshua Karty
300 - QB Matthew Stafford
225 - WR Cooper Kupp
218 - RB Blake Corum
202 - TE Colby Parkinson
200 - PK Jason Sanders
192 - RB Jaylen Wright
144 - RB Raheem Mostert
135 - TD Los Angeles Rams
120 - WR Jaylen Waddle
114 - QB Tua Tagovailoa
114 - TE Jonnu Smith
62 - Demarcus Robinson
38 - TD Miami Dolphins
35 - WR Tyreek Hill
23 - RB Kyren Williams
9 - Odell Beckham
5 - WR Puka Nacua
5 - WR Tutu Atwell
1 - QB Jimmy Garoppolo
1 - RB Alec Ingold
435 - RB De'Von Achane
309 - PK Joshua Karty
300 - QB Matthew Stafford
225 - WR Cooper Kupp
218 - RB Blake Corum
202 - TE Colby Parkinson
200 - PK Jason Sanders
192 - RB Jaylen Wright
144 - RB Raheem Mostert
135 - TD Los Angeles Rams
120 - WR Jaylen Waddle
114 - QB Tua Tagovailoa
114 - TE Jonnu Smith
62 - Demarcus Robinson
38 - TD Miami Dolphins
35 - WR Tyreek Hill
23 - RB Kyren Williams
9 - Odell Beckham
5 - WR Puka Nacua
5 - WR Tutu Atwell
1 - QB Jimmy Garoppolo
1 - RB Alec Ingold
apalmer
Footballguy
That's about what I was thinking. That means I need at least 12-15 out of Karty.
If tonight all the players score their average points for the season. The line would move to 119.35. But as that never happens in fantasy football, it isn't very useful to know. Here are some players whose performance will most likely impact the line movement the most.
Of the 225 Cooper Kupp owners, 85 currently sit below the cutline. Kupp has averaged 19.3 points this season. These 85 owners will be replacing an average score of 2.81 with his score.
Of the 300 Matthew Stafford owners, 111 currently sit below the cutline. Stafford has averaged 18.22 points this season. These 111 owners will be replacing an average score of 11.83 with his score.
Of the 435 De'Von Achane owners, 172 currently sit below the cutline. Achane has averaged 15.09 points this season. These 172 owners will be replacing an average score of 2.92 with his score.
As Ireland pointed out, Blake Corum is still heavily represented in the contest, despite his average scoring of 2.5 pts/game. But with 79 of his 218 owners currently below the cutline, this could be a tough week for Corum owners.
rzrback77
Footballguy
rzrback77 checking out of the season long contest in week ten. Low QB scores by both Cousins and Mayfield, combined with mild scoring across the board, except for Bates PK, but sitting more than ten below the cut line with only the Rams DST remaining.
Carry on board contest members!
Carry on board contest members!
Lsumark313
Footballguy
I'm at 127.40 with no one left. Am I better then 60/40 to get through?
I hope so. i'm at 121 with Waddle/Wright and I am cautiously optimistic.
Probably better than 90% to get through.
I ran it with each of the Dolphins and Rams player's best score so far this season. If everyone were to match their best performance of the year, the cutline would move to 131.25. So 127 feels quite safe to me. Below are the scores I used for the average (119.35 cutline) and best (131.25 cutline).
Player | Team | Pos | Average Score | Best Score |
Joshua Karty | LAR | pk | 6.93 | 16.5 |
Matthew Stafford | LAR | qb | 18.22 | 36.55 |
Cooper Kupp | LAR | wr | 19.3 | 32 |
Blake Corum | LAR | rb | 2.5 | 3.8 |
Colby Parkinson | LAR | te | 7.99 | 15.7 |
Los Angeles Rams DEF | LAR | td | 7.62 | 19 |
Demarcus Robinson | LAR | wr | 10.46 | 27.4 |
Kyren Williams | LAR | rb | 17.72 | 30.6 |
Tyler Higbee | LAR | te | 0 | 0 |
Tutu Atwell | LAR | wr | 8.9 | 13.3 |
Puka Nacua | LAR | wr | 9.47 | 18.1 |
Jimmy Garoppolo | LAR | qb | 0 | 0 |
De'Von Achane | MIA | rb | 15.09 | 28.1 |
Jason Sanders | MIA | pk | 8.39 | 13.3 |
Jaylen Wright | MIA | rb | 2.97 | 8.6 |
Raheem Mostert | MIA | rb | 8.8 | 15.5 |
Jaylen Waddle | MIA | wr | 8.21 | 16.2 |
Jonnu Smith | MIA | te | 11.59 | 26.1 |
Tua Tagovailoa | MIA | qb | 19.7 | 24 |
Miami Dolphins DEF | MIA | td | 3.67 | 7 |
Tyreek Hill | MIA | wr | 11.02 | 26 |
Odell Beckham Jr. | MIA | wr | 4.5 | 4.5 |
Deneric Prince | MIA | rb | 0 | 0 |
Alec Ingold | MIA | rb | 2.8 | 6.3 |
rustycolts
Footballguy
Well I hope it doesn't move anymore than last night. Then I'd only need about 8 points out of Hill, Mostert, and LA D to continue on.
rustycolts
Footballguy
Only moved .15 during the first. Let's keep this boring football going.
BlackCrowes
Footballguy
At this rate it might go backwards
bamabuddha
Footballguy
I would be ok with that!
. I am only 9 .5 points above cut line and only have WR Robinson for rams…a nailbiter one for sure
rustycolts
Footballguy
apalmer
Footballguy
QuizGuy66
Footballguy
bamabuddha
Footballguy
That was tooo close for comfort! But moving on by 2 points!!!
TheWinz
Footballguy
We started this week with 17 folks eligible for @Joe Bryant extra $100 prize. Sadly, we have to say farewell to @-OZ- @HairySasquatch @rzrback77 @themeanmachine @barackdhouse
Moving on to week 11 are:
@lsutigers @bamabuddha @Puppies @BlackCrowes @scottybo @Scoresman @Forte Yard Dash @JaBoo @apalmer @da_budman @IHEARTFF @a_troll00
Of note
- da_budman was this week's top dog with a score of 169.00 (42nd overall)
- bamabuddha was this week's lowest advancing team with 119.95 (1128th overall)
Good luck in week 11!
Moving on to week 11 are:
@lsutigers @bamabuddha @Puppies @BlackCrowes @scottybo @Scoresman @Forte Yard Dash @JaBoo @apalmer @da_budman @IHEARTFF @a_troll00
Of note
- da_budman was this week's top dog with a score of 169.00 (42nd overall)
- bamabuddha was this week's lowest advancing team with 119.95 (1128th overall)
Good luck in week 11!
Dacomish
Footballguy
UNOFFICIAL future Cut lines (no ties pushed the number higher remaining this week so numbers remained steady):
Start 11695
10% Week 1 Cut to Number – 10528
10% Week 2 cut to Number – 9477
10% Week 3 cut to Number – 8533
20% Week 4 cut to Number – 6828
20% Week 5 cut to Number – 5467
20% Week 6 cut to Number – 4375
20% Week 7 cut to Number – 3502
30% Week 8 cut to Number – 2454
30% Week 9 cut to Number – 1718
30% Week 10 cut to Number – 1203
30% Week 11 cut to Number – 843
30% Week 12 cut to Number – 591
40% Week 13 cut to Number – 355
40% Week 14 cut to Number – 213 (means the top 12 non-playoff teams this week win a prize)
Notes From Contest Rules:
- In weeks 1--14, the cut is based on scores from the current week only. Scores reset each week.
- Specifically, the cut will be determined as in the following example. Suppose it is week 7 and there are 2,394 entries at the beginning of the week. Because the cut percentage is 20% for that week, 2394 will be multiplied by 0.80 and the resulting number, if not an integer, will be rounded UP to the next greatest integer. In this case, 2394 * 0.8 = 1915.2. We round up to 1916. The entry with the 1916th-highest score, and all entries with an equal or greater score, will move to the next round.
- if fewer than 225 participants remain after week 14, then prizes will be awarded to eliminated participants according to highest score in week 14. If prizes are still unawarded after that, then highest score in week 13, and so on.
Start 11695
10% Week 1 Cut to Number – 10528
10% Week 2 cut to Number – 9477
10% Week 3 cut to Number – 8533
20% Week 4 cut to Number – 6828
20% Week 5 cut to Number – 5467
20% Week 6 cut to Number – 4375
20% Week 7 cut to Number – 3502
30% Week 8 cut to Number – 2454
30% Week 9 cut to Number – 1718
30% Week 10 cut to Number – 1203
30% Week 11 cut to Number – 843
30% Week 12 cut to Number – 591
40% Week 13 cut to Number – 355
40% Week 14 cut to Number – 213 (means the top 12 non-playoff teams this week win a prize)
Notes From Contest Rules:
- In weeks 1--14, the cut is based on scores from the current week only. Scores reset each week.
- Specifically, the cut will be determined as in the following example. Suppose it is week 7 and there are 2,394 entries at the beginning of the week. Because the cut percentage is 20% for that week, 2394 will be multiplied by 0.80 and the resulting number, if not an integer, will be rounded UP to the next greatest integer. In this case, 2394 * 0.8 = 1915.2. We round up to 1916. The entry with the 1916th-highest score, and all entries with an equal or greater score, will move to the next round.
- if fewer than 225 participants remain after week 14, then prizes will be awarded to eliminated participants according to highest score in week 14. If prizes are still unawarded after that, then highest score in week 13, and so on.
TheWinz
Footballguy
And then there was 1. Here is the last remaining groupthink team...
mphtrilogy
Footballguy
Wow cannot believe I made it through, Metchie, Bucky, Kittle and Karty carry me through. That Metchie pick finally paid off
Onward!
Onward!
BlackCrowes
Footballguy
lowest cutline so far. got thru with flex scores of 5.3 and 2.1 
I still can't believe Jared Goff threw 5 INTs and still gave me a better score than Stafford, lmao!
Nabers on bye, so I'll be rolling with whatever Sutton and Shakir give me. They've been pretty consistent (combining for at least 20 points for the last 4 weeks), so hopefully they keep that up. Maybe Odunze can contribute a flex score, but I'm going to need Javonte Williams to show up in his week 7 form to give me a good flex score.
So so SOOO happy I went Bijan over CMC, and surviving KW3's bye was big. I'll need Javonte to step up this week and next, when Bijan has his bye (along with Engram). My 4 TE group has been clutch, Kittle and Engram leading the pack with Hill and Parkinson chipping in occasionally. That group has provided me a flex score all but two weeks so far (2 of the 4 weeks that Engram was out with injury).
Nabers on bye, so I'll be rolling with whatever Sutton and Shakir give me. They've been pretty consistent (combining for at least 20 points for the last 4 weeks), so hopefully they keep that up. Maybe Odunze can contribute a flex score, but I'm going to need Javonte Williams to show up in his week 7 form to give me a good flex score.
So so SOOO happy I went Bijan over CMC, and surviving KW3's bye was big. I'll need Javonte to step up this week and next, when Bijan has his bye (along with Engram). My 4 TE group has been clutch, Kittle and Engram leading the pack with Hill and Parkinson chipping in occasionally. That group has provided me a flex score all but two weeks so far (2 of the 4 weeks that Engram was out with injury).
Last edited:
Scoresman
Footballguy
Thank God for the weird scoring week. I would've thought scoring 131 in Week 10 would be fatal.
Only impactful Week 11 Byes for me are Bucky and Nabers. That's still going to hurt because my depth is starting to get pretty thin.
