TheWinz
Footballguy
For sure. Is there a button you can hit that says "resign now"?
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2024 FBG Subscriber Contest (4 Viewers)
- Thread starter TheWinz
- Start date
Hot Sauce Guy
Footballguy
Walker’s abdomen is a major concern as well since he’s my RB1.
TheWinz
Footballguy
Yikes. He's the 3rd most common, and wasn't cheap either. Could have big contest implications.
Same injury as last season, right?
Hot Sauce Guy
Footballguy
No idea. I didn’t even know he was hurt until long after the game.
bamabuddha
Footballguy
Walker and Ferguson were both late adds to my team…
I had Aaron jones forever and went with the younger walker….had Pitts and went with Ferguson on my final roster
I had Aaron jones forever and went with the younger walker….had Pitts and went with Ferguson on my final roster
SeniorVBDStudent
Footballguy
Moving on with 173.
Highlights: Jayden Daniels - 30, Cooper Cupp - 32, (RB5) Dobbins - 21.4, (WR5) Shakir - 13.2, (TE3) Parkinson - 10.7.
Lowlights: Njoku injury, Javonte Williams / Calvin Ridley / Taysom Hill flat.
Over-reaction Monday:
Daniels rushing floor puts him in top 10 qbs. Cupp returns to WR1. Dobbins and Parkinson are the 1s at their team positions.
Coleman > Shakir, Reed > Watson. Nix and Levins are trash impacting my javonte and ridley picks.
Highlights: Jayden Daniels - 30, Cooper Cupp - 32, (RB5) Dobbins - 21.4, (WR5) Shakir - 13.2, (TE3) Parkinson - 10.7.
Lowlights: Njoku injury, Javonte Williams / Calvin Ridley / Taysom Hill flat.
Over-reaction Monday:
Daniels rushing floor puts him in top 10 qbs. Cupp returns to WR1. Dobbins and Parkinson are the 1s at their team positions.
Coleman > Shakir, Reed > Watson. Nix and Levins are trash impacting my javonte and ridley picks.
QuizGuy66
Footballguy
Instinctive
Footballguy
Sitting at 174.65 with all done.
Losing Ferguson and Njoku is gonna hurt. Really need them both to have amazing games Week 6 LOL.
My "all the eggs in week 6's basket" strategy is looking a bit shaky without the TEs. Mahomes/Rice/Kupp are my only byes but all 3 were huge week 1.
Losing Ferguson and Njoku is gonna hurt. Really need them both to have amazing games Week 6 LOL.
My "all the eggs in week 6's basket" strategy is looking a bit shaky without the TEs. Mahomes/Rice/Kupp are my only byes but all 3 were huge week 1.
BassNBrew
Footballguy
I guess this taam will be watching tonight
joey
Footballguy
When they reset their line up for week 2, they’ll be fine.I guess this taam will be watching tonight
Puppies
Footballguy
Cut Line Movement for 2023 Sunday Night and Monday Night Games.....
For anyone interested, below are stats from last season, showing the amount of cut line movement each week. This included both the Sunday night and the Monday night games. Weeks with 2 Monday night games are noted on the chart.
For anyone interested, below are stats from last season, showing the amount of cut line movement each week. This included both the Sunday night and the Monday night games. Weeks with 2 Monday night games are noted on the chart.
| Games | Cut Line Movement | Week # | Game |
1 | 6.50 | Wk1 | 8pm |
1 | 7.60 | Wk1 | Mon |
1 | 6.40 | Wk2 | 8pm |
2 | 12.00 | Wk2 | Mon x2 |
1 | 6.85 | Wk3 | 8pm |
2 | 10.05 | Wk3 | Mon x2 |
1 | 7.25 | Wk4 | 8pm |
1 | 4.05 | Wk4 | Mon |
1 | 7.50 | Wk5 | 8pm |
1 | 3.55 | Wk5 | Mon |
1 | 8.70 | Wk6 | 8pm |
1 | 6.60 | Wk6 | Mon |
1 | 13.85 | Wk7 | 8pm |
1 | 8.50 | Wk7 | Mon |
1 | 6.60 | Wk8 | 8pm |
1 | 11.15 | Wk8 | Mon |
1 | 11.90 | Wk9 | 8pm |
1 | 9.90 | Wk9 | Mon |
1 | 7.20 | Wk10 | 8pm |
1 | 11.40 | Wk10 | Mon |
1 | 7.20 | Wk11 | 8pm |
1 | 3.10 | Wk11 | Mon |
1 | 11.45 | Wk12 | 8pm |
1 | 5.50 | Wk12 | Mon |
1 | 8.50 | Wk13 | 8pm |
1 | 8.30 | Wk13 | Mon |
1 | 13.20 | Wk14 | 8pm |
2 | 15.25 | Wk14 | Mon x2 |
31 | 240.05 | ||
| High | 13.85 | ||
| Low | 3.10 | ||
| Avg | per game avg = 7.74 |
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BlackCrowes
Footballguy
196. never a good sign for week 1
Ignoratio Elenchi
Footballguy
Why not? Seems like a great sign.
chocula
Footballguy
How do you know how much they spent? Please tell me2 entries though there was a $200-limit.
And one guy thought there was...a $181 limit
-QG
I was out week 1 last year and have been depressed since. I hop you make the cut.Looks like I'm likely toast in the very first week. Very bad output from all but 2 players. I'm 3.7 points below the cut line, with only 4 players left, and except for the two QBs, the other two have to score 8 or 10 before they add to my score.
I've never been eliminated this early. Effing bummer for sure
chocula
Footballguy
I was back and forth with QBs, but went with 2. After losing Love, I now wish I had a third QB. i went cheap for my 2nd qb and it does not look good for next week.
Ignoratio Elenchi
Footballguy
QuizGuy66
Footballguy
How do you know how much they spent? Please tell me2 entries though there was a $200-limit.
And one guy thought there was...a $181 limit
-QG
In the analyzer
-QG
Ignoratio Elenchi
Footballguy
This is results-oriented thinking. Obviously you wish you had a 3rd QB when one or both of your first 2 gets hurt. If they don't get hurt, the 3rd QB is a waste of money.
In a contest like this you have to play it as if you're assuming your guys will stay healthy all year. If they don't, you're not going to win anyway. The team that wins the contest won't do so because they had backups for their injured studs.
I think the real QB decision in this contest isn't "should I roster 2 or 3", it's "should I roster 1 or 2?" Can make a case that it's worth the gamble to just roll with one stud with a relatively early bye and don't waste any more money at the position.
chocula
Footballguy
You are correct. I thought I deleted that comment. I started to ask then checked the analyzer to see if it had that capability. Thanks for the follow up
chocula
Footballguy
While I agree with most of what you said, I disagree when you add in my luck factor. if it wasn't for bad luck, I would have no luck at all.
Puppies
Footballguy
I see the contest strategy slightly differently.
We know injuries happen every year, and we know this year will be no exception. If I assume my roster will not suffer injuries during the season, I would be kidding myself. With that in mind, I think in addition to managing bye week absences, you have to construct a roster that has some margin for error built in to account for injuries that invariably WILL happen.
This is true because scoring the most points during the first 14 weeks gets you nothing other than advancing to the next week, because those weekly points get reset each week anyway. So I think it's more accurate to say the object of this contest is staying alive for the first 14 weeks ( not necessarily scoring the most points ) . Scoring the most points feels good, but it does not give you any advantage over anyone else in subsequent weeks. The only time your team benefits from scoring the most points is in the 3-week playoff period.
So I believe the winner in this contest will not necessarily have a roster that suffered no injuries during the season. Rather, It will likely be someone whose roster was constructed well enough to advance in spite of injuries, and stay alive through 14 weeks. And then ultimately out-score everyone else in those 3 important weeks where scoring the most points actually counts.
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Hot Sauce Guy
Footballguy
Sounds like a dodged bullet with Fergusen.
KWIII is still TBD.
KWIII is still TBD.
TheWinz
Footballguy
733 unhappy entries
And Jordan Mason wasn't even a contest option
I only looked for him 74 times so yeah whatever
On Waldman Pond
Footballguy
I noticed that. I figured that he'd be a good investment at a cost of $2-$3 (like E. Mitchell & I. Guerendo), but he was nowhere to be found.And Jordan Mason wasn't even a contest option
TwinTurbo
Footballguy
My guess is 50%
TwinTurbo
Footballguy
Looks like 122.5
TheWinz
Footballguy
We started the contest with 58 folks eligible for @Joe Bryant extra $100 prize. The great news is we still have 57 
; the bad news is we lost @jabarony
Moving on to week 2 are:
@kajaet @joey @lsutigers @Deamon @bamabuddha @dzambo @kinghill @bcnfinance @Puppies @TwinTurbo @BlackCrowes @SeniorVBDStudent @-OZ- @rustycolts @(HULK) @Dacomish @HairySasquatch @scottybo @rzrback77 @roar_lions @themeanmachine @Harjiran @Hot Sauce Guy @Tha Guru @Scoresman @QuizGuy66 @Forte Yard Dash @JaBoo @BassNBrew @Winning IS Everything @apalmer @Ruffrodys05 @da_budman @Instinctive @Neal Cassady @BroncosFan07 @papacapps @Shaunz33 @Galileo @TheWinz @IHEARTFF @The Jerminator @brun @rockaction @undercover @ZWK @Saint @Grid71 @Chaka @opensourcebeer @Mingooch @Mojo56 @Gally @barackdhouse @Schmeabs @MikesVikes @a_troll00
Of note
- BlackCrowes and The Jerminator tied for this week's top contest dog, with a score of 196.1 (189th place)
- TwinTurbo was this week's lowest advancing team, with a score of 130.25 (9620th place)
Good luck in week 2!
; the bad news is we lost @jabarony Moving on to week 2 are:
@kajaet @joey @lsutigers @Deamon @bamabuddha @dzambo @kinghill @bcnfinance @Puppies @TwinTurbo @BlackCrowes @SeniorVBDStudent @-OZ- @rustycolts @(HULK) @Dacomish @HairySasquatch @scottybo @rzrback77 @roar_lions @themeanmachine @Harjiran @Hot Sauce Guy @Tha Guru @Scoresman @QuizGuy66 @Forte Yard Dash @JaBoo @BassNBrew @Winning IS Everything @apalmer @Ruffrodys05 @da_budman @Instinctive @Neal Cassady @BroncosFan07 @papacapps @Shaunz33 @Galileo @TheWinz @IHEARTFF @The Jerminator @brun @rockaction @undercover @ZWK @Saint @Grid71 @Chaka @opensourcebeer @Mingooch @Mojo56 @Gally @barackdhouse @Schmeabs @MikesVikes @a_troll00
Of note
- BlackCrowes and The Jerminator tied for this week's top contest dog, with a score of 196.1 (189th place)
- TwinTurbo was this week's lowest advancing team, with a score of 130.25 (9620th place)
Good luck in week 2!
Dacomish
Footballguy
UNOFFICIAL future Cut lines (a few ties pushed the number higher remaining this week and affected future weeks):
Start 11695
10% Week 1 Cut to Number –10526 now 10528
10% Week 2 cut to Number –9474 now 9476
10% Week 3 cut to Number –8527 now 8529
20% Week 4 cut to Number –6822 now 6824
20% Week 5 cut to Number –5458 now 5460
20% Week 6 cut to Number –4367 now 4368
20% Week 7 cut to Number –3494 now 3495
30% Week 8 cut to Number –2446 now 2447
30% Week 9 cut to Number – 1713
30% Week 10 cut to Number – 1200
30% Week 11 cut to Number – 840
30% Week 12 cut to Number – 588
40% Week 13 cut to Number – 353
40% Week 14 cut to Number – 212 (means the top 13 non-playoff teams this week win a prize)
Notes From Contest Rules:
- In weeks 1--14, the cut is based on scores from the current week only. Scores reset each week.
- Specifically, the cut will be determined as in the following example. Suppose it is week 7 and there are 2,394 entries at the beginning of the week. Because the cut percentage is 20% for that week, 2394 will be multiplied by 0.80 and the resulting number, if not an integer, will be rounded UP to the next greatest integer. In this case, 2394 * 0.8 = 1915.2. We round up to 1916. The entry with the 1916th-highest score, and all entries with an equal or greater score, will move to the next round.
- if fewer than 225 participants remain after week 14, then prizes will be awarded to eliminated participants according to highest score in week 14. If prizes are still unawarded after that, then highest score in week 13, and so on.
Start 11695
10% Week 1 Cut to Number –
10% Week 2 cut to Number –
10% Week 3 cut to Number –
20% Week 4 cut to Number –
20% Week 5 cut to Number –
20% Week 6 cut to Number –
20% Week 7 cut to Number –
30% Week 8 cut to Number –
30% Week 9 cut to Number – 1713
30% Week 10 cut to Number – 1200
30% Week 11 cut to Number – 840
30% Week 12 cut to Number – 588
40% Week 13 cut to Number – 353
40% Week 14 cut to Number – 212 (means the top 13 non-playoff teams this week win a prize)
Notes From Contest Rules:
- In weeks 1--14, the cut is based on scores from the current week only. Scores reset each week.
- Specifically, the cut will be determined as in the following example. Suppose it is week 7 and there are 2,394 entries at the beginning of the week. Because the cut percentage is 20% for that week, 2394 will be multiplied by 0.80 and the resulting number, if not an integer, will be rounded UP to the next greatest integer. In this case, 2394 * 0.8 = 1915.2. We round up to 1916. The entry with the 1916th-highest score, and all entries with an equal or greater score, will move to the next round.
- if fewer than 225 participants remain after week 14, then prizes will be awarded to eliminated participants according to highest score in week 14. If prizes are still unawarded after that, then highest score in week 13, and so on.
SeniorVBDStudent
Footballguy
With the Jets in Minnisota for Week 2, there was some commentary from Schefter that CMC would also sit Week 2 (sorry to be a buzzkill).
nittanylion
Footballguy
Statutory Ape and my pathetic, hurried attempt at an entry, checking in with a 160.25.
One week at a time.
One week at a time.
