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2024 FBG Subscriber Contest (1 Viewer)

First time ever really in this contest. Had my best week last week and into week 12. IS there anything different about the playoffs if you advance besides it being just a cumulative score?
 
I pulled up the scoring totals for the year so far. Our #1 with a bullet is Reggie Dunlop. He is averaging more than 187 points per game, His total points of 2058.75 is ~450 points more than last place. However, Reggie's Burrow/Higgens stack could prove costly. While only missing Reichard to injury, he does have 6 players on bye. All together those players contributed 28% of his points scored this season. On its face, 28% seems like a lot, but it is a difficult week for most teams, as the average impact of missing players is 22%. GL #1!.

Also, shout out to aPalmer's High Octane, who among the regulars who post here (that I know their team) is the highest ranking at 42nd place with 1905 pts. He is only missing 13.3% of his counted points in week 12.

The group think team 111727, is currently in 125th place w/ 1856 pts. And only missing 19.1% in week 12.

GL to all!
 
JaBoo said:
On the other end of the spectrum, there are a number of really big names. Guys that haven't lived up to their price, but could absolutely blow up in the playoffs and be real differentiators. Guys like Puka who has a single roster remaining. D.Hop only appears on 3 live rosters, Kelce and Mike Evans with 4, and only 5 remain with CMC. Anyone of those could put up 30+ points in successive playoff weeks and be the reason their owners take the number 1 spot.
Click to expand...
Since I have one of those 5 CMC teams, I hope you are right about him.
 
Lsumark313 said:
First time ever really in this contest. Had my best week last week and into week 12. IS there anything different about the playoffs if you advance besides it being just a cumulative score?
Click to expand...
Congrats on getting this far. No, nothing different except a bad week won't get you cut, it will just wreck your chances of finishing in the money.
 
Week 12 is my "Mt. Everest peak". Make it over this hump and I'll breathe a bit easier. 4 Byes: Chase Brown, Khalil Shakir, Iosavic, and Taysom Hill. 3 of the 4 have been contributors recently.

After Week 12, I only have two byes on the dreaded Week 14 and they are backups.
 
Yea, Week 12 is going to be rough for most people, with so many teams on bye, so I'm hoping that levels the playing field. I've got Bijan, Shakir, Engram, Taysom, and Falcons D on bye, which is $74 of my budget (not including Rice and Reichard out for the year). Very little room for error, might need a surprise showing from one of my backup RBs to have a chance.
 
Lsumark313 said:
First time ever really in this contest. Had my best week last week and into week 12. IS there anything different about the playoffs if you advance besides it being just a cumulative score?
Click to expand...
nope scoring is all the same last 3 weeks scored in a batch and the winner is the one with the highest cumulative score
 
Scoresman said:
Week 12 is my "Mt. Everest peak". Make it over this hump and I'll breathe a bit easier. 4 Byes: Chase Brown, Khalil Shakir, Iosavic, and Taysom Hill. 3 of the 4 have been contributors recently.

After Week 12, I only have two byes on the dreaded Week 14 and they are backups.
Click to expand...
Don't breathe too easily--Week 13 is going to be brutal. 236 of 591 teams get cut and there are no NFL byes. It wouldn't surprise me to see a cut line in the 170s.
 
TheWinz said:
We started this week with 12 folks eligible for @Joe Bryant extra $100 prize. Happily, we will be saying farewell to no one. That's right - all 12 advanced!

Moving on to week 12 are:
@lsutigers @bamabuddha @Puppies @BlackCrowes @scottybo @Scoresman @Forte Yard Dash @JaBoo @apalmer @da_budman @IHEARTFF @a_troll00

Of note
- Scoresman was this week's top dog with a score of 228.50 (62nd overall)
- a_troll00 was this week's lowest advancing team with 163.60 (707th overall)

Good luck in week 12!
Click to expand...
We started with 78 eligible teams, so those who posted have a survival rate of 15.38%. That's more than double the overall 7.25% survival rate.
 
apalmer said:
TheWinz said:
We started this week with 12 folks eligible for @Joe Bryant extra $100 prize. Happily, we will be saying farewell to no one. That's right - all 12 advanced!

Moving on to week 12 are:
@lsutigers @bamabuddha @Puppies @BlackCrowes @scottybo @Scoresman @Forte Yard Dash @JaBoo @apalmer @da_budman @IHEARTFF @a_troll00

Of note
- Scoresman was this week's top dog with a score of 228.50 (62nd overall)
- a_troll00 was this week's lowest advancing team with 163.60 (707th overall)

Good luck in week 12!
Click to expand...
We started with 78 eligible teams, so those who posted have a survival rate of 15.38%. That's more than double the overall 7.25% survival rate.
Click to expand...

Moral of the story: This thread and the advice herein is really valuable.
 
Scoresman said:
apalmer said:
TheWinz said:
We started this week with 12 folks eligible for @Joe Bryant extra $100 prize. Happily, we will be saying farewell to no one. That's right - all 12 advanced!

Moving on to week 12 are:
@lsutigers @bamabuddha @Puppies @BlackCrowes @scottybo @Scoresman @Forte Yard Dash @JaBoo @apalmer @da_budman @IHEARTFF @a_troll00

Of note
- Scoresman was this week's top dog with a score of 228.50 (62nd overall)
- a_troll00 was this week's lowest advancing team with 163.60 (707th overall)

Good luck in week 12!
Click to expand...
We started with 78 eligible teams, so those who posted have a survival rate of 15.38%. That's more than double the overall 7.25% survival rate.
Click to expand...

Moral of the story: This thread and the advice herein is really valuable.
Click to expand...
Teams that spent all their money and rostered at least 26 players have a 19% survival rate (107/562), so apparently "use all your money and draft a big roster" is even more valuable advice.
 
ZWK said:
Scoresman said:
apalmer said:
TheWinz said:
We started this week with 12 folks eligible for @Joe Bryant extra $100 prize. Happily, we will be saying farewell to no one. That's right - all 12 advanced!

Moving on to week 12 are:
@lsutigers @bamabuddha @Puppies @BlackCrowes @scottybo @Scoresman @Forte Yard Dash @JaBoo @apalmer @da_budman @IHEARTFF @a_troll00

Of note
- Scoresman was this week's top dog with a score of 228.50 (62nd overall)
- a_troll00 was this week's lowest advancing team with 163.60 (707th overall)

Good luck in week 12!
Click to expand...
We started with 78 eligible teams, so those who posted have a survival rate of 15.38%. That's more than double the overall 7.25% survival rate.
Click to expand...

Moral of the story: This thread and the advice herein is really valuable.
Click to expand...
Teams that spent all their money and rostered at least 26 players have a 19% survival rate (107/562), so apparently "use all your money and draft a big roster" is even more valuable advice.
Click to expand...

What is the number out of the 78 who rostered 26+ and what is THEIR survival percentage?

:grad:

-QG
 
JaBoo said:
I pulled up the scoring totals for the year so far. Our #1 with a bullet is Reggie Dunlop. He is averaging more than 187 points per game, His total points of 2058.75 is ~450 points more than last place. However, Reggie's Burrow/Higgens stack could prove costly. While only missing Reichard to injury, he does have 6 players on bye. All together those players contributed 28% of his points scored this season. On its face, 28% seems like a lot, but it is a difficult week for most teams, as the average impact of missing players is 22%. GL #1!.

Also, shout out to aPalmer's High Octane, who among the regulars who post here (that I know their team) is the highest ranking at 42nd place with 1905 pts. He is only missing 13.3% of his counted points in week 12.

The group think team 111727, is currently in 125th place w/ 1856 pts. And only missing 19.1% in week 12.

GL to all!
Click to expand...

Only should worry about the Higgins half of that stack as he loves getting hurt. Bengals defense unfortunately cannot stop anyone with a pulse which means Joey B will be slinging all game and getting his numbers.

-QG
 
QuizGuy66 said:
JaBoo said:
I pulled up the scoring totals for the year so far. Our #1 with a bullet is Reggie Dunlop. He is averaging more than 187 points per game, His total points of 2058.75 is ~450 points more than last place. However, Reggie's Burrow/Higgens stack could prove costly. While only missing Reichard to injury, he does have 6 players on bye. All together those players contributed 28% of his points scored this season. On its face, 28% seems like a lot, but it is a difficult week for most teams, as the average impact of missing players is 22%. GL #1!.

Also, shout out to aPalmer's High Octane, who among the regulars who post here (that I know their team) is the highest ranking at 42nd place with 1905 pts. He is only missing 13.3% of his counted points in week 12.

The group think team 111727, is currently in 125th place w/ 1856 pts. And only missing 19.1% in week 12.

GL to all!
Click to expand...

Only should worry about the Higgins half of that stack as he loves getting hurt. Bengals defense unfortunately cannot stop anyone with a pulse which means Joey B will be slinging all game and getting his numbers.

-QG
Click to expand...
Not this week, he won't
 
JaBoo said:
I pulled up the scoring totals for the year so far. Our #1 with a bullet is Reggie Dunlop. He is averaging more than 187 points per game, His total points of 2058.75 is ~450 points more than last place. However, Reggie's Burrow/Higgens stack could prove costly. While only missing Reichard to injury, he does have 6 players on bye. All together those players contributed 28% of his points scored this season. On its face, 28% seems like a lot, but it is a difficult week for most teams, as the average impact of missing players is 22%. GL #1!.

Also, shout out to aPalmer's High Octane, who among the regulars who post here (that I know their team) is the highest ranking at 42nd place with 1905 pts. He is only missing 13.3% of his counted points in week 12.

The group think team 111727, is currently in 125th place w/ 1856 pts. And only missing 19.1% in week 12.

GL to all!
Click to expand...

Hey now….i have 1945.7 pts…and not missing much this week…. 🤞😀




They all get tight now but week 13 is the scary week….
 
With a little bit of hand waiving, squinting and shoulder shrugging I came up with the five most impactful players on the season. They are in no particular order, George Kittle, Jake Bates, Derrick Henry, Taysom Hill and Khalil Shakir. How impactful were these players? Well of the 850 teams still remaining (844 eligible, and 6 staff). Atleast one of these players appear on 746 of them (about 88%).

If you did not roster atleast one of these players, your survival rate in the contest was a measly 2.8%. But by adding just one of these players your survival rate would more than double to 5.9%, any two of them and your rate nearly doubles again to 10.7%. Of the 798 teams with 3 of these guys, 171 are competing in week 12 a staggering 21.4%, almost triple the overall survival rate of 7.2%.

But the contest is more than just picking a handful of crushing players. There were 5 teams who rostered all 5 of these rockstars and 3 of them have been eliminated. cdubz, mightyflashhh, and Jeff.

What do you think? Do I have the right 5 guys? Does this information change how you think about the importance of player selection vs roster construction?
 
JaBoo said:
With a little bit of hand waiving, squinting and shoulder shrugging I came up with the five most impactful players on the season. They are in no particular order, George Kittle, Jake Bates, Derrick Henry, Taysom Hill and Khalil Shakir. How impactful were these players? Well of the 850 teams still remaining (844 eligible, and 6 staff). Atleast one of these players appear on 746 of them (about 88%).

If you did not roster atleast one of these players, your survival rate in the contest was a measly 2.8%. But by adding just one of these players your survival rate would more than double to 5.9%, any two of them and your rate nearly doubles again to 10.7%. Of the 798 teams with 3 of these guys, 171 are competing in week 12 a staggering 21.4%, almost triple the overall survival rate of 7.2%.

But the contest is more than just picking a handful of crushing players. There were 5 teams who rostered all 5 of these rockstars and 3 of them have been eliminated. cdubz, mightyflashhh, and Jeff.

What do you think? Do I have the right 5 guys? Does this information change how you think about the importance of player selection vs roster construction?
Click to expand...

Rice is still surviving at a rate than the non Rice teams. Personally I wouldn’t have been eliminated if I took Samuel instead of Shakir.

Interesting enough, with your choices of Kittle and Hill, Hill had his two biggest weeks when Kittle was out. I think you’ll find it’s having good player selections whose outputs mesh well together. The later being mostly luck.
 
Oof, I'm almost 30 points below the cutline after the first round of games. Don't have any RB, TE, or Def scores yet, but my first QB (Goff), and 2 WRs (Nabers and Odunze) were all pedestrian.

A TD from Stafford to Parkinson would go a LONG way for me...
 
Ghost team with a good start - Caleb woulda done the trick for the Burrow bye week.

After 1pm games

114.50 + (McCaffrey/Javonte/Vidal - 3.20/8.90/11.30/24.10) + (Dortch/Tucker - 3.20/8.90/11.80/14.30) + (Kittle/Bowers/Parkinson - 0.00/3.20/8.90) + (Karty - 8.60) + (Packers/Broncos/Chargers - 0.00)

:kicksrock:

-QG
 
I'm walking on thin ice this week, currently only 7 points above the cut line.

And the few players I have left are not doing anything. Kenneth Walker III has minus -1 yard rushing so far; Javonte Williams, has just 1 yard rushing. Kittle has 2 catches for just 17 yards.

This week will likely be my exit if something doesn't change really fast. I need a monster game from Matt Stafford as Jared Goff only put up 13.45 points.

My only kicker this week was Gano, who chipped in only 1 point.

Would live to get some big points on Defense from either Green Bay or LA Chargers. That's about all I have left.
 
Can start playing Boys to Men because looks like it's the End of the Road for me this week.

ETA: well with Folk and Jacobs I may be alive after all.
 
Last edited:
Im perplexed at the defensive scoring in the contest. I saw that Detroit only allowed 6 points then noticed a fat zero for them on my team. No points at all for points allowed.

Currently 60ish above the cut line with JSN and SEA D going now then I'm essentially done. No idea what's considered comfortable at this point, so I'm still sweating.
 
I was worried when Darnold was my only QB, and Likely was my only TE. But I think Nick Folk hitting 18 probably saved me. Also, the contest's scoring leader, Reggie, looks to like he got through with Caleb's 32pts and the Texan's DST getting 20. GL to those sweating it!
 
Scoresman said:
Im perplexed at the defensive scoring in the contest. I saw that Detroit only allowed 6 points then noticed a fat zero for them on my team. No points at all for points allowed.

Currently 60ish above the cut line with JSN and SEA D going now then I'm essentially done. No idea what's considered comfortable at this point, so I'm still sweating.
Click to expand...

This contest has never given points for "defensive points allowed".
 
I was 40 under cut line after early games, but now I'm 40 over thanks to Jacobs, Sutton and Kittle. Hopefully night game doesn't move line more than 10-12.
 
Ghost team after 4pm

159.60+ (Vidal - 9.80/11.30) + (Parkinson - 9.80/11.80) + (Karty - 8.60) + (Chargers - 9.00)

So still 1 week unlucky for me it looks like as this would make it.

Good luck to those sweating The Turk for real!

-QG
 
Definitely sweating. Kittle and Sutton helped a lot, but KW3 and Javonte didn't. I'm just over 10 points below the cutline, with Stafford (-13.45), Gus Edwards, Blake Corum, and Colby Parkinson who can replace a RB score of 1.4 and a flex score of 0, and then I get all of Chargers defense. Not ideal that my other defense is on bye when the Chargers face the Ravens...
 
Sweating some, at about 20 above the cut line going into the Sunday night game. But I have Lamar, Stafford, Dobbins, Palmer, and Dicker to go -- so I should move on. But week 14 is looming.
 
davidwb said:
Sweating some, at about 20 above the cut line going into the Sunday night game. But I have Lamar, Stafford, Dobbins, Palmer, and Dicker to go -- so I should move on. But week 14 is looming.
Click to expand...
:lol:

Love these.

I'm more points over the cut line than it will move in two games and I have a QB, RB, WR, and K score to go so I'm sweating.
 
BassNBrew said:
davidwb said:
Sweating some, at about 20 above the cut line going into the Sunday night game. But I have Lamar, Stafford, Dobbins, Palmer, and Dicker to go -- so I should move on. But week 14 is looming.
Click to expand...
:lol:

Love these.

I'm more points over the cut line than it will move in two games and I have a QB, RB, WR, and K score to go so I'm sweating.
Click to expand...
Yeah -- but Lamar and Stafford have to beat Minchew to count!
:wink:
 
Looks like I'll finish this week with 172. Good luck with everyone this week.

(edit) And finally a big week by Waddle. If he can continue to contribute, there is a chance of really making some noise this season.
 
Last edited:
Love the garbage time touchdown, but it probably won't be enough to save me. It puts me about 3 points north of the cut line.

Hoping for a low scoring affair Monday night that doesn’t budge the line very far.

I just have the Chargers defense -8 tomorrow night, and Justice Hill - 11.3, neither of which are likely to raise my score.

Fingers crossed 🤞
 
As I hoped, cut line only moved 8 points. A Monday night game has never moved 30 points, so I'm safe. This is the most nailbiting season yet.
 
Gah, I didn't get enough from Stafford and Parkinson last night. I'm still 4 points below the cutline with Gus Edwards (-1.4) and all of Chargers D. I think I need a TD from both to advance.
 
How much does the line usually move on MNF? The Bargain Bin entry is 1.35 behind the cut line and have Chargers (-1), Likely (-9), Dobbins (-3.2/-7.4) and Justice Hill (-3.2/-7.4) still left to go.
 
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