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2024 FBG Subscriber Contest (2 Viewers)

Sheesh….figured Allen may move it more….kittles was no count as 49ers predictably struggled in snow. Had 5 players out due to injuries but I am hanging on by a thread.

166.25 with only McLaughlin tomorrow. Counter if he gets over 9.60…and he has only done that once alll year….lol…so thinking I am done with 166.25.

Line at 158.20 so hoping for something like tonight, I.e. a move of only 2-5 points only tomorrow. Can’t imagine Broncos/Browns having many that will move line…but fearing the Turk….
 
Ghost team would be comfortable at 197.70

Heck it even is starting to act like my one team that made the final which lost a zillion guys and finished 250th out of 250 that year - CMC and Taysom both looking like toast.

Good luck to those sweating.

-QG
 
Sheesh….figured Allen may move it more….kittles was no count as 49ers predictably struggled in snow. Had 5 players out due to injuries but I am hanging on by a thread.

166.25 with only McLaughlin tomorrow. Counter if he gets over 9.60…and he has only done that once alll year….lol…so thinking I am done with 166.25.

Line at 158.20 so hoping for something like tonight, I.e. a move of only 2-5 points only tomorrow. Can’t imagine Broncos/Browns having many that will move line…but fearing the Turk….

My ghost entry in remarkably similar position... 163.50 with only [McLaughlin - 9.60 (Jameson)] to go. First scoring appearance all season by Graham Gano this week, leaving only a combined $12 from Samaje Perine, Dylan Laube, and Hayden Hurst (IR) as the rooster dead weight through week 13. No major injuries other than Rashee Rice (and to a lesser extent Keon Coleman recently, who had previously counted in 4 of first 8 weeks as well as Jake Ferguson).

It's easy in retrospect to think I should have had one or two more high-quality skill players and less cheapie dart throws on my roster, but I wouldn't have had the foresight to cut some of those cheapies who didn't pan out but also retain guys like Bucky Irving and Tre Tucker who were strong contributors in multiple weeks.
 
How much does the line usually move on MNF? The Bargain Bin entry is 1.35 behind the cut line and have Chargers (-1), Likely (-9), Dobbins (-3.2/-7.4) and Justice Hill (-3.2/-7.4) still left to go.

On weeks with only 1 Monday night game, the cut line has moved:
5.30 week 11
7.85 week 10
3.30 week 9
4.75 week 8
7.80 week 6
3.85 week 5
6.60 week 2
6.30 week 1

Average = 5.72
6 teams out with a steeper cut% should push that to the higher end.
I want to thank you for the TE tip.. I rolled the dice I would make it went Hockenson returned & I'm still alive..
McBride
Bowers
Hockenson

Like it
 
How much does the line usually move on MNF? The Bargain Bin entry is 1.35 behind the cut line and have Chargers (-1), Likely (-9), Dobbins (-3.2/-7.4) and Justice Hill (-3.2/-7.4) still left to go.

On weeks with only 1 Monday night game, the cut line has moved:
5.30 week 11
7.85 week 10
3.30 week 9
4.75 week 8
7.80 week 6
3.85 week 5
6.60 week 2
6.30 week 1

Average = 5.72
6 teams out with a steeper cut% should push that to the higher end.
I want to thank you for the TE tip.. I rolled the dice I would make it went Hockenson returned & I'm still alive..
McBride
Bowers
Hockenson

Like it
Congrats. That trio could be potent in the finals.
 
How much does the line usually move on MNF? The Bargain Bin entry is 1.35 behind the cut line and have Chargers (-1), Likely (-9), Dobbins (-3.2/-7.4) and Justice Hill (-3.2/-7.4) still left to go.

On weeks with only 1 Monday night game, the cut line has moved:
5.30 week 11
7.85 week 10
3.30 week 9
4.75 week 8
7.80 week 6
3.85 week 5
6.60 week 2
6.30 week 1

Average = 5.72
6 teams out with a steeper cut% should push that to the higher end.
I want to thank you for the TE tip.. I rolled the dice I would make it went Hockenson returned & I'm still alive..
McBride
Bowers
Hockenson

Like it
Congrats. That trio could be potent in the finals.

hope so... I think this is the longest I have lasted in this contest..
 
good luck to those who were on the cusp and via some big games tonight were able to outrun the turk. Njoku, Sutton, Jeudy and Denvers D should have had huge implications tonight. Not in this contest but I pulled off a miraculous comeback in my home league when Denver scored that late 2nd Td,
 
I can finally let go of this contest.

Like many who have been eliminated already, I watch my weekly scores even after I’m out, coming back to this thread to say that I’m yet again over the cut line. Angry/disappointed that I’d still be alive in contest “if not for that one bad week”.

Well, this week my eliminated team didn’t make the cut line again, so I finally feel like I can stop thinking about the “what ifs”.

I’m out. For real for real this time ;)
 
I can finally let go of this contest.

Like many who have been eliminated already, I watch my weekly scores even after I’m out, coming back to this thread to say that I’m yet again over the cut line. Angry/disappointed that I’d still be alive in contest “if not for that one bad week”.

Well, this week my eliminated team didn’t make the cut line again, so I finally feel like I can stop thinking about the “what ifs”.

I’m out. For real for real this time ;)
I finally got re-eliminated myself!
 
I can finally let go of this contest.

Like many who have been eliminated already, I watch my weekly scores even after I’m out, coming back to this thread to say that I’m yet again over the cut line. Angry/disappointed that I’d still be alive in contest “if not for that one bad week”.

Well, this week my eliminated team didn’t make the cut line again, so I finally feel like I can stop thinking about the “what ifs”.

I’m out. For real for real this time ;)
I finally got re-eliminated myself!
Re-eliminated. That’s the word! Nice.

The kings are dead. Long live the kings.
 
UNOFFICIAL future Cut lines (Ties affected this week and next week’s cutlines):

Start 11695
10% Week 1 Cut to Number – 10528
10% Week 2 cut to Number – 9477
10% Week 3 cut to Number – 8533
20% Week 4 cut to Number – 6828
20% Week 5 cut to Number – 5467
20% Week 6 cut to Number – 4375
20% Week 7 cut to Number – 3502
30% Week 8 cut to Number – 2454
30% Week 9 cut to Number – 1718
30% Week 10 cut to Number – 1203
30% Week 11 cut to Number – 844
30% Week 12 cut to Number – 591
40% Week 13 cut to Number – 355 Now 356
40% Week 14 cut to Number – 213 Now 214 (means the top 11 non-playoff teams this week win a prize)

Notes From Contest Rules:
- In weeks 1--14, the cut is based on scores from the current week only. Scores reset each week.

- Specifically, the cut will be determined as in the following example. Suppose it is week 7 and there are 2,394 entries at the beginning of the week. Because the cut percentage is 20% for that week, 2394 will be multiplied by 0.80 and the resulting number, if not an integer, will be rounded UP to the next greatest integer. In this case, 2394 * 0.8 = 1915.2. We round up to 1916. The entry with the 1916th-highest score, and all entries with an equal or greater score, will move to the next round.

- if fewer than 225 participants remain after week 14, then prizes will be awarded to eliminated participants according to highest score in week 14. If prizes are still unawarded after that, then highest score in week 13, and so on.

**Good luck to all those still in the final regular season week of the contest this week - especially those who frequent here!**
 
Onto next week, this has been such a fun contest. My team seems to be picking up steam towards the end. With Jayden on Bye I have to pin all my hopes to Caleb Williams. Other then that my team is pretty spread out with a lot of options to score so fingers crossed.
 
We started this week with 11 folks eligible for @Joe Bryant extra $100 prize. Sadly, we lost @lsutigers @Forte Yard Dash @apalmer @IHEARTFF @a_troll00 :cry:

Moving on to week 14 are:
@bamabuddha @BlackCrowes @scottybo @Scoresman @JaBoo @da_budman :clap:

Of note
- Scoresman was this week's top dog with a score of 195.75 (73rd)
- bamabuddha was this week's lowest advancing team with 166.25 (332nd)

Good luck in week 14!

One more week for this right?

I’ve got a bad feeling. It’s a major bye week and I was never that worried because I only have Likely and Justice out but now with Taysom out, I’ll only have one TE if Ferguson can’t go.
 
The two most commonly owned players remaining in the contest are both out for the remainder of the season.

Player​
Status​
Rostered​
Player​
Status​
Rostered​
Malik Nabers​
Active​
146​
Taysom Hill​
Injured​
167​
Jake Bates​
Active​
132​
Rashee Rice​
Injured​
163​
Bucky Irving​
Active​
131​
Jayden Daniels​
Bye Week​
124​
Khalil Shakir​
Active​
124​
Terry McLaurin​
Bye Week​
104​
Chase Brown​
Active​
122​
J.K. Dobbins​
Injured​
89​
De'Von Achane​
Active​
119​
Javonte Williams​
Bye Week​
85​
Rico Dowdle​
Active​
115​
Courtland Sutton​
Bye Week​
70​
Brock Bowers​
Active​
113​
Bo Nix​
Bye Week​
63​
Rome Odunze​
Active​
103​
Derrick Henry​
Bye Week​
59​
Cameron Dicker​
Active​
100​
Houston Texans​
Bye Week​
59​
 
I knew I was in trouble when Denver went with a fullback plunge on 1st and goal from inside the one. Give the ball to Javonte or let Nix run or pass for the TD and I'm still alive. After that, they turned Javonte into the world's smallest offensive lineman whose only job was to come in and pass protect.

Note to self: Never, ever, take a Sean Payton coached RB in the contest again.
 
The two most commonly owned players remaining in the contest are both out for the remainder of the season.

Player​
Status​
Rostered​
Player​
Status​
Rostered​
Malik Nabers​
Active​
146​
Taysom Hill​
Injured​
167​
Jake Bates​
Active​
132​
Rashee Rice​
Injured​
163​
Bucky Irving​
Active​
131​
Jayden Daniels​
Bye Week​
124​
Khalil Shakir​
Active​
124​
Terry McLaurin​
Bye Week​
104​
Chase Brown​
Active​
122​
J.K. Dobbins​
Injured​
89​
De'Von Achane​
Active​
119​
Javonte Williams​
Bye Week​
85​
Rico Dowdle​
Active​
115​
Courtland Sutton​
Bye Week​
70​
Brock Bowers​
Active​
113​
Bo Nix​
Bye Week​
63​
Rome Odunze​
Active​
103​
Derrick Henry​
Bye Week​
59​
Cameron Dicker​
Active​
100​
Houston Texans​
Bye Week​
59​

Of the injured/Bye list, I only have Rice and Hill. Starting to like my chances more.

I'm glad I dropped Daniels and Dobbins from my team last minute.
 
I'm looking good (I think) with Dobbins my only injury and Denver's guys (Sutton, Nix, McLaughlin) my only BYEs. Goff or Darnold offsets Nix, so hopefully no worries there. Jetta, McConkey, Odunze, Jamo, and Iosivas can hopefully contribute at least 2 good scores.

As the only entry with Jetta and Jonnu, I hope they take over the rest of the season!

Good luck to all those left!
 
I've participated for 3 years. The previous 2 I've exited week 14. I tried not to do Week 14 bye players, but since there were 6 teams on bye, it made it a little easier on me to select a few.

Javonte is no big loss, but Richardson has been good the past few weeks. Sutton is my #1 WR. Will be another nailbiter. Luckily, I'll know about where I stand after the afternoon games end. I'll only have the Chargers Sun night and Higgins Mon night.

Really need DeVonta, Romeo and Jake back this week.
 
I’m out by 18. Frustrating that none of my high priced position players - CMC, Lamb, Garrett Wilson, Ferguson, Kittle, & Javonte Williams broke 10 points this week. In retrospect, I feel good about going 1 QB on Goff. There is only 1 CMC owner left and unfortunately it is not me.
 
Missed the cut by 2.5 points...needed a slightly bigger showing by Kittle in the snow and I would have moved on. Farthest I've ever made it in this contest.
Best of luck to those still in it!
 
I am limping in…but I will take it….think my time is close though as last two weeks I just squeaked by…

And injuries are piling up for me….25 player team but now have 6 out this week…and could say 7 as I have dip Dioante Johnson who went to ravens and is apparently benched?

So 7 players out and then 2 more players on bye (intentionally avoided week 14 bye players on the team) and would have worked out of not for all the injuries.

Got to week 14 2 of the last 3 years so I am happy and hoping for one more rabbits foot week….
 
Struggled to find much uniqueness to my team which may be my downfall.

But there's only two of us who have DJ Moore, Bucky Irving, and Smith-Njigba. Everyone else is pretty highly owned.
 

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